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GCC has officially abandoned the Yemen talks, which makes it look like we're approaching the end game, although I incorrectly predicted that months ago. There's also reports that thugs loyal to Saleh were responsible to a female opposition activist in Sana'a being burned to death, but there's limited info in english or arabic on that. edit: oh yeah, terrorist attack on naval base in Karachi, though that's only tangentially related to this thread. Xandu fucked around with this message at 21:36 on May 22, 2011 |
# ? May 22, 2011 21:32 |
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# ? May 13, 2024 20:51 |
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There are rumors going around that the attack on Karachi was foreign lead, and maybe in response the the sweet new jets China gave Pakistan. Also rumored is China giving the "an attack on Pakistan is an attack on us" line. Given that Obama has said he'd send in troops if the Pakistan's nuclear arsenal is threatened, this seems like a bad mix. Flashbacks of cold war satellite countries. Trying to find something resembling a real source before I call these anything credible. e: http://tribune.com.pk/story/173888/blast-on-dalmia-road/ Attackers were armed with "sophisticated weapons". PK TV says night vision goggles. TheOmegaWalrus fucked around with this message at 22:18 on May 22, 2011 |
# ? May 22, 2011 22:05 |
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Humanitarian:quote:A ship loaded with food and medical supplies docked on Sunday in Misurata, the Libyan rebels' main toehold in the west of the country. War: quote:According to opposition forces, Gaddafi forces attempted to retake the Tunisian border crossing. There were heavy clashes between the two sides where one rebel and nine Gaddafi soldiers were killed. quote:A French military spokesman says a French amphibious assault ship set sail from the port of Toulon last week, but he declined to confirm a French newspaper report that the helicopter-carrying ship was heading to battle in Libya. Diplomatic: quote:Benghazi, Libya
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# ? May 22, 2011 23:28 |
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TheOmegaWalrus posted:There are rumors going around that the attack on Karachi was foreign lead, and maybe in response the the sweet new jets China gave Pakistan. One hopes it would take more than ten men to overtake a military base, even in a country like Pakistan. I mean, that kind of thing should take at least 200 people, right, and some inside help?
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# ? May 22, 2011 23:35 |
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They didn't exactly take over anything. They blew up some crap then got shuttled into a building and are now surrounded by the looks of things. One plane lightly damaged and 5 deaths with 4 large explosions is an attack but probably not a successful one if they're all captured or killed.
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# ? May 22, 2011 23:43 |
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The news of that French amphibious assault ship is interesting. I'm trying to figure what other mission an amphibious assault/helicopter carrier can provide other than forming beachheads?
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# ? May 23, 2011 00:24 |
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Young Freud posted:The news of that French amphibious assault ship is interesting. I'm trying to figure what other mission an amphibious assault/helicopter carrier can provide other than forming beachheads? It was used against Gbagbo in Ivory Coast I think. As said, it can host 16 helicopters (8 NH90s and 8 Tigers usually), 110 armored vehicles and 450 passengers. It's got a 69-bed hospital and can be used to evacuate people or deliver supplies. ("BPC Tonnerre" should get you plenty GIS results) pylb fucked around with this message at 00:51 on May 23, 2011 |
# ? May 23, 2011 00:46 |
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No, not backwards..Sherief Farouk posted:Egypt has never had Internet filtering in place, but thanks to its new post-#Jan25 Minister of Communication, it will. #RevolutionBackwards
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# ? May 23, 2011 01:46 |
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Nice article on how smugglers have kept Misarata supplied with food, weapons, and medicine. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/23/world/africa/23smuggling.html?hp edit: Provides some evidence that NATO is tolerating weapons smuggling. edit2: nevermind, it all seems to be smuggling weapons looted from Gaddafi in Benghazi. Xandu fucked around with this message at 02:29 on May 23, 2011 |
# ? May 23, 2011 02:20 |
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From what I'm reading the reason the French helicopters are being brought in is that NATO are having trouble monitoring the rapidly changing frontlines and Nafusa and near Misrata, and they are having trouble seeing who is who, so helicopters should make it alot easier to identify targets and take rapid action. A couple of days ago I read NATO had told the rebels south of Misrata to stop advancing, so it might have been because they were waiting for the helicopters to arrive so they could support the rebel advance towards Sirte from Misrata without risking any friendly fire incidents. It looks like there's a lot of open terrain between the rebel positions south of Misrata and Sirte, so they might advance quite rapidly once they are supported by helicopters.
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# ? May 23, 2011 10:33 |
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Paradox Personified posted:No, not backwards.. Egypt's always had internet filtering but before the revolution it was only aimed at any Egyptian political blogs or websites.
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# ? May 23, 2011 11:20 |
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Live Blogs May 23rd Feb17.info Feb17.com Guardian AJE War quote:France is deploying attack helicopters in Libya, the first to be used in the allied offensive against forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi, French media reported on Monday. quote:France and other coalition countries are to start deploying military helicopters in Libya, a French diplomatic source has told Reuters: quote:@benwedeman: Intense NATO bombing outside Misrata. Multiple sorties, explosions shaking the windows kilometres away. quote:One of the reasons for the rebels' success in Misrata is "a determined and surreptitious sealift by a small fleet of Libyan boats", the New York Times writes in an interesting insight into how the opposition has managed to withstand the siege by Gaddafi forces: quote:Forces loyal to Muammar Gaddafi shelled neighbourhoods in the west and south of the Libyan city of Misrata on Monday, a rebel spokesman and a witness said, adding that explosions were also heard in the port area. Diplomacy quote:The head of Libya’s opposition has arrived for talks with Turkish leaders in a sign of improving ties after Turkey urged Moammar Gadhafi to step down and withdrew its diplomats from Tripoli. Brown Moses fucked around with this message at 11:54 on May 23, 2011 |
# ? May 23, 2011 11:30 |
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Nic Robertson of CNN is currently in Zintan, one of the only journalists there, and is Tweeting regulary on @NicRobertsonCNN. Here's some of his recent Tweets:quote:More shells fired by Gadhafi forces.. Just counted another dozen heavy explosions.. Strong enough to shake this building we're in
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# ? May 23, 2011 13:56 |
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Things have got violent in Yemen thanks to Saleh's refusal to sign the GCC agreement:quote:A heavy gun battle has erupted between embattled President Saleh's security forces and fighters from Yemen's most powerful tribe, which defected to the opposition, the Associated Press reports: quote:More on reports of the gun battle in Yemen comes from the Guardian's Tom Finn: quote:Yemeni journalist Khaled al-Hammadi tweets: If he ends up hanging from a lamp post it'll be all his own doing. [edit] quote:Another Yemeni journalist, Nasser Arrabyee, tweets: Brown Moses fucked around with this message at 15:12 on May 23, 2011 |
# ? May 23, 2011 15:00 |
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A horrible story from the BBC:quote:Was there a systematic campaign of rape by forces loyal to Libyan leader Colonel Muammar Gaddafi during the battle for Misrata? Hopefully those rape videos will be used to convict the soldiers involved with those rapes, at least some of the victims will get justice. In Yemen news: quote:Machine guns have been fired, grenades thrown and several people have been wounded in the clashes in Yemen, AFP reports. Seems like things are escalating rapidly in Yemen.
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# ? May 23, 2011 15:35 |
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Few Yemen tweets as it's all kicking off there:quote:@tomfinn2: can see black smoke rising from the Ministry of Interior in Sana'a quote:@yemen_updates: More security and army troops are sent to surround Sheikh Al-Ahmar, whose armed tribesmen arrive in Sanaá from Hashid tribe quote:tomfinn2: reports of fresh clashes outside the interior ministry in Sana'a, seems as if the Ahmar tribes are trying to overrun it quote:YusraAlA: Attempt to break into the house of Sheikh Al-Ahmar from eatern side (Ministry of Interior) and southern side (Sheba News Agency) quote:YusraAlA: Witnesses: More than 10 armed cars belonging to the regime arrived shortly to Yaslih and is going to #Sanaa It's getting very ugly very quickly.
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# ? May 23, 2011 15:50 |
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Few more updates from Yemen:quote:YusraAlA: MP: Witness: Large numbers of Ministry of Interior guards are withdrawing; tribes gunmen few meters away from Ministry quote:YusraAlA: Heavy clashes between army and protesters near Badr Camp in Khormaksar quote:YusraAlA: Mareb Press: Guards of Permanent Committee of GCP are escaping quote:KhaledHammadi: US embassy n #Yemen shutdown after thugs loyal to president #Saleh closed roads lead to the embassy quote:imothanaYemen: Alarabiya reporter : " Heavy gunfire and fierce clashes are still continuous and expanding" quote:YusraAlA: 2powerful explosions in Hasaba, witnesses confrim smoke from Ministry of Commerce and Indusrty &Al-Saida Travel Agency quote:Mabusharkh: Ma'areb tribe in #Yemen took over a government building in Sana'aa
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:07 |
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Definitely sounds like Yemen is moving into the endgame scenario, or at least the end of this phase. Next, of course, will be who is in charge afterwards, which could be a full-fledged civil war.
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:27 |
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Yeah, these are tweets from the last 20 minutes, it sounds like things are really kicking off, either Saleh goes or there will be a full on civil war:quote:yemen_updates: Eyewitness: Tanks and armored vehicles are reportedly seen heading towards Al-Hasaba neighborhood, where the fighting is ongoing. quote:YusraAlA: Arabia: Heavy clashes are still continued&expanding to University side. #Sanaa quote:imothanaYemen: Heavy artillery and mortars are used in the clashes ongoing clashes in #Sanaa quote:Mabusharkh: Tribes under Sheikh Ahmar took over the ministry of investment in capital of #Yemen and they're now moving towards the ministry of interiors quote:YusraAlA: Suhail: #Shabwah tribes condemn the attack on Sheikh Sadiq Al-Ahmar and they assure that the criminals will not escape justice quote:KhaledHammadi: Eyewitnesses said at least 13 people were killed & 18 others wounded at ongoing clashes b/w govt forces & Hashed tribesmen in #Sanaa quote:YusraAlA: #Shabwah, #Hadramout, Hashid, Bakeel and Asemat Tribes condemn attack on Sheikh Al-Ahmar's house quote:Amal_Nasser: Tanks of the rep. guards arrive to secure the ministry of interior and it's surroundings. Clashes are still going on. quote:yemen_updates: Gunfire were heard today near the US embassy, after Saleh's loyalists erected tents on embassy street yesterday quote:imothanaYemen: A politician once told me: "You know a Civil war started when the #US Embassy in #Sanaa close its doors" . That just happened! quote:YusraAlA: Witnesses: Heavy gunfire into Ministry of Interior and approximately 22 dead from help police in the ministry. quote:tomfinn2: government official: 2 RPG rockets have hit the ministry of interior quote:tomfinn2: government official: "today's actions show the ill intentions of the ahmars who have been bank rolling the opposition movement" quote:yemen_updates: Saleh kept his promise to burn down #Yemen. He threatened yesterday of a civil war if JMP didn't show up to sign in palace. He's doing it. quote:The Yemeni opposition has accused the security forces of trying to "storm" the house of Ahmar and warned of "assaults that aim to drag the country into civil war," the Associated Press reports:
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:30 |
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He's so hosed. Wonder what gave him the idea to attack the head of the most powerful tribe in Yemen.
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:35 |
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Especially when they are clearly well armed, there's reports of more RPGs being fired, and mortars being used. Sounds like they are destroying the government one ministry building at a time.
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:37 |
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Brown Moses posted:A horrible story from the BBC: "See, they beat us if we didn't rape the women, so that makes it ok!" Are you loving kidding me? They raped the women because they would be beaten if they didn't? Are they trying to loving say that justifies what they did because the officers would beat them if they didn't do it? I guess I shouldn't be surprised a Dictator's soldiers would do this sort of poo poo, but I am. This is loving awful, goddamn. And those shitbirds filmed it. They were using rape as a weapon, just like the Serbs.
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:45 |
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Well think about it. The negotiated tense situation has been ongoing for months. Assume any sort of dictatorial isolation from the reality of popular support. The opposition obvious hasn't ousted him so he solidifies his supporters, tries to decapitate the opposition and hes left in control... it makes perfect sense if you assume hes miscalculated the relative strength of his position.
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:48 |
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AJA is apparently reporting that Gaddafi dropped 7000 troops off in Brega, then withdrew any vehicles they could use to pull back such as trucks, so they are pretty much forced to fight or flee in the desert on foot.
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# ? May 23, 2011 16:48 |
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Brown Moses posted:AJA is apparently reporting that Gaddafi dropped 7000 troops off in Brega, then withdrew any vehicles they could use to pull back such as trucks, so they are pretty much forced to fight or flee in the desert on foot. Or mass surrender.
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# ? May 23, 2011 17:00 |
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Brown Moses posted:AJA is apparently reporting that Gaddafi dropped 7000 troops off in Brega, then withdrew any vehicles they could use to pull back such as trucks, so they are pretty much forced to fight or flee in the desert on foot. I see Gaddafi has been reading up on his Art of War.
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# ? May 23, 2011 17:08 |
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Ballz posted:Or mass surrender. Or mass defection.
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# ? May 23, 2011 17:11 |
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Namarrgon posted:I see Gaddafi has been reading up on his Art of War. As for BPC Tonnerre ("Thunder," L9014,) it's the sister ship of the Mistral, both being amphibious assault ships (BPC is "projection and command ship," bâtiments de projection et de commandement)... the closest US Navy analogues of being the Tarawa- or Wasp-class, so for laymen's purposes think helicopter carriers that could support deploying ground forces.
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# ? May 23, 2011 18:30 |
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Speaking of helicopters and Libyaquote:Apache helicopters to be sent into Libya by Britain
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# ? May 23, 2011 18:51 |
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Chortles posted:Clearly Sun Zi didn't account for Ballz and Young Freud here... but their points stand, agreed. Note also the UK is using HMS Ocean, another Helicopter carrier / amphibious assault ship to launch helicopter missions over Libya. Its unknown how many Apaches Ocean has on board at the moment, but its probably more than Oceans standard 6 (usually 6 Apaches and 12 transport), given they wont need the transport capability. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/may/23/apache-helicopters-libya-britain edit: Just beaten like a Gaddafi thug. ukle fucked around with this message at 18:56 on May 23, 2011 |
# ? May 23, 2011 18:54 |
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Chortles posted:Clearly Sun Zi didn't account for Ballz and Young Freud here... but their points stand, agreed. The problem here is that, when Sun Tzu made that suggestion that: Sun Tzu posted:At the critical moment, the leader of an army acts like one who has climbed up a height and then kicks away the ladder behind him. He carries his men deep into hostile territory before he shows his hand. Sun recommended the general be amongst his men when entering that critical moment, not being sequestered in a bunker 400 miles away when poo poo goes down.
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# ? May 23, 2011 18:56 |
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I just have to give you some cred Brown Moses for your updates. You are probably the most in depth and up-to-date source of information about the current ongoings to check up on when I am able to.
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# ? May 24, 2011 03:53 |
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Besides going straight to the tap of twitter comments, Brown Moses has really done a good job of keeping us informed. Leagues better than American media. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43140642/ns/world_news-mideast_n_africa/ Seems like NATO's getting in a hurry to end this, preferably through Gadhafi's death.
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# ? May 24, 2011 04:44 |
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Has this been referenced yet? Shabab and others on Twitter inundated the site with tweets about six hours ago, these were among the links: Tripoli was engaged by a large amount of rockets, and Gaddafi's compound was hit. (Breaking CNN: Smoke seen rising from #Gadhafi compound after airstrikes., and various related tweets.) NATO was stated to be involved heavily. https://www.facebook.com/note.php?note_id=154946301239383 "Mon, 23 May, 2011 URGENT APPEAL FOR LIBYA’S WESTERN MOUNTAINS – JABAL NEFUSA" I do not know the detailed formation of the Libyan Youth Movement, so I don't know the weight of this in those circles. Anyone informed, I'd love to hear your opinions on it. Excerpts: "A member of our group on the ground in Yefren, today Monday the 23rd of May at about 23:00 hrs Libyan time has provided us with the following urgent message to communicate to the world: Armed Gadaffi forces have been positioned in the same locations across Yefren for the past month and twenty days. However, during the last 48 hrs there has been a vast increase in their numbers allowing them toke control of more positions including the small vallies and positions on hills thereby blocking the peoples walkway which they have been depended on to access the very basic necessities " " Between 7000 and 10,000 civilians are trapped in the towns of Yefren and Algalaa, the remainder appx. 40,000 civilians have been displaced to other towns in the Nafusa Mountains , Tripoli and Tunisia prior to the complete siege (Normally, population of Yefren and Algalaa is estimated to be in the range of 170 000 or more including Awiniya and Riyanah, etc)." (I have not seen numbers cited a lot recently, unsure about those stats) Then there's a list, with specific co-ordinates, of 'command centres', scouting camps, and such. Fascinating. Bless them for all their hard work, I can't even imagine... And a companion link for that url from above: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.158684817530676.43191.133738650025293&saved Sorry for the low content, I'm not good at commentating.
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# ? May 24, 2011 06:29 |
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Remember the Saudi woman who drove? well the papers today reported on something that made me so angry. She made a confession. Soviet Style. the papers wrote: " Collapsing in tears, she confessed that her father and brother made her do it. and that other women forced her to drive and make the videos for their own purposes and spread confusion and disorder and to incite protests. she has also called for authorities to widen their questioning to other women." This is a government fabrication, but it's just how low they'd go that shocks me. I'm not much of a brave person. but when I see a woman humiliated and crying and forced to denounce her ideals and hopes I honestly feel like destroying something. How can they call themselves men after what they did to her? *EDIT* Those of you who are curious, these are the official charges raised against her: "She has been charged with bypassing rules and regulations, driving a car within the city, enabling a journalist to interview her while driving a car, deliberately disseminating the incident to the media, incitement of Saudi women to drive cars, and turning public opinion against the regulations" Here's also an older video on the topic of driving. Al-Saqr fucked around with this message at 08:48 on May 24, 2011 |
# ? May 24, 2011 08:07 |
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Impressive how in one fell sweep they automatically vilify her family. That's decades of special police experience at work there.
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# ? May 24, 2011 08:19 |
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Ace Oliveira posted:"See, they beat us if we didn't rape the women, so that makes it ok!" I don't want to legitimize it in any way but ...everybody rapes in war...
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# ? May 24, 2011 08:56 |
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Namarrgon posted:Impressive how in one fell sweep they automatically vilify her family. That's decades of special police experience at work there. Can we take some comfort, that this poo poo is not going to last forever? Right? For fucks sake, couldn't they have just let her drive a couple of blocks and not make a big deal out of it?
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# ? May 24, 2011 09:14 |
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Live blogs May 24th LibyaFeb17.com Feb17.info AJE War quote:At least 12 large explosions were heard in Tripoli very early on Tuesday morning and a column of smoke was seen rising from Gaddafi’s compound. Reuters correspondent Joseph Logan said he heard planes overhead and at least a dozen very loud blasts. quote:At least three people have been killed and more than 150 people wounded as NATO warplanes hit the Libyan capital Tripoli, officials have said. quote:French officials confirm that France and Britain will send attack helicopters to Libya in the latest effort to ramp up NATO's targeting power against Muammar Gaddafi's forces. Aid quote:The Red Cross is calling on its donors to provide an additional $53 million to help the victims of the conflict in Libya. The ICRC expects over 850,000 people affected by the Libyan conflict to have benefited from its assistance by the end of 2011. Since the crisis started, the ICRC has provided basic supplies and services such as food, water and medical care to more than 500,000 people inside Libya and in neighbouring countries. The organization has helped around 60,000 people re-establish contact with their family members, visited over 400 detainees, evacuated some 2,500 stranded foreign nationals and Libyan civilians from Misrata and started clearing dangerous unexploded devices in Ajdabiya. In addition, the ICRC has repeatedly urged all sides to respect their obligations under international humanitarian law. Diplomacy quote:Libya’s rebels have accepted an invitation to open a representative office in Washington, top United States official Jeffrey Feltman has said. I'd recommend following @NicRobertsonCNN who is currently located in the Nafusa region, especially Zintan, and @bencnn who is located in Misrata, and reporting that it's very quiet at the moment. Paradox Personified posted:I do not know the detailed formation of the Libyan Youth Movement, so I don't know the weight of this in those circles. Anyone informed, I'd love to hear your opinions on it. There's been an ongoing seige of that area by Gaddafi forces for a long time, and it seems as if he's committing more troops to that area. It seems like part of Gaddafi's plan is to capture the border crossing with Tunisia, but so far his attempts have failed, and it allows Libyan civilians to escape to Tunisia, and for supplies to be transported into Libya to support the rebels. The arrival of attack helicopters is going to be very significant, and hopefully they'll be used to support the rebels when they advance on Sirte from Misrata and Ajdabiya. Currently it seems both groups of rebels have been told to halt their advance towards Sirte, probably because NATO were waiting to move their helicopters into position. To the west the rebels may have to secure Nanur airport, which is 20km to the west of their current position, and could possibly be used as a base by Gaddafi's forces if they try to stop the rebel advance. However, it's in the middle of nowhere, and NATO shouldn't have any problems destroying any vehicles left out in the open, especially with helicopters. After that it looks like they'd need to capture the tiny towns of Abu Quaryn and Qayrat Al Qaddahiyah, and then they'll control the main coastal road to Sirte. From there they can continue south and capture the second main road to Sirte, or head directly east along the coastal roads to reach Sirte. Either way there's barely any built up areas, and most of those are tiny and away from the main roads, and generally the terrain appears to be desert. Exactly where you don't want to be if you are being bombed by NATO aircraft, so those helicopters will be extremely effective at supporting the rebel advance, especially as it'll solve the previously mentioned problems of NATO aircraft identifying targets when the front lines are rapidly shifting. In the East it's been reported by Al Jazeera and other sources that the rebels have already started to build up their forces outside of Brega, which would suggest to me they are preparing for an attack, almost certaintly supported by NATO helicopters. I think the main thing that'll slow the rebel advance are landmines that have almost certaintly been laid all over the route to Sirte, but once they get past Brega and Ras Lanuf they'll be very hard to stop. They are much better trained and equiped then they were during their earlier failed advance on Sirte, and NATO helicopters will provide essential support during the advance.
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# ? May 24, 2011 10:41 |
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# ? May 13, 2024 20:51 |
Pajser posted:Can we take some comfort, that this poo poo is not going to last forever? Right? That would have deeply undermined the absolutist stance the Saudi state requires in order to ensure an acquiescent populace. They don't have religious police in Saudi to ensure that everybody stays moral, they have religious police to create a situation of learned helplessness among the population so that their fundamentally very weak state can continue to extract mineral wealth and win foreign aid to the benefit of the Saudi royal family. They pair that with the occasional fistful of cash thrown at average Saudis as a small carrot to go along with their huge stick. The Saudi government is the worst, and I'm really sorry to hear about that poo poo, Al-Saqr.
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# ? May 24, 2011 11:16 |