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Members of NATO (well, mostly Turkey, but there have been noises in support of the effort) have repeatedly offered to broker a deal, to which Gaddafi's response was along the lines of "we shall invade Europe for this sacrilege and burn your cities to the ground!" I think that means no.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:03 |
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# ? Apr 26, 2024 11:02 |
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Jut posted:I still don't trust the NTC to run the country, nor do I want CQ in full power. An ideal solution would be for a ceasefire to be called, UN peacekeepers deployed, and a power-sharing agreement put in place. Has power-sharing ever worked? (I ask out of ignorance, not sarcasm)
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:10 |
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GreyjoyBastard posted:Members of NATO (well, mostly Turkey, but there have been noises in support of the effort) have repeatedly offered to broker a deal, to which Gaddafi's response was along the lines of "we shall invade Europe for this sacrilege and burn your cities to the ground!" Really? Last time I checked several offers have been put on the table and the deciding factor was that the rebels won't negotiate unless CQ stands down. http://articles.cnn.com/2011-06-24/world/libya.war_1_moammar-gadhafi-libyan-government-arab-league?_s=PM:WORLD posted:The Libyan opposition said Friday that leader Moammar Gadhafi must leave the country before any peaceful solution can take hold in the north African nation.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:13 |
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Golbez posted:Has power-sharing ever worked? (I ask out of ignorance, not sarcasm) Northern Ireland comes to mind off the top of my head.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:15 |
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Thing is, Qaddafi expressed no interest whatsoever in negotiating, though you're correct that the rebels were a bit short on enthusiasm for it as well. It's definitely something still worth pursuing, given that there are plausible sane reasons to not give the offer(s) any credence - notably wanting to put on a show of confidence for his top ministers and officers, who have to be wondering about their own options at this point and might not respond well to perceived weakness.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:18 |
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Jut posted:Really? Last time I checked several offers have been put on the table and the deciding factor was that the rebels won't negotiate unless CQ stands down. Why would you believe anything CQ says after all the past statements that end up being false, misleading, or halve truths. He's not a good faith negotiator and everyone knows it.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:42 |
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From what I remember the only real offers for negotiation have come from Saif Gaddafi and his camp, which is irrelevant because he has no actual power without his father's (and the other brother's) consent. Maybe Moussa Ibrahim talked some crap, but his job as PR guy is to shape world opinion not being factual in any way. Nothing he says at those Rixos press conferences is credible and it's usually not even translated into Arabic or broadcast in Libya itself, it's make believe for gullible foreigners. The last I heard from the people purportedly speaking for the old man is that NATO needs to stop it's campaign, then there can be negotiations, maybe. Meanwhile Gaddafi himself said on TV that he will never negotiate with the NTC until judgement day, so...
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:53 |
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There are some disturbing reports coming out of North Sinai right now. Repent11, a tweeter affiliated with CNN, is reporting that the Egyptian army and SOF units are engaged with Islamist militants who have reportedly seized control of the Rafah area. You'll remember Rafah as the area which borders the Gaza Strip. It's unconfirmed right now, but if true, things are about to get really, really ugly in the Sinai.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 16:55 |
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The Libyan woman who was dragged away after telling reporters she was gang-raped has found asylum in the U.S. So that's some good news at least, as the last I heard Qatar kicked her out and sent her right back to Libya.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 18:02 |
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Away from Libya, apparently Islamists took over the Tahrir protests and the Liberal parties have pulled out from it. Not looking good, it seems.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 18:10 |
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I think NATO learned their lesson about installing puppet governments and ignoring UN resolutions. Anyway, France and the UK are the ones that stepped up to put a leash on Gadaffi, it's entirely their call.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 18:13 |
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ThePutty posted:Away from Libya, apparently Islamists took over the Tahrir protests and the Liberal parties have pulled out from it. Not looking good, it seems. This doesn't bode well for the secularist protesters or the Coptic population, both of which have been victims of violence at the hands of hardline Islamists.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 18:15 |
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The killing of Younis couldn't have come at a worse time for the UK government: just a day after they recognised the rebels as the legitimate government of Libya. The general feeling in the UK is that we shouldn't have gotten involved in the first place and the government itself has struggled to communicate what we're trying to achieve in Libya, beyond the constantly repeated demands for Gadaffi to go. If the people that they've just affirmed as the official representatives of Libya dissolve into warring factions after this killing, the UK public are going to start demanding that we cut our losses and just get out of the whole bloody mess.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 18:27 |
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Yesterday, the NPR radio program "Fresh Air" with Terry Gross was an interview with New York Times correspondent C.J. Chivers, who has been reporting from the ground in Libya and is just back in the US. I only caught the first half, but it was really interesting. He had some stories about stuff that's gone on in the conflict areas that we haven't heard, and his assessment of the rebels and their chances was interesting (and disheartening). here's the story and you can download the broadcast as a podcast. There's also a transcript. e. Also, NPR correspondent Lourdes Garcia-Navarro is in Benghazi. A short interview Steve Inskeep did with her this morning, regarding the Younis killing here. Leperflesh fucked around with this message at 19:34 on Jul 29, 2011 |
# ? Jul 29, 2011 19:26 |
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Yemen seems to have fallen out of the news, but the violence there is continuing unabated. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-07-28/yemen-forces-clash-with-tribesmen-at-republican-guard-camp-north-of-sana-a.html quote:
Yemen's already terrible economy is on the verge of complete disintegration due to this conflict. Also, some of Younis's former troopers seem convinced that a faction of the rebel government had him killed. http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2011/07/29/501364/main20085508.shtml quote:
The whole situation is pretty dire. I would not be surprised if Younis's former troops refuse to fight now. New Division fucked around with this message at 19:42 on Jul 29, 2011 |
# ? Jul 29, 2011 19:35 |
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Situation in Arish is escalating, a captain in the Egyptian Army was killed with several soldiers and another officer severely wounded. Several civilians dead (rumored to be around 8 killed right now) with tens more injured, army engaged in battle with militants. Eyewitness report (MIGHT NOT BE ACCURATE): 150 cars and trucks manned by militant Islamists from the Takfir and Hijra group entered Arish city around 1:30 - 2:00 PM after Jumaa prayers, destroying a statue of former president Anwar Al-Sadat and proceeding to wreak havoc around the city, and attacking a major police station. They barred people from leaving their houses, confiscated cellphones and cameras and took over the city. They attacked the police station with RPGs, SPGs and automatic weapons. The military barrack in Arish reinforced the police station with several APCs and helicopters, with reinforcements coming from Rafah city (where another attack likely happened, no info) Battle is still on-going in Arish, the islamic militants number in the hundreds - possibly thousands.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 20:09 |
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Ham posted:Situation in Arish is escalating, a captain in the Egyptian Army was killed with several soldiers and another officer severely wounded. Several civilians dead (rumored to be around 8 killed right now) with tens more injured, army engaged in battle with militants. Where are you getting this from? I've been monitoring Twitter and there's only been one guy (repent11) who's been reporting on the attacks. Conflicting reports abound- I've been hearing there's another attack going on, and I also heard that Egyptian SOF (Unit 777) had repulsed the attack. Anything credible you can confirm would be good...
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 20:21 |
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suboptimal posted:Where are you getting this from? I've been monitoring Twitter and there's only been one guy (repent11) who's been reporting on the attacks. Conflicting reports abound- I've been hearing there's another attack going on, and I also heard that Egyptian SOF (Unit 777) had repulsed the attack. Anything credible you can confirm would be good... A neighbor of mine is in Arish right now. Most online sources are very slow for a lack of verifiable info out of that area. Trying to contact a relative of mine in the SF right now. If you understand Arabic, watch JSC Mubasher Misr on Nilesat.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 20:24 |
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Ham, news in the states around the debt ceiling (oh god), not to mention all the other stories going around, have made it difficult to get information on Egypt right now. My only source is you and AJE, and a quick mention on NPR. What's going on in Tahrir right now? Is it really mostly filled by Islamic representatives? Does this have any connection to what's happening in the place you were speaking of?
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 21:42 |
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Tahrir square was full of islamists throughout the day till 6 PM. They were calling for the same things as the non-islamist protestors except that they were calling for completely implementation of islamic sharia within the constitution and in fact some called for implementing the quran itself as the constitution. They were also very anti-secular. It's unknown if any of the islamist groups are tied to the event in the Sinai. Right now the square holds the non-islamist protestors who have been sitting in for the past 3-4 weeks. Update on situation in Sinai: Militants are confirmed to be islamists belonging to the Takfir wal-Hijra group. They are well-trained and armed and the battle is still on-going in Arish with the army sending reinforcements from the border-town of Rafah and 2nd Army Field HQ in Ismailiya and they've surrounded the militants in a specific part of Arish, hoping that they're going to eventually run out of ammo. So far 2 civilians confirmed dead, a 70-year old man and a 13-year old boy. As far as the police and military, there's several casualties and one army officer confirmed killed, a captain. Tens of civilians and soldiers wounded, with 10 more unconfirmed deaths. Ham fucked around with this message at 22:48 on Jul 29, 2011 |
# ? Jul 29, 2011 22:34 |
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Ham, could the attacks in Sinai be related to the islamic extremists protesting in Tahrir square? From what I've heard they weren't there before.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 22:53 |
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Ace Oliveira posted:Ham, could the attacks in Sinai be related to the islamic extremists protesting in Tahrir square? From what I've heard they weren't there before. The ones in Tahrir square are not necessarily extremists and it's far too early to label them that right now. They're islamists yea, but not to the point of killing/terrorism. And the attacks in Sinai are done by a completely different islamic group, probably the most extremist islamic group in Egypt. They have ties to some Palestinian factions, but as far as I know they have no real modern association with the Salafis or the Muslim Brotherhood.
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 22:56 |
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Videos from Arish: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aYqDMjaAiTI http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vZLI4sfp-b8 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZQdQA2APsdo
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# ? Jul 29, 2011 23:22 |
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Ham posted:The ones in Tahrir square are not necessarily extremists and it's far too early to label them that right now. They're islamists yea, but not to the point of killing/terrorism. And the attacks in Sinai are done by a completely different islamic group, probably the most extremist islamic group in Egypt. They have ties to some Palestinian factions, but as far as I know they have no real modern association with the Salafis or the Muslim Brotherhood. Do you think that this could lead to a backlash against the Islamists amongst the general population, Ham?
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# ? Jul 30, 2011 00:24 |
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How are u posted:Do you think that this could lead to a backlash against the Islamists amongst the general population, Ham? For politically active people: Yes and no, people will definitely be making a clear association between the Islamists protesting all over Egypt today and the events in Northern Sinai, and some non-islamist political factions will probably make use of this in both short and long-term propaganda, however I think most people have already decided on which side of the fence they fall and this will only reinforce their beliefs - islamists will denounce this as the kind of thing that can be avoided if only for the non-islamist revolutionaries' constant protests and demands (delay elections etc.) while non-islamists will treat it as Egypt's future if the islamists come to power. In the end, it only widens the gap between both branches of Egyptian politics. Regarding the general population, there's no real gauge, we don't have accurate or timely polling systems to find out but I believe reaction in general is gonna be negative because the protests also coincided with the burning of a church in Minya governorate as well as the attacks in Arish. The death of the army captain won't hep either.
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# ? Jul 30, 2011 00:53 |
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Leperflesh posted:Yesterday, the NPR radio program "Fresh Air" with Terry Gross was an interview with New York Times correspondent C.J. Chivers, who has been reporting from the ground in Libya and is just back in the US. Interesting account from Chivers. 14 min is pretty revealing of fractures in the rebel forces. Second link has more news on Brega. In short, CQ is entrenched, rebels not making much progress, and rumours that Younis is being blamed for not taking Brega. Jut fucked around with this message at 08:27 on Jul 30, 2011 |
# ? Jul 30, 2011 07:54 |
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The BBC are reporting that tanks have been sent into Hama, and are firing away.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 08:58 |
loving poo poo.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 09:28 |
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45 reported killed, wouldn't surprise me if this number rises
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 10:30 |
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Jut posted:The BBC are reporting that tanks have been sent into Hama, and are firing away.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 11:21 |
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Chortles posted:I wonder where the US ambassador is? (It's not just "but what about the Syrians," his presence or absence in Hama still would be... insightful to say the least about the extent of the regime's intent.) I think he left the area a while ago. This situation has been brewing for a while, it's not a flash crackdown like in Libya; yet the international community has ignored this just as they did with Bahrain.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 11:43 |
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Jut posted:The BBC are reporting that tanks have been sent into Hama, and are firing away. Not just Hama, it's a clear attempt by the government to end it all at once.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 12:49 |
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Going to be interesting to see how Turkey responds to this.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 13:19 |
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Jut posted:I think he left the area a while ago. I remember there being condemnations, but a no-fly zone would be far less useful in Syria, wouldn't it? What could the international community do that it hasn't already?
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 17:24 |
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Short of another military intervention, there's just about nothing that can be done with Syria that will make a difference on the ground. I'd expect an ICC referral or maybe sanctions of Bashar al-Assad over this (as opposed to just his associates) if Russia/China can be convinced, but that wouldn't change much. edit: And a military intervention, which there isn't much stomach for anyways, would be extremely more complex in the case of Syria than Libya because of its neighbors.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 17:33 |
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Golbez posted:I remember there being condemnations, but a no-fly zone would be far less useful in Syria, wouldn't it? What could the international community do that it hasn't already? Let's be honest...Libya was originally supposed to be a NFZ, but on paper ended up being so much more. We've not even seen the bare minimum from the UNSC (i.e. condemnations, sanctions, referral to the ICC etc...) they've given Syria the Bahrain treatment.
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# ? Jul 31, 2011 19:11 |
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GreyjoyBastard posted:Members of NATO (well, mostly Turkey, but there have been noises in support of the effort) have repeatedly offered to broker a deal, to which Gaddafi's response was along the lines of "we shall invade Europe for this sacrilege and burn your cities to the ground!" As far as I know, the only specific proposals from Europe involve facilitating Gaddafi's departure which, surprisingly enough, he has no interest in. Gazpacho fucked around with this message at 19:33 on Jul 31, 2011 |
# ? Jul 31, 2011 19:26 |
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^^^ Don't confuse the poor man with things like facts. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-14360027 posted:Germany, currently a UN Security Council member, has requested emergency discussions in New York on Monday. ABOUT loving TIME! This poo poo has only been brewing in Syria for the last couple of months.
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# ? Aug 1, 2011 01:46 |
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I wonder how Brazil and India will react this time. Interesting that Germany, who abstained on the Libya vote, is calling for this, instead of France or the UK.
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# ? Aug 1, 2011 02:01 |
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# ? Apr 26, 2024 11:02 |
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Xandu posted:I wonder how Brazil and India will react this time. Interesting that Germany, who abstained on the Libya vote, is calling for this, instead of France or the UK.
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# ? Aug 1, 2011 02:09 |