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namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
http://www.cbc.ca/m/news/#!/content/1.2605866/

Young Canadians, ages 25-34 think home ownership is a solid investment. Go for it assholes. Go buy till your hearts are content.

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Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.

Cultural Imperial posted:

http://www.cbc.ca/m/news/#!/content/1.2605866/

Young Canadians, ages 25-34 think home ownership is a solid investment. Go for it assholes. Go buy till your hearts are content.

In a way, I don't really blame people for thinking this. People are poo poo at analysis and innumerate as a rule, and have heard nothing but the mantra of housing from their boomer parents.

Professor Shark
May 22, 2012

One of my friends was telling me that years ago a couple she knew was actually angry at her for not buying a house instead of paying rent. Young people have been brainwashed by their parents who played a different game than today.

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Lexicon posted:

In a way, I don't really blame people for thinking this. People are poo poo at analysis and innumerate as a rule, and have heard nothing but the mantra of housing from their boomer parents.

If the stock market had been on a 10-20% tear for the last 11 years and the last crash was when they were still watching Teletubbies, they would also think it was a great investment. People would be throwing their life savings at 300 dollar bank shares, and we would be watching it with a mixture of :stonk: and :cripes:.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006

cowofwar posted:

Defaults happen at the end of a bubble just before poo poo hits the fan. It's not a useful metric because once they start happening it's too late.

The Canadian market is much different the US market since in that in terms of debt loading canadians already exceeded the worst of the US credit bubble.

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
http://www.vancouversun.com/news/metro/Jenny+Kwan+represents+Canada+poorest+neighbourhoods+scoops/9719713/story.html

quote:


VICTORIA — The MLA who represents one of Canada’s poorest neighbourhoods now lives in a $1.9-million home in Kitsilano.

Vancouver-Mount Pleasant MLA Jenny Kwan bought the house, near Kitsilano Secondary, for $1.938 million late last year after separating from her husband, Dan Small.

“After my husband and I separated, I moved to be close to my brother, who is helping me with my children,” Kwan said in a statement, after declining an interview.

“My passion and commitment for representing my constituents in Vancouver-Mt. Pleasant is unwavering and I will continue to be a strong voice for them.”

Kwan’s riding includes Vancouver’s Downtown Eastside, one of the poorest neighbourhoods in Canada. She has represented the area since 1996, and has been a vocal public advocate for the homeless, as well as services for those suffering from poverty and addictions.

Although many MLAs do live in the ridings they represent, it is not a legal requirement.

Premier Christy Clark, who lost her seat in Vancouver-Point Grey in last May’s provincial election, now represents the riding of Westside-Kelowna, even though she primarily lives in the Lower Mainland.

The legislature does not keep a list of MLAs who live outside their ridings, but several MLAs on both sides of the house — including Liberal cabinet minsters Suzanne Anton (Vancouver-Fraserview) and Teresa Wat (Richmond Centre) — live outside their ridings.

Kwan returned to the legislature on Wednesday after being caught up in a spending scandal involving her family’s vacation expenses being paid by a Downtown Eastside charitable organization that provides housing and addiction services to the poor.

Kwan reimbursed the Portland Hotel Society almost $34,922 for trips to Disneyland, the United Kingdom and Vienna in 2012, which she said her husband billed to the society without her knowledge.

Small had been a senior executive at the Portland Hotel Society.

After a tearful press conference in which Kwan apologized for the spending, she took a two-week unpaid leave of absence from her job as MLA.

NDP leader Adrian Dix celebrated Kwan’s return Wednesday with a press conference during which he called her “courageous” for taking responsibility for her husband’s actions.

Kwan said she used two personal lines of credit to make the repayment to the society, and has not spoken to her ex-husband since her leave from office.

“This has been a very difficult, challenging time for me personally, but I’m returning fully committed to represent the people of my community and to work to ensure my constituents have a strong voice,” said Kwan.

She sidestepped questions on whether her family spending controversy has hurt her Opposition party’s ability to criticize the Liberal government on issues of poverty reduction and services for the Downtown Eastside.

Government auditors had flagged the trips for lavish expenses, including a hotel room in the United Kingdom that cost $884 per night, a $65 charge for flowers to the room, as well as alcohol and spa service in another instance.

The Disneyland trip for Kwan and her family included a room upgrade at the Grand Californian Hotel & Spa worth $2,695, which Kwan said her husband told her he had paid, but which actually had been billed back to the charity.

Kwan said the focus now should be on making sure the Portland Hotel Society, which provides housing and services for the poor, continues its work to help residents and that “people’s voices are heard” in her riding.



What this really says is that the people who live in her riding that vote NDP are dumb. as. gently caress. Just like her.

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/housing/regulator-set-to-release-new-mortgage-rules/article17925905/

quote:

Canada’s financial regulator is close to releasing a new set of standards for Canada’s mortgage insurers, one that the real-estate industry has worried may chill the market.

The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) has been working on the guidelines since 2012, after it released a similar set of mortgage lending standards for banks.

The standards for banks, known in the industry as guideline B20, pushed lenders to be more cautious in areas such as credit checks on borrowers, document verification and appraisals. They also capped the amount that any individual can borrow on a home equity line of credit at 65 per cent of the home’s value.

Many industry players say the standards contributed to the decline of Canadian home sales that occurred in late 2012 and early 2013.

The real estate industry has been nervously awaiting the standards for mortgage insurers, which will be known as B21, to see whether they too will have a dampening effect on the housing market. OSFI originally indicated that a draft of the new rules would be released in early 2013, and more recently said they would be published by the end of last month. Sources now indicate they will be released as early as Friday.

Julie Dickson, the head of OSFI, said in 2012 that she does not expect the rules for mortgage insurers to have the same effect on the market that the rules for banks did. Stuart Levings, chief operating officer of insurer Genworth MI Canada, said earlier this week that he does not expect the guidelines to contain anything “dramatic.”

“They accomplished a lot with B20,” he said. “And in terms of their confidence with the way that we as insurers underwrite today, I think there’s a high degree of confidence.”

The draft that OSFI releases will be open to comment before becoming final.

OSFI began working on the latest guidelines shortly after former finance minister Jim Flaherty tasked it with overseeing Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. (CMHC), the Crown corporation that is the country’s largest mortgage insurer. OSFI was already the watchdog for CMHC’s two private-sector rivals, Genworth and Canada Guaranty.

Mortgage insurance, which covers the lender for losses if the homeowner can’t pay, is mandatory in Canada for borrowers who have a down payment of less than 20 per cent.

Both B20 and B21 are the result of a suggestion by the Financial Stability Board, an international body made up of regulators and banking experts around the world, that all countries should review their rules for banks and mortgage insurers in the wake of the U.S. subprime crisis.



kiss your equity goodbye home owners

Lead out in cuffs
Sep 18, 2012

"That's right. We've evolved."

"I can see that. Cool mutations."




Cultural Imperial posted:

http://www.vancouversun.com/news/metro/Jenny+Kwan+represents+Canada+poorest+neighbourhoods+scoops/9719713/story.html


What this really says is that the people who live in her riding that vote NDP are dumb. as. gently caress. Just like her.

No, not really.

Calling most of one of the most left-leaning ridings in BC dumb as gently caress purely on the basis of one terrible, tabloidy newspaper article, now that is dumb as gently caress.

I mean, there are regulars in this thread who you've just flung a personal insult at.

Kalenn Istarion
Nov 2, 2012

Maybe Senpai will finally notice me now that I've dropped :fivebux: on this snazzy av

Cultural Imperial posted:

http://www.vancouversun.com/news/metro/Jenny+Kwan+represents+Canada+poorest+neighbourhoods+scoops/9719713/story.html


What this really says is that the people who live in her riding that vote NDP are dumb. as. gently caress. Just like her.

Yeah, it's a lovely article about some personal issues that an MLA is dealing with. It's unclear what it has to do with the housing bubble.

If your comment relates to an MLA living outside her riding, the article points out that happens all the time, up to and including the premier. Who cares if she lives in a nice house?

If your comment is about the embezzlement from the charity, it sounds like it was her slime all husband who she is divorcing and proactively making reparations on behalf of. If anything, I feel sympathetic to getting screwed over like that, and don't see what it has to do with her politics.

Not sure what other point you were trying to make with that one.

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin
Not knowing anything else about it, what kind of qualifications/previous merit does she possess that offsets her being a corrupt scumbag?

tagesschau
Sep 1, 2006
Guten Abend, meine Damen und Herren.

That horse left the barn years ago. This ought to speed up the return of house prices to non-bubble levels, but people who suddenly discover that they're poorer than they think will likely blame the government for something that would have happened anyway and was largely due to their own imprudence.

Giant Goats
Mar 7, 2010
What a 1.9-million dollar house in Vancouver might look like: http://beta.realtor.ca/propertyDetails.aspx?PropertyId=14228387

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
I think he is drawing the contrast in our advocates for the poor living in 1.9 million dollar houses. And that perhaps her supporters are rubes for buying it. After being in politics for much of her adult life, she is likely one of the few people that can legit afford a house in Vancouver at the moment. As the MLS post indicates, it is unlikely she is eating cakes in a Versailles replica.

Throatwarbler posted:

Not knowing anything else about it, what kind of qualifications/previous merit does she possess that offsets her being a corrupt scumbag?

She been an MLA for 18 years so whatever she was before is largely immaterial.

Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.

Giant Goats posted:

What a 1.9-million dollar house in Vancouver might look like: http://beta.realtor.ca/propertyDetails.aspx?PropertyId=14228387

I enjoy showing stuff like this to friends of mine from SF and NYC. They think Vancouverites are loving bonkers (and they're right).

(ps: Love the '888' in the pricing. I get that superstition/numerology features in some Asian cultures, but gently caress - they're not stupid. This is so shamefully, embarassingly, transparent)

Kalenn Istarion
Nov 2, 2012

Maybe Senpai will finally notice me now that I've dropped :fivebux: on this snazzy av
In case you missed it, Flaherty passed away yesterday. Whatever else you think about the conservatives, it seems that they have mostly been measured and careful in their fiscal policy and I hope that whoever comes in behind him can carry the torch.

JawKnee
Mar 24, 2007





You'll take the ride to leave this town along that yellow line

Throatwarbler posted:

Not knowing anything else about it, what kind of qualifications/previous merit does she possess that offsets her being a corrupt scumbag?

Do you have some information that points to her being a corrupt scumbag? Do you think she's lying about her ex-husband misleading her about how the vacations were being paid for?

Because the article at least says that she's repaid the expenses herself, despite not knowing about them.

EoRaptor
Sep 13, 2003

by Fluffdaddy

Kalenn Istarion posted:

In case you missed it, Flaherty passed away yesterday. Whatever else you think about the conservatives, it seems that they have mostly been measured and careful in their fiscal policy and I hope that whoever comes in behind him can carry the torch.

Bullshit. They've rampaged through the years cutting taxes on the wealthy, slashing social programs, selling assets to pay for spending shortfalls, cutting programs that measure the impact of government/regulation on the country, ignoring new revenue streams, spending tax dollars on pet projects overseas and trying to cover it all up, changing disclosure and transparency laws to hide their malfeasance.

The sooner the association of 'conservative = fiscally responsible' dies the better. Budgetary prudence has essentially nothing to do with party.

Kalenn Istarion
Nov 2, 2012

Maybe Senpai will finally notice me now that I've dropped :fivebux: on this snazzy av

EoRaptor posted:

Bullshit. They've rampaged through the years cutting taxes on the wealthy, slashing social programs, selling assets to pay for spending shortfalls, cutting programs that measure the impact of government/regulation on the country, ignoring new revenue streams, spending tax dollars on pet projects overseas and trying to cover it all up, changing disclosure and transparency laws to hide their malfeasance.

The sooner the association of 'conservative = fiscally responsible' dies the better. Budgetary prudence has essentially nothing to do with party.

I guess you didn't really read my post - I wasn't equating conservatives generally with fiscal prudence, but saying the policies enacted had been decent during his tenure, irrespective of politics.

Depending on your philosophical bent you could argue there were different approaches or more could have been done but I don't personally have the feeling that there was a gross mishandling of the country's fiscal policy, which was in spite of my own personal leanings politically. I also thought the previous liberal government did a good job.

Pertinent to the housing bubble bread, he had increased oversight on CMHC, tightened mortgage rules generally, and was willing to spend when the economy was on the gutter to support construction and other infrastructure jobs.

The rest of the policy argument probably doesn't belong here.

E: we've had over 15 years of fairly stable federal fiscal policy, regardless of who was in the chair and I would say that's a big improvement over what we had previously.

Also, I had forgotten that he had just recently retired so we already know who his successor is. It still remains to be seen whether they can be relatively level-headed or will return to the heavily partisan poo poo-show of the 90s.

Kalenn Istarion fucked around with this message at 19:46 on Apr 11, 2014

Whiskey Sours
Jan 25, 2014

Weather proof.

Kalenn Istarion posted:

tightened mortgage rules generally

In 2006 his government allowed the CMHC to insure 40 year, no money down mortgages. Since then they tightened mortgage rules, but it's ridiculous to say that he "generally tightened mortgage rules."

Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.

Whiskey Sours posted:

In 2006 his government allowed the CMHC to insure 40 year, no money down mortgages. Since then they tightened mortgage rules, but it's ridiculous to say that he "generally tightened mortgage rules."

Yeah, no kidding. He reversed this major gently caress-up, and instituted a few other panicked policies (CMHC $1M cap, etc) that strike me as largely 'close the barn door' efforts.

Kafka Esq.
Jan 1, 2005

"If you ever even think about calling me anything but 'The Crab' I will go so fucking crab on your ass you won't even see what crab'd your crab" -The Crab(TM)

Kalenn Istarion posted:

was willing to spend when the economy was on the gutter to support construction and other infrastructure jobs.
Willing to be dragged kicking and screaming into it by the threat of losing power to a coalition.

edit: vvv you shouldn't make jokes like that.

Kafka Esq. fucked around with this message at 20:09 on Apr 11, 2014

Baronjutter
Dec 31, 2007
Probation
Can't post for 28 minutes!
I like the conservatives because they didn't send us to Iraq and pulled us out of afganistan.

Rick Rickshaw
Feb 21, 2007

I am not disappointed I lost the PGA Championship. Nope, I am not.

Baronjutter posted:

I like the conservatives because they didn't send us to Iraq and pulled us out of afganistan.

You know it was the Liberals who made the initial decision in 2002-2003 to not send us to Iraq, right?

The way Harper seems to have a perceived hard-on for the US, I can't say he'd have made the same decision. In fact, it appears he opposed our lack of involvement.

Whether that was simply a game of contradictory politics is anyone's guess.

Rick Rickshaw fucked around with this message at 20:35 on Apr 11, 2014

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Kalenn Istarion posted:

I guess you didn't really read my post - I wasn't equating conservatives generally with fiscal prudence, but saying the policies enacted had been decent during his tenure, irrespective of politics.

Depending on your philosophical bent you could argue there were different approaches or more could have been done but I don't personally have the feeling that there was a gross mishandling of the country's fiscal policy, which was in spite of my own personal leanings politically. I also thought the previous liberal government did a good job.

Pertinent to the housing bubble bread, he had increased oversight on CMHC, tightened mortgage rules generally, and was willing to spend when the economy was on the gutter to support construction and other infrastructure jobs.

The rest of the policy argument probably doesn't belong here.

E: we've had over 15 years of fairly stable federal fiscal policy, regardless of who was in the chair and I would say that's a big improvement over what we had previously.

Also, I had forgotten that he had just recently retired so we already know who his successor is. It still remains to be seen whether they can be relatively level-headed or will return to the heavily partisan poo poo-show of the 90s.

No.

warning: Garth Turner link.

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN

Lexicon posted:

Yeah, no kidding. He reversed this major gently caress-up, and instituted a few other panicked policies (CMHC $1M cap, etc) that strike me as largely 'close the barn door' efforts.

Flaherty is a large part of the reason this cost 1.9 Million dollars in Vancouver now. His response to the GFC played no small part in what has kept this gas bag inflated for longer than it would have on it's own.

He is much luckier than I in that he will not have to live through the coming train wreck that will result from his policies. He doesn't deserve a parade.

Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.

ocrumsprug posted:

Flaherty is a large part of the reason this cost 1.9 Million dollars in Vancouver now. His response to the GFC played no small part in what has kept this gas bag inflated for longer than it would have on it's own.

He is much luckier than I in that he will not have to live through the coming train wreck that will result from his policies. He doesn't deserve a parade.

I actually think you can blame the inflation in just about every segment of housing on him, except this. No typical working-Vancouverite is paying $1.9M for that, who wouldn't otherwise have been able to in the absence of the worst foibles of the CMHC etc. That's global mobile capital poo poo right there (no, I'm not specifically blaming Asians).

The Burnaby shitbox condos that go for $400k, the tiny cap-rate 'revenue properties', the people falling over themselves to overpay for Toronto duplexes (right up to the CMHC boundary, I might add): now that's Flaherty right there.

blah_blah
Apr 15, 2006

ocrumsprug posted:

He is much luckier than I in that he will not have to live through the coming train wreck that will result from his policies. He doesn't deserve a parade.

Oh, come on. He certainly wasn't 'lucky' to die of a massive heart attack.

Kalenn Istarion
Nov 2, 2012

Maybe Senpai will finally notice me now that I've dropped :fivebux: on this snazzy av
There are so many reasons why I don't think the above is true, but ultimately I don't care enough to write a long post about it. I'll end my contribution to the topic by simply saying it could have been a hell of a lot worse. There are no easy choices in a lovely economy.

Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.

Kalenn Istarion posted:

There are so many reasons why I don't think the above is true, but ultimately I don't care enough to write a long post about it. I'll end my contribution to the topic by simply saying it could have been a hell of a lot worse. There are no easy choices in a lovely economy.

If you end up summoning the energy, it would be a welcome read.

Kalenn Istarion
Nov 2, 2012

Maybe Senpai will finally notice me now that I've dropped :fivebux: on this snazzy av
Unlikely to happen. I'm apolitic in general and tend to vote the party with the least shitheaded policies with a bias so social programs rather than fiscal. This has led me to vote liberal more often than not for reasons I won't elaborate here. I have no desire to position myself as defending conservative ideals in general and I have a strong sense that defending the fiscal policy stuff in specific would be pissing into the wind here. The blog above which was purported to refute my points actually came off at the end with grudging respect and an acknowledgement that 'F' did the right thing on a number of policies which isn't too far off what I think.

Said a different way, I struggle to imagine anyone who could have done a better job. Not because Flaherty was a shining example of brilliance but because the odds of any politician being less shitheaded are pretty low.

ocrumsprug
Sep 23, 2010

by LITERALLY AN ADMIN
Oh certainly rolling back the changes that they originally implemented that turned out terribly isn't much of an indictment. They did however roll those policies out in the first place. There is also some weight to what you say about whether someone else at the helm would have made a better decision due to lack of options in 2008-2009.

However they had been in power implementing terrible ideas for three years at that point.

ocrumsprug fucked around with this message at 01:37 on Apr 12, 2014

Wasting
Apr 25, 2013

The next to go
It's still ridiculous to praise someone for rolling back the very changes he enacted, years after the policy created a damaging misallocation in the market.

I actually thought he was joking, but apparently when this all blows up it will be the current government's fault and no one else's.

Lexicon
Jul 29, 2003

I had a beer with Stephen Harper once and now I like him.
Scary: http://www.macleans.ca/economy/realestateeconomy/11-charts-about-the-housing-market/

namaste friends
Sep 18, 2004

by Smythe
I loving *love* the mortgage renewal gap chart.

etalian
Mar 20, 2006


lol

tagesschau
Sep 1, 2006
Guten Abend, meine Damen und Herren.

Lexicon posted:

No typical working-Vancouverite is paying $1.9M for that, who wouldn't otherwise have been able to in the absence of the worst foibles of the CMHC etc. That's global mobile capital poo poo right there

Well, I'm sure the seller wishes that were the case, but it's a mediocre 65-year-old home that isn't actually near any amenities and is about as far from a main drag as you can possibly get. It's not like we're talking about arguably valuable downtown real estate—it's a forgettable property in the suburbs that you can drop a McMansion onto and not much more.

beepo
Oct 8, 2000
Forum Veteran

tagesschau posted:

Well, I'm sure the seller wishes that were the case, but it's a mediocre 65-year-old home that isn't actually near any amenities and is about as far from a main drag as you can possibly get. It's not like we're talking about arguably valuable downtown real estate—it's a forgettable property in the suburbs that you can drop a McMansion onto and not much more.

That place is a decent plot of land a few blocks from Oakridge centre which is getting $1.5billion redevelopment. That price is all location and hope that a developer will pay top dollar for the land.

While still ungodly expensive, a 5 minute drive away will get you a brand new 6 bedroom for 1.24Million.

Pixelboy
Sep 13, 2005

Now, I know what you're thinking...

What policy changed in 2010?

Professor Shark
May 22, 2012

Pixelboy posted:

What policy changed in 2010?

I'm wondering that myself- that's a huge jump in the chart over two years

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Rutibex
Sep 9, 2001

by Fluffdaddy

ocrumsprug posted:

He is much luckier than I in that he will not have to live through the coming train wreck that will result from his policies. He doesn't deserve a parade.

He was a millionaire; lets be honest he was never going to have to live with the consequences of his policies.

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