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If you look at demographic breakdowns in many of these close races, men are voting for Republicans by double digits, and women are voting for Democrats by double digits.
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Oct 31, 2014 00:01
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FlamingLiberal posted:If you look at demographic breakdowns in many of these close races, men are voting for Republicans by double digits, and women are voting for Democrats by double digits. Yup. The latest QU poll had the Republican in Colorado for senate up 22 points among men. In Connecticut the Republican and Democratic candidates for governor have in the last 2 QU polls each had a 17 point lead among men and women respectively.
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Oct 31, 2014 00:30
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Three ballot questions could basically end abortionsquote:
quote:Meanwhile, voters in North Dakota and Colorado are considering fetal personhood measures, which would grant legal personhood rights to zygotes from the moment of fertilization. In addition to completely banning abortion without exceptions, the measures could ban some forms of birth control that anti-abortion activists claim work by preventing a fertilized egg from implanting into the uterus.
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Oct 31, 2014 00:36
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Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:Three ballot questions could basically end abortions The Nullification Crisis of 2014
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Oct 31, 2014 00:39
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I would hope if any of those pass they are immediately stayed by a judge
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Oct 31, 2014 00:40
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FlamingLiberal posted:I would hope if any of those pass they are immediately stayed by a judge That's the idea. Then it becomes a 5-4 decision to uphold the amendments in a couple years.
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Oct 31, 2014 00:58
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Wait, how many states can amend their constitutions with a ballot measure?
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Oct 31, 2014 01:05
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FlamingLiberal posted:I would hope if any of those pass they are immediately stayed by a judge There's nothing to stay because they wouldn't create any substantive law. 90% of what the media says about them is GOTV propaganda on both sides. e: Except the Colorado one but it won't pass. Kiwi Ghost Chips fucked around with this message at 01:10 on Oct 31, 2014 |
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Oct 31, 2014 01:08
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SedanChair posted:Wait, how many states can amend their constitutions with a ballot measure? Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Florida Illinois Massachusetts Michigan Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon South Dakota Edit: that's without legislative involvement.
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Oct 31, 2014 01:08
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As a Tennesseean, I REALLY doubt that Amendment 1 passes, but I've been wrong before. The last few weeks have had some major groups come out in opposition of the amendment, such as lots of church groups and members of the clergy. I read a poll back a long time ago that had nearly 60-70% of those polled in opposition to amendment 1, but that could have changed of course.
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Oct 31, 2014 01:09
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I voted a few days ago here in Colorado and voted for Udall. No on person hood, yes on expanded gambling to finance school funding, yes on GMO labeling. Its really disheartening to see Gardner taking a lead in this state, I'm flabbergasted that he will probably win based on polling. Coloradans apparently have the same mental capacity as the rest of America for remembering how badly republicans hosed us over and have done everything they can to gently caress us over harder since. God I hate my fellow countrymen. 
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Oct 31, 2014 01:10
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Well Obama's speech was freaking awesome to witness (Let hope reign, not fear). As was Michaud's, Bellows', Pingree's, etc. I honestly think Michaud can win now.
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Oct 31, 2014 02:15
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What worries me for Durbin's future is that downstate models have Quinn and Rauner tied. I'm unsure that transitions into a Quinn-Oberweis tie.
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Oct 31, 2014 02:17
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Grouchio posted:Well Obama's speech was freaking awesome to witness (Let hope reign, not fear). As was Michaud's, Bellows', Pingree's, etc. Nobody will ever win We're all loving doomed.
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Oct 31, 2014 02:27
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England Sucks posted:Nobody will ever win Death is certain?
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Oct 31, 2014 03:04
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Dear alcohol, please help me forget that I'm going to be living the rest of my life through a great historical downswing and degradation. In return, I offer my liver. Picked up a special bottle of bourbon just for Tuesday! My only hope is that Hickenlooper squeaks by, as a GOP governor getting elected would probably send a chill down the spine of the industry that I just moved here to join. Zeno-25 fucked around with this message at 03:21 on Oct 31, 2014 |
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Oct 31, 2014 03:14
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My Imaginary GF posted:What worries me for Durbin's future is that downstate models have Quinn and Rauner tied. I'm unsure that transitions into a Quinn-Oberweis tie. Durbin's done better than Quinn in polling throughout this cycle, and has also had way-better approval ratings. And if downstate's showing a tie between Quinn/Rauner, I'd think that's good news for Dems. sidenote: I just saw an ad for Mel Thillens for state rep and did a doubletake because of his resemblance to John Goodman. 
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Oct 31, 2014 03:18
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Grouchio posted:Well Obama's speech was freaking awesome to witness (Let hope reign, not fear). As was Michaud's, Bellows', Pingree's, etc. I saw a couple people who were really pissed about the traffic and said they were no longer voting for him, haha. Not enough that it's going to make a bit of difference, but enough to reinforce to me how dumb voters are  Also, Cutler is no longer going to be running TV ads after tomorrow, and his campaign is continuing on its downward trajectory.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:25
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Today in Bqhatevwr, Scott Brown got a geography lesson on the location of counties in his newly adopted state. Unrelated, but I do find it odd that so many of you can drink while being too young to remember the Bush years.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:27
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Sten Freak posted:The difference is informed pro-gun voters might vote either way or abstain if Democratic politicians don't get involved with gun control. When they act so do the voters. All the gun stores around here (CO) have pro gun candidate signs in front of them. Gun people are extremely motivated to vote this election. It cannot be over emphasized. In short regardless of NRA endorsement in the past CO has had D state majorities, governor and D representatives in E: the senate. Much or all of that is likely to be reversed. I voted for Obama, Sen Casey(D) and Toomey(R) I will vote against both of them in 2016 and 2018, because gently caress YOU, YOU TRIED TO gently caress WITH MY GUNS AND I DON'T FORGET. I vote for Democrats for better quality of life laws, paid maternity leave, unions, increase minimum wage etc.. I vote for Republicans because Democrats can't shut the gently caress up about loving with my hobby. Their stance on Illegal immigration sucks also.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:29
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They sure did gently caress with the guns hard. Why it's exactly as easy for me to buy one today as it was 6 years ago. Single issue voters are the worst, and democracy everywhere would be better off if they all finally started taking their meds.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:36
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Where the gently caress are all these gunposters coming from? What kind of household raises single issue voters?
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Oct 31, 2014 03:39
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DACK FAYDEN posted:Where the gently caress are all these gunposters coming from? What kind of household raises single issue voters? The vast majority.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:40
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Zeno-25 posted:Dear alcohol, please help me forget that I'm going to be living the rest of my life through a great historical downswing and degradation. In return, I offer my liver. Hehp, who do you supply? I'll patronize them next time 
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Oct 31, 2014 03:40
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quote:New Quinnipiac poll shows Gardner 46%, Udall 39% in CO SEN e: Goddam surfing this forum in November is going to be glorious. 
DeusExMachinima fucked around with this message at 03:44 on Oct 31, 2014 |
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Oct 31, 2014 03:41
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This poster loves police brutality, but only when its against minorities!
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I live in SC now so I really haven't had much of a reason to keep up with the midterms. My impression is based on Nates numbers that the Republicans will probably get the majority but I don't have to worry about them having enough to beat a Veto or Filibuster. Still going to vote on the 4th not that it matters.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:43
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The people who obviously don't even know what the hell they are talking about ("Durbin gonna lose?" guy, etc.) are even better. Still I bet this place was a riot after 2004, especially from the Europeans who went to bed to exit polling that indicated a Kerry win only to open up to 4 more years of Bush.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:45
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Meanwhile PPP has them tied at 48% and the Denver Post has Gardner +2. I'm skeptical that the Q poll's showing of 7% for the independent candidate will hold. Third party candidates always poll better than they get on election day.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:46
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Nate's midterm predictions in 2010 were pretty accurate right? edit: lol posting in D&D with this stupid avatar.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:47
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DACK FAYDEN posted:Where the gently caress are all these gunposters coming from? What kind of household raises single issue voters? My parents raised me on "people vote their pocketbook, we always vote for the party we think will make the economy do better." So, they've been nearly straight-ticket (D) voters their whole lives.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:48
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Going to be honest the main reason why I vote is for healthcare.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:50
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Sephiroth_IRA posted:Nate's midterm predictions in 2010 were pretty accurate right?  No, they were wildly off, though to be fair to him nobody predicted 2010 would be as bad for the Democrats as it turned out to be.Midterm polling is notoriously flaky and you should not be surprised to see these races break the way you aren't expecting - in both directions.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:50
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DACK FAYDEN posted:Where the gently caress are all these gunposters coming from? What kind of household raises single issue voters? Well, there's always lots of people who don't give a poo poo about anything political and never vote. I suppose single-issue voters are mostly just like them, except there's one thing they happen to care about.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:53
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Joementum posted:
They weren't way off, some other predictors had better house forecasts (some worse) and his senate forecast was reasonably accurate.
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Oct 31, 2014 03:55
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WS6 97 posted:Toomey(R) You mean the Manchin-Toomey amendment that was going to expand background checks? Why was this going to interfere with your guns, are you a violent felon or severely mentally ill? Sorry, but I don't think your hobby needs matter here. FuriousxGeorge fucked around with this message at 04:02 on Oct 31, 2014 |
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Oct 31, 2014 03:57
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FuriousxGeorge posted:violent felon Nice whitewashing of our criminal criminal justice system 
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Oct 31, 2014 03:58
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WS6 97 posted:I vote for Democrats for better quality of life laws, paid maternity leave, unions, increase minimum wage etc.. 
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Oct 31, 2014 03:58
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It's a slippery slope you hoplophobe!  
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Oct 31, 2014 03:59
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I'm apathetic on guns, except when there's a mass shooting, or when some gun dork won't shut the gently caress up about the non-existent War On Guns. I hope those people lose them all.
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Oct 31, 2014 04:00
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Lycus posted:Well, there's always lots of people who don't give a poo poo about anything political and never vote. I suppose single-issue voters are mostly just like them, except there's one thing they happen to care about. And I guess at this point I'm a single-issue voter with that issue being "gently caress one side forever" so I haven't got much room to talk.
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Oct 31, 2014 04:03
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