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Chef Boyardeez Nuts posted:If A.J. Brown and George Kittle can't muster 10 points between them I will quit fantasy and walk into the sea This is going to happen at this rate too ![]()
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# ? Jun 15, 2024 08:42 |
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Looks like Mostert wont be getting many points tonight lol
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https://x.com/mikegarafolo/status/1716264392617030087?s=46&t=OK6AvWM-NBtlIQDYnQH66w Welp
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ESPN quit loving with me I do not have a 35% chance of winning beer league this week down 20 with just Goedert and injured McCaffrey left to go.
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Quiet Feet posted:ESPN quit loving with me I do not have a 35% chance of winning beer league this week down 20 with just Goedert and injured McCaffrey left to go. The percentages are the hugest troll ever and very obviously just based on "how close is each remaining player to their initial projection". Last week when I needed one FG from Aubrey to take the lead, my opponent showed 99% to win for a good while. Aubrey made the FG and I won with my "1% chance", get owned ![]() I've also lost many a week where I was > 90% to win going into the final game. Because it turns out it's loving impossible to consistently and reliably project fantasy points But also depending on your scoring system Goedert may have gotten you 95% of the way there
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One big thing I’ve noticed is that the projections seem to be based largely on the players performance against that team in the past without regard to things like OL, overall team performance, team health, opponent health, etc. I won’t claim to know how the sausage is made, but I will claim that they probably need to take more than player variables and statistics into account (or make it account for a larger share)
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Case in point: waddle consistently has better projections than Flowers, even though Flowers has had 7 weeks of games to show that he 1) regularly overperforms projections 2) regularly has more targets than waddle 3) regularly scores more than waddle
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FAT32 SHAMER posted:Case in point: waddle consistently has better projections than Flowers, even though Flowers has had 7 weeks of games to show that he 1) regularly overperforms projections 2) regularly has more targets than waddle 3) regularly scores more than waddle Yeah point projections are poo poo and you should give them about as much weight as your draft grade
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If Mattison outscores Addison, I win! 5 seconds into MNF: hmm well nevertheless
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Well poo poo. Thankfully it doesn't matter for this week's matchup but getting cute and benching Addison in case CMC didn't play really bit me in the rear end.
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I needed 4 points from Jake Moody tonight to win and was terrified I wasn't going to get it, I think watching when a kicker is your last player is the least enjoyable way to watch the final game
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Yeah I think I’m dropping Moody for Myers lol He’s only good for PATs
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Dango Bango posted:Well poo poo. Thankfully it doesn't matter for this week's matchup but getting cute and benching Addison in case CMC didn't play really bit me in the rear end. I take this back - had I started Addison I'd be within striking distance with CMC and Kirk still playing ![]()
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Fentry posted:I needed 4 points from Jake Moody tonight to win and was terrified I wasn't going to get it, I think watching when a kicker is your last player is the least enjoyable way to watch the final game I had Osborn +70 pts or so against his McCaffrey, Kittle, Hockenson, and Cousins. I won by one point, and my blood pressure is destroying my body
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Would be cool if any of these end zone opportunities for Kincaid worked out
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HOLY poo poo RACHAAD WHITE HAD A RUN FOR MORE THAN 4 YAR- oh Holding
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Had to start Godwin cause I had no choice, glad he's finally having a good game.
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coronaball posted:
Congrats, week salvaged.
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Little worried the Titans aren't gonna give Henry a full workload so he doesn't get hurt before trading him but what are you gonna do ![]() (I know they told him they aren't but they can't just say "we're waiting for a day 1 draft pick" out loud)
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Pats just suddenly not playing like poo poo is gonna make fantasy weird.
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Maybe time to think K. Bourne is a legit flex play/WR3?
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I am very tired of Chris Olave not scoring positive points, Carr sucks so much rear end E: TD to Kamara cool cool
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Glad the Dallas D is on my bench. Anyone have the Falcons game on? How is Bijan looking? I see he's only got two carries so far through the first, is he at least getting snaps?
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My bench of guys I'd never start is going off
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Lamb is feasting ![]()
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After playing 6 different TEs this year I finally have my first TD and score over 5 points from a TE, god bless you Taysom Hill even if you aren't really a TE
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WampaLord posted:Lamb is feasting I was worried because my opponent has him. But he's starting Aiyuk over him. Still half a game to play, but Tony P and Bijan might still sink me if they can't find the end zone or start catching passes.
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Feels like everyone I'm playing against is starting random borderline waiver wire guys that are all getting TDs. And my teams starters are getting TDs vultured by random nobodies. Good week for 4th string wrs and backup TEs I guess! E: it is incredible how predictable it is that whenever I'm projected as like a 60% favorite to win, my teams always poo poo the bed. It never fails. Quiet Feet fucked around with this message at 19:32 on Oct 29, 2023 |
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Lol Cowboys are up like 30 and Pollard has 17 yards 🙃
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Bellmaker posted:Lol Cowboys are up like 30 and Pollard has 17 yards 🙃 He was such a stud the first couple of games too ![]()
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I feel like I outsmarted myself benching Hopkins.
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Pain of Mind posted:I feel like I outsmarted myself benching Hopkins.
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Yeah its definitely in stop checking scores time now. Man, gently caress me.
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Dammit that Swift fake Tush Push hurts
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Varg posted:He's always been on my bench behind Tyreek, Pittman, Kirk & Meyers.. now I'm gonna be swayed to start him and he'll go back to doing nothing Yeah I guess if he has a second good week I could change my mind but it's gonna take more than one random rear end blowup game to convince me Will Levis can play in the NFL. Bagent looked competent in his first game and then uh yeah. Eaten alive by the Chargers D lol
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lovely low scoring slog is really not what I need here. ![]()
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Yeah I need LaPorta and Sun God to get me 15 points and this ain’t off to a good start
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It is absolutely incredible how useless the Raiders have rendered Davante. Josh McDaniels should be thrown into a volcano.
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# ? Jun 15, 2024 08:42 |
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I sat Jacobs expecting the Lions to eat him alive Gfdi
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