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RIP Irma never forget  Webcam Collection for the Keys: https://zeryl.github.io/irma.html Webcams Miami Beach: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqrCZuW2Rjo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqrCZuW2Rjo Coral Gables: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zvH_UNbZywk Key West: http://southernmostpointwebcam.com/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hGD1byu7gJc https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TYEXQdUFha8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PbAh78NvJZk Tampa: https://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/miamiandthebeaches/?cam=tampaskan Model Runs https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ GOES-16 Satellite http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-10 http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate....&s=rammb-slider HAM Operator VOIPNet https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=johyPQoQwKI (Info: http://www.voipwx.net/) Notorious R.I.M. fucked around with this message at 01:23 on Sep 11, 2017 |
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Aug 24, 2017 22:53
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Here is the latest model run from GFS showing a trend toward landfall and then a complete stall:
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Aug 24, 2017 22:58
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i blame Danny fetonte of the DSA
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Aug 24, 2017 23:00
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That region goes underwater with modest sea rise anyway, this is good foreshadowing do you remember when Hurricane Katrina broke the Bush administration
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Aug 25, 2017 01:22
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I read that areas at landfall are expecting some 2-4 feet of rain over the course of the weekend it's hard to imagine the scale of that much water falling from the sky everything's bigger in texas
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Aug 25, 2017 01:36
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Nebakenezzer posted:That region goes underwater with modest sea rise anyway, this is good foreshadowing The flooding from this is going to be loving insane and I don't think media is properly playing up the threat. People are mostly concerned about wind speeds and storm surge not the historic amounts of rain they are about to see. GOES-16 has been showing some nice convection going off on the W side for a while. I'll be curious to see how much it strengthens throughout the night: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-13-24-1
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Aug 25, 2017 01:51
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Wrenever posted:I read that areas at landfall are expecting some 2-4 feet of rain over the course of the weekend Here's some hurricane porn for you https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Mitch quote:Due to its slow motion from October 29 to November 3, Hurricane Mitch dropped historic amounts of rainfall in Honduras, Guatemala, and Nicaragua, with unofficial reports of up to 75 inches (1,900 mm). Deaths due to catastrophic flooding made it the second deadliest Atlantic hurricane in history after the Great Hurricane of 1780; nearly 11,000 people were killed with over 11,000 left missing by the end of 1998. Additionally, roughly 2.7 million were left homeless as a result of the hurricane. The flooding caused extreme damage, estimated at over $6 billion (1998 USD). This is the kind of setup we'd be talking about (although probably not quite as bad) if Harvey just set up a bit north of Corpus Christi and stalled out for a while or meandered along the gulf.
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Aug 25, 2017 01:53
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eye is in range of Brownsville NEXRAD
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Aug 25, 2017 01:53
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Areas in LA are already calling for mandatory evacuations http://www.katc.com/story/36213880/mandatory-evacuation-issued-for-some-parts-of-cameron-parish This will become the new normal as sea level rise inundates coastal Louisiana. Even threats of cyclones require evacuation.
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Aug 25, 2017 02:04
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oh my loving god if this verifies tomorrow it's time for all of my family in Houston to just pack the gently caress up and leave https://twitter.com/GCarbin/status/900887170440941568
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Aug 25, 2017 02:15
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i drove some business people to the airport today to fly back to one of those texas cities. rushed through tons of traffic just in time for them to get massively and brutally owned by the hurricane. godspeed harvey rip
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Aug 25, 2017 02:32
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are there any simulations of the actual flooding it's going to cause, similar to the sea levels rise things that are out there?
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Aug 25, 2017 02:33
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VectorSigma posted:eye is in range of Brownsville NEXRAD TRUMP gently caress that eye looks big
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Aug 25, 2017 02:38
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triple sulk posted:are there any simulations of the actual flooding it's going to cause, similar to the sea levels rise things that are out there? NOAA provides storm surge inundation graphs. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/212153.shtml?inundation#contents One problem with landfall is that it's currently expected near high tide. I'm not sure of any products that provide freshwater flooding risk assessments from tropical cyclones. I'd be very interested in them because I have family in some of the zones of Houston that are modeled to get severe flooding.
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Aug 25, 2017 02:44
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I hope the entire NJ Congressional delegation votes against giving them aid op
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Aug 25, 2017 02:49
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triple sulk posted:are there any simulations of the actual flooding it's going to cause, similar to the sea levels rise things that are out there? I imagine it's really hard to accurately model flooding. It's so dependent on stuff like how saturated the ground is, amount of pavement, and especially the state of the drainage system. A neighborhood could be completely fine, or it could flood because somebody shoved some yard waste down the sewer.
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Aug 25, 2017 03:08
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mesoscale minute-resolution satellite imagery of Harvey has been beautiful over the past hour. You can easily see the northern portion of the eyewall closing up while rapid intensification begins: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1. This is looking more like a cat4 landfall now. How it does through diurnal minimum tonight will be extremely telling of landfall strength.
Notorious R.I.M. fucked around with this message at 04:10 on Aug 25, 2017 |
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Aug 25, 2017 04:06
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That's really cool. I've always thought of hurricanes like a whirlpool, pulling everything towards the centre through the spiral; but it looks as though the clouds/air are traveling in a counterintuitive direction to the rotation on the outer edges
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Aug 25, 2017 04:17
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Lawman 0 posted:I hope the entire NJ Congressional delegation votes against giving them aid op Thanks for reminding me.
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Aug 25, 2017 04:37
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00z GFS run is out, shows landfall on Corpus Christi with a stall and then returns to the gulf. All of the Texas Gulf into LA should be on standby to get drenched over the next week and a half. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=eus&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2017082500&fh=24&xpos=0&ypos=125 
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Aug 25, 2017 05:09
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:00z GFS run is out, shows landfall on Corpus Christi with a stall and then returns to the gulf. All of the Texas Gulf into LA should be on standby to get drenched over the next week and a half. yea that's a fuckin rough model, Corpus gets pounded into wet sand and all of us on the coast get Eternal Rain
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Aug 25, 2017 05:16
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ha ha ha ha ha i am glad this is happening the weekend i fly to china and flee this godforsaken country. ha ha ha
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Aug 25, 2017 05:27
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R. Guyovich posted:ha ha ha ha ha i am glad this is happening the weekend i fly to china and flee this godforsaken country. ha ha ha I'd take 10 inches of rain over bejing smog.
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Aug 25, 2017 05:39
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Wrenever posted:That's really cool. I've always thought of hurricanes like a whirlpool, pulling everything towards the centre through the spiral; but it looks as though the clouds/air are traveling in a counterintuitive direction to the rotation on the outer edges yeah the lower part of the hurricane does spiral inward toward the central low pressure in counterclockwise motion (in northern hemisphere) but what you see on the infrared imagery is the cloud top which is the upper part of the hurricane, which actually flows out of the central high pressure in a weaker clockwise motion (again in northern hemisphere) what im trying to say is that hurricanes have really cool structure and essentially own
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Aug 25, 2017 05:40
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hail satan
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Aug 25, 2017 05:43
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Bip Roberts posted:I'd take 10 inches of rain over bejing smog. n95 masks mother fucker
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Aug 25, 2017 05:44
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I always wish one of these could make it to Dallas before falling apart but alas
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Aug 25, 2017 05:49
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pIYiGyXfHr4
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Aug 25, 2017 05:53
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Notorious R.I.M. posted:oh my loving god if this verifies tomorrow it's time for all of my family in Houston to just pack the gently caress up and leave loving rip
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Aug 25, 2017 05:57
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The Bay City nuclear power plant has a flood risk if an upstream dam fails btw: http://www.mysanantonio.com/business/article/Report-South-Texas-Project-faces-flood-risk-3965431.php
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Aug 25, 2017 06:10
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BrutalistMcDonalds posted:The Bay City nuclear power plant has a flood risk if an upstream dam fails btw: Hmmm, maybe we really are going to collapse like the USSR.
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Aug 25, 2017 06:13
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Crowsbeak posted:Hmmm, maybe we really are going to collapse like the USSR. No great loss
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Aug 25, 2017 06:24
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matagorda being turned in the american Zone seems fitting
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Aug 25, 2017 06:28
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@ op hope it curveballs east along the entire coast all the way down to key west and just obliterates everything. all of it, TRUMP!
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Aug 25, 2017 06:32
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Calibanibal posted:@ op hope it curveballs east along the entire coast all the way down to key west and just obliterates everything. all of it, TRUMP! I hope it bounces from coast to coast for the rest of time
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Aug 25, 2017 06:45
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BrutalistMcDonalds posted:hail satan we're gonna get like an inch it's gonna be great.
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Aug 25, 2017 06:49
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looks like it wants to get a double eyewall going
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Aug 25, 2017 06:59
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Realtalk I don't think Corpus or Brownsville or Houston have the same kind of poverty that's rampant in cities like New Orleans which is good because it means fewer people will be trapped in the path of the storm due to economics. This could be pretty bad for a lot of people though, Houston is like what the fourth or fifth most populous city in the country?
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Aug 25, 2017 07:03
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ScrubLeague posted:Realtalk I don't think Corpus or Brownsville or Houston have the same kind of poverty that's rampant in cities like New Orleans which is good because it means fewer people will be trapped in the path of the storm due to economics. This could be pretty bad for a lot of people though, Houston is like what the fourth or fifth most populous city in the country? the valley is one of the poorest parts of the US
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Aug 25, 2017 07:05
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Aug 25, 2017 07:07
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