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ToastedZergling posted:Right now I'm a bit over invested in my company's stock, due to going through 3 ESPP cycles w/o selling any shares. While I'm up a fair deal, I've been researching some other places I can put at least the 1st third. Investing a big portion of your assets in any single stock is a really bad idea. Much of the movement of any stock is essentially random noise; you're getting a lot more volatility, but unlike the small-cap and value premium, it's uncompensated. In other words, it's more likely you'll see significantly lower return in the long term compared to a similar index fund. Simple explanation Fuschia tude fucked around with this message at Feb 17, 2010 around 19:07 |
| # ¿ Feb 17, 2010 18:57 |
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| # ¿ May 22, 2013 20:56 |
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Baddog posted:Fuschia was wrong in stating that the expected return is lower from holding one stock versus a basket of similar stocks (I think probably over simplifying), but he's right in saying that you aren't being compensated for being more risky by investing in one vs a basket.
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| # ¿ Feb 18, 2010 00:29 |
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ayekappy posted:Calling a top today.
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| # ¿ Apr 22, 2010 21:54 |
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mcsuede posted:They already have their own set top box, they're in Xbox, Wii, and I believe soon PS3 (people still have those?) and have struck deals with TV manufacturers to be included by default in the firmware of TV sets. I've had the PS3 netflix disc for nearly 6 months.
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| # ¿ Jul 22, 2010 13:31 |
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Method Loser posted:That's why I've only picked two relatively stable stocks in 2 weeks.
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| # ¿ Jul 24, 2010 19:49 |
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Josh Lyman posted:Most people can't beat the S&P. A stock isn't people. 
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| # ¿ Oct 18, 2010 22:49 |
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Jack posted:The beginning of QE2 ladies and gentleman. Without it? Edit: Never mind  You're right, 19% of QQQQ is pretty significant.Double Edit: Wait, AMZN, not AAPL... What? That's just over 2%. I don't think it has such great growth prospects compared to higher proportion stocks in the index. 
Fuschia tude fucked around with this message at Oct 22, 2010 around 17:11 |
| # ¿ Oct 21, 2010 20:30 |
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Pudgygiant posted:It's horseshit that SIRI can report record earnings and Q3 subscribers, but just because one goddamn mongoloid analyst downgrades them from strong buy to buy it plummets Considering analyst recommendations become out of date immediately, why don't they issue target prices? "I like this stock between $80 and $120/share," say?
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| # ¿ Nov 12, 2010 01:16 |
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Arkane posted:Somebody on this forum recommended URRE a while back (it was at like 75 cents). Having never bought a stock below a buck and against my better judgment, I bought 1k shares and completely forgot about it. To my amazement, it's at like 2.60 at the moment. Whoever that person was, any updated opinions on it? Purely going by capitalization, that's a micro-cap stock, and it was a penny stock just a few months ago. I'd be real leery of a 666% run up in 4 months; that's massive volatility. If it had become any major proportion of my portfolio, I'd consider taking profits on most of it so I could still be exposed to potential upside (and as a good excuse to rebalance), but not be too vulnerable to a pullback.
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| # ¿ Nov 15, 2010 20:58 |
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Nifty posted:I don't understand.. it's only even been in that range since July. How do you feel confident its going to continue a pattern like this? A priori hoc, ergo post hoc.
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| # ¿ Nov 24, 2010 07:40 |
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Murgos posted:It doesn't really what else I have in my portfolio. My shares of F are pretty much swamping everything else, over the last two years they went from being ~20% of my portfolio to ~85%. Why not sell most of it now so you lock in the gains and still are exposed to some upside, but your portfolio isn't so ridiculously overweighted in it? Only holding (essentially) a single stock long-term is a really bad idea.
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| # ¿ Dec 3, 2010 00:25 |
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Free Gucci Mane posted:I'm sure people have already talked about it in this thread, but how much of an effect is the WikiLeaks leak likely to have on the banking industry? Is now a good time to get out of financial stocks, or will the markets not be too shocked by the fact that some big companies are not 100% ethical? I'm pretty sure the big financial meltdown happened in 2008. Most of those stocks are trading at near book value now.
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| # ¿ Jan 19, 2011 21:07 |
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ayekappy posted:he should be able to do that pretty easily if he learns to get out before major drops and get back in for cheaper.
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| # ¿ Jan 30, 2011 16:19 |
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pr0k posted:T Boone Pickens thinks the DYN deal is going to fall through. I think he knows more than I do. Well maybe. He just bought into NOV and I've ridden that pony up from $30. It is a pretty weird situation. They just had the last buyout fall through, and now Seneca Capital is playing the same role that Icahn was in the last attempt. I'm not sure why they're so obsessed with selling anyway, it seems pretty clear that this is just a temporary problem and if energy prices recover at all they'll quickly return to the health of a year or more ago. Icahn seems to be getting desperate to make this deal, they keep extending their tender offer again and again. I bought DYN in mid-July last year, which happened to turn out to be pretty fantastic timing. Side note, I wonder how often this sort of thing happens?
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| # ¿ Feb 15, 2011 17:23 |
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owDAWG posted:There has been a lot of excitement around offshore drilling this week, especially in the GoM. Rising oil prices, worries about the Middle East, the Louisiana courts, and a Republican House are putting a lot of pressure on BOEMRE to start issuing deep-water permits soon. Even BOEMRE itself issued a statement saying we should start seeing these permits in the next few weeks. Yeah, it's crazy, HERO is about to become my biggest non-ETF holding 
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| # ¿ Feb 26, 2011 06:47 |
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Pram posted:Yeah, that first chart is hilariously misleading. To be fair, ayekappy's chart only goes up to 2008.
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| # ¿ Apr 30, 2011 22:13 |
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Turkeybone posted:I haven't heard anything about zynga being run by shady motherfuckers, so no I don't think it would be like groupon. They certainly make compelling little games, its a matter of valuation I guess. Hmm yes besides this Zynga CEO Marc Pincus posted:I did every horrible thing in the book to, just to get revenues right away. I mean we gave our users poker chips if they downloaded this Zwinky toolbar which was like, I don't know, I downloaded it once and couldn’t get rid of it. *laughs* We did anything possible just to just get revenues so that we could grow and be a real business.
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| # ¿ Dec 10, 2011 12:12 |
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tehschulman posted:Can anyone here share their experiences using low-maintenance ETF investing sites like ING ShareBuilder and Betterment.com? ShareBuilder seems especially like the kind of investment product I'm looking for with its balance between letting you choose certain aspects of your trades and letting the site handle the rest of the work. Sharebuilder has been pretty great for me, I've used them for years. Only thing is that if you use their automatic investing (which is the only way to get the $2 cost/trade) you can only buy on Tuesdays, at a Sharebuilder-selected time. Otherwise real-time trades (such as all sales) are $10 each. But if you buy more often than you sell, and hold for the long term (years), that restriction is irrelevant, and they seem to work out cheaper for buying stocks than anyone else.
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| # ¿ Jan 10, 2012 11:34 |
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Tasty and Delicious posted:I'm not 100% sure about dividends but I think they will provide payouts. If you have 100.123 shares you want to sell, your tell your broker to sell 100 and they'll eventually compensate you for the remaining .123. You can't buy/sell fractional shares directly. ING/Sharebuilder lets me sell fractional shares. I can only sell all or none of my fractional shares, though; if I have 2.58 shares of something I can sell only 0.58, 1.00, 1.58, 2.00, or 2.58 shares of it. Plus, when I use their automated investment tool, I have to specify a dollar amount rather than a number of shares to buy, effectively allowing me to buy fractional shares as well.
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| # ¿ Feb 8, 2012 16:07 |
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Foma posted:Why are people attracted to AMD, what a loser of a company, they have negative quarters much more often then positive ones, put out a poo poo chip, and now are trying to pivot into a new market, after having to buy out of their contract with a spin off that has failed their new singular purpose (making chips). I bought Intel @ 14.70 which was a really good price, I don't think I would even buy Intel at this point. Yeah -- haven't their latest releases been so bad that they announced they were leaving the consumer market permanently?
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| # ¿ Mar 16, 2012 11:17 |
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COUNTIN THE BILLIES posted:I always tell people not to invest in an index but to invest in 6 or 7 great companies for the long-term. Do you not believe in specific risk?
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| # ¿ Apr 26, 2012 11:45 |
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Cheesemaster200 posted:That's the whole point. Risk is going to be inversely related to return. Lower profits from diversification equal lower risk. Uh, the most important feature of specific risk is that it is not a compensated risk. Lack of diversification increases your risk and the volatility of your returns without any commensurate increase in returns, unlike the size or growth effects. It's basically shooting yourself in the foot.
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| # ¿ Apr 29, 2012 13:35 |
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snowcrafta posted:Well if you like the company and you're thinking that a new release that's going to do better than analysts think, gamble away. I just bought more of ATVI because of Diablo iii, and remember that they have a lot of titles coming out this year (d3, Starcraft 2 expansion, new WoW expansion, and Black Ops 2), and all those titles look exceptionally good for sales. Huh? There's no guarantee they're releasing an expansion this year. The single-player was only half finished last June and they haven't even started a closed multiplayer beta yet.
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| # ¿ May 18, 2012 16:18 |
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Baddog posted:If nothing else, at least we all know now that the auditing companies are just charging for a rubber stamp. Even more useless than the rating agencies. I think all the Chinese ADR's had an 'audit' from one of the big four. Didn't we know that a decade ago thanks to Enron et. al.?
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| # ¿ May 31, 2012 12:27 |
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Smerdyakov posted:I also burned my house down and lost 90% of my portfolio before I sort of figured them out. Could elaborate on this? How did you manage to lose 90% of your portfolio -- or did you just mean 90% of tho value of your option holdings?
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| # ¿ Aug 14, 2012 11:33 |
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| # ¿ May 22, 2013 20:56 |
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COUNTIN THE BILLIES posted:Thought this was cool. From PragCap: Is that calculated peak to trough?
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| # ¿ Feb 14, 2013 16:36 |
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