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mr. nazi
Sep 25, 2004

Net contents 12 fluid oz.

Jut posted:

Well done at ignoring the points made and going for the "you're a big poopy head" response.

Then an equally good job at ignoring the situation in Libya and managing to compare it to Kosovo.

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Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


Update from Zliten:

quote:

Chris Stephen in Misrata says the mystery over whether Libya's pro-Gaddafi forces have abandoned Zlitan appears to have been solved – they attacked this morning, hitting the farms north of Zlitan and leaving five rebel fighters dead and 31 wounded, with casualties still coming in. The fighters are being hit hard by rockets but it is unclear who has the upper hand, Chris says. Zlitan's Fowater tribe has not agreed to let the rebels take control of the town.

Golbez
Oct 9, 2002

SHATNER SECRETS

Brown Moses posted:



You leave Peru alone!

Gazpacho
Jun 18, 2004

2 MEGA 2 FAIL

Plastic_Gargoyle posted:

Classic Chavez. "The world is out to get me because I'm such a good leader, and the same is happening to you brother Qaddafi!"
I guess this Classic Chavez you're talking about is someone other than Commandante Chavez who didn't say that stuff you quoted.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Namarrgon posted:

This is not Kosovo. And protecting civilians is essentially the same thing as removing Gaddafi and it has been so ever since Gaddafi opened fire on the protestors.

Well done for spotting that it's not Kosovo, you get a golden star; an F- for not being able to see the parallels between the two though.
It is possible to protect civilians without removing CQ.
Let's go back to Kosovo. You had Milo who was a mass murdering SOB, carrying out genocide in an area under his rule which didn't want to be ruled by him anymore, resulting in a NATO air war aimed with protecting civilians which for the most part they did (although there is room for criticising their bombing of state TV which killed innocents, and their failure to stop massacres by the KLA who turned out to be a nasty piece of work too). An international peace plan was put on the table, a ceasefire called, peacekeepers put on the ground and progress was made. Milo lost power a couple of years later.

And in Libya we have a mass murdering SOB, carrying out "genocide" in an area under his rule when doesn't want to be ruled by him anymore and a NATO campaign which has overstepped the "protecting civilians" aspect of the mission moving on to full blown regime change. No peace plan is on the table that doesn't have CQ leaving as part of the deal and NATO is supporting a group which are turning out to be unsavory themselves.

Why would a unconditional ceasefire followed by the deployment of UN peacekeepers be a bad idea?

quote:

Chris Stephen in Misrata says the mystery over whether Libya's pro-Gaddafi forces have abandoned Zlitan appears to have been solved – they attacked this morning, hitting the farms north of Zlitan and leaving five rebel fighters dead and 31 wounded, with casualties still coming in. The fighters are being hit hard by rockets but it is unclear who has the upper hand, Chris says. Zlitan's Fowater tribe has not agreed to let the rebels take control of the town.
With the Fowater tribe not letting rebels take control of the town can this really be called a liberation of Zlitan?
Chris may want to edit this from yesterday in light of the above
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/201...itan-raf-clears

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


If I was the Fowater tribe I'd want to make pretty sure that Gaddafi troops couldn't re-enter Zlitan if I agreed to side with the rebels, otherwise it would be a massive risk. Bit more on it from Al Jazeera:

quote:

Al Jazeera's Hoda Abdel Hamid has just been on with us from outside a hospital in Misrata which is dealing with the wounded from fighting in Zlitan between rebels and pro-government forces.

quote:

"[The hospital] is coping, [it's] very difficult, because there was a really [large] amount of wounded that have been coming here throughout the day. It is a little bit calmer now ... I spoke to some of the fighters who have just arrived from the front line. [...]

"Apparently, early this morning, when the fighters were off guard really, they admit to that, the Gaddafi forces, with tanks according to what they say, flanked them in a sort of a way to isolate them. And that's when they came under attack. They were taken by surprise, it was an all-out offensive according to several of the fighters I spoke to, along the entire line they had on the outskirts of Zlitan.

"At this particular moment I can't tell you how much they pulled back. Earlier, several fighters told me they had pulled back - the situation is still extremely fluid. It is also a time of the day where usually the fighting sort of slows down a bit because of the heat, and I think it's expected that in a couple of hours it will pick up again.

"It's so hard for several reasons. First of all, Zlitan is strategic. Not only for the opposition fighters but for the government forces as well. It is the last major urban area I would say before Tripoli, 150km away from Tripoli. And after that there are really small towns. So Gaddafi forces are there in big numbers. We are told that actually the 32nd Brigade of the Gaddafi forces are there, and that's a brigade that comes under direct control under one of [Muammar Gaddafi's] sons, Khamis.

"It is also very difficult for the opposition fighters for the very simple reaosn that they've been getting very mixed messages from the residents of Zlitan. Some of them clearly support Col Gaddafi, and have told the opposition fighters. Others have told them that if [they] come closer to Zlitan - the suburbs of Zlitan, which is where they had reached until this morning - then there are rebels inside Zlitan that will rise and help you. Well that did not happen. And so the fighters of Misrata are very reluctant to go into Zlitan more at this stage, because they could be perceived by many of the people inside that town as invading their town, and bringing the fight to their town. So unless they get an invitation, as they call it, from the tribes of Zlitan it's very difficult for them to go in."

Mr. Sunshine
May 15, 2008

Can anybody find me somebody to love rape and torture?


Now, to be fair to Jut, for NATO to aid the rebels in taking Gaddafi-loyal towns goes pretty far beyond "protecting civilians", and I can understand that someone would have a problem with that. There's also been verified reports of looting and other abuses by rebel soldiers, and no matter how much the NTC professes to adhere to human rights they might not have all that much control over the actual soldiers in the field. That should definitively be a concern for the western nations involved in this.

However, the line between "armed rebel" and "civilian" can be very blurry, and the situation is more complex than just "bomb people who might harm civilians".

Say NATO is bombing Gaddafi-loyal forces in a town that they use to launch attacks against a rebel-held city. If the rebels then advance on that town, should NATO then stop bombing the loyalist forces simply because they are now facing armed opponents - armed opponents who just previously were civilians to be protected? Should NATO maybe even start targeting the rebels instead? Sure, it would be easy to paint the world in black and white and say "Yes!", but from a tactical point of view it would be insane. If you're trying to neutralize, say, a rocket battery, why wouldn't you aid the guys on the ground trying to do the same thing?

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Interesting article, I guess the rebels are pretty much screwed without support from the Zlitan residents, and it seems that their lack of organisation screwed them again. It seems that CQ pretty much abandoned everything east of Brega and Zlitan, forming a road block in the cities instead. I wonder how significant the advances in the west are, and where CQ has put a road block for them.

As for Syria, not much seems to be happening with regards to the international response, not even a UNSCR condemning the actions of Assad. Do you think that NATO's response to the UNSCR has pretty much screwed any chance of getting a UNSCR passed on Syria?

News from Libya seems to have taken a back seat on the BBC. The last thing they have is from the Younes killing a few days ago, and other papers have cut their Libya coverage. Are the media losing interest in this conflict?

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


Now it's just a daily grind of fighting the media seems to have lost some interest, although most major organisations do have at least one reporter in Nafusa or Misrata.

Regarding Zlitan, it'll be interesting to see what the route from Zlitan to Al Khums is like, and whether or not it's been heavily mined like Brega.

Golbez
Oct 9, 2002

SHATNER SECRETS

Jut posted:

News from Libya seems to have taken a back seat on the BBC. The last thing they have is from the Younes killing a few days ago, and other papers have cut their Libya coverage. Are the media losing interest in this conflict?

The mass media always have the attention span of a 2 year old.

Edit: Except for Casey Anthony.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Mr. Sunshine posted:

Now, to be fair to Jut, for NATO to aid the rebels in taking Gaddafi-loyal towns goes pretty far beyond "protecting civilians", and I can understand that someone would have a problem with that. There's also been verified reports of looting and other abuses by rebel soldiers, and no matter how much the NTC professes to adhere to human rights they might not have all that much control over the actual soldiers in the field. That should definitively be a concern for the western nations involved in this.

However, the line between "armed rebel" and "civilian" can be very blurry, and the situation is more complex than just "bomb people who might harm civilians".

Say NATO is bombing Gaddafi-loyal forces in a town that they use to launch attacks against a rebel-held city. If the rebels then advance on that town, should NATO then stop bombing the loyalist forces simply because they are now facing armed opponents - armed opponents who just previously were civilians to be protected? Should NATO maybe even start targeting the rebels instead? Sure, it would be easy to paint the world in black and white and say "Yes!", but from a tactical point of view it would be insane. If you're trying to neutralize, say, a rocket battery, why wouldn't you aid the guys on the ground trying to do the same thing?

Thank you, my biggest concern is that there isn't a solid peace plan or post-CQ plan in place. The NTC are looking weaker than expected in terms of their influence over the rebels with reported infighting between groups, and I fear we could be looking at another post 2003 Iraq if CQ falls with nothing in place to pick up the pieces.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Brown Moses posted:

Now it's just a daily grind of fighting the media seems to have lost some interest, although most major organisations do have at least one reporter in Nafusa or Misrata.

Regarding Zlitan, it'll be interesting to see what the route from Zlitan to Al Khums is like, and whether or not it's been heavily mined like Brega.
I would have expected the Brega and Zlitan offensive and the prison break in Benghazi to get a bit more press time. There has been very little reported on Brega past the initial "rebels have captured Brega" reports.
But I guess Golbez is right, the media keeps on getting distracted by new shiny things, even the phone hacking story has died in the water.

Mines around Zlitan, I don't know...by the sounds of it, CQ forces sent out tanks to outflank rebel lines before the entered Zlitan proper. If there was a minefield in the way...well I'm just guessing, but I don't think it was too likely. With Brega the plan seems to have been to withdraw to a defensive position and pick off the rebels as they struggle with the minefields.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


Some Syria News:

quote:

Russia's foreign ministry said today that it would not oppose a United Nations resolution to condemn violence in Syria as long as it did not include sanctions and other such "pressures".

The security council is to announce today what action – if any – to take against Syria after the government's escalation of violence against protesters.

Russia has a veto in the UN security council.

The foreign minister's Middle East and North Africa department chief, Sergei Vershinin, said Russia was not "categorically" against adopting a resolution on Syria:

[quote] We are not formalists, we are not categorically against anything in particular. If there are some unbalanced items, sanctions, pressure, I think that kind of pressure is bad because we want less bloodshed and more democracy.
Two months ago a draft resolution criticising Syria was dropped when it became clear Russia and China would veto it.

Moscow, a close ally of Damascus in Soviet times, currently has $4bn (£2.46bn) worth of arms contracts with Syria, according to Russia's Vedomosti newspaper.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Veni, vidi, Lombardi.


Jut posted:

Well done at ignoring the points made and going for the "you're a big poopy head" response.

He's ignoring your points because you've just been repeating the same thoroughly-debunked de facto pro-Qaddafi talking points for the last five months. There's nothing insightful left to say about them.

shotgunbadger
Nov 18, 2008

WEEK 4 - RETIRED


Vincent Van Goatse posted:

He's ignoring your points because you've just been repeating the same thoroughly-debunked de facto pro-Qaddafi talking points for the last five months. There's nothing insightful left to say about them.

Can we not call a position of 'NATO shouldn't be taking sides in a civil war and we shouldn't be acting like the rebels are some pure and saintly force immune from their flaws being pointed out' one that's 'pro-Qaddafi'? Unless I missed something Jut has never said 'yea, go CQ!' or something.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Veni, vidi, Lombardi.


shotgunbadger posted:

Can we not call a position of 'NATO shouldn't be taking sides in a civil war and we shouldn't be acting like the rebels are some pure and saintly force immune from their flaws being pointed out' one that's 'pro-Qaddafi'? Unless I missed something Jut has never said 'yea, go CQ!' or something.

I called his position exactly what it is.

He's de facto pro-Qaddafi because his strict letter-of-the-law-not-spirit-of-the-law interpretation means Qaddafi would remain in power.

Golbez
Oct 9, 2002

SHATNER SECRETS

shotgunbadger posted:

Can we not call a position of 'NATO shouldn't be taking sides in a civil war and we shouldn't be acting like the rebels are some pure and saintly force immune from their flaws being pointed out' one that's 'pro-Qaddafi'? Unless I missed something Jut has never said 'yea, go CQ!' or something.

Had they not taken sides, Gaddafi would have won. Therefore, non-action was essentially pro-Gaddafi.

pylb
Sep 22, 2010

"The superfluous, a very necessary thing"


Golbez posted:

Had they not taken sides, Gaddafi would have won. Therefore, non-action was essentially pro-Gaddafi.

I don't think Jut is calling for total inaction though. He's asking for diplomatic discussions to go along with a peace keeping force in charge of making sure nobody (soldiers or rebels) causes harm to neutral parties.

Darth123123
Jan 26, 2006
I AM A TIME TRAVELER FROM THE PAST AND THINK THERE IS STILL A MEGARULE IN PYF. PLEASE IGNORE MY REPORTS.

pylb posted:

I don't think Jut is calling for total inaction though. He's asking for diplomatic discussions to go along with a peace keeping force in charge of making sure nobody (soldiers or rebels) causes harm to neutral parties.

And asking a pyscho genocidal dictator to go along with that plan.

Namarrgon
Dec 23, 2008

Congratulations on not getting fit in 2011!

I believe Jut has been against intervention from the start and has consistently given Gaddafi the benefit of the doubt so he's lost mine regarding possible interpretations of his posts.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Namarrgon posted:

I believe Jut has been against intervention from the start and has consistently given Gaddafi the benefit of the doubt so he's lost mine regarding possible interpretations of his posts.

I've only been against the intervention when it became clear this wasn't just about protecting civilians, but regime change. NATO should should be a peacekeeping force, not taking sides in a civil war.
And gently caress you if you think for a second I'm Pro-Gadaffi and want things to back to before the revolution occurred. I know Bush drummed in the black and white "you're either with us or against us" but there is a middle ground.

quote:

I don't think Jut is calling for total inaction though. He's asking for diplomatic discussions to go along with a peace keeping force in charge of making sure nobody (soldiers or rebels) causes harm to neutral parties.
This exactly.

quote:

And asking a pyscho genocidal dictator to go along with that plan.
Milosevic did, and he was actually committing genocide instead of what you think genocide is.

quote:

I called his position exactly what it is.

He's de facto pro-Qaddafi because his strict letter-of-the-law-not-spirit-of-the-law interpretation means Qaddafi would remain in power.
Being in power is not a binary option and a diplomatic solution doesn't have to end with CQ remaining 100% in control. Milosevic was weakened so much by the Kosovo war that he pretty much lost most of the power he had. Do you not remember the clusterfuck that occurred in Iraq after the US refused to incorporate the remainder of Saddam's regime into the new Iraq? Like it or not CQ's regime has support in some areas of Libya and needs to be included in whatever deal is hammered out.
With the country divided into two, I would imagine a diplomatic solution could take the form of either autonomy or powersharing backed by UN peacekeepers on the ground.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Brown Moses posted:

Some Syria News:

Two months ago a draft resolution criticising Syria was dropped when it became clear Russia and China would veto it.


I don't buy this excuse that keeps coming up as an excuse for inaction. Resolutions are submitted on Israel/Palestine even though it's clear the US will veto them, but it doesn't stop them being submitted.
If the Russians or Chinese are going to veto a resolution then put it to the vote regardless and let them look like cunts. Don't pull the "nah no point the reds and chinks will just say no".
Now that the Russians have came out and publicly said they will not veto a resolution condemning the Syrian action then I would expect one to be submitted ASAP.

karthun
Nov 16, 2006

WHERE'S YOUR GOD NOW SOCIALISTS?





Jut posted:

Being in power is not a binary option and a diplomatic solution doesn't have to end with CQ remaining 100% in control. Milosevic was weakened so much by the Kosovo war that he pretty much lost most of the power he had. Do you not remember the clusterfuck that occurred in Iraq after the US refused to incorporate the remainder of Saddam's regime into the new Iraq? Like it or not CQ's regime has support in some areas of Libya and needs to be included in whatever deal is hammered out.
With the country divided into two, I would imagine a diplomatic solution could take the form of either autonomy or powersharing backed by UN peacekeepers on the ground.

I don't know why you get to decide that the country should be divided in two and not say the Libyans.

suboptimal
Oct 27, 2008

Ba-dam ba-DUMMMMMM


Jut posted:

I don't buy this excuse that keeps coming up as an excuse for inaction. Resolutions are submitted on Israel/Palestine even though it's clear the US will veto them, but it doesn't stop them being submitted.
If the Russians or Chinese are going to veto a resolution then put it to the vote regardless and let them look like cunts. Don't pull the "nah no point the reds and chinks will just say no".
Now that the Russians have came out and publicly said they will not veto a resolution condemning the Syrian action then I would expect one to be submitted ASAP.

Your hyperbolic casual racism aside, perhaps you'll notice that this here Guardian article on the matter says:

Russia's foreign ministry said today that it would not oppose a United Nations resolution to condemn violence in Syria as long as it did not include sanctions and other such "pressures".

This means that any UNSC vote that doesn't get vetoed by the Russians will most likely be a sternly worded "hey guys, stop killing your own citizens or else we'll say other mean things to you" message. The only real international intervention in Syria will most likely be new sets of sanctions unilaterally adopted by the US, UK, etc targeting specific members of the Assad family or the Ba'ath Party, rather than any kind of coordinated UN action.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009



Jut posted:

Milosevic did, and he was actually committing genocide instead of what you think genocide is.

Milosevic was a dorky looking little man instead of a murderous dictator like Gaddafi is. Milosevic was in power for a decade and was ousted by peaceful demonstrators. Gaddafi has been in power for four decades and after a long civil war has shown no signs of giving up. Don't try to compare the two, you'll only end up making Milosevic look like a sweetheart which he wasn't.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009



Russia has a naval base in Tartus, Syria, and it is currently under expansion to accept heavier ships than before. It is unlikely that Russia would risk their strategic interests by abandoning Syria, and no doubt the Syrian government knows that this arrangement leaves them free to do pretty much anything.

shotgunbadger
Nov 18, 2008

WEEK 4 - RETIRED


Nenonen posted:

Milosevic was a dorky looking little man instead of a murderous dictator like Gaddafi is. Milosevic was in power for a decade and was ousted by peaceful demonstrators. Gaddafi has been in power for four decades and after a long civil war has shown no signs of giving up. Don't try to compare the two, you'll only end up making Milosevic look like a sweetheart which he wasn't.

Milosevic did literal genocide. Like, the real kind not the "this is a horrible killing" kind. If we were willing to work with him and not overtly call for his death (that's actually a huge thing not done) we could have at least tried with CQ.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Nenonen posted:

Milosevic was a dorky looking little man instead of a murderous dictator like Gaddafi is. Milosevic was in power for a decade and was ousted by peaceful demonstrators. Gaddafi has been in power for four decades and after a long civil war has shown no signs of giving up. Don't try to compare the two, you'll only end up making Milosevic look like a sweetheart which he wasn't.

Milosevic was indited for war crimes and genocide in Kosovo, Bosnia and Croatia. He was found guilty of murdering political opponents and was not outed by peaceful demonstrators, although they played a part, he was forced to leave when the army told him to pack his bags as they were not going to protect him if things turn violent.

Edit: I should add in fairness that Milo was not found guilty of genocide, a verdict was never delivered. Others in he regime were though and the Serbian givt was found to have failed "to take all measures within its power to prevent genocide in Srebrenica"

Jut fucked around with this message at Aug 2, 2011 around 18:37

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010


Jut posted:

Probably because I consider protecting civilians more important than removing a bad man.

I don't think that one will be possible without the other in this case. CQ and his clique aren't going to settle for a cease-fire that leaves them in control of the Tripoli and Sirt area, and the rebels in control of the rest of the country. And the rebels aren't strong enough to hold back the tide of CQ's forces if NATO isn't there to provide air support.

Honestly, if protecting civilians is your goal, then I'm surprised that you aren't in favor of NATO using much more force than they are now to bring a quick end to the fighting. A brigade of Royal Marines or the French Foreign Legion, or perhaps even a few sorties by the carriers of the 6th Fleet would crumple Quaddafi's forces like cheap cardboard. Even the threat might be enough to make him give up power.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Zeroisanumber posted:

I don't think that one will be possible without the other in this case. CQ and his clique aren't going to settle for a cease-fire that leaves them in control of the Tripoli and Sirt area, and the rebels in control of the rest of the country. And the rebels aren't strong enough to hold back the tide of CQ's forces if NATO isn't there to provide air support.
Yea he probably wouldn't go for that, but that doesn't mean a deal couldn't be hammered out regardless.

quote:

Honestly, if protecting civilians is your goal, then I'm surprised that you aren't in favor of NATO using much more force than they are now to bring a quick end to the fighting. A brigade of Royal Marines or the French Foreign Legion, or perhaps even a few sorties by the carriers of the 6th Fleet would crumple Quaddafi's forces like cheap cardboard. Even the threat might be enough to make him give up power.
Offensive ground troops would be a colossal mistake in the long run. I couldn't imagine a better way to turn the focus away from the current conflict, into a "western imperialist" conflict. The only troops that *could* get away with it would be other African troops.
The threat *may* force him to the table, it worked with Milo...

Golbez
Oct 9, 2002

SHATNER SECRETS

shotgunbadger posted:

Milosevic did literal genocide. Like, the real kind not the "this is a horrible killing" kind. If we were willing to work with him and not overtly call for his death (that's actually a huge thing not done) we could have at least tried with CQ.

Would it be wrong to say that at least part of this is revenge for Pan Am 103? Milosevic did a lot of things but he never blew up an American airliner over Scotland, killing 250 citizens of NATO countries.

Edit: Also, people keep saying "we could have tried". Did Gaddafi give any indication whatsoever that he was open to such attempts? At all? Especially after never ceasing fire when he promised to cease fire?

Golbez fucked around with this message at Aug 2, 2011 around 19:21

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.

In other news, Ambassador Ford's confirmation hearing is today. It should be interesting to hear what the administration and Congress have to say about the situation in Syria.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Support the International Campaign to Ban Spider Mines

karthun posted:

I don't know why you get to decide that the country should be divided in two and not say the Libyans.

Uh, Libya is not a NATO member. NATO forces are not Libyans. Libya being divided into pro- and anti-Qadaffi parts would indeed be the Libyans deciding. NATO deciding to help the rebels take control of pro-Qadaffi parts of Libya would be a pretty strained definition of letting Libyans decide.

Leperflesh
May 17, 2007

Dwarf tits for the blood god!

SPERG FOR THE SPERG GOD


I've been really hesitant to jump into this stupid argument, but I gotta say: there's a few really key differences between Kosovo and Libya that can't be ignored.

First, Kosovo was a well-defined geographic area that you could draw a border on and segregate out. It was possible, from the beginning, to envision a new country for the kosovars to inhabit and from which the serbs could withdraw. Not without some tough choices for minorities on both sides, but it was there.

Second, Kosovo had no oil interests. In Libya, any putative split of the country which gave more oil to one side is a non-starter. The protests in Libya included broad swathes of geographic territory which contain the bulk of its oil output. Leaving Ghaddafi-loyalists with Sirt, and maybe Zlitan, is impossible politically; those areas would be impoverished. And of course, there's Tripoli, in which there were massive protests but which no possible peace agreement could hand to a separatist state. There's simply no way that Ghaddafi could settle for a partition that didn't include Tripoli, and yet, if he got it, it'd be putting perhaps the largest population of protestors inside his territory.

Third, Kosovo took place in a pre-Iraq-war context, in a non-Arab country. It was thinkable that the west could put peacekeepers on the ground and have them keep peace, without that being viewed by all the people on the ground as a crusading invasion that would last for decades and cost tens of thousands of lives and trash the country and incite terrorism the world over. Whereas today, it's simply unthinkable that the West land troops in Libya. With Iraq, and Afghanistan, still acutely in the minds of everyone involved, there is no armed force which could credibly enter Libya (and without the invitation and request from either side) and impose a cease-fire.

And fourth, Kosovo took place during a time when neither Europe nor the US were facing severe economic austerity measures. Sure, there was some economic hardship, but nothing remotely like what we've got today. The mood among the civilian populations in the West is anti-war. We're not interested in spending billions on intervention. Sarkozy and the Brits had to drag Obama into even what we've got today, and there's nobody who is eager to risk future expenses on an open-ended occupation. This thing's only been going for six months, and we're already seeing real, genuine risk that major players pull out not because they've decided it's hopeless, but because it's too expensive.

Libya isn't Kosovo, Ghaddafi isn't Milosevic, and just because there are some parallels doesn't mean a similar approach to Libya is remotely feasible. It's not feasible to put peacekeepers into Libya. There's no reasonable way to draw a line between a new breakaway state and a viable Ghaddafi-run remnant that doesn't hand most or all of the oil to one side, and/or leave huge segments of rebels at the mercy of the loyalist remainder. Or vice-versa.

It's a stupid argument. Is what "we" are doing (I hate that term, given who the major players are, and given few of us in this thread are French or British) the best possible approach? I dunno. I doubt it, I expect most people in the thread are less than certain. But are "we" wildly off? Are we backing the wrong side? Should we not have intervened at all? No, I don't think so. Not by a long shot are any of those reasonable.

And, having intervened, we have a real responsibility not to do what we did after the first gulf war, and suddenly change our minds and abandon rebels we actively encouraged and helped, to the fate that will befall them at the hands of a dictator who will be determined and enabled to re-establish his absolute authority through violence and persecution. It is far too late to back down now. Either the rebels will win, or a huge segment of the Libyan population is doomed, and we have taken sides and now we have to see it through.

ArchRanger
Mar 19, 2007
I'm tired of following my dreams, I'm just gonna ask where they're goin' and meet up with 'em there.

Edit: Wow, I need to not leave windows open so long before responding. Leperfish said about the same thing but much more effectively.

The big difference between Bosnian intervention and what's going on in Libya is that there isn't a large ethnic and religious minority seeking independence from a country that's actively attempting genocide. Demanding Milosevic step down would've likely been a precondition of negotiations if he'd been slaughtering those who'd wanted to stay part of Serbia rather than a separatist group; as it was, he wasn't the same huge danger to those still under him that he would've been if he'd been allowed to remain in control over Bosnia.

So yeah, treating Qaddafi like Milosevic might work if the rebels were wanting independence, but when both sides are wanting a unified Libya it doesn't work as well. The point is that leaving Qaddafi any degree of control over those he wants dead is lunacy.

Golbez posted:

Edit: Also, people keep saying "we could have tried". Did Gaddafi give any indication whatsoever that he was open to such attempts? At all? Especially after never ceasing fire when he promised to cease fire?

I'm particularly fond of the time he claimed a ceasefire for negotiations while his troops were actively advancing on rebel-held cities.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


This is apparently video from near Brega:
http://vimeo.com/27204633

Lascivious Sloth
Apr 26, 2008

Third Universal Theorist

Rebel abuses:

quote:

Chris Stevens, the US envoy to the Libyan opposition in Benghazi, has voiced confidence that the rebels will prevent human rights abuses.

Stevens says that he has discussed allegations of rights abuses leveled by Human Rights Watch, and that there was "extra political motivation" to prevent any further abuses.

The rebels are "very sensitive to wanting to appear different from the Gaddafi forces and the abuses that those forces make in the field," Stevens told a news conference in Washington, where he was back for consultations.

"They got the message and I'm sure they're looking carefully at it and making sure it doesn't happen."

Stevens currently leads a US government team of eight people based out Benghazi.

Younes:

quote:

The tribe of assassinated rebel commander Abdel-Fattah Younes has vowed to find justice for themselves if those responsible for his death are not quickly found.

"The way he was killed looks like a betrayal, so until now we are trying to calm and control the youth of the tribe, but we
don't know what could happen," one of Younes's sons told foreign reporters when asked if rifts within the rebel ranks could turn violent.

He was speaking after an emergency meeting of 90 leaders of the Ubaideyat tribe, one of the biggest in Libya.

"They [the tribal committee] will investigate who issued the arrest warrant and who sent whom to arrest him, how was he lost. They said he was dead but they couldn't find the body, so how did they know he was dead if there was no body?" the son said.

"If the [NTC] doesn't bring us justice, and if the [international] judiciary don't bring us justice, then we will leave it to the tribe to bring us justice," he said.

Mohammed Hamed Younes, one of the general's nephews, opined that there was never any intention to question General Younes over his links to Gaddafi, as the rebel council says was the objective of an arrest warrant.

"If there was an intention to investigate him, they could have called him and he would have followed orders, but there was
no intention of that. From the start, there was an intention of betrayal and treason."

al-Nidaa Brigade

quote:

AFP reports that Libya's rebels have uncovered a 'hit list' of 60 rebel leaders that a pro-Gaddafi militia was keeping on hand in Benghazi.


"There were around 60 people (on the list)," deputy interior minister Mustafa al-Sagazly told AFP, including "members of the (National Transitional Council), the military council, the cabinet of the NTC executive."

"There were names and addresses," he said, "some of the addresses were correct."

The list was found during an operation against the al-Nidaa Brigade

Zappatista
Oct 27, 2008

WILL AMOUNT TO NOTHING IN LIFE.

I've never trusted the NTC very much from the beginning. They seem to me like a sketchy group with a clearly neoliberal agenda who've stepped up and said "Yup, this rebel movement fighting Ghadaffi...we're its leaders".

Call me naive but I'm looking at the Younes assassination and the subsequent NTC decree that all rebel groups have x number of hours to fall into line as a coup of sorts. Looks to me like a repeat of the ayatollahs snatching power in Iran or the Bolshevik vs. Menshevik showdown in St. Petersburg

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


The Egyptian trial of the century begins today:

quote:

Hosni Mubarak on way to face trial, says Egyptian official
An Egyptian security official says former President Hosni Mubarak has left the hospital in a Red Sea resort and is on his way to trial in Cairo.

The official says Mubarak has been taken from the hospital in Sharm el-Sheikh to the airport in the Red Sea resort, from where he is to be flown to the Egyptian capital for trial.

The official spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorised to talk to the media.

Outside the police academy in Cairo, where the trial is to take place, hundreds of police and army troops backed by armoured personnel carriers are keeping about 50 Mubarak supporters at bay.

The ailing, 83-year-old former president has lived in Sharm since he was toppled in February and has been under arrest in a hospital there since April. Doctors say he suffers from heart problems.

There had been scepticism up to the moment Mubarak left the hospital that he would actually appear for the opening of his trial in the capital.

The trial answers, at least partially, the growing cries in Egypt for justice not only for the wrongs of Mubarak's authoritarian regime that ruled Egypt for three decades but also for the violent suppression of largely peaceful protests during the 18-day uprising.

Mubarak, who ruled with unquestioned power for 29 years, is expected to appear during the trial sitting in a cage set up for him and his co-defendants, including his two sons and his former interior minister. The charges could bring a death sentence, traditionally carried out by hanging.

The courtroom has been set up in what was once the Mubarak Police Academy – one of the multiple security, military and other civil buildings named after the president, though since his exit, his name has been dropped.

Security is very heavy, with barbed wire and hundreds of troops around the compound. Efforts have been made to ensure spectators in the court can't get close enough to the defendants' case to yell and throw objects at them, the interior ministry said.
The court room is filling up as I type this.

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Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007


Sheikh of the Couch

I'm watching the Trial Live on egyptian TV. Will report as things move!

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