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Jut posted:Well done at ignoring the points made and going for the "you're a big poopy head" response. Then an equally good job at ignoring the situation in Libya and managing to compare it to Kosovo.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 13:21 |
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| # ? May 26, 2013 06:13 |
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Update from Zliten:quote:Chris Stephen in Misrata says the mystery over whether Libya's pro-Gaddafi forces have abandoned Zlitan appears to have been solved – they attacked this morning, hitting the farms north of Zlitan and leaving five rebel fighters dead and 31 wounded, with casualties still coming in. The fighters are being hit hard by rockets but it is unclear who has the upper hand, Chris says. Zlitan's Fowater tribe has not agreed to let the rebels take control of the town.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 13:22 |
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Brown Moses posted:You leave Peru alone!
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 13:35 |
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Plastic_Gargoyle posted:Classic Chavez. "The world is out to get me because I'm such a good leader, and the same is happening to you brother Qaddafi!"
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 13:54 |
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Namarrgon posted:This is not Kosovo. And protecting civilians is essentially the same thing as removing Gaddafi and it has been so ever since Gaddafi opened fire on the protestors. Well done for spotting that it's not Kosovo, you get a golden star; an F- for not being able to see the parallels between the two though. It is possible to protect civilians without removing CQ. Let's go back to Kosovo. You had Milo who was a mass murdering SOB, carrying out genocide in an area under his rule which didn't want to be ruled by him anymore, resulting in a NATO air war aimed with protecting civilians which for the most part they did (although there is room for criticising their bombing of state TV which killed innocents, and their failure to stop massacres by the KLA who turned out to be a nasty piece of work too). An international peace plan was put on the table, a ceasefire called, peacekeepers put on the ground and progress was made. Milo lost power a couple of years later. And in Libya we have a mass murdering SOB, carrying out "genocide" in an area under his rule when doesn't want to be ruled by him anymore and a NATO campaign which has overstepped the "protecting civilians" aspect of the mission moving on to full blown regime change. No peace plan is on the table that doesn't have CQ leaving as part of the deal and NATO is supporting a group which are turning out to be unsavory themselves. Why would a unconditional ceasefire followed by the deployment of UN peacekeepers be a bad idea? quote:Chris Stephen in Misrata says the mystery over whether Libya's pro-Gaddafi forces have abandoned Zlitan appears to have been solved – they attacked this morning, hitting the farms north of Zlitan and leaving five rebel fighters dead and 31 wounded, with casualties still coming in. The fighters are being hit hard by rockets but it is unclear who has the upper hand, Chris says. Zlitan's Fowater tribe has not agreed to let the rebels take control of the town. Chris may want to edit this from yesterday in light of the above http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/201...itan-raf-clears
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:04 |
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If I was the Fowater tribe I'd want to make pretty sure that Gaddafi troops couldn't re-enter Zlitan if I agreed to side with the rebels, otherwise it would be a massive risk. Bit more on it from Al Jazeera:quote:Al Jazeera's Hoda Abdel Hamid has just been on with us from outside a hospital in Misrata which is dealing with the wounded from fighting in Zlitan between rebels and pro-government forces.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:06 |
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Now, to be fair to Jut, for NATO to aid the rebels in taking Gaddafi-loyal towns goes pretty far beyond "protecting civilians", and I can understand that someone would have a problem with that. There's also been verified reports of looting and other abuses by rebel soldiers, and no matter how much the NTC professes to adhere to human rights they might not have all that much control over the actual soldiers in the field. That should definitively be a concern for the western nations involved in this. However, the line between "armed rebel" and "civilian" can be very blurry, and the situation is more complex than just "bomb people who might harm civilians". Say NATO is bombing Gaddafi-loyal forces in a town that they use to launch attacks against a rebel-held city. If the rebels then advance on that town, should NATO then stop bombing the loyalist forces simply because they are now facing armed opponents - armed opponents who just previously were civilians to be protected? Should NATO maybe even start targeting the rebels instead? Sure, it would be easy to paint the world in black and white and say "Yes!", but from a tactical point of view it would be insane. If you're trying to neutralize, say, a rocket battery, why wouldn't you aid the guys on the ground trying to do the same thing?
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:17 |
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Interesting article, I guess the rebels are pretty much screwed without support from the Zlitan residents, and it seems that their lack of organisation screwed them again. It seems that CQ pretty much abandoned everything east of Brega and Zlitan, forming a road block in the cities instead. I wonder how significant the advances in the west are, and where CQ has put a road block for them. As for Syria, not much seems to be happening with regards to the international response, not even a UNSCR condemning the actions of Assad. Do you think that NATO's response to the UNSCR has pretty much screwed any chance of getting a UNSCR passed on Syria? News from Libya seems to have taken a back seat on the BBC. The last thing they have is from the Younes killing a few days ago, and other papers have cut their Libya coverage. Are the media losing interest in this conflict?
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:19 |
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Now it's just a daily grind of fighting the media seems to have lost some interest, although most major organisations do have at least one reporter in Nafusa or Misrata. Regarding Zlitan, it'll be interesting to see what the route from Zlitan to Al Khums is like, and whether or not it's been heavily mined like Brega.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:24 |
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Jut posted:News from Libya seems to have taken a back seat on the BBC. The last thing they have is from the Younes killing a few days ago, and other papers have cut their Libya coverage. Are the media losing interest in this conflict? The mass media always have the attention span of a 2 year old. Edit: Except for Casey Anthony.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:24 |
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Mr. Sunshine posted:Now, to be fair to Jut, for NATO to aid the rebels in taking Gaddafi-loyal towns goes pretty far beyond "protecting civilians", and I can understand that someone would have a problem with that. There's also been verified reports of looting and other abuses by rebel soldiers, and no matter how much the NTC professes to adhere to human rights they might not have all that much control over the actual soldiers in the field. That should definitively be a concern for the western nations involved in this. Thank you, my biggest concern is that there isn't a solid peace plan or post-CQ plan in place. The NTC are looking weaker than expected in terms of their influence over the rebels with reported infighting between groups, and I fear we could be looking at another post 2003 Iraq if CQ falls with nothing in place to pick up the pieces.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:25 |
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Brown Moses posted:Now it's just a daily grind of fighting the media seems to have lost some interest, although most major organisations do have at least one reporter in Nafusa or Misrata. But I guess Golbez is right, the media keeps on getting distracted by new shiny things, even the phone hacking story has died in the water. Mines around Zlitan, I don't know...by the sounds of it, CQ forces sent out tanks to outflank rebel lines before the entered Zlitan proper. If there was a minefield in the way...well I'm just guessing, but I don't think it was too likely. With Brega the plan seems to have been to withdraw to a defensive position and pick off the rebels as they struggle with the minefields.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:31 |
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Some Syria News:quote:Russia's foreign ministry said today that it would not oppose a United Nations resolution to condemn violence in Syria as long as it did not include sanctions and other such "pressures". Moscow, a close ally of Damascus in Soviet times, currently has $4bn (£2.46bn) worth of arms contracts with Syria, according to Russia's Vedomosti newspaper.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 14:55 |
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Jut posted:Well done at ignoring the points made and going for the "you're a big poopy head" response. He's ignoring your points because you've just been repeating the same thoroughly-debunked de facto pro-Qaddafi talking points for the last five months. There's nothing insightful left to say about them.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 15:03 |
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Vincent Van Goatse posted:He's ignoring your points because you've just been repeating the same thoroughly-debunked de facto pro-Qaddafi talking points for the last five months. There's nothing insightful left to say about them. Can we not call a position of 'NATO shouldn't be taking sides in a civil war and we shouldn't be acting like the rebels are some pure and saintly force immune from their flaws being pointed out' one that's 'pro-Qaddafi'? Unless I missed something Jut has never said 'yea, go CQ!' or something.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 15:26 |
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shotgunbadger posted:Can we not call a position of 'NATO shouldn't be taking sides in a civil war and we shouldn't be acting like the rebels are some pure and saintly force immune from their flaws being pointed out' one that's 'pro-Qaddafi'? Unless I missed something Jut has never said 'yea, go CQ!' or something. I called his position exactly what it is. He's de facto pro-Qaddafi because his strict letter-of-the-law-not-spirit-of-the-law interpretation means Qaddafi would remain in power.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 15:34 |
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shotgunbadger posted:Can we not call a position of 'NATO shouldn't be taking sides in a civil war and we shouldn't be acting like the rebels are some pure and saintly force immune from their flaws being pointed out' one that's 'pro-Qaddafi'? Unless I missed something Jut has never said 'yea, go CQ!' or something. Had they not taken sides, Gaddafi would have won. Therefore, non-action was essentially pro-Gaddafi.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 16:17 |
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Golbez posted:Had they not taken sides, Gaddafi would have won. Therefore, non-action was essentially pro-Gaddafi. I don't think Jut is calling for total inaction though. He's asking for diplomatic discussions to go along with a peace keeping force in charge of making sure nobody (soldiers or rebels) causes harm to neutral parties.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 17:16 |
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pylb posted:I don't think Jut is calling for total inaction though. He's asking for diplomatic discussions to go along with a peace keeping force in charge of making sure nobody (soldiers or rebels) causes harm to neutral parties. And asking a pyscho genocidal dictator to go along with that plan.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 17:26 |
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I believe Jut has been against intervention from the start and has consistently given Gaddafi the benefit of the doubt so he's lost mine regarding possible interpretations of his posts.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 17:41 |
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Namarrgon posted:I believe Jut has been against intervention from the start and has consistently given Gaddafi the benefit of the doubt so he's lost mine regarding possible interpretations of his posts. I've only been against the intervention when it became clear this wasn't just about protecting civilians, but regime change. NATO should should be a peacekeeping force, not taking sides in a civil war. And gently caress you if you think for a second I'm Pro-Gadaffi and want things to back to before the revolution occurred. I know Bush drummed in the black and white "you're either with us or against us" but there is a middle ground. quote:I don't think Jut is calling for total inaction though. He's asking for diplomatic discussions to go along with a peace keeping force in charge of making sure nobody (soldiers or rebels) causes harm to neutral parties. quote:And asking a pyscho genocidal dictator to go along with that plan. quote:I called his position exactly what it is. With the country divided into two, I would imagine a diplomatic solution could take the form of either autonomy or powersharing backed by UN peacekeepers on the ground.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:04 |
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Brown Moses posted:Some Syria News: If the Russians or Chinese are going to veto a resolution then put it to the vote regardless and let them look like cunts. Don't pull the "nah no point the reds and chinks will just say no". Now that the Russians have came out and publicly said they will not veto a resolution condemning the Syrian action then I would expect one to be submitted ASAP.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:09 |
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Jut posted:Being in power is not a binary option and a diplomatic solution doesn't have to end with CQ remaining 100% in control. Milosevic was weakened so much by the Kosovo war that he pretty much lost most of the power he had. Do you not remember the clusterfuck that occurred in Iraq after the US refused to incorporate the remainder of Saddam's regime into the new Iraq? Like it or not CQ's regime has support in some areas of Libya and needs to be included in whatever deal is hammered out. I don't know why you get to decide that the country should be divided in two and not say the Libyans.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:09 |
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Jut posted:I don't buy this excuse that keeps coming up as an excuse for inaction. Resolutions are submitted on Israel/Palestine even though it's clear the US will veto them, but it doesn't stop them being submitted. Your hyperbolic casual racism aside, perhaps you'll notice that this here Guardian article on the matter says: Russia's foreign ministry said today that it would not oppose a United Nations resolution to condemn violence in Syria as long as it did not include sanctions and other such "pressures". This means that any UNSC vote that doesn't get vetoed by the Russians will most likely be a sternly worded "hey guys, stop killing your own citizens or else we'll say other mean things to you" message. The only real international intervention in Syria will most likely be new sets of sanctions unilaterally adopted by the US, UK, etc targeting specific members of the Assad family or the Ba'ath Party, rather than any kind of coordinated UN action.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:14 |
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Jut posted:Milosevic did, and he was actually committing genocide instead of what you think genocide is. Milosevic was a dorky looking little man instead of a murderous dictator like Gaddafi is. Milosevic was in power for a decade and was ousted by peaceful demonstrators. Gaddafi has been in power for four decades and after a long civil war has shown no signs of giving up. Don't try to compare the two, you'll only end up making Milosevic look like a sweetheart which he wasn't.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:15 |
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Russia has a naval base in Tartus, Syria, and it is currently under expansion to accept heavier ships than before. It is unlikely that Russia would risk their strategic interests by abandoning Syria, and no doubt the Syrian government knows that this arrangement leaves them free to do pretty much anything.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:23 |
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Nenonen posted:Milosevic was a dorky looking little man instead of a murderous dictator like Gaddafi is. Milosevic was in power for a decade and was ousted by peaceful demonstrators. Gaddafi has been in power for four decades and after a long civil war has shown no signs of giving up. Don't try to compare the two, you'll only end up making Milosevic look like a sweetheart which he wasn't. Milosevic did literal genocide. Like, the real kind not the "this is a horrible killing" kind. If we were willing to work with him and not overtly call for his death (that's actually a huge thing not done) we could have at least tried with CQ.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:24 |
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Nenonen posted:Milosevic was a dorky looking little man instead of a murderous dictator like Gaddafi is. Milosevic was in power for a decade and was ousted by peaceful demonstrators. Gaddafi has been in power for four decades and after a long civil war has shown no signs of giving up. Don't try to compare the two, you'll only end up making Milosevic look like a sweetheart which he wasn't. Milosevic was indited for war crimes and genocide in Kosovo, Bosnia and Croatia. He was found guilty of murdering political opponents and was not outed by peaceful demonstrators, although they played a part, he was forced to leave when the army told him to pack his bags as they were not going to protect him if things turn violent. Edit: I should add in fairness that Milo was not found guilty of genocide, a verdict was never delivered. Others in he regime were though and the Serbian givt was found to have failed "to take all measures within its power to prevent genocide in Srebrenica" Jut fucked around with this message at Aug 2, 2011 around 18:37 |
| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:30 |
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Jut posted:Probably because I consider protecting civilians more important than removing a bad man. I don't think that one will be possible without the other in this case. CQ and his clique aren't going to settle for a cease-fire that leaves them in control of the Tripoli and Sirt area, and the rebels in control of the rest of the country. And the rebels aren't strong enough to hold back the tide of CQ's forces if NATO isn't there to provide air support. Honestly, if protecting civilians is your goal, then I'm surprised that you aren't in favor of NATO using much more force than they are now to bring a quick end to the fighting. A brigade of Royal Marines or the French Foreign Legion, or perhaps even a few sorties by the carriers of the 6th Fleet would crumple Quaddafi's forces like cheap cardboard. Even the threat might be enough to make him give up power.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 18:51 |
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Zeroisanumber posted:I don't think that one will be possible without the other in this case. CQ and his clique aren't going to settle for a cease-fire that leaves them in control of the Tripoli and Sirt area, and the rebels in control of the rest of the country. And the rebels aren't strong enough to hold back the tide of CQ's forces if NATO isn't there to provide air support. quote:Honestly, if protecting civilians is your goal, then I'm surprised that you aren't in favor of NATO using much more force than they are now to bring a quick end to the fighting. A brigade of Royal Marines or the French Foreign Legion, or perhaps even a few sorties by the carriers of the 6th Fleet would crumple Quaddafi's forces like cheap cardboard. Even the threat might be enough to make him give up power. The threat *may* force him to the table, it worked with Milo...
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 19:03 |
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shotgunbadger posted:Milosevic did literal genocide. Like, the real kind not the "this is a horrible killing" kind. If we were willing to work with him and not overtly call for his death (that's actually a huge thing not done) we could have at least tried with CQ. Would it be wrong to say that at least part of this is revenge for Pan Am 103? Milosevic did a lot of things but he never blew up an American airliner over Scotland, killing 250 citizens of NATO countries. Edit: Also, people keep saying "we could have tried". Did Gaddafi give any indication whatsoever that he was open to such attempts? At all? Especially after never ceasing fire when he promised to cease fire? Golbez fucked around with this message at Aug 2, 2011 around 19:21 |
| # ? Aug 2, 2011 19:19 |
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In other news, Ambassador Ford's confirmation hearing is today. It should be interesting to hear what the administration and Congress have to say about the situation in Syria.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 19:36 |
karthun posted:I don't know why you get to decide that the country should be divided in two and not say the Libyans. Uh, Libya is not a NATO member. NATO forces are not Libyans. Libya being divided into pro- and anti-Qadaffi parts would indeed be the Libyans deciding. NATO deciding to help the rebels take control of pro-Qadaffi parts of Libya would be a pretty strained definition of letting Libyans decide.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 20:11 |
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I've been really hesitant to jump into this stupid argument, but I gotta say: there's a few really key differences between Kosovo and Libya that can't be ignored. First, Kosovo was a well-defined geographic area that you could draw a border on and segregate out. It was possible, from the beginning, to envision a new country for the kosovars to inhabit and from which the serbs could withdraw. Not without some tough choices for minorities on both sides, but it was there. Second, Kosovo had no oil interests. In Libya, any putative split of the country which gave more oil to one side is a non-starter. The protests in Libya included broad swathes of geographic territory which contain the bulk of its oil output. Leaving Ghaddafi-loyalists with Sirt, and maybe Zlitan, is impossible politically; those areas would be impoverished. And of course, there's Tripoli, in which there were massive protests but which no possible peace agreement could hand to a separatist state. There's simply no way that Ghaddafi could settle for a partition that didn't include Tripoli, and yet, if he got it, it'd be putting perhaps the largest population of protestors inside his territory. Third, Kosovo took place in a pre-Iraq-war context, in a non-Arab country. It was thinkable that the west could put peacekeepers on the ground and have them keep peace, without that being viewed by all the people on the ground as a crusading invasion that would last for decades and cost tens of thousands of lives and trash the country and incite terrorism the world over. Whereas today, it's simply unthinkable that the West land troops in Libya. With Iraq, and Afghanistan, still acutely in the minds of everyone involved, there is no armed force which could credibly enter Libya (and without the invitation and request from either side) and impose a cease-fire. And fourth, Kosovo took place during a time when neither Europe nor the US were facing severe economic austerity measures. Sure, there was some economic hardship, but nothing remotely like what we've got today. The mood among the civilian populations in the West is anti-war. We're not interested in spending billions on intervention. Sarkozy and the Brits had to drag Obama into even what we've got today, and there's nobody who is eager to risk future expenses on an open-ended occupation. This thing's only been going for six months, and we're already seeing real, genuine risk that major players pull out not because they've decided it's hopeless, but because it's too expensive. Libya isn't Kosovo, Ghaddafi isn't Milosevic, and just because there are some parallels doesn't mean a similar approach to Libya is remotely feasible. It's not feasible to put peacekeepers into Libya. There's no reasonable way to draw a line between a new breakaway state and a viable Ghaddafi-run remnant that doesn't hand most or all of the oil to one side, and/or leave huge segments of rebels at the mercy of the loyalist remainder. Or vice-versa. It's a stupid argument. Is what "we" are doing (I hate that term, given who the major players are, and given few of us in this thread are French or British) the best possible approach? I dunno. I doubt it, I expect most people in the thread are less than certain. But are "we" wildly off? Are we backing the wrong side? Should we not have intervened at all? No, I don't think so. Not by a long shot are any of those reasonable. And, having intervened, we have a real responsibility not to do what we did after the first gulf war, and suddenly change our minds and abandon rebels we actively encouraged and helped, to the fate that will befall them at the hands of a dictator who will be determined and enabled to re-establish his absolute authority through violence and persecution. It is far too late to back down now. Either the rebels will win, or a huge segment of the Libyan population is doomed, and we have taken sides and now we have to see it through.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 20:13 |
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Edit: Wow, I need to not leave windows open so long before responding. Leperfish said about the same thing but much more effectively. The big difference between Bosnian intervention and what's going on in Libya is that there isn't a large ethnic and religious minority seeking independence from a country that's actively attempting genocide. Demanding Milosevic step down would've likely been a precondition of negotiations if he'd been slaughtering those who'd wanted to stay part of Serbia rather than a separatist group; as it was, he wasn't the same huge danger to those still under him that he would've been if he'd been allowed to remain in control over Bosnia. So yeah, treating Qaddafi like Milosevic might work if the rebels were wanting independence, but when both sides are wanting a unified Libya it doesn't work as well. The point is that leaving Qaddafi any degree of control over those he wants dead is lunacy. Golbez posted:Edit: Also, people keep saying "we could have tried". Did Gaddafi give any indication whatsoever that he was open to such attempts? At all? Especially after never ceasing fire when he promised to cease fire? I'm particularly fond of the time he claimed a ceasefire for negotiations while his troops were actively advancing on rebel-held cities.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 20:24 |
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This is apparently video from near Brega: http://vimeo.com/27204633
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 22:29 |
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Rebel abuses:quote:Chris Stevens, the US envoy to the Libyan opposition in Benghazi, has voiced confidence that the rebels will prevent human rights abuses. Younes: quote:The tribe of assassinated rebel commander Abdel-Fattah Younes has vowed to find justice for themselves if those responsible for his death are not quickly found. al-Nidaa Brigade quote:AFP reports that Libya's rebels have uncovered a 'hit list' of 60 rebel leaders that a pro-Gaddafi militia was keeping on hand in Benghazi.
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| # ? Aug 2, 2011 23:47 |
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I've never trusted the NTC very much from the beginning. They seem to me like a sketchy group with a clearly neoliberal agenda who've stepped up and said "Yup, this rebel movement fighting Ghadaffi...we're its leaders". Call me naive but I'm looking at the Younes assassination and the subsequent NTC decree that all rebel groups have x number of hours to fall into line as a coup of sorts. Looks to me like a repeat of the ayatollahs snatching power in Iran or the Bolshevik vs. Menshevik showdown in St. Petersburg
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| # ? Aug 3, 2011 02:15 |
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The Egyptian trial of the century begins today:quote:Hosni Mubarak on way to face trial, says Egyptian official
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| # ? Aug 3, 2011 07:21 |
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| # ? May 26, 2013 06:13 |
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I'm watching the Trial Live on egyptian TV. Will report as things move!
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| # ? Aug 3, 2011 07:23 |























