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Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


New Caro video where he explores an ammo dump and breaks into a box of mortar shells
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYgQLeGUGvM

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Pajser
Jan 28, 2006


Furnok Dorn posted:

Wow, mining the border is just...

Jesus

They're bottling up the protesters in Hama and Homs. They are playing the exact same scenario like in 1982. Make sure no significant number of dissidents escape (more than 10k), eliminate deserters swiftly and reinforce sectarian divides. Couple of months, maybe years, after the movement is all dead and done, continue business as usual.

I'm pretty sure the Syrian government was in some way prepared for this, or at least expecting it.

Killer robot
Sep 6, 2010

REMEMBER ME!


A Buttery Pastry posted:

Pretty much just to send a message to the US that the rest of the world five parliamentary appointees in Norway would prefer them not to start any more wars, so good on you for electing a democrat.

Fixed that. Not to say the rest of the world didn't agree there, but it's important to remember, not just with Obama but with every year, that the Peace Prize is the odd one out of the Nobel prizes. Each has a small committee that collects and screens nominations then makes suggestions, while a larger body from an outside organization actually makes the decision. With the Nobel Peace Prize, the same five people handle the whole process, and between that and the nature of the prize itself this makes it immensely shaped by the personal views of a few people, who themselves are chosen by a national parliament and will reflect its current politics. As a result, its historical quality is pretty variable even without taking hindsight into account. I remember speculation from some Norwegians at the time that the committee was like many probably starstruck by Obama and wanted a chance to meet him. Might be exaggeration, but maybe not far off.


Brown Moses posted:

New Caro video where he explores an ammo dump and breaks into a box of mortar shells
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYgQLeGUGvM

When I was a kid I once thought "ammo dump" meant just like a cartoon garbage dump only ammo, rather than any sort of deliberate storage. My child self feels redeemed.

Killer robot fucked around with this message at Nov 1, 2011 around 15:23

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


quote:

Libya Plans Law to Pave Way for Islamic Bond Sales: Arab Credit

Libya’s central bank is preparing a law to allow lenders and issuers to sell Islamic bonds as part of its efforts to develop banking services after the fall of Muammar Qaddafi.

The regulator has formed a committee with the country’s banks to prepare the law, Ezzedin Ashur, deputy director of research and statistics at the Tripoli-based central bank, said in a telephone interview yesterday. Libya has 15 banks, all of which have Shariah-compliant “windows,” he said.

“Some banks have the desire to open standalone Islamic branches and we have local investors who want to set up Islamic banks,” he said. “If we have Islamic banking with all of its services, its market share will be big. Many people have issues dealing with conventional banks.”

Libya’s banking industry will be made Shariah-compliant, Mustafa Abdel Jalil, an Islamic jurist and former justice minister who heads the ruling National Transitional Council, said last week. Albaraka Banking Group BSC, a Bahrain-based Islamic bank, will apply for a license in Libya, according to Chief Executive Officer Adnan Ahmed Yousif.

Global sales of sukuk climbed to $18.9 billion in 2011, compared with $13.5 billion in the same period last year, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Shariah-compliant banking may flourish in the North African countries where revolts this year toppled leaders who long persecuted Islamists. Along with Libya, Egypt is also preparing a law that will pave the way for the issuance of sukuk, while the Islamist party that won Tunisia’s election last week says it will encourage the establishment of stand-alone Islamic lenders.

Sovereign Debt

Only three sovereign Arab issuers, including Dubai, have Islamic bonds. The yield on Dubai’s 6.396 percent Shariah- compliant notes due in November 2014 fell 62 basis points, or 0.62 of a percentage point, last week to 5.12 percent, the lowest since Sept. 21. The yield rose to 5.58 percent today, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Almost all of Libya’s 6.6 million people are Muslims. Islamic banking services in the country, though, are limited to Murabaha, Ashur said. A Murabaha is a three-party contract where a customer places an order at a bank to purchase goods from a supplier by paying a deposit and securing the rest through a collateral. The bank sells the goods back to the customer at a mark-up with a fixed credit period.

Finish ‘Quickly’

The committee preparing the sukuk law “has been encouraged to finish its work quickly,” Ashur said, without giving a specific time-frame.

Libyan banks “have a lot to clear up” before they recover from the effects of the conflict, Albaraka’s Yousif said in a telephone interview on Oct. 24. Customers pulled money out of banks after fighting flared up in February, prompting authorities to place a 1,000 dinar ($826) monthly limit on individual withdrawals, Ashour, 57, said. The central bank eased the rules after the fall of Qaddafi, leaving the decision up to each lender “based on its liquidity,” he said.

“Our priority is to fix the liquidity problem at banks so that customers can withdraw money without any limits,” he said, adding that the central bank may print money to help lenders until “confidence in the banking industry returns.”

Libya’s economy will contract 34 percent this year and another 16 percent in 2012, according to projections by the Institute of International Finance Inc. Gross domestic product rose 13 percent in 2010, the data show. The country has no outstanding debt, according to Fitch Ratings.

Inflation Accelerates

The conflict drove the inflation rate to 13.2 percent in June from below 10 percent prior to February, Ashur said, citing the most recent official figures. The central bank aims to bring the rate down to “single digits,” he said.

The fighting prompted Fitch to withdraw Libya’s credit rating on April 13, citing “extreme political instability” and the loss of oil production. Standard & Poor’s gave the nation no rating on March 10, after previously ranking it BB, the second- highest non-investment grade and the same level as Jordan, Macedonia and Costa Rica.

Still, resuming “basic” banking services in Libya may not take long because “the regulations are there, the institutions exist,” Jarmo Kotilaine, chief economist at National Commercial Bank in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, said.

“I’m sure the war caused physical damage and infrastructure disruptions, but getting business back up and running shouldn’t take too long,” he said in a telephone interview yesterday.

Crude Reserves

The time it will take Libyan authorities to develop Shariah-compliant banking “depends on whether they want their Islamic banks to have distinct regulations from conventional banks,” he said. “It’s a question of policy.”

Shariah-compliant debt in the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council returned 8.3 percent this year, the HSBC/NASDAQ Dubai GCC US Dollar Sukuk Index shows. Non-Shariah compliant emerging- market bonds gained 7.8 percent in the period, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s EMBI Global Composite Index.

Libya is home to the biggest crude oil reserves in Africa. The country was producing about 1.6 million barrels of oil a day before the conflict broke out in February. Output, which slid to a ’’trickle’’ during the fighting, may reach 600,000 barrels a day by the end of 2011 , according to the International Energy Agency.

Other signs of economic recovery include businessmen setting up so-called letters of credit to finance imports, Ashur said. “Cash is starting to get back to the banks.”

Billions Abroad

The Libyan central bank and the country’s sovereign-wealth fund have about $168 billion in assets abroad. About $50 billion of that is in bank deposits in European countries including Germany, the U.K., France and Italy, Farhat Bengdara, the central bank governor who broke with Qaddafi’s regime, said in an interview in August.

Western governments have begun to lift sanctions on Libya’s frozen assets. France has said it was releasing 1.5 billion euros ($2.1 billion) and the United Nations Security Council on Aug. 30 approved Britain’s request to release $1.6 billion of Libyan assets held in U.K. banks.

“It will take some time,” Ashur said, referring to the international drive to lift the asset freeze. “Once it’s complete, it will take just two to three weeks for the banking liquidity to return.”

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

Islamic banking is actually quite interesting for anyone interested in looking at the basis for the principles of interest.

I realize this is not a large group.

Narmi
Feb 26, 2008


Any word on how the NTC/new government plans to reign in vigilante mobs? That article Brown Moses linked earlier is pretty damning. I can understand (without condoning) how the guys who fought Gaddafi's men feel they have a right to continue rounding up people they view as enemies, but they need to stop that kind of stuff ASAP before they decide they're some kind of secret/state security police.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


Narmi posted:

Any word on how the NTC/new government plans to reign in vigilante mobs? That article Brown Moses linked earlier is pretty damning. I can understand (without condoning) how the guys who fought Gaddafi's men feel they have a right to continue rounding up people they view as enemies, but they need to stop that kind of stuff ASAP before they decide they're some kind of secret/state security police.

I've not seen anything solid yet, various proposals by various groups, but that should be decided when the new PM puts together a cabinet.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011


Killer robot posted:

Fixed that. Not to say the rest of the world didn't agree there, but it's important to remember, not just with Obama but with every year, that the Peace Prize is the odd one out of the Nobel prizes. Each has a small committee that collects and screens nominations then makes suggestions, while a larger body from an outside organization actually makes the decision. With the Nobel Peace Prize, the same five people handle the whole process, and between that and the nature of the prize itself this makes it immensely shaped by the personal views of a few people, who themselves are chosen by a national parliament and will reflect its current politics. As a result, its historical quality is pretty variable even without taking hindsight into account. I remember speculation from some Norwegians at the time that the committee was like many probably starstruck by Obama and wanted a chance to meet him. Might be exaggeration, but maybe not far off.
Well, what I wrote was the message they wanted to make, even if you're right that it really was just 5 starstruck Norwegians who were sad that they couldn't vote in the presidential election.

Giving it to Obama as a way of congratulating the US populace on not being totally retarded might not be business as usual for the Peace Prize, but it's not like most other recipients have been that deserving. Carter got the reward partly to say to the Americans that Bush was retarded as well, so they send the message twice to make sure it got through.

Killer robot posted:

When I was a kid I once thought "ammo dump" meant just like a cartoon garbage dump only ammo, rather than any sort of deliberate storage. My child self feels redeemed.
I just thought this video resembled a Masaoki videos so much, I was half expecting that crate to catch fire while he was opening it.

Jut
May 15, 2005

Great Leader shall defeat all the untrained and pathetic rebel infidels! See how he rolls his eyes at their impudence! With his might as a prophet of God, we shall let the desert stain red with the blood of these lowly dogs! For every one of us killed by NATO, we shall kill 100 with our sleepers!


Brown Moses posted:

I've not seen anything solid yet, various proposals by various groups, but that should be decided when the new PM puts together a cabinet.

That should have been planned a long long time ago.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


Jut posted:

That should have been planned a long long time ago.

The major problem they would have had in planning anything is the lack of authority the NTC had over different regions. Each candidate for PM had to outline their vision for the future of Libya and how they would achieve it, so hopefully the new PM actually has a plan he now has the authority to put into action.

CJ Chivers, who you might remember from earlier on in the conflict for writing a series of excellent articles in Misrata and Nafusa, has started following me on Twitter, seemingly after seeing one of my Tweets linking to Caro's videos of ammo dumps near Sirte. It feels dirty and wrong.

Ultras Lazio
May 22, 2010

by Y Kant Ozma Post


".....Killing one single person is tantamount to killing all humanity...."

Or more complete...

[005:032] We ordained for the Children of Israel that if any one slew a person – unless it be for murder or for spreading mischief in the land – it would be as if he slew the whole people: and if any one saved a life, it would be as if he saved the life of the whole people.

Whatever Erdogan, whatever.

However, the message for Syria is there and is strong. Will it be NATO again but this time through the renewed Turkish imperialism?

(Note: I am personally really in two minds about intervention in Syria. A perfect example of damned if you do, very damned if you don't...)

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


Just in on Syria

quote:

Syrian state television said on Tuesday a final agreement had been reached between Syrian authorities and an Arab League committee tasked with finding a solution to end seven months of unrest.

"The agreement between Syria and the Arab committee (has been reached) on the final paper regarding the situation in Syria and the official announcement (will be) tomorrow at the Arab League headquarters," a breaking news strapline on the television said.

Brown Moses fucked around with this message at Nov 1, 2011 around 16:54

Ultras Lazio
May 22, 2010

by Y Kant Ozma Post


http://www.ajc.com/news/nation-worl...ns-1214172.html

Atomic Syria? UN uncovers new evidence?

"WASHINGTON — U.N. investigators have identified a previously unknown complex in Syria that bolsters suspicions that the Syrian government worked with A.Q. Khan, the father of Pakistan's atomic bomb, to acquire technology that could make nuclear arms...."

Narmi
Feb 26, 2008


Brown Moses posted:

Just in on Syria

You got your link a bit messed up there. Try this one.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


Thanks, fixed it.

J33uk
Oct 23, 2005


Ultras Lazio posted:

http://www.ajc.com/news/nation-worl...ns-1214172.html

Atomic Syria? UN uncovers new evidence?

"WASHINGTON — U.N. investigators have identified a previously unknown complex in Syria that bolsters suspicions that the Syrian government worked with A.Q. Khan, the father of Pakistan's atomic bomb, to acquire technology that could make nuclear arms...."

Not exactly a surprise, at least to anyone who's had their ear to the ground on this stuff. The entire Syrian reaction to the Israeli raid was the biggest heads up that it was actually a nuclear site. That said god drat did AQ Khan really hustle on selling out.

Narmi
Feb 26, 2008


Realistically, if Syria was enriching plutonium, what could anyone doÉ Follow the Iran path of sanctions? Another Israeli air raid? Anything they do seems like it would be counter-productive to the protesters goals right now.

Ultras Lazio
May 22, 2010

by Y Kant Ozma Post


Narmi posted:

Realistically, if Syria was enriching plutonium, what could anyone doÉ Follow the Iran path of sanctions? Another Israeli air raid? Anything they do seems like it would be counter-productive to the protesters goals right now.

I'm usually not one for conspiracies however...the timing of this is suspect and it pushes things towards intervention.

Shall I bomb Syria and risk an "earthquake", shall I not and gently caress the prosters
Shall I bomb Syria and risk an "earthquake", shall I not and gently caress the prosters
Shall I bomb Syria and risk an "earthquake", shall I not and gently caress the prosters
Shall I bo....got it! They are building nukes so, bomb the fuckers and put Turkish boots on the ground!

Done.

Phew...you see, it's really easier than it looks.

oh...and Caro, you've seen what a cracked skull looks like "live", quit while you're ahead.

ThePutty
Jun 26, 2011

"You know how vodka or whiskey are distilled multiple times to taste good? It's the same with shit. After being digested for the third time shit starts to taste reeeeeeaaaally yummy."

Caro cannot be that insane to enter Syria. There's no loving way he'd go that far, and if he did, gently caress, he'd be dead within a month.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002


quote:

Analysis: Libya's NTC struggles to stay the "good guys"

Having picked a new prime minister, Libya's fractious interim ruling council must now restore its own credibility, dented by unseemly haggling over Muammar Gaddafi's rotting remains.

The nature of the man's death - insulted, battered and abused before being shot dead - has done some damage to its standing, with many observers asking themselves, just who are the men who have replaced him?

"The good guys," one Western diplomat insisted when asked that question in Tripoli last week.

But the halo awarded to the so far unelected National Transitional Council (NTC), hurriedly put together as the war against Gaddafi started, is under temporary review by their foreign backers as the headaches of state-building emerge.

The selection by the NTC of little known academic Abdurrahim El-Keib as interim prime minister on Monday also highlighted how mysterious the internal workings of the new ruling group can be to perplexed diplomats, journalists and Libya analysts, as well as - especially - to an increasingly impatient Libyan public.

"Your time is done, NTC," a young Libyan blogger wrote this week. "Thank you - the Libyan people."

Many of them are worried about whether a coalition of armed factions that were bound mostly by hatred of Gaddafi can hold together now his regime has crumbled and he has been buried.

Rights groups are attacking the NTC, too. First it was accusations of the illegal detention and torture of thousands of pro-Gaddafi fighters and, now, reports from Human Rights Watch that fighters loyal to the NTC may have executed scores of captured Gaddafi loyalists in his hometown.

Revenge attacks are common in other parts of the country.

Reuters reporters have heard residents of one Tripoli suburb shout, "You're just the same as he was! One dictatorship for another!" at a patrol of NTC fighters, combing the neighborhood for locals they say still worship a dead man.

Another sign that the road ahead for post-Gaddafi Libya could be rocky is the wrangling and political horse-trading that took place over Gaddafi's corpse - four days of haggling about its fate before it was finally buried in a secret grave.

It all adds up to a clock of patience slowly ticking down - amid a potentially dangerous power vacuum - as the NTC faces its biggest challenge so far - shepherding the country peacefully to what it has promised will be a functioning democracy.

Keib has promised he will select an interim cabinet over the next couple of weeks after which it will serve for an eight-month run-up to an election for a national assembly charged with drawing up a new constitution.

That will then sit for a year before elections proper - what kind of elections will depend on the form of the constitution.

The question for Libya is whether or not the country can get there without regional, religious and policy divisions knocking things off course or back toward violence.

"A basic problem is that the allegiance of most fighters who helped defeat the pro-Gaddafi forces is firstly to their own militias, whose identity is mostly based on specific towns, and only second to the NTC," Alex Warren, of Frontier MEA, a Middle East and north Africa research and advisory firm, told Reuters.

"That raises the question of who could maintain stability in the case of any major clashes between the different armed groups themselves. I don't think those will necessarily happen, but it is vital that the NTC take steps to form a centralized armed force or disarm the militias, both of which will be very delicate and difficult tasks in the current environment."

"WHO GETS THE TOFFEE?"

Leaders of those cities, the most powerful being Tripoli, Benghazi and Misrata, are all heavily involved in the debate over the future direction of both the NTC and Libya. Most attend political meetings with heavily armed bodyguards.

"They're treating government like a big chocolate box where they're bargaining over who gets the toffee," one diplomat said.

"'You give us defense and you can have internal affairs'. But what are they arguing about really? There still haven't been any elections. They can't keep the jobs long term."

It is those regional divides that are seen in Libya as being potentially fractious - and the biggest challenge the NTC faces - rather than the debate between secularists and Islamists that has provoked some alarm in the Western media.

Many analysts believe that as long as the organization around the interim arrangements can stay cohesive until the elections, the outcome can be good for ordinary Libyans.

With Gaddafi gone, the mantle of the glue holding the NTC together has been handed to its chairman, Mustafa Abdel Jalil, a consenus-builder respected by people from all regions and by moderates, conservatives, Islamists and secularists.

It is not clear, however, what Abdel Jalil's ambitions are.

"He's tired," one NTC official said of Gaddafi's former justice minister. "I don't think he wants to lead Libya. I think we'll see him go for any of the top jobs when we have the elections."

With the spectre of Abdel Jalil perhaps stepping aside and with an unknown appointed as prime minister for the interim, it is proving difficult for potential investors and for other Libyan officials to know whom to do business with at this stage - let alone who may emerge once full elections are held.

"It's hard to know which horses to bet on when you don't have very accurate odds on them," a diplomat from an Arab state told Reuters. "But countries are making bets, anyway."

On how long the NTC glue can hold, prognoses vary wildly.

Some see a return to all out civil war between rival militias. Others bet on the emergence of a fledgling democracy with the potential to become a regional powerhouse.

Most analysts, though, fall somewhere between the two, predicting peaceful politicking with some low-level skirmishes possible as Libya moves down a bumpy path of change.

For many, it would be a worry if the men at the top were not openly arguing over the spoils of war or engaging in debates about what role Islam should play in politics - secularists lining up against, for now, their Islamist allies.

"It's good because it's the essence of democracy," said Libyan political scientist, Ahmed al-Atrash. "But we're learning. Libyans are not aware of how democracy works yet. But we are very serious about moving this forward - to establish a democracy without this international criminal in charge."

OwlBot 2000
Jun 1, 2009


Being "good guys" or "bad guys" never made a difference in international support, at least compared to the real question: do they represent our interests? As Truman once said, "He's a bastard, but he's OUR bastard!"

suboptimal
Oct 27, 2008

Ba-dam ba-DUMMMMMM


ThePutty posted:

Caro cannot be that insane to enter Syria. There's no loving way he'd go that far, and if he did, gently caress, he'd be dead within hours.

Fixed that for you. Compared to the security apparatus in Syria, anything Caro would have faced in Libya would be equivalent to a troop of boy scouts armed with BB guns.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009



Ultras Lazio posted:

I'm usually not one for conspiracies however...the timing of this is suspect and it pushes things towards intervention.

Why would it push things towards intervention? Explain, please. And how do you imagine that would work, bomb a cotton-spinning plan that might some time in the past been used for nuclear program? What would that do? Syria's connections to Khan is nothing new. More over, USA already got epically burned after its "smoking gun evidence" of Iraqi nuclear weapons turned out to be hot air. Obama voted against the 2003 war and has been very reserved about Iranian nuclear program compared to Republicans, he's not going to start drawing nuclear bogeymen now.

This story is a completely unrelated red herring and you actually are a consiracy theorist if you don't recognize that instead.

suboptimal
Oct 27, 2008

Ba-dam ba-DUMMMMMM


Except it may not be the US that would bomb that site, it would more likely be Israel or perhaps Turkey. Israel has never needed a pretext to bomb reactors in other countries (Osirak in 1983, the other Syrian site in 2007) so this would be par for the course for them. Additionally, Turkey's been taking a way harder stance towards Syria in recent months, even allowing an insurgent group to operate from its border region. Saudi Arabia just got itself a hawkish new crown prince who has no tolerance for Iran and its allies, of which Syria is one. It's not outside the realm of possibility that one of these three might take action on their own.

Ultras Lazio
May 22, 2010

by Y Kant Ozma Post


suboptimal posted:

Except it may not be the US that would bomb that site, it would more likely be Israel or perhaps Turkey. Israel has never needed a pretext to bomb reactors in other countries (Osirak in 1983, the other Syrian site in 2007) so this would be par for the course for them. Additionally, Turkey's been taking a way harder stance towards Syria in recent months, even allowing an insurgent group to operate from its border region. Saudi Arabia just got itself a hawkish new crown prince who has no tolerance for Iran and its allies, of which Syria is one. It's not outside the realm of possibility that one of these three might take action on their own.

No further comment your honour. Thanks.

Actually, I would add that this could serve Turkey's new big local guy stance.

Darth123123
Jan 26, 2006
I AM A TIME TRAVELER FROM THE PAST AND THINK THERE IS STILL A MEGARULE IN PYF. PLEASE IGNORE MY REPORTS.

suboptimal posted:

Except it may not be the US that would bomb that site, it would more likely be Israel or perhaps Turkey. Israel has never needed a pretext to bomb reactors in other countries (Osirak in 1983, the other Syrian site in 2007) so this would be par for the course for them. Additionally, Turkey's been taking a way harder stance towards Syria in recent months, even allowing an insurgent group to operate from its border region. Saudi Arabia just got itself a hawkish new crown prince who has no tolerance for Iran and its allies, of which Syria is one. It's not outside the realm of possibility that one of these three might take action on their own.

So would Syria respond/fight against Israel or Turkey? I mean they would have internal and external fronts being fought. My guess they'd let them bomb the site and do nothing but fight to keep in power.

suboptimal
Oct 27, 2008

Ba-dam ba-DUMMMMMM


Darth123123 posted:

So would Syria respond/fight against Israel or Turkey? I mean they would have internal and external fronts being fought. My guess they'd let them bomb the site and do nothing but fight to keep in power.

A war with Israel could actually be one of the things that ends the anti-government protests. I recall some protesters mocking the government for using the army to crack down on protesters rather than liberating the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. While hate for the government may not be uniform throughout the populace, I'd wager that hate for Israel is much more of a common feature. If Syria gets its rear end kicked, then Assad gets to say it was all an Israeli plan to draw them into a war they couldn't win.

A fight between Turkey and Syria would be something without precedent. I'd imagine there's a good parity of arms between the two countries, with Turkey maybe having a slight edge in terms of combat readiness (since they're already on a war footing due to their incursion into Kurdistan). I really have no idea how that would pan out.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009



suboptimal posted:

Except it may not be the US that would bomb that site, it would more likely be Israel or perhaps Turkey. Israel has never needed a pretext to bomb reactors in other countries (Osirak in 1983, the other Syrian site in 2007) so this would be par for the course for them. Additionally, Turkey's been taking a way harder stance towards Syria in recent months, even allowing an insurgent group to operate from its border region. Saudi Arabia just got itself a hawkish new crown prince who has no tolerance for Iran and its allies, of which Syria is one. It's not outside the realm of possibility that one of these three might take action on their own.

How does Obama and the Rotschilds fit into this all? If you are going to suggest that the IAEA is part of the conspiracy, then who is controlling them? Was Operation Orchard also a part of the plan to overthrow the Syrian government or was that unrelated to this conspiracy? And what should Israel/Turkey/the Reptiloids actually bomb, a cotton plant? There's no sense in this. You're just picking up unrelated bits and pieces, rolling them together and thinking "yep, that proves it, IAEA is part of them now."

Narmi
Feb 26, 2008


suboptimal posted:

A fight between Turkey and Syria would be something without precedent. I'd imagine there's a good parity of arms between the two countries, with Turkey maybe having a slight edge in terms of combat readiness (since they're already on a war footing due to their incursion into Kurdistan). I really have no idea how that would pan out.

It would depend who instigates it, wouldn't it? Turkey's a NATO country, so all the other NATO countries have to back them up if Syria attacks them. As for Turkey attacking Syria, they're still dealing with the aftermath from that earthquake, so that would take some of the wind out of an attack by them.

At the moment at least, itès in the best interest of both sides not to start anything, though with the stance Turkey has been taking recently who knows what could happen.

suboptimal
Oct 27, 2008

Ba-dam ba-DUMMMMMM


Nenonen posted:

How does Obama and the Rotschilds fit into this all? If you are going to suggest that the IAEA is part of the conspiracy, then who is controlling them? Was Operation Orchard also a part of the plan to overthrow the Syrian government or was that unrelated to this conspiracy? And what should Israel/Turkey/the Reptiloids actually bomb, a cotton plant? There's no sense in this. You're just picking up unrelated bits and pieces, rolling them together and thinking "yep, that proves it, IAEA is part of them now."



I've re-read this post like five times and I still have no idea what the gently caress you're talking about here. Where on earth did I ever claim that there was some sort of conspiracy against Syria? All I did point out was that there are regional powers other than the US that could act against a purported Syrian nuclear complex on their own initiative.

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

Narmi posted:

It would depend who instigates it, wouldn't it? Turkey's a NATO country, so all the other NATO countries have to back them up if Syria attacks them. As for Turkey attacking Syria, they're still dealing with the aftermath from that earthquake, so that would take some of the wind out of an attack by them.

At the moment at least, itès in the best interest of both sides not to start anything, though with the stance Turkey has been taking recently who knows what could happen.

I would argue with the presumption that Turkey would call NATO in. To do so would completely undermine their position as an emergent regional power. This isn't an existential threat for Turkey, its a challenge based on its perception of its authority as the prototypical Islamic democracy. Calling in NATO would be a disaster for them.

IM_DA_DECIDER
May 7, 2005
custard title

suboptimal posted:


A fight between Turkey and Syria would be something without precedent. I'd imagine there's a good parity of arms between the two countries, with Turkey maybe having a slight edge in terms of combat readiness (since they're already on a war footing due to their incursion into Kurdistan). I really have no idea how that would pan out.

At the risk of of starting a Tom Clancy derail, I was under the impression that the Turkish military was second only to Israel in the region and Syria was just another middle eastern circus troupe used to stifle internal dissent but not to fight a serious war.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011


suboptimal posted:

A fight between Turkey and Syria would be something without precedent. I'd imagine there's a good parity of arms between the two countries, with Turkey maybe having a slight edge in terms of combat readiness (since they're already on a war footing due to their incursion into Kurdistan). I really have no idea how that would pan out.

IM_DA_DECIDER posted:

At the risk of of starting a Tom Clancy derail, I was under the impression that the Turkish military was second only to Israel in the region and Syria was just another middle eastern circus troupe used to stifle internal dissent but not to fight a serious war.
Yeah, I would be surprised if the Turks can't beat the Syrians. They have larger armed forces, that are probably better trained and better equipped than most anything the Syrians can throw at them. There is a huge potential for a clusterfuck though, with Kurdish independence seekers in both Turkey and Syria, and across the border in Iraq. And you never know what any of the neighboring states are gonna do.

suboptimal posted:



I've re-read this post like five times and I still have no idea what the gently caress you're talking about here. Where on earth did I ever claim that there was some sort of conspiracy against Syria? All I did point out was that there are regional powers other than the US that could act against a purported Syrian nuclear complex on their own initiative.
I've got no idea either, just the fact that you talk about them acting on their own goes against any claim of you believing in a conspiracy.

Amused to Death
Aug 10, 2009

google "The Night Witches", and prepare for

In regards to the hypothetical Turkey-Syria war, there basically is no parity. The Turkish armed forces are not only larger, but more importantly much more advanced and better trained than their Syrian counterparts. Aside from basically always having a better economy to equip the military, being a NATO member for 50 years, and one of the most strategically placed NATO members, has its advantages. Heck just look at the difference in military spending:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/milit...ld/spending.htm

Syria on paper has a lot of armor, but a lot of it is old, wiki says it has around 1,000 T-72s as it'a main battle thank, of which 100 something were upgraded by an Italian firm. God knows how many of them are actually running.

Also Turkey hasn't face many defections from military units during ongoing mass protests against their government.

Casimir Radon
Aug 1, 2008



Jut posted:

That should have been planned a long long time ago.
I'm sure a Marxist would have done that, things never get violent when they take over![/sarcasm]

ThePutty posted:


Caro cannot be that insane to enter Syria. There's no loving way he'd go that far, and if he did, gently caress, he'd be dead within a month.
He got himself permabanned again last night, posting from the US. Why he's not being interrogated right now is beyond me. I really don't want to have to put my name on a tip form.

big fat retard
Nov 11, 2003
I AM AN IDIOT WITH A COMPULSIVE NEED TO TROLL EVERY THREAD I SEE!!!! PAY NO ATTENTION TO WHAT I HAVE TO SAY!!!

Killer robot posted:


When I was a kid I once thought "ammo dump" meant just like a cartoon garbage dump only ammo, rather than any sort of deliberate storage. My child self feels redeemed.

One thing I've taken away from Caro's videos is that this Libya conflict seems almost like a video game sometimes, even every FPS trope about storing weapons and ammunition.

A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011


Amused to Death posted:

In regards to the hypothetical Turkey-Syria war, there basically is no parity. The Turkish armed forces are not only larger, but more importantly much more advanced and better trained than their Syrian counterparts. Aside from basically always having a better economy to equip the military, being a NATO member for 50 years, and one of the most strategically placed NATO members, has its advantages. Heck just look at the difference in military spending:
http://www.globalsecurity.org/milit...ld/spending.htm
Hah, alright, 8 times the military spending in a nation that has got it's poo poo together should be enough. Perhaps the Syrian military will overthrow Assad if war looks likely, to preserve their toys and prestige. That would probably be the least painful resolution to the whole situation, though hopefully they wouldn't just install another strongman.

Chronojam
Feb 20, 2006

gosh, mrs. robot, mom told me not to take mixed drinks from strangers

THE HORSES rear end posted:

One thing I've taken away from Caro's videos is that this Libya conflict seems almost like a video game sometimes, even every FPS trope about storing weapons and ammunition.

Plus barrels, don't forget those.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009



suboptimal posted:



I've re-read this post like five times and I still have no idea what the gently caress you're talking about here. Where on earth did I ever claim that there was some sort of conspiracy against Syria?

You stepped in to support Ultras Lazios when he said "I'm usually not one for conspiracies however..." and didn't clearly say that you disagreed with his insinuation, so of course I would assume that you agreed that it is a conspiracy. In this thread (nay, in Internet) it's more than likely, anyway.

But even without conspiracy theories, I can't see where the connection is here. 1) What would Israel bomb based on this? 2) If that happened, what would it do to remove Assad, if anything? 3) If 1 happened, wouldn't Israel have done it even without the protests going on? 4) Why should Turkey care about Syria's nuclear program? 5) Why should Saudi Arabia care about Syria's nuclear program? There's just absolutely nothing tying the IAEA report to any real or imagined intervention plans aimed at removing Assad.

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A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011


Nenonen posted:

You stepped in to support Ultras Lazios when he said "I'm usually not one for conspiracies however..." and didn't clearly say that you disagreed with his insinuation, so of course I would assume that you agreed that it is a conspiracy. In this thread (nay, in Internet) it's more than likely, anyway.

But even without conspiracy theories, I can't see where the connection is here. 1) What would Israel bomb based on this? 2) If that happened, what would it do to remove Assad, if anything? 3) If 1 happened, wouldn't Israel have done it even without the protests going on? 4) Why should Turkey care about Syria's nuclear program? 5) Why should Saudi Arabia care about Syria's nuclear program? There's just absolutely nothing tying the IAEA report to any real or imagined intervention plans aimed at removing Assad.
To me, it seemed more like he stepped in to argue against an extremely America-centric viewpoint. Your post made it seem like if the US didn't want to act, no one else would either. Israel is a great example in this case, because they very rarely care about what the US thinks anyway, since they know they won't actually do anything. Turkey isn't as friendly with the US as it once was either, and they're asserting their power in the region again after about 90 years, so they might also act against the US' wishes.

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