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ElwoodCuse
Jan 11, 2004

we're puttin' the band back together

Ooh, here's the reverse of that. Who's the best hitter ever? John Paciorek, brother of Tom and Jim, has a grand total of 5 major league plate appearances (for Houston in 1963, one game). 3 singles, 2 walks. Anyone else never ever make an out in that many times up?

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Dusseldorf
Mar 29, 2005



Billy Beane's favorite is Eddie Gaedel.

Mr. Cool Ice
Mar 4, 2007

I Terrorism


ElwoodCuse posted:

Ooh, here's the reverse of that. Who's the best hitter ever? John Paciorek, brother of Tom and Jim, has a grand total of 5 major league plate appearances (for Houston in 1963, one game). 3 singles, 2 walks. Anyone else never ever make an out in that many times up?

That looks to be the only 5-5 career in history.


I know that if Verlander goes 0-4 in his first interleague game next year, he'll become the worst hitter of all time. Mark your calendars!

Combo
Aug 18, 2003



Pumpkin McPastry posted:

I thought his deal was that he threw hard and one year he stranded a million runners as a reliever, so everybody thought he had "figured it out."

He at least posted an ERA+ of 100 or better every year of his career until the Cardinals decided it would be a good idea to turn him into a starter in 2007. He certainly wasn't good, but he wasn't completely terrible either.

Infidel Castro
Jun 8, 2010

WHATCHA GONNA DO, BROTHER?!


Combo posted:

He at least posted an ERA+ of 100 or better every year of his career until the Cardinals decided it would be a good idea to turn him into a starter in 2007. He certainly wasn't good, but he wasn't completely terrible either.

I remamber with Milwaukee the only reason he posted a decent W-L record is because he lead the league in run support.

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates


Blooper is pretty much the definition of "innings eater". An above-average (but not good) 80 IP in relief or a below-average (but not bad) 200 IP as a starter.

Abel Wingnut
Dec 23, 2002



Can one sacrifice fly to foul territory?

CraigK
Nov 4, 2008

tonged again


Abel Wingnut posted:

Can one sacrifice fly to foul territory?

Yeah, if it's deep enough.

Fag Boy Jim
Oct 7, 2007

unban longavs


CraigK posted:

Yeah, if it's deep enough.

Or anywhere, if you're in Oakland.

dshban
Jan 31, 2007

REFEREE
im a ghost


Question. Buster Olney tweeted this a few minutes ago:

@Buster_ESPN posted:

Pirates' pitching more than a half run in ERA better than any other NL Central team (http://t.co/v2Twjyx). So yeah, they're for real.

I replied back:

@dshban posted:

Except their xFIP is 3.98, with the Brewers at 3.50, the Cardinals at 3.77 and the Astros at 3.88.

I want to believe in America's Team too but they look ripe for regression while the Brewers are gonna get luckier

His reply:

@Buster_ESPN posted:

So if th Pirates win the division, will you say they were lucky, or that the sample size was too small? Either way: They won't care.

And finally:

@dshban posted:

I'd say that they were lucky, but be absolutely thrilled about it.

Did I use xFIP correctly here? And what's the answer to Buster's question in his reply to me?

Badfinger
Dec 16, 2004

Timeouts?!

We'll take care of that.


The Giants were the luckiest team last year. The team that wins the World Series is almost always the luckiest team in baseball that year. The Pirates are absolutely getting lucky. That doesn't mean that they're actually bad, or that you shouldn't enjoy it.

I wouldn't have said that the Brewers will get luckier, but they're more likely to have better pitching the rest of the way.

Nodoze
Aug 17, 2006



Guess being negative is my thing now, but the Pirates are absolutely getting lucky and are an inferior team to the Cards, Brewers, and Reds. You should enjoy it though, and you have a grasp on what's going on so you shouldn't be floored when Jeff Karstens starts being Jeff Karstens again

The Prisoner
Feb 10, 2008

Pass pucks every day


dshban posted:

Did I use xFIP correctly here? And what's the answer to Buster's question in his reply to me?
I think you held up very well. Nothing you said is invalid and as all of it is absolutely correct. The Pirates are lucky as poo poo right now and not a better team than the Brew Crew or Cards, both of whom are probably underperforming, and I'm sure that can be supported with numbers by someone more savvy with these things.

Kimasu v2.0
Jan 19, 2001
Forum Veteran

When there's two outs with either bases loaded or runners on first and second why is the ball always thrown to first base when the third baseman or short stop catches it? Last night I saw Ty Wiggington at third throw to Helton at first who lost it in the sun and when all he had to do was reach out his arm to tag the runner right in front of him.

Bigass Moth
Mar 6, 2004



Kimasu v2.0 posted:

When there's two outs with either bases loaded or runners on first and second why is the ball always thrown to first base when the third baseman or short stop catches it? Last night I saw Ty Wiggington at third throw to Helton at first who lost it in the sun and when all he had to do was reach out his arm to tag the runner right in front of him.

Because the runners on base make a faster break from the bag than the batter does out of the box. Going to 1st is always the right play with 2 outs.

stuart scott irl
Mar 9, 2007



dshban posted:


Did I use xFIP correctly here? And what's the answer to Buster's question in his reply to me?

More or less. Team xFIP probably has more confounding factors that should be taken into consideration than xFIP for an individual player, but when you look at each guy in the staff it's obvious there is a lot of good fortune propelling them right now, so yeah. Buster Olney doesn't give that stuff the time of day though, usually.

Infidel Castro
Jun 8, 2010

WHATCHA GONNA DO, BROTHER?!


The Prisoner posted:

I think you held up very well. Nothing you said is invalid and as all of it is absolutely correct. The Pirates are lucky as poo poo right now and not a better team than the Brew Crew or Cards, both of whom are probably underperforming, and I'm sure that can be supported with numbers by someone more savvy with these things.

I know it's not exactly the most scientific analysis, but I decided to take a look at in-division meetings so far; most notably how many times the Pirates, Brewers, Reds, and Cardinals have played Houston and Chicago.

code:

Team      vs. Contender    vs. HOU/CHC
----      -------------    -----------
PIT           15               21
MIL           24               13
STL           21               14
CIN           32               17         

Pittsburgh's had the advantage of playing the majority of its division games against the two worst teams to this point. Plus, the Pirates have to play a ton of games yet with Milwaukee, and ask any Pirate fan their feelings on the Brewers.

Toffile
Sep 10, 2008

   'Cause she's so high
      High above me,
       she's so lovely

                - Everclear

Kimasu v2.0 posted:

When there's two outs with either bases loaded or runners on first and second why is the ball always thrown to first base when the third baseman or short stop catches it? Last night I saw Ty Wiggington at third throw to Helton at first who lost it in the sun and when all he had to do was reach out his arm to tag the runner right in front of him.

With two outs, you go for the force play to first, unless the ball is hit hard to a base.

You need to make the quickest sure out in order to prevent the runner on third from scoring.

Tag plays frequently end in rundowns, which is more than enough time to stall and get a run in.

Usually, the fastest out is at first, since as Moth said, the runners on base are able to break and also get a leadoff the bag. The batter probably be the last one to start running and has to cover the most distance.

Though if Wiggington were playing on the line, he might be able to just quickly run to third and get the force there. (I haven't seen the play so I'm assuming it was a bit wide of the foul line)

Kimasu v2.0
Jan 19, 2001
Forum Veteran

This is the play I'm referring to.

After watching the replay myself, I see what you mean about having to get the out quickly. The runner on third is already halfway home by the time Wigginton has the ball, and he's not on the line to he can't just step on third.

It makes sense to throw home, but at the time it seemed like he could just stick his arm out and touch the runner who was on second, because that runner pretty much has to stop and change course to avoid running into Wiggington.

Oodles of Wootles
Nov 8, 2008

safe

Wigginton was probably concentrating more on catching the ball than on where the runner was. He had probably already made up his mind to go to first as soon as the ball was hit.

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates


As a Pirates fan, anyone who doesn't think the Pirates are a very bad baseball team is delusional. That said, their offense has probably underperformed, and its regression to the mean may balance out the starters' a little bit. Let's Go The Bucs Bitch.

Infidel Castro
Jun 8, 2010

WHATCHA GONNA DO, BROTHER?!


Oodles of Wootles posted:

Wigginton was probably concentrating more on catching the ball than on where the runner was. He had probably already made up his mind to go to first as soon as the ball was hit.

Pretty much. Back in little league, I played a lot of 3B. One of the first things they taught was if there's 2 out and you field a ground ball, always throw to 1st.

ManifunkDestiny
Aug 2, 2005

King


dshban posted:

Question. Buster Olney tweeted this a few minutes ago:


Did I use xFIP correctly here? And what's the answer to Buster's question in his reply to me?

haha nice job "Max from Melbourne", you got mentioned on the Keith Law/Eric Karabell Baseball Today podcast at about 16 mins in.

sweets
Oct 24, 2010


ManifunkDestiny posted:

haha nice job "Max from Melbourne", you got mentioned on the Keith Law/Eric Karabell Baseball Today podcast at about 16 mins in.

I actually really liked this discussion. "The Giants offense couldn't wax a car right now" is also a pretty good line.

Grozz Nuy
Feb 21, 2008



sweets posted:

I actually really liked this discussion. "The Giants offense couldn't wax a car right now" is also a pretty good line.

Hey, we're not the worst in the majors anymore!

Just 26th

Toffile
Sep 10, 2008

   'Cause she's so high
      High above me,
       she's so lovely

                - Everclear

Grozz Nuy posted:

Hey, we're not the worst in the majors anymore!

Just 26th

Who's worse? A's, Padres, Nats, and M's?

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates


Toffile posted:

Who's worse? A's, Padres, Nats, and M's?

M's, Padres, A's, Twins, by wOBA. The Twins are actually better when park-adjusted, though, I guess.

e: Fun fact: only nine teams have a wRC+ of at least 100.

Grozz Nuy
Feb 21, 2008



Toffile posted:

Who's worse? A's, Padres, Nats, and M's?

In terms of runs scored: Padres, Dodgers, A's, and Mariners.

By wOBA: Mariners, Padres, A's, and Twins.

dshban
Jan 31, 2007

REFEREE
im a ghost


ManifunkDestiny posted:

haha nice job "Max from Melbourne", you got mentioned on the Keith Law/Eric Karabell Baseball Today podcast at about 16 mins in.

I know, I was so thrilled!

R.D. Mangles
Jan 10, 2004



How are defensive stats like Total Zone or UZR applied to old games using play-by-play?

I CHALLENGE THEE
Aug 25, 2005



R.D. Mangles posted:

How are defensive stats like Total Zone or UZR applied to old games using play-by-play?

TZR uses retrosheet data. Here's an explanation

vv that's correct

I CHALLENGE THEE fucked around with this message at Jul 20, 2011 around 16:20

Nate RFB
Jan 17, 2005

CG: IT'S ME AGAIN, ASSHOLE
CG: THE ONE WHO HATES YOU, REMEMBER?


And UZR only goes back to 2002, as I believe that's as far back Baseball Info Solutions batted ball data goes.

Bigass Moth
Mar 6, 2004



I asked in another thread and it got buried - what classifies someone as a "compiler"? My specific example was Sammy Sosa.

toadee
Aug 16, 2003

North American Turtle Boy Love Association

Bigass Moth posted:

I asked in another thread and it got buried - what classifies someone as a "compiler"? My specific example was Sammy Sosa.

It's a general statement implying that someone who is a good but not great player stuck around for a long time and put up enough decent years to reach typical milestone plateaus (500HR, 3,000 hits, etc). People who reach those plateaus are usually considered surefire hall of famers (not 500HR anymore but hey), and so the argument is that by being merely a 'decent compiler', they are not worthy of the hall of fame despite reaching these plateaus. It's usually bullshit, Hank Aaron would be a great example of 'compiler' (it's hard to tell what a great example would be since there's no explicit definition of a compiler), as would Ty Cobb. Basically used to confirm a retarded sports writer's 'gut feeling' that someone shouldn't be in.

Grozz Nuy
Feb 21, 2008



A compiler is a player who had an extremely long career without being a truly dominant player at any point during it. Thus they are very high in counting stats like hits, home runs, and RBI, but not as good in rate stats like OPS. Some people were arguing that Rafael Palmiero was a compiler during Hall of Fame voting debate last year, for an example. Sosa is not really the best example because of the period he had from 1998-2002 where he was OPSing around 1 and was consistently in the top 10 of MVP voting.

Ronald Dregan
Apr 19, 2008



Bert Blyleven is often called a "compiler" by people who don't know how to properly evaluate pitchers. Here's a lengthy blog post calling him a compiler. http://www.hallofverygood.com/2009/...t-blyleven.html

Oodles of Wootles
Nov 8, 2008

safe

toadee posted:

as would Ty Cobb.
Why would he fit this? He had a very long career, but he was a leader in almost every offensive category throughout. He led the league in OPS 10 times and was second 4 times. He didn't hit a lot of dingers, but no one did then.

Badfinger
Dec 16, 2004

Timeouts?!

We'll take care of that.


The fun thing about Sammy Sosa is that outside of those 4-5 or so seasons, he was a really pedestrian player. Even during those amazing seasons he barely had a .400 OBP. Great, but those were slugging heavy. So buoyed by a few really great seasons, he compiled his way to 2400 hits, a bunch of dingers and a billion strikeouts.

drat shame the first person people think to compare McGwire with is Sosa.

toadee
Aug 16, 2003

North American Turtle Boy Love Association

Oodles of Wootles posted:

Why would he fit this? He had a very long career, but he was a leader in almost every offensive category throughout. He led the league in OPS 10 times and was second 4 times. He didn't hit a lot of dingers, but no one did then.

I was just going on people I could think of with exceptionally long and healthy careers. I mean what is the difference between Ty Cobb compiling stats and Rafael Palmeiro? If you think those stats are hall of fame worthy then what does it matter?

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Oodles of Wootles
Nov 8, 2008

safe

The difference is that Palmeiro never really led the league in any significant category at any point in his career. He led the AL in hits once, but that was it. Ty Cobb was arguably the best hitter in the MLB for 10 years or more.

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