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Are there any general or newbie tips I am missing with my betting on baseball? I have been betting on some games for four days now and am just breaking even. Almost up 25% of my original deposit, but the A's blew that three-run lead in the ninth last night. After that I have dropped my wagers to $5. I've been checking the teams' last ten W/L record, pitcher's last few outings and how the other team hits against them, starting lineup injuries and MLB.com's game preview articles for other info I might not think of. I've been partial to run lines, usually -1.5 for the win. Today is my first time betting the over/under total runs and one of my two looks to be paying off (second game tonight is SEA/SD.
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 02:19 |
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| # ? May 20, 2013 16:12 |
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^^^If you're up 25% you're doing more than fine. Just keep following this thread, there's a lot of smart people in here. If you have any questions don't be afraid to ask. Those stats all sound good, you might also be interested in ESPN's RPI.JoeRules posted:I think Rich Franklin beating Wanderlei is a fair bet too. Wandy is a gassy middleweight - he may be better off because the fight is 190lb catchweight - but he's still likely toast over the course of a 5 rd fight. Betting 1u on Franklin to win, with a couple of smaller bets on Franklin winning a decision. Hey thanks for this! I know nothing about UFC/MMA so I put a unit on Franklin. That coupled with the Reds and M's taking care of business made for a good night. Tomorrow I like the Rangers RL -1.5 (-125) to win their series. Harrison has been really good lately. Mets pick. Gotta keep riding Dickey til the wheels fall off. Might be some value in the Cubs with Garza at +140 to take a game but they are just really really bad. Maybe .5u here. I expect the Tigers to avoid the sweep especially with Verlander who 1 hit the Pirates last time out but -200 is a lot of juice and I don't trust them on the run line so I'll pass. Interested in seeing a line for Cain/McCarthy. I'm thinking under as both teams are not that great offensively but have been scoring a boatload of runs. Also kind of like Oakland but they are my achilles heel this year so maybe only first 5 or just stick with the under so they can go loving up another win without me suffering again.
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 05:32 |
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Bearnt! posted:Hey thanks for this! I know nothing about UFC/MMA so I put a unit on Franklin. That coupled with the Reds and M's taking care of business made for a good night. The same hits went a long way to make up for some not so hot days lately. Hitting Franklin/Wandy starts the 5th round (+259), Franklin by decision (+736), and Franklin by unanimous decision (+850) is definitely one of my best nights in awhile. edit: quick look at tomorrow - I'll jump aboard the R.A. Dickey train, and I like Cleveland as a "what the hell" kind of play - Houston has held them relatively quiet in 2 games, and while Lowe has a few lovely starts in his last 5, they've all been against teams with far more firepower than the Astros. JoeRules fucked around with this message at Jun 24, 2012 around 07:05 |
| # ? Jun 24, 2012 06:55 |
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JoeRules posted:The same hits went a long way to make up for some not so hot days lately. Hitting Franklin/Wandy starts the 5th round (+259), Franklin by decision (+736), and Franklin by unanimous decision (+850) is definitely one of my best nights in awhile. Yep I just added in Cleveland myself at a pick to win the series so best of luck to us.
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 07:15 |
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I've put a few quid on Vettel for the GP, he starts from pole, won the last race from pole and won on this course the last two years from pole. He'll probably stack it in the first corner now I've said that.
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 11:07 |
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Bearnt! posted:Interested in seeing a line for Cain/McCarthy. I'm thinking under as both teams are not that great offensively but have been scoring a boatload of runs. Also kind of like Oakland but they are my achilles heel this year so maybe only first 5 or just stick with the under so they can go loving up another win without me suffering again. McCarthy got scratched from his start, may want to lay off this a bit
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 14:46 |
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My plays for the day: Mets + under Over in the Rockies game Oakland
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 16:42 |
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Mochiloc posted:McCarthy got scratched from his start, may want to lay off this a bit Yeah I saw that and laid off, thanks. Have Dickey +110 now and Phillies -1.5 RL (+110) parlayed for 3:1 on my dough. Just thinking the Phils will avoid the doubleheader sweep and Lee can finally win a game. Game 1 was a 1 run game so I don't think game 2 will be.
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 21:51 |
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Finally on the right side of one of these walk offs. As win.
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| # ? Jun 24, 2012 23:21 |
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Starting up a ton of series chases today. RPI calls for CIN (vs. MIL), WAS (@ COL), NYM (@ CHC), and NYY (vs. CLE). CHW is not an RPI pick, but I like them for both the game today (vs. MIN, Liriano) and the entire series. Also playing Texas as a homer pick. I just bet Saturday's game this weekend, instead of chasing the series, so of course I lost (with huge juice). So, because I have tickets to tomorrow's game, I'm going to chase their series vs DET.
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| # ? Jun 25, 2012 16:29 |
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JoeRules posted:Starting up a ton of series chases today. RPI calls for CIN (vs. MIL), WAS (@ COL), NYM (@ CHC), and NYY (vs. CLE). CHW is not an RPI pick, but I like them for both the game today (vs. MIN, Liriano) and the entire series. I'm on the White Sox and Mets today, will wait for tomorrow to see if there's any B games available. The rest have too much juice or a matchup I'm not really in love with. Peavy at a pick vs. Liriano is very peculiar though.
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| # ? Jun 25, 2012 18:51 |
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"Strasburg vs Jeff Francis, heck that's easy money!" - stupid me 6 hours and ten units ago
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| # ? Jun 26, 2012 03:41 |
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Bearnt! posted:I'm on the White Sox and Mets today, will wait for tomorrow to see if there's any B games available. Plenty of B games available!  Rolling with the series chases (B games for Nats, CHW, Rangers, and Mets). I'm tempted to fade Cleveland while they're cold, but I'm not sure Philip Hughes is a guy I wanna put my faith in.
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| # ? Jun 26, 2012 04:53 |
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Wow so I tried to cash out my 5dimes account yesterday. I've spent 3 hours in the last day trying to get my account 'validated' for a cashout, which is loving retarded because they were more than happy enough to take my money when I was depositing cash in. I had to send in a picture id, a picture of a utility bill, a picture of the front as well as the back of the credit card, and fill out a form. Now, I understand- they're protecting their interests against credit card fraud and then having people cash out via westernunion and lose it all. That's reasonable. What's not loving reasonable is taking money beforehand without making this whole process known. Make all these forms part of the registration process and be crystal clear about it during the process. Authorize your drat users before you take their money. 0/5 rating, loving abysmal. Someone should get the OP to edit his post to let people know that the registration process is a pain in the rear end, and they don't let their users know until they try to cash out. Are all online gaming sites like this?
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| # ? Jun 26, 2012 15:13 |
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betdsi was like this except for the utility bill, however there was a $65 fee to cashout which could have been avoided if i wanted to take more time and send more information (utility bill) which i just didn't want to do
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| # ? Jun 26, 2012 16:10 |
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JoeRules posted:Plenty of B games available! Yep  Guess I picked the wrong two games. Oh well this will be an "A" Nats game for me that I'll chase but I think they come through tonight. Mets/White Sox B game in there as well  I also have a 4 team parlay going for fun at x14.75 on my money. Pirates +120 Dodgers -120 Rangers -1.5 RL Rays EV
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| # ? Jun 26, 2012 18:28 |
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I won like 170 off a stupid WNBA/MLB parlay. I'm done betting until CFB, still down during NBA betting, but I'm just guessing when betting baseball. Not really that fun. I can't wait until football season. Already got some locks for week 1 of CFB.
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| # ? Jun 26, 2012 22:20 |
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Bearnt! posted:Yep Decided to go with a parlay for the hell of it myself. NYY, CIN 1st 5, BOS 1st 5. Leaving for the Rangers game now!
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| # ? Jun 26, 2012 22:49 |
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HanabaL03 posted:I won like 170 off a stupid WNBA/MLB parlay. I'm done betting until CFB, still down during NBA betting, but I'm just guessing when betting baseball. Not really that fun. The summer lends itself to casual betting, obviously I'm going to throw some money on the rest of the majors (both golf and tennis). But yeah I can't wait for football and making 
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| # ? Jun 27, 2012 00:33 |
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I think the Mets need to be made exempt from the RPI system  Not sure if I'm gonna chase them tomorrow for 50% of my losses back yet or not. I do have Portugal to win in regulation at +340 (draw pushes) so let's hope that hits. Have Germany +120 to win the thing and will probably go somewhat big on them Thursday.
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| # ? Jun 27, 2012 03:36 |
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JoeRules posted:Decided to go with a parlay for the hell of it myself. NYY, CIN 1st 5, BOS 1st 5. Originally had all 3 of these as full game bets. Dammit, oh well. Not sure I'm taking the Mets tomorrow either, Bearnt. They burned me on a C game once already this year, and I'm not sure how much faith I have in the matchup. We'll see tomorrow, but at least 5 of my 6 series have cleared now. I'm not so sure on Portugal - I really think Spain has them edged. I think it'll probably come down to penalties, so I really don't know how to bet it, but I'd probably lay off Portugal just because Cristiano is all that's looked good for them in their games so far.
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| # ? Jun 27, 2012 04:25 |
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Gonna stick with the Mets. Hope they don't burn me again. When I first looked at today, I was thinking about fading Cleveland still, but they were getting hits last night, so with NYY heavily favored, I've got .5u on Cleveland ML at +183. Small parlay on CHW first 5, SFG, and LAA. I might go back and put a bet on LAA by itself - Weaver looks like he's back in form and the price is right. Portugal probably is the way to bet on the Euro game - I'm gonna go with Portugal over 1 at +200, with tiny bets on Spain HT/Draw FT and Portugal HT/Draw FT.
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| # ? Jun 27, 2012 15:07 |
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wither posted:Wow so I tried to cash out my 5dimes account yesterday. I've spent 3 hours in the last day trying to get my account 'validated' for a cashout, which is loving retarded because they were more than happy enough to take my money when I was depositing cash in. I had to send in a picture id, a picture of a utility bill, a picture of the front as well as the back of the credit card, and fill out a form. Now, I understand- they're protecting their interests against credit card fraud and then having people cash out via westernunion and lose it all. That's reasonable. What's not loving reasonable is taking money beforehand without making this whole process known. Make all these forms part of the registration process and be crystal clear about it during the process. Authorize your drat users before you take their money. That's why I don't deposit using a credit card. The "verification" process is mind boggling. Use Western Union and when it's time to withdraw, no questions asked. They send the money immediately without undergoing "verification." At least that's how it was done with me. I also went through similar experiences before when cashing out my money after depositing using a credit card and I swear I would never again do it.
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| # ? Jun 27, 2012 15:10 |
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JoeRules posted:Gonna stick with the Mets. Hope they don't burn me again. When I first looked at today, I was thinking about fading Cleveland still, but they were getting hits last night, so with NYY heavily favored, I've got .5u on Cleveland ML at +183. Small parlay on CHW first 5, SFG, and LAA. I might go back and put a bet on LAA by itself - Weaver looks like he's back in form and the price is right. Here's hoping on those Mets  and go Portugal!KC hasn't swept the Rays at home in 11 years and I like that streak to continue after tonight.
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| # ? Jun 27, 2012 17:25 |
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Well after getting 50% back on the Mets and pushing on Portugal I was just slightly ahead on the day even after the Rays not coming through when it looked like they would. Put this in last minute just for action, about time one of these went my way. PARLAY (3 TEAMS) [957] PIT -110 ( J MCDONALD -R / R VALDES -L ) [962] MIA -1½+155 ( J KELLY -R / A SANCHEZ -R ) [977] LAA -120 ( J WEAVER - R/ ACTION ) 11 / 87 
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 02:41 |
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wither posted:Wow so I tried to cash out my 5dimes account yesterday. I've spent 3 hours in the last day trying to get my account 'validated' for a cashout, which is loving retarded because they were more than happy enough to take my money when I was depositing cash in. I had to send in a picture id, a picture of a utility bill, a picture of the front as well as the back of the credit card, and fill out a form. Now, I understand- they're protecting their interests against credit card fraud and then having people cash out via westernunion and lose it all. That's reasonable. What's not loving reasonable is taking money beforehand without making this whole process known. Make all these forms part of the registration process and be crystal clear about it during the process. Authorize your drat users before you take their money. I agree that it's really misleading to take your money no questions asked and then make you do that to cash out but I didn't have any problems with it. It took me 15 minutes to scan my stuff and verify the account and their online customer service people were great helping me cash out. I deposited with a credit card and withdrew via Moneygram with no real problems at all. I knew this would happen prior to depositing though, so that helped...
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 05:16 |
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You guys should just move to Vegas. Cash instantly when you win, no fees or id scans. I mean the economy blows here, but you guys could all make a living gambling and getting comps on your players cards. So who's going to make a football betting thread here soon? I'm thinking Capt. Murph or someone should make one around the end of July so we have 4 weeks to break down the college football week 1 matchups and future odds.
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 05:43 |
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HanabaL03 posted:So who's going to make a football betting thread here soon? I'm thinking Capt. Murph or someone should make one around the end of July so we have 4 weeks to break down the college football week 1 matchups and future odds. Looking forward to that, I'm basically even on Baseball since the season started. Have Germany -145 to win in regulation Thursday. Germans have more rest (which I hear actually makes a difference in soccer) and don't want this going to extra time or kicks I'm sure. Mariners -110. All hail the King when he is a pick or favorite at home, just have to do it.
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 06:44 |
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HanabaL03 posted:You guys should just move to Vegas. Cash instantly when you win, no fees or id scans. I mean the economy blows here, but you guys could all make a living gambling and getting comps on your players cards. Yeah that gives me something to do at work today, I'll get cracking on it. I don't know how you cats are betting on baseball. It's my favorite sport, but it's a total crapshoot - who had money on the Lucas Harrell complete game shutout? Bearnt! posted:Have Germany -145 to win in regulation Thursday. Germans have more rest (which I hear actually makes a difference in soccer) and don't want this going to extra time or kicks I'm sure. It does in the sense that it's a stamina based game and Italy had to play 120 minutes (extra time) and Germany gets two extra days rest. What's the odds on a draw? There's every chance the Italians pack it in and play for penalties, though I'd put my money on Germany as well. They look excellent and are a very young team. I hope you're all prepared for a decade of our German Soccer Overlords.
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 12:33 |
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Capt Murphy posted:I don't know how you cats are betting on baseball. It's my favorite sport, but it's a total crapshoot - who had money on the Lucas Harrell complete game shutout? This was my opinion as the season neared, but I've actually been more successful with MLB than with regular season NBA. Should have stuck with my original prediction on Spain/Portugal, but got hung up on "value" and didn't hit anything. Oh well, Mets saved the day, and I hit LAA and my parlay as well. Rangers open a 4 game series versus Oakland. Feldman goes tonight (ugh and I'll be at the ballpark), and Grimm gets a 3rd start on Saturday, but Harrison and Darvish fill in the blanks so I'll be chasing Texas both ML and RL for the series. I also like the Mets (oh god what am I getting myself into) as a series chase against the Dodgers, and the Angels in their series against the Blue Jays. Yankees are an RPI play, but I think today is their only favorable matchup. I'll play them today, but if they lose I don't think I'll chase it.
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 15:13 |
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Capt Murphy posted:It does in the sense that it's a stamina based game and Italy had to play 120 minutes (extra time) and Germany gets two extra days rest. What's the odds on a draw? There's every chance the Italians pack it in and play for penalties, though I'd put my money on Germany as well. They look excellent and are a very young team. I hope you're all prepared for a decade of our German Soccer Overlords. Draw pays +235. I was thinking of taking it but I think I'm just going to let this one ride. Germany to advance is too much juice at -320 for me. JoeRules posted:Should have stuck with my original prediction on Spain/Portugal, but got hung up on "value" and didn't hit anything. Oh well, Mets saved the day, and I hit LAA and my parlay as well. Sorry man hope I didn't sway you on Spain/Portugal. You were right on it coming down to penalties. I like doing that 'asian handicap' type bet because for risking a unit with my guy you get 3-4x back on a win with a big dog or your money back on a push. So at least with the draw I got my original bet back and got to enjoy some penalty kicks! Sometimes as these games get closer to the finals you get lucky and hit one. If you had taken Spain though it would've been a loss in regulation unless you were thinking to advance which they were something like -250 IIRC. Correct me if I'm wrong but aren't the Rangers undefeated in a series chase against not only the money line but the run line as well? Outside of that stupid 2 game series vs. the Royals. Dodgers can't hit anything right now so I think you're correct in thinking the Mets can at least win 1 game, was nice to see the offense finally show up. Angels are good enough as well to take at least a game, they've been red hot and the Jays have some SP injuries. I was actually thinking of taking the White Sox tonight. Maybe for first 5 only at .5u with the good value and having won a couple games in a row here. I know the Yankees are on fire and they are probably a smart enough team to not let having CC and Pettitte going on the DL the same day affect them but maybe it will? It's a 4 game series so I can see them dropping at least one of these or maybe even two.
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 18:01 |
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Bearnt! posted:Sorry man hope I didn't sway you on Spain/Portugal. You were right on it coming down to penalties. I like doing that 'asian handicap' type bet because for risking a unit with my guy you get 3-4x back on a win with a big dog or your money back on a push. So at least with the draw I got my original bet back and got to enjoy some penalty kicks! Sometimes as these games get closer to the finals you get lucky and hit one. If you had taken Spain though it would've been a loss in regulation unless you were thinking to advance which they were something like -250 IIRC. No, for some reason I thought it was odd that both Spain and Portugal had the same payout to win by penalties, so I opted to bet on 1-1 and 2-2 thinking the payout would be better. (Portugal by penalties was ~+950  )quote:Correct me if I'm wrong but aren't the Rangers undefeated in a series chase against not only the money line but the run line as well? Outside of that stupid 2 game series vs. the Royals. Rangers are indeed perfect on the run line, save for the KC series. Heard that earlier this week and figure a 4 game series against Oakland is the perfect place to jump in. 4 game series are fun - I'm hoping the Angels win and I'll 3 game chase them, and I'll likely do the same if the Mets win today (Dickey pitches tomorrow). And Yanks-ChiSox is interesting. I'm not interested in betting on the Sox today, but win or lose, I'll probably start a 3 game chase with them tomorrow.
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 19:11 |
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Sucks that my bookmakers don't have any NBA draft bets this year. Last year they had tens of different bets. Stuff like "Out of those two which will be taken first?" and "Will this guy be top 4?" They put them up weeks before the actual draft and adjusted the odds very rarely if at all. I managed to get a couple of thousand from them with a pretty nice last minute combo.
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| # ? Jun 28, 2012 22:48 |
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jyrka posted:Sucks that my bookmakers don't have any NBA draft bets this year. Last year they had tens of different bets. Stuff like "Out of those two which will be taken first?" and "Will this guy be top 4?" They put them up weeks before the actual draft and adjusted the odds very rarely if at all. I managed to get a couple of thousand from them with a pretty nice last minute combo. 5dimes had a few options to bet. Just hit 5u on Liliard being drafted ahead of Drummond at even money.
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| # ? Jun 29, 2012 00:07 |
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Well I don't know what happened with Germany, shows what I know but thanks to another great day of baseball I was bailed out with the Angels, Mariners (all hail the King) and Mets all winning. I didn't end up doing anything with the White Sox. I was leaning first 5 but am glad I laid off there because that would've been a tough one to lose. Anyways this an interesting series now, JoeRules I know you are gonna chase the Sox who have the favorable pitching matchups going forward but I may wait and see what happens tomorrow and chase the loser Saturday and Sunday. If the Yankees lose great because I don't think they're going to get swept 4 games at home. If the White Sox lose I like my chances to win one game with Peavy/Floyd vs. Kuroda/Hughes. Rangers RL series chase is still alive with 3 games to go. I laid off yesterday but think its safe to try tomorrow with Harrison who arguably has been the Rangers nicest surprise. Red Sox are another team I think is safe to start a series chase with now. If they lose 4 games to Seattle then something is very wrong. JoeRules I'm going to lay off your Angels chase pick for tomorrow just because I dislike Santana but will get back on board Saturday if needed. Mets seem safe to chase as you mentioned, Dickey tomorrow -140 isn't bad. This is starting to get long but I mentioned awhile back about that system where you bet the +RL for a dog or ML for a favorite that previously was swept by the team they are starting a new series with. Cubs fit the bill with the Astros tomorrow so I'll chase that one as well. That system is undefeated so far this season. Lastly I expect Tigers/Rays to be great. Verlander -120 is really attractive against a team that has dropped 4 straight but Price even money at home is great too. I'll mull this one over some more.
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| # ? Jun 29, 2012 06:46 |
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^^^^ Good stuff, as always. Today's plays: TEX ML & RL LAA ML NYM ML CHW ML BOS ML All "A" games for the series, aside from TEX RL.
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| # ? Jun 29, 2012 15:51 |
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Bovada has Joey Chestnut's total hotdogs eaten at 62.5 At first glance I'm likening the under. Will come back later with more exciting "sports" betting news
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| # ? Jun 29, 2012 17:14 |
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I decided as an experiment to put $50 in a 5dimes account and see what happens. Got $10 on the White Sox at +117. Figure this Quintana kid can outduel the scrub the Yankees called up.
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| # ? Jun 29, 2012 17:42 |
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compton rear end terry posted:Bovada has Joey Chestnut's total hotdogs eaten at 62.5 The site I have to use through my local gave me a good laugh today. No odds/totals up yet but when they are I'll have two options. Joey Chestnut or The Field* *=Field does not include Takeru Kobayashi
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| # ? Jun 29, 2012 18:13 |
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| # ? May 20, 2013 16:12 |
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RPI has 2 plays today, PIT (vs. HOU) and ATL (vs. CHC). I like both of these plays. Dbacks and Orioles were near-plays, but I don't have a lot of faith in either one. I like DET (4 game series, good matchups, Verlander on Wed). Assuming Cincy has Votto back today (edit: they don't, no bet), I'll chase their series. LAA has Weaver today, but their matchups get worse through the series. I'll play today and re-evaluate to see if I want to keep it going. I like the Marlins to chase as well, but it's a 4 game series and today they have to face Greinke in Miller, so I'll jump in on that one tomorrow. JoeRules fucked around with this message at Jul 2, 2012 around 23:48 |
| # ? Jul 2, 2012 13:51 |
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