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Trying to get back on track. Scaling back on my bet amount until things get better. quote:$25.50 $25.00 503 Minnesota Timberwolves +5 -102* vs Orlando Magic
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 15:52 |
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| # ? May 25, 2013 01:03 |
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Adding Bucks +6
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 17:07 |
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I managed to get Minnesota at +5.5. Really like that line plus it's a homer bet for me.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 17:24 |
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I've got 3 Team: Sixers -11.5, Jazz -4.5, Heat -6, Warriors -3 4 Team: Sixers -11.5, Jazz -4.5, Clippers ML 6 Team: Sixers -11.5, Jazz -4.6, Heat -6, Timberwolves +5, Clippers +4.5, Warriors -2.5 I'm a sucker for Parlays. Hope one of them hits! 
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 17:44 |
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Leaning Heat 1st half -3, 76rs 1st half -6.5, and utah jazz -4.5.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 17:56 |
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Don't like much today. Considering taking the Sixers against the Bobcats but that -11.5 is a little high for my tastes. Considering reduced juice. I'm also itching to put a little on the Clippers ML, but I know it's risky (but I love the Clippers!). Edit: just checked my stats and I'm 9-4 and up $99 since I started last week. Not bad! mandrakk fucked around with this message at Feb 13, 2012 around 18:00 |
| # ? Feb 13, 2012 17:58 |
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mandrakk posted:Don't like much today. Considering taking the Sixers against the Bobcats but that -11.5 is a little high for my tastes. This is precisely why I'm only taking them in the first half. I think they'll come ou t strong and get a lead early in the game, but I suspect the effort to drop off in the second half.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 18:03 |
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Pig Newton posted:This is precisely why I'm only taking them in the first half. I think they'll come ou t strong and get a lead early in the game, but I suspect the effort to drop off in the second half. Good call. Might jump on that with you.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 18:06 |
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I really like the Jazz at -4.5 they played very well last night.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 18:33 |
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As much as I typically dislike road favorites, I'm throwing down on Syracuse -2.5 today.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 18:56 |
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what yall think: NBA Basketball 501 Philadelphia 76ers* -950 vs Charlotte Bobcats NBA Basketball 501 Philadelphia 76ers/Charlotte Bobcats* Over 174 -210 NBA Basketball 503 Minnesota Timberwolves/Orlando Magic* Over 186 -200 NBA Basketball 505 Utah Jazz/New Orleans Hornets* Over 182 -110 NBA Basketball 507 Miami Heat* -260 vs Milwaukee Bucks NBA Basketball 509 Los Angeles Clippers/Dallas Mavericks* Under 188 -120 NBA Basketball 511 Phoenix Suns/Golden State Warriors* Over 200 -170 ?
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 19:12 |
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So im the only one who's on the Mavs tonight? Got $22 on them at -4.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 19:18 |
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In the last 20 years, Nevada books have taken $55.2 billion in sports bets, and have won $3.8 billion off those bets for a 6.9% win rate. In that same time span, Nevada books have taken $1.29 billion in parlay bets, winning $384 million off them for a 29.6% win rate. Lesson: Parlays are bad (I still play them all the time)
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 19:55 |
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My problem with parlays is you don't get fair odds. For example, a 2-team parlay's payout is somewhere around 2.6-1 assuming you bet on the spread. The probability to win BOTH bets is 25% (0.5 * 0.5). It gets less fair once you add items to your parlay. A 5-1 parlay typically pays 20-1 but the probability of hitting that is a miniscule 3.125% (0.5^5). Maybe some people are simply good because they're hitting parlays on a regular basis. But it's not a long-term solution. Money management is still key. But that's just me, a regular folk who can't even hit winners on straight bets on a consistent basis.HanabaL03 posted:So im the only one who's on the Mavs tonight? Got $22 on them at -4.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 20:33 |
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I got Jazz -5 (just read about the LOL lineup the Hornets are throwing out), Bucks +6 (they've played well against Miami), MIA/MIL under 201, and Twolves +5.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 20:54 |
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HanabaL03 posted:So im the only one who's on the Mavs tonight? Got $22 on them at -4. 
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 21:09 |
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Is anyone up on the NBA? At this point it doesn't feel like gambling so much as watching our money burn.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 22:20 |
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Groveling Toast posted:Is anyone up on the NBA? At this point it doesn't feel like gambling so much as watching our money burn. I'm embarrassed to admit just how down on the NBA I am in 2012, but without going into specifics I can say it's a lot.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 22:40 |
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Down by a little but if you consider where I came from (was hitting 65-70% and up around 12-15 units back then), it's pretty depressing. But there's a lot of basketball left and I'm not losing hope.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 22:49 |
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Not playing anything tonight. I mean, I'm not a bitch or anything, but tomorrow's card looks pretty good and nothing jumps at me today.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 22:53 |
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Groveling Toast posted:Is anyone up on the NBA? At this point it doesn't feel like gambling so much as watching our money burn. I've been on a hot streak in the nba over the last few weeks. But overall I'm down about 10%. I'm really tempted to take ISU ML tonight along with Syracuse.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 22:53 |
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Groveling Toast posted:Is anyone up on the NBA? At this point it doesn't feel like gambling so much as watching our money burn. Like I mentioned, I started charting my plays to begin 2012 to make myself feel good or something...and for the NBA I'm 9-13-1. Started out 7-4 but then lost 5 straight bets on GSW. Not kidding. Five.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 22:55 |
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I have a lot for today: College Basketball 515 Syracuse/Louisville 1st Half Over 65 -110* - loss (what a sloppy first half) NBA Basketball 507 Miami Heat 1st Half -3½ -110* vs Milwaukee Bucks - win NBA Basketball 507 Miami Heat 1st Quarter -2½ -110* vs Milwaukee Bucks - loss NBA Basketball 507 Miami Heat -5 -130* vs Milwaukee Bucks - win NBA Basketball 501 Philadelphia 76ers 1st Quarter -3½ -125* vs Charlotte Bobcats - win Reduced Basketball 511 Phoenix Suns +135* vs Golden State Warriors NBA Basketball 505 Utah Jazz 1st Half -2½ -105* vs New Orleans Hornets - loss Reduced Basketball 505 Utah Jazz -4½ -103* vs New Orleans Hornets - loss ghadeed fucked around with this message at Feb 14, 2012 around 04:18 |
| # ? Feb 13, 2012 23:09 |
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Stupid ML experiment play 3: heat/sixers parlay...5.08 to win 2.58. 1-1 -5 bucks YTD.
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| # ? Feb 13, 2012 23:42 |
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I bet the Canucks ML in the NHL today and the over in the same game. I can't imagine Vancouver not blowing out Phoenix. I am new to NHL betting this season though.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 00:43 |
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Took Syracuse/Louisville 2nd Half Under 71 -110*
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 00:55 |
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Adding:quote:$27.50 $25.00 515 Syracuse 2nd Half -3 -110* vs Louisville
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 01:01 |
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Pig Newton posted:This is precisely why I'm only taking them in the first half. I think they'll come ou t strong and get a lead early in the game, but I suspect the effort to drop off in the second half. Hell yes. Good call, man.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 01:12 |
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Taking back what I said about KU being a good play, tonight is pretty huge for KSU and will make/break any shot of a tourney bid. I don't like to bet against my team but I think KSU +4 is a decent bet.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 01:25 |
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Timberwolves  God drat it, winning is loving hard.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 01:34 |
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Ugh Miami looks bad.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 01:34 |
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Pron on VHS posted:Taking back what I said about KU being a good play, tonight is pretty huge for KSU and will make/break any shot of a tourney bid. I don't like to bet against my team but I think KSU +4 is a decent bet. Is this an attempt at a reverse jinx?
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 01:47 |
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Haha yeah  Rough beat in the Syracuse game.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:01 |
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This poo poo is unreal. I'm going to start taking my analysis and doing literally the complete opposite so I can make a killing.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:02 |
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You can't predict Syracuse going 1-15 from 3 and 1-29 from outside the paint, I was pleased just to hang around the number.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:05 |
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Thankfully I just played the ML on Syracuse, but the rest of my night isn't looking terribly hot right now. If I don't turn it around tonight, I'm taking a few days off.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:07 |
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Sixers what are you doing! E: One bucket...ONE would have saved all my parlays  Oh well, Tomorrow has some good looking games
hitze fucked around with this message at Feb 14, 2012 around 02:27 |
| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:09 |
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Took the 2H under too, thanks goon who posted that. Got it at 71.
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:15 |
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why oh why did i put a clips mavs under in my parlay....
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:36 |
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| # ? May 25, 2013 01:03 |
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Anyone catching the Jazz/Hornet game? How's Jazz down by 20 right now
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| # ? Feb 14, 2012 02:37 |
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