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Yiggy
Sep 12, 2004

"Imagination is not enough. You have to have knowledge too, and an experience of the oddity of life."


In the closing days of the election, there were a handful of discussions with sentiments expressed that we seemed to be on a slow recovery poised for real economic movement in 2013, regardless of electoral outcome, and that the winner stood ready to inherit credit for any success. Now on the other side of 2013, there is some uncertainty whether we'll continue the slow growth, or if our legislature may tip us back into a recession or leave us treading water for longer then necessary. Largely credited to a drop in defense spending, it was announced on Wednesday that GDP dropped 0.1%. Despite steady private sector job growth, unemployment rose to 7.9%, and government hiring continues to remain stagnant.

As another generational cohort begins to come of age, the lingering lack of movement among what is popularly termed the Millennial Generation (and what many of us on the forums like to think of as another Lost Generation) remains a continued concern. Unemployment among 18-29 year old is considerably higher than the national average.

PRNewswire posted:


*The youth unemployment rate for 18-29 year olds specifically for January 2013 is 13.1 percent.
*The youth unemployment rate for 18-29 year old African-Americans for January 2013 is 22.1 percent; the youth unemployment rate for 18-29 year old Hispanics for January 2013 is 13.0 percent; and the youth unemployment rate for 18–29 year old women for January 2013 is 11.6 percent.
*The declining labor force participation rate has created an additional 1.7 million young adults that are not counted as "unemployed" by the U.S. Department of Labor because they are not in the labor force, meaning that those young people have given up looking for work due to the lack of jobs.
*If the labor force participation rate were factored into the 18-29 youth unemployment calculation, the actual 18-29-unemployment rate would rise to 16.2 percent.




Link

What is even more worrisome is that the delay of finding a good entry level job hurts long term earnings.

NBER posted:

Graduating in a recession leads to large initial earnings losses. These losses, which amount to about 9 percent of annual earnings in the initial stage, eventually recede, but slowly -- halving within five years but not disappearing until about ten years after graduation.

And furthermore, longterm unemployment makes it hard to find any job, let alone a good paying one. Not only leading to more permanent, structural unemployment but hampering economic growth well into the future and perpetuating these sorts of conditions for another generation of young people entering the workforce and graduating students.

Forbes link

Forbes Magazine posted:

New Study: Long-Term Unemployment Viewed By Hiring Companies As Worse Than A Criminal Record

A survey released today shows that people who have criminal records but are holding down a job have an easier time impressing hiring managers than do people who have been out of work for two years or more. The study is by Bullhorn, a Boston maker of recruiting software. The company ran an anonymous survey between August 23-28 of 1,500 staffing recruiters, corporate recruiters and hiring managers who use Bullhorn’s products.

Among other questions, the survey asked respondents to rate, on a scale of one to five, who would be most difficult to place. Forty-four percent said someone who has been unemployed for more than two years would rate a 5, while only 31% said someone with a (non-felony) criminal record would be most difficult the place.

How many people in the U.S. have been out of work for two years? Officially the number is close to 2 million, but it is probably much higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics counts people who have been unemployed for 99 weeks or more; that number totals 1.8 million. But those people are the die-hard job seekers, who report that they have looked for work in the last four weeks. It doesn’t count the many people who, in BLS argot, are “marginally attached to the labor force,” meaning they want to work but have become so discouraged that they have given up the search in the last 4 weeks. There are at least 7 million of those people, though the BLS doesn’t know how long they have been unemployed. My guess is that many of them have been out of work for at least two years.

...

What is most unfortunate and grating is despite these young people being at economic whims largely out of their control, the lazy and directionless caricature of millennials continues to persist, lending inertia to an ugly, self-perpetuating myth. Some among the young are ready to blame themselves for extravagant educations and put the nose back to grind stone. Among the older generation, boomers are resentful that their Boomeranging children still can't manage financial independence, and that older generations are suffering because of it.

NYTimes blog posted:

...
If you’ve been keeping up with your boomer reading this summer, you know all the country’s economic problems are our fault.

...

Mild stuff, compared with “Generation Screwed,” an expose by Joel Kotkin in Newsweek Daily Beast on the terror boomers are inflicting on millennials. “Are Millennials the Screwed Generation?” the article asked. And whose fault is it? “Boomer America’ never had it so good,” reported the Beast. “As a result, today’s young Americans have never had it so bad.”

Boomers are guilty of qualifying for Social Security at too young an age, using Medicare too often and pocketing fat government pensions. We continue to work when we ought to retire and let the millennials take over our jobs.

...

Then it dawned on me. The millennials whose future I’m robbing are my four children, and it’s costing me a fortune to do it. Not only do they live in my house and eat my food and drive my cars covered by insurance I’m paying for, but they’re also getting a college education on my dollar — more precisely, half a million of them.

Take that, you millennials!

...

Tell me again about the greedy boomers robbing the millennials.

Of all age groups in the country, guess which one has lost the most income in recent years? The baby boomers. As my colleague Catherine Rampell reported last month, the typical household income for people age 55 to 64 years old is almost 10 percent less in today’s dollars than it was when the recovery officially began three years ago, according to a study by Sentier Research, a data analysis company that specializes in demographic and income data. Household incomes of those boomers has fallen to $55,748 from $61,716.

And guess who has been the other big loser over the last decade? The middle class. Median wealth of the middle-income tier declined by 28 percent, to $93,150 from $129,582, while the upper-income tier rose by 1 percent, to $574,788, according to a recent study by the Pew Research Center titled, “The Lost Decade of the Middle Class.”

But every cloud has its silver lining. I see hopeful things for you millennials. If the economic condition of the greedy, middle-class, baby boomer parents you’re living at home with is deteriorating, it must mean that very soon you’ll be moving ahead.

And on the political agenda, domestically what seems to be grabbing attention are gun control and immigration reforms. In the upcoming budget fights entitlement spending is going to be an issue, but stimulus spending is likely going to be contentious, unlikely and not directed towards the young. Given the stigma attached to the long-term unemployed and the lingering inability for the young to begin their careers, a lack of focused attention from government actors stands a good chance of making this a multi-generational problem. The current democratic coalition ignores the issue at their own peril.

National Journal[/quote posted:

The Democratic coalition is centered on the millennial generation (young voters 18 to 30), women (especially single women), minorities, and the highly educated, and is geographically focused in the Northeast and West.

All of these groups gave at least 55 percent of their 2012 presidential votes to the president. In fact, without the support of 60 percent of millennials, Obama would have lost the election.

In the context of all of this, what should this Lost Generation be pushing for in the upcoming budget discussions and the ongoing debate? For our cohort, it seems stimulus is greatly in need along with further extension of unemployment benefits. In pushing for stimulus, given the intransigence of the minority party, should the democratic coalition be open to entitlement cuts? Given the longterm effects of unemployment, lower starting wages and delayed career development on the young, should stimulus in short and medium term be more important than cuts to entitlement programs which remain decades out of reach? Or, is the pain inflicted on older generations and the delayed exit from the workforce not worth it? Where are we going to find the necessary pound of flesh?

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Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 9, 2007

Remind me to work out until I also am buff and have to keep a pillow in front of my okay I'll be honest this is like the 50th custom title I've done tonight and I'm just phoning it in now.

It has to begin with forgiving student loan debt. There is no greater financial burden on the young generation than that, and it fucks them up for decades.

anonumos
Jul 14, 2005

Fuck it.

Shimrra Jamaane posted:

It has to begin with forgiving student loan debt. There is no greater financial burden on the young generation than that, and it fucks them up for decades.

While I do agree, I think it'll be far more workable to ensure they can pay back those loans. The drop in income and job opportunities, plus the rising cost of living, has made any debt untenable. Forgiving debt is not a real solution to the poo poo Millennials are in. It doesn't address the Boomer's working beyond retirement. It doesn't address the lower salaries of 30-somethings, even if they're paying for student loans. It doesn't address the massive fortunes of the top 200 families compared to everyone else, or the damaging things these 1%-ers do with their wealth.

redmercer
Sep 15, 2011
Probation
Can't post for 5 days!


We should just implement a basic income and stop wringing our hands over some fake number.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 9, 2007

Remind me to work out until I also am buff and have to keep a pillow in front of my okay I'll be honest this is like the 50th custom title I've done tonight and I'm just phoning it in now.

I absolutely agree that every single person should be guaranteed either a job with a livable wage or a livable subsidized income as they go to school. But lets be realistic here, there is literally no chance that happens in this political climate.

redmercer
Sep 15, 2011
Probation
Can't post for 5 days!


Shimrra Jamaane posted:

I absolutely agree that every single person should be guaranteed either a job with a livable wage or a livable subsidized income as they go to school. But lets be realistic here, there is literally no chance that happens in this political climate.

I'm interested in right solutions, not viable ones. The "viable" solution would be to allow a hunting season on homeless people. Also, a basic income isn't a guaranteed job or a check while you go to school.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 9, 2007

Remind me to work out until I also am buff and have to keep a pillow in front of my okay I'll be honest this is like the 50th custom title I've done tonight and I'm just phoning it in now.

redmercer posted:

I'm interested in right solutions, not viable ones. The "viable" solution would be to allow a hunting season on homeless people. Also, a basic income isn't a guaranteed job or a check while you go to school.

What is a basic income then? I'm not familiar with the term.

Paul MaudDib
May 2, 2006


Shimrra Jamaane posted:

What is a basic income then? I'm not familiar with the term.

The government will ensure that every citizen receives enough money to buy some very modest foo/shelter/medicine (something like $15k), then typically you prorate the benefits so that the subsidy tapers off as your income increases (such that you never make less money for earning more). It's offered to everyone, not just people going to school.

The idea is that it provides an effective wage floor and reduces the leverage employers hold over their employees (which is why it'll never happen). If you're not getting enough hours to live or your employer is abusive or underpays then you have something to fall back on instead of staying in a bad situation or starving to death.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 9, 2007

Remind me to work out until I also am buff and have to keep a pillow in front of my okay I'll be honest this is like the 50th custom title I've done tonight and I'm just phoning it in now.

Paul MaudDib posted:

The government will ensure that every citizen receives enough money to buy some very modest foo/shelter/medicine (something like $15k), then typically you prorate the benefits so that the subsidy tapers off as your income increases (such that you never make less money for earning more). It's offered to everyone, not just people going to school.

The idea is that it provides an effective wage floor and reduces the leverage employers hold over their employees (which is why it'll never happen). If you're not getting enough hours to live or your employer is abusive or underpays then you have something to fall back on instead of staying in a bad situation or starving to death.

That sounds pretty good. Are there any countries that currently have that?

Summit
Mar 6, 2004

David wanted you to have this.

If we couldn't accomplish universal healthcare, what chance does implementing basic income have?

Paul MaudDib
May 2, 2006


Shimrra Jamaane posted:

That sounds pretty good. Are there any countries that currently have that?

The most prominent example:

quote:

Mincome is the name of an experimental Canadian Basic income project that was held in Dauphin, Manitoba during the 1970s. The project, funded jointly by the Manitoba provincial government and the Canadian federal government, began with a news release on February 22, 1974, and was closed down in 1979. The purpose of this experiment was to determine whether a guaranteed, unconditional annual income actually caused disincentive to work for the recipients, and how great such a disincentive would be.

A final report was never issued, but Dr. Evelyn Forget [for-ZHAY] has conducted analysis of the research.[1] She found that only new mothers and teenagers worked less. Mothers with newborns stopped working because they wanted to stay at home longer with their babies, and teenagers worked less because they weren't under as much pressure to support their families, which resulted in more teenagers graduating. In addition, those who continued to work were given more opportunities to choose what type of work they did. Forget found that in the period that Mincome was administered, hospital visits dropped 8.5 per cent, with fewer incidences of work-related injuries, and fewer emergency room visits from car accidents and domestic abuse.[2]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mincome

I guess what I was actually describing was more of a negative income tax, whereas everyone receives a basic income and there's no pro-rating.

quote:

While the notion has long been popular in some circles, its implementation has never been politically feasible. This is partly because of the very complex and entrenched nature of most countries' current tax laws: they would have to be rewritten under any NIT system. However, some countries have seen the introduction of refundable (or non-wastable) tax credits which can be paid even when there is no tax liability to be offset, such as the Earned Income Tax Credit in the United States and working tax credit in the UK. Under President Richard Nixon, a NIT proposal almost made it through Congress.[7]

From 1968 to 1979, the largest negative income tax social experiment in the US was undertaken. The four experiments were in:[8]

Urban areas in New Jersey and Pennsylvania, 1968–1972 (1375 families)
Rural areas in Iowa and North Carolina, 1969–1973 (809 families)
Gary, Indiana, 1971–1974 (1800 families)
Seattle and Denver, 1971–1982 (4800 families)

In general they found that workers would decrease labor supply (employment) by two to four weeks per year because of the guarantee of income equal to the poverty threshold.[9]

A negative income tax has been implemented for a certain bracket of low incomes in Israel.[10]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_income_tax

For what it's worth it's an idea that sees equal support on the far left and the far right. Arch-conservative Milton Friedman was one of the original advocates of the negative income tax, as he viewed it as much more efficient and less patriarchal than administering an in-kind welfare system.

Mandating that workers receive a minimum of a month of paid vacation per year isn't a bad idea as well. It would cut the labor supply which should lead to more people getting jobs.

McDowell
Aug 1, 2008

Surely, Caligula was my greatest role

We can only create jobs when businesses are more profitable.

Haven't you guys heard? The Dow passed 14,000 for the first time since late 2007! You're just Marxist naysayers trying to bring everyone down.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PdQ3ztGk0D4

This is from 1999, by the way.

ThirdPartyView
Mar 7, 2005

Always bet on Duke!

McDowell posted:

Haven't you guys heard? The Dow passed 14,000 for the first time since late 2007! You're just Marxist naysayers trying to bring everyone down.

"Clearly, sustained low inflation implies less uncertainty about the future, and lower risk premiums imply higher prices of stocks and other earning assets. We can see that in the inverse relationship exhibited by price/earnings ratios and the rate of inflation in the past. But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?" - Alan Greenspan, 12/5/96

McDowell
Aug 1, 2008

Surely, Caligula was my greatest role

I think he tried to walk that one back because it caused a market panic, lol

Also in 2004 I thought we had already dealt with the 'irrational exuberance' in the slump that happened around September 11th, 2001

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pQs0IzLTQu4

We need more tax cuts, clearly.

Smudgie Buggler
Feb 27, 2005

If men were actuated by self-interest the whole human race would cooperate.


Shimrra Jamaane posted:

That sounds pretty good. Are there any countries that currently have that?
Australia's dole (what Americans call 'unemployment') is basically like this. If you qualify, you get so many dollars per fortnight (400-ish last I checked), reduced by $0.50 for every dollar you earn above a certain threshold. Basically, you can work and collect (part of) the dole at the same time unless you're earning something approaching a liveable wage, which from memory is around $20-22k p.a. If you earn more than that, no dole for you.

The formula is actually more complicated than that, but the basic idea is that entitlements aren't on/off. In theory, you get as much as you need to make up the gap between whatever you're earning from work and what you need to survive. Makes some sense, but then you have to ask the question that what's the point of any of it if the base dole isn't enough to survive off in the first place. In truth it very nearly is, but it's a much better deal if you live outside of the big cities where housing costs aren't utterly buttfucked.

We also have a complicated but really quite good system for young people called Youth Allowance which works on similar principles, but is geared more towards students. If you're between 21 and 24 and a full-time student, you will get just over $400 per fortnight from the government, plus two ~$1000 lump sums at the start of each semester, plus potential additional money if you pay enough rent, scaled down much as with the dole if you have other income such as a job. The main catches here are: a) you don't get as much if you're not a student, and there are a lot of young unemployed people not in a uni or trade school; b) if you're under 21 you need to pass either a parental means test, or an 'independence' test, neither of which are particularly easy. Youth Allowance is a pretty good system overall, but I don't think it actually benefits the young people who actually need it most. I qualify for about 70% of the full payment at 23. As in, I could fill out some paperwork and the government would send me money with very few questions asked, on top of my generous government scholarship. And I sure as gently caress don't need it. But a lot of my peers when I was 18-20 absolutely did need it a hell of a lot more than they or I do now that we qualify for it, but there were a lot more hoops to jump though, in some cases for no more than $50 per fortnight. The younger you are, the more the government expects your family to support you, and it wants a lot more proof that you need what's on offer before you get it. It's not a broken system by any means when you look at many other countries' support systems for young people. But it's far from perfect either.

There's also AUSTUDY which is basically a continuation of Youth Allowance for students over 24, but you can't get it if you're a research masters or PhD student, which is extremely stupid.

Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

MY FAVORITE GAME OF ALL TIME IS SUPERMAN 64

When was Australia's current system set up? Has it been continously upgraded or was it mostly set up in a single go and then left alone ever since? Is the relative generosity of the system attacked by conservative parties? Are these systems in danger or still being expanded?

If you don't feel like answering all of that or if you don't want to derail the thread too much then can you suggest a place I could read more?

high six
Feb 6, 2010


Things really suck.

Personal story time:

I'm a 25 year old guy. I started university in 2006, got a B.Sc. in History, and went to grad school. Was set to finish my M.A. thesis in Spring 2012, but also spent the semester applying to jobs in expectation of that. I had a 4.0 in the classes I had to take, and numerous awards for my research and writing. I even got accepted to my dream PhD program in Scotland, too. After hearing nothing for six months, and getting told that I was not qualified for an $8/hr secretarial job, I had a giant existential crisis and spent a week basically sitting in my bathtub with a bottle of whiskey and a gun. I ended up quitting school, since there was no chance of ever getting a job in academia (Which is what I wanted) or getting one in general.

I ended up moving back home and spent another six months applying to jobs ranging from selling cars to working at the local pizza place. I got two callbacks out of hundreds of applications I sent out, but they never went anywhere. I gave up by November or so and am taking a few community college IT classes mainly so my parents don't end up kicking me out. Came very close to shooting myself a number of times during the fall, but I am on some new meds so that doesn't seem as likely anymore. I don't really know what I am going to do, or what I want to do. I'm lucky that my mother married a well-off guy, but they obviously don't like me sitting around unemployed, or understand how hard it is for young people right now.

I don't really have any real reason for posting this beyond it's something I really needed to get out before I go insane.

high six fucked around with this message at Feb 3, 2013 around 22:34

Smudgie Buggler
Feb 27, 2005

If men were actuated by self-interest the whole human race would cooperate.


Helsing posted:

When was Australia's current system set up? Has it been continously upgraded or was it mostly set up in a single go and then left alone ever since? Is the relative generosity of the system attacked by conservative parties? Are these systems in danger or still being expanded?

If you don't feel like answering all of that or if you don't want to derail the thread too much then can you suggest a place I could read more?

I can't really answer questions about its history as I don't know. What I suspect is the case is that the generous foundations were laid in the 70s by the Whitlam government (which also made university completely and totally free for about three glorious years) and subsequently eroded over time by Tory governments, and probably reformed into something closely resembling their current state during the Keating years, with many a relabelling and reshuffling and needless complicating in the Howard era.

Is the generosity of the program attacked? Hmm, not in general, I don't think. At least, not in the way you're probably imagining. We have a different system for indigenous students called ABSTUDY which pays a substantially higher base rate and has more flexibility with how much a student can earn. This is attacked regularly by idiots inside and outside politics who think its part of some sort of reparations scheme and a bunch of bleeding-heart liberal guilt-tripping faggotry. It's really just blatant social engineering built on simple accountancy designed to get black kids into trades and professions, thereby reducing the dependence of future adult indigenous generations on the dole. In fact, I think ABSTUDY may well be a thing the previous Tory government did.

As for how much danger these programs are in, I don't think very much, really. I mean, we are likely to have a Prime Minister by the end of the year who, before he was Opposition Leader, suggested doing away with the dole for under 25s so as to encourage young people to fill labour shortages in our Western desert mines. But as stupid as this guy is, his party isn't ever going to simply do away with these programs or really overhaul them in any substantial way without a catastrophic change in this country's broad economic circumstances necessitating it. They'll be chipped away at in minor fashions and turned into bigger pains in the arse to actually get at, but the actual programs will likely remain. Tories can always gently caress stuff up with their cronyism if they want, but I think the cost-to-benefit ratio of these programs from the government's perspective is largely too good for them to screw them up too much, at least not directly and deliberately. Our national discourse on policy, as infantile as it is, tends to be about who has the better vision and plan on what to do with our outrageously fortunate position. We give a much smaller poo poo as a country about GOVERNMENT SPENDING than the USA does.

The bigger threat as far as young people are concerned here is going to come in the form of a motherfucker of a property crash and a rise in the cost of education coupled with a decrease in the ease of paying said cost back through the government student loan scheme (a la the UK).

humanservices.gov.au is where you should go if you want to learn the whats, whos, and how-muches of our myriad entitlement programs.

Smudgie Buggler fucked around with this message at Feb 3, 2013 around 23:02

anonumos
Jul 14, 2005

Fuck it.

high six posted:

Came very close to shooting myself a number of times during the fall, but I am on some new meds so that doesn't seem as likely anymore.

I don't really have any real reason for posting this beyond it's something I really needed to get out before I go insane.

This is also another good point. Most of my friends are on or need to be on some form of pharmaceutical just to cope with their situations. Instead of providing "a good life" for all citizens, we're medicating everyone and just compensating for it.

The Rat Society studies always come back to haunt me whenever I get to thinking about the poo poo we're in:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_B._Calhoun
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Behavioral_sink

quote:

In it, Calhoun described the behavior as follows:

quote:

Many [female rats] were unable to carry pregnancy to full term or to survive delivery of their litters if they did. An even greater number, after successfully giving birth, fell short in their maternal functions. Among the males the behavior disturbances ranged from sexual deviation to cannibalism and from frenetic overactivity to a pathological withdrawal from which individuals would emerge to eat, drink and move about only when other members of the community were asleep. The social organization of the animals showed equal disruption. [...]

The common source of these disturbances became most dramatically apparent in the populations of our first series of three experiments, in which we observed the development of what we called a behavioral sink. The animals would crowd together in greatest number in one of the four interconnecting pens in which the colony was maintained. As many as 60 of the 80 rats in each experimental population would assemble in one pen during periods of feeding. Individual rats would rarely eat except in the company of other rats. As a result extreme population densities developed in the pen adopted for eating, leaving the others with sparse populations.

[...] In the experiments in which the behavioral sink developed, infant mortality ran as high as 96 percent among the most disoriented groups in the population.[4]

Calhoun would continue his experiments for many years, but the publication of the 1962 article put the concept in the public domain, where it took root in popular culture as an analogy for human behavior.

quote:

Calhoun had phrased much of his work in anthropomorphic terms, in a way that made his ideas highly accessible to a lay audience.[5] Tom Wolfe wrote about the concept in his article "Oh Rotten Gotham! Sliding Down into the Behavioral Sink", later to be made into the last chapter of The Pump House Gang.[7] Lewis Mumford also referenced Calhoun's work in his The City in History,[8] stating that

quote:

No small part of this ugly barbarization has been due to sheer physical congestion: a diagnosis now partly confirmed with scientific experiments with rats – for when they are placed in equally congested quarters, they exhibit the same symptoms of stress, alienation, hostility, sexual perversion, parental incompetence, and rabid violence that we now find in the Megalopolis.[9]

Calhoun's work has been referenced in comic books, including Batman and 2000 AD.[7]

Calhoun himself saw the fate of the population of mice as a metaphor for the potential fate of man. He characterized the social breakdown as a “spiritual death”,[6] with reference to bodily death as the “second death” mentioned in the Biblical book of Revelation 2:11 [6]

quote:

Initially the population grew rapidly, doubling every 55 days. The population reached 620 by day 315, after which the population growth dropped markedly. The last surviving birth was on day 600. This period between day 315 and day 600 saw a breakdown in social structure and in normal social behavior. Among the aberrations in behavior were the following: expulsion of young before weaning was complete, wounding of young, inability of dominant males to maintain the defense of their territory and females, aggressive behavior of females, passivity of non-dominant males with increased attacks on each other which were not defended against. After day 600 the social breakdown continued and the population declined toward extinction. During this period females ceased to reproduce. Their male counterparts withdrew completely, never engaging in courtship or fighting. They ate, drank, slept, and groomed themselves – all solitary pursuits. Sleek, healthy coats and an absence of scars characterized these males. They were dubbed “the beautiful ones”.

quote:

During his studies, Calhoun coined the term "behavioral sink" to describe aberrant behaviors in overcrowded population density situations and “beautiful ones” to describe passive individuals who withdrew from all social interaction.

Inferior Third Season
Jan 15, 2005



anonumos posted:

This is also another good point. Most of my friends are on or need to be on some form of pharmaceutical just to cope with their situations. Instead of providing "a good life" for all citizens, we're medicating everyone and just compensating for it.

The Rat Society studies always come back to haunt me whenever I get to thinking about the poo poo we're in:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_B._Calhoun
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Behavioral_sink
Why are you referencing rat studies on overpopulation? The problem is not that there are too many people, it's that there aren't enough jobs. Or, more specifically, the problem is that there is no viable mechanism for distributing goods and services that doesn't depend on each individual "earning" it through human labor, which we are needing less of every day.

anonumos
Jul 14, 2005

Fuck it.

Inferior Third Season posted:

Why are you referencing rat studies on overpopulation? The problem is not that there are too many people, it's that there aren't enough jobs. Or, more specifically, the problem is that there is no viable mechanism for distributing goods and services that doesn't depend on each individual "earning" it through human labor, which we are needing less of every day.

Calhoun's studies weren't just on overpopulation. He created rat utopias with plenty resources, but the societies collapsed because of a lack of niches within the population. You nailed it: there aren't enough ways to employ the human labor we have access to.

In reality, we are nowhere near overpopulating the earth. In fact, birth rates are falling in just about every developed country (this is now considered a side-effect of development). Even China has begun to see a lack of population replacement.

It refers not to physical overcrowding but, really, societal marginalization.

anonumos fucked around with this message at Feb 3, 2013 around 23:29

TheBalor
Jun 18, 2001


high six posted:

Things really suck.

Personal story time:

I'm a 25 year old guy. I started university in 2006, got a B.Sc. in History, and went to grad school. Was set to finish my M.A. thesis in Spring 2012, but also spent the semester applying to jobs in expectation of that. I had a 4.0 in the classes I had to take, and numerous awards for my research and writing. I even got accepted to my dream PhD program in Scotland, too. After hearing nothing for six months, and getting told that I was not qualified for an $8/hr secretarial job, I had a giant existential crisis and spent a week basically sitting in my bathtub with a bottle of whiskey and a gun. I ended up quitting school, since there was no chance of ever getting a job in academia (Which is what I wanted) or getting one in general.

I ended up moving back home and spent another six months applying to jobs ranging from selling cars to working at the local pizza place. I got two callbacks out of hundreds of applications I sent out, but they never went anywhere. I gave up by November or so and am taking a few community college IT classes mainly so my parents don't end up kicking me out. Came very close to shooting myself a number of times during the fall, but I am on some new meds so that doesn't seem as likely anymore. I don't really know what I am going to do, or what I want to do. I'm lucky that my mother married a well-off guy, but they obviously don't like me sitting around unemployed, or understand how hard it is for young people right now.

I don't really have any real reason for posting this beyond it's something I really needed to get out before I go insane.

Have you looked into teaching English overseas?

McDowell
Aug 1, 2008

Surely, Caligula was my greatest role

TheBalor posted:

Have you looked into teaching English overseas?

I know a few people doing this, but I'm not sure what the point is? More people speaking English won't make us any better or worse off as a global society - we're headed into really rough times with climate change and resource scarcity pushing us towards World War 3. Superpower politics are very hairy these days - we just like to pretend this isn't the case since history ended in the 90's.

In America the Boomer generation sees the end of history as their great success; most of the Digitally-Inclined younger generations see reality with that narrative frame - famine, nuclear war, spies, army clashes - the messy politics of 19th and 20th century Europe - they are all seem imprisoned in history books. We feel safe and, like people always have; we blind ourselves to how bigger events shape our individual lives. But it's only a matter of time before the great social earthquakes of the 21st century take shape.

Look at the Deep Space 9 episode 'Inter Arma Enim Silent Leges' - Bashir is living the end of history myth by assuming the Romulan-Federation Alliance means the two sides aren't still fighting a bitter conflict over territory/technology/resources.

McDowell fucked around with this message at Feb 4, 2013 around 03:59

nutranurse
Oct 22, 2012

Unlikeliest of Slash Fics

TheBalor posted:

Have you looked into teaching English overseas?

HAHAHAHAHA. Don't do this. All the advice I have gotten from the people I know in HR (my mum is in the field, and has a staggering network) is that teaching overseas is seen as a vacation, not even a working vacation. Don't try teaching overseas unless you really want to do it or have a job lined up when you get back; in most other situations it's just not worth it.

SevenSixTwoX39
Jun 28, 2009

Capitalism has triumphed all over the world, but this triumph is only the prelude to the triumph of labour over capital.

McDowell posted:

I know a few people doing this, but I'm not sure what the point is? More people speaking English won't make us any better of worse off as a global society - we're headed into really rough times with climate change and resource scarcity pushing us towards World War 3. Superpower politics are very hairy these days - we just like to pretend this isn't the case since history ended in the 90's.

I think the point is that he can make money doing it.

shots shots shots
Sep 6, 2011
Basically A Stupid Idiot

nutranurse posted:

HAHAHAHAHA. Don't do this. All the advice I have gotten from the people I know in HR (my mum is in the field, and has a staggering network) is that teaching overseas is seen as a vacation, not even a working vacation. Don't try teaching overseas unless you really want to do it or have a job lined up when you get back; in most other situations it's just not worth it.

If you've already hosed up badly enough that you are getting rejected from $8 an hour McJobs, surely there's not much lost.

Shimrra Jamaane
Aug 9, 2007

Remind me to work out until I also am buff and have to keep a pillow in front of my okay I'll be honest this is like the 50th custom title I've done tonight and I'm just phoning it in now.

Inferior Third Season posted:

Why are you referencing rat studies on overpopulation? The problem is not that there are too many people, it's that there aren't enough jobs. Or, more specifically, the problem is that there is no viable mechanism for distributing goods and services that doesn't depend on each individual "earning" it through human labor, which we are needing less of every day.

Will people ever come to the realization that we as a society shouldn't demand that every single person needs to "earn" a living by working a job?

high six
Feb 6, 2010


I've considered going overseas to teach English, but I don't think I'm of the mental fortitude right now to pick up and leave everything familiar, including my support network.

My main problem is I don't really see any sort of a future for myself, and it seems like most of the people my age are in the same position. At least the ones I know personally.

anonumos
Jul 14, 2005

Fuck it.

shots shots shots posted:

If you've already hosed up badly enough that you are getting rejected from $8 an hour McJobs, surely there's not much lost.

From 2011: http://rt.com/usa/news/mcdonalds-ap...a-middle-class/

quote:

Harvard accepts about 7 percent of applicants. At a recent "National Hiring Day" McDonalds accepted only 6.2 percent, according to CBS2Chicago.

The US economy is a nightmare for anyone in the Middle Class seeking work or trying to survive daily expenses. At one point in time McDonalds was a standard fall back plan for many. Today, not even applying at fast food establishments guarantees you a job.

In 2010 only about 66 percent of Americans held a job, according to USA Today. It's the lowest level on record in American history. For those who do have jobs, many earn very little. A research by The New America Foundation revealed that the number of low-income jobs has risen dramatically, now accounting for over 41 percent of all jobs in the US. Decent paying jobs in America are disappearing.

Besides that, you don't have to "gently caress up" to be declined a job offer. You can be "overqualified", too old, too young, too white, too black, too feminine, too good looking, too ugly, too fat, a smoker, a non-smoker....let's face it, employers have the upper hand right now. They can pick whoever the gently caress they feel like and your average unemployed worker isn't going to be able to do anything to pick up those bootstraps.

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008

We're on a mission from God

shots shots shots posted:

If you've already hosed up badly enough that you are getting rejected from $8 an hour McJobs, surely there's not much lost.

What do you think is involved in hiring for those kinds of jobs?

Emden
Oct 5, 2012
Probation
Can't post for 26 days!


I was rereading the older Lost Generation thread a few days ago; seems like nothing major has changed since then. On a personal level things certainly do not feel better even though we're apparently in an economic recovery. I was fired at the beginning of the year, my mom had her hours slashed, my uncles finally found jobs that start at pay they were making 20 years ago. Happy new year I guess.

shots shots shots
Sep 6, 2011
Basically A Stupid Idiot

QuarkJets posted:

What do you think is involved in hiring for those kinds of jobs?

I was just pointing out that Starbucks, McDonalds, and other food service jobs are really indifferent towards long periods of unemployment. You only need to worry about what HR thinks if you are in the running for a white collar job.

Lyesh
Apr 9, 2003



McDowell posted:

In American the Boomer generation sees the end of history as their great success; most of the Digitally-Inclined younger generations see reality with that narrative frame - famine, nuclear war, spies, army clashes - the messy politics of the 19th and 20th century Europe - they are all seem imprisoned in history books. We feel safe and, like people always have; we blind ourselves to how bigger events shape our individual lives. But it's only a matter of time before the great social earthquakes of the 21st century take shape.

This isn't reallly an intergenerational thing. It's the rich loving everyone else. Millenials are probably going to be hit harder just because it's happening earlier in our lives, but it's not like boomers are going to be able to easily retire or anything. It's entirely possible they will be the first generation since the great depression to have a large number of elderly starving in the streets.

Dr. VooDoo
May 4, 2006

O, for a muse of fire

I have to wonder at which point we'll start to see a ramp up of suicides linked to student loan debt. I try not to think of my own since it'll wreck me emotionally for days on end. When your saddled with life destroying debt that can only be paid off with money or death and you know you'll never be able to pay those loans back the other option starts looking a lot better. I can honestly say I don't feel like I'm living at all right now. I just kinda move around from my parent's house to work and back. I don't have money to do anything else

McDowell
Aug 1, 2008

Surely, Caligula was my greatest role

Lyesh posted:

This isn't reallly an intergenerational thing. It's the rich loving everyone else.

But the rich people making decisions right now are mostly boomers who don't really understand or appreciate the benefits of information technology or the dangers of fossil fuels.

It's an intersectionality thing (generation and class in this case).

Dr. VooDoo posted:

I have to wonder at which point we'll start to see a ramp up of suicides linked to student loan debt. I try not to think of my own since it'll wreck me emotionally for days on end. When your saddled with life destroying debt that can only be paid off with money or death and you know you'll never be able to pay those loans back the other option starts looking a lot better. I can honestly say I don't feel like I'm living at all right now. I just kinda move around from my parent's house to work and back. I don't have money to do anything else

Suicides became the leading cause of death in 2012

Not becoming a statistic has been an issue for me as well.

MickeyFinn
May 8, 2007
Biggie Smalls and Junior Mafia some mark ass bitches

shots shots shots posted:

If you've already hosed up badly enough that you are getting rejected from $8 an hour McJobs, surely there's not much lost.

The error you made here is that someone needs to "gently caress up" in order to not be able to find a job. But then again, you don't really think about you write so it isn't really surprising.

Harry
Jun 13, 2003


Dr. VooDoo posted:

I have to wonder at which point we'll start to see a ramp up of suicides linked to student loan debt. I try not to think of my own since it'll wreck me emotionally for days on end. When your saddled with life destroying debt that can only be paid off with money or death and you know you'll never be able to pay those loans back the other option starts looking a lot better. I can honestly say I don't feel like I'm living at all right now. I just kinda move around from my parent's house to work and back. I don't have money to do anything else

Don't most student loans have to be cosigned by the parent as well?

Nothus
Feb 22, 2001
Charmingly half-ass.

Harry posted:

Don't most student loans have to be cosigned by the parent as well?

Some do. Federal loans are discharged if the student dies. Private loans co-signed by a parent are not. Welcome to the future, kids!

BUSH 2112
Sep 17, 2012

I lie awake, staring out at the bleakness of Megadon.


shots shots shots posted:

I was just pointing out that Starbucks, McDonalds, and other food service jobs are really indifferent towards long periods of unemployment. You only need to worry about what HR thinks if you are in the running for a white collar job.

It's not an instant disqualification, but it doesn't look good. I've worked in food service all my life, and I can tell you for a fact that managers will always go for someone who's had steady employment over someone with periods of unemployment that aren't because of attending school. And, since there are about 10 people applying for every job, that doesn't bode well for a person who's been unemployed long-term.

Also, corporate places do have HR people, they just don't work in one store, they cover a number of stores and they read your application before they pass it along to the manager who would actually hire you, so there's that.

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shots shots shots
Sep 6, 2011
Basically A Stupid Idiot

MickeyFinn posted:

The error you made here is that someone needs to "gently caress up" in order to not be able to find a job. But then again, you don't really think about you write so it isn't really surprising.

You don't have to gently caress up to not be able to find a job, but having a bunch of mental health and family issues sure isn't going to help you any. There's always people like this guy out there.

BUSH 2112 posted:

It's not an instant disqualification, but it doesn't look good. I've worked in food service all my life, and I can tell you for a fact that managers will always go for someone who's had steady employment over someone with periods of unemployment that aren't because of attending school. And, since there are about 10 people applying for every job, that doesn't bode well for a person who's been unemployed long-term.

They look for this because it's a surefire way of sussing out some other issues that probably make the person unreliable. They don't care about what kind of employment it is though, so teaching english overseas is fine.

shots shots shots fucked around with this message at Feb 4, 2013 around 03:56

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