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Guy DeBorgore posted:That's assuming you actually want the NDP to win, which most NDPers do. If you just want the NDP to sit in 3rd place and keep the Liberals scared then yeah, I guess you'll be disappointed. I'd posit that a lot of NDP supporters aren't NDP supporters because they want the NDP to win, but because they want left-wing policies to be implemented. This budget looks a whole lot like the Liberals delivering on longstanding NDP priorities on several fronts, and it might have been nice for the ONDP to take yes for an answer.
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# ¿ May 4, 2014 15:32 |
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# ¿ Apr 29, 2024 02:16 |
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Janderbuilt posted:If Hudak wins and the OLC gets privatized, would that mean that lottery winnings would then be taxable, like in the States? No. Lottery winnings are exempt from tax at the federal level, and most provinces (including Ontario) are required by agreement with the federal government to use the same definition of taxable income as the federal government does.
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# ¿ May 5, 2014 12:15 |
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I think I've discovered what the OLP campaign theme is going to be: LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP LEADERSHIP
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# ¿ May 5, 2014 17:25 |
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Lobok posted:Are the NDP going to go after Hudak at all because his plans for the TTC are much easier to explain in their crappiness. He wants Ontario to take the money-making subways and leave Toronto with money-losing buses. There are two answers to this: 1. This is day -2 of a 36 day campaign. Obviously, when Horwath's in Toronto, her main opponent is the OLP, and she's going to go after them. If she's London or Niagara Falls, she'll go after Hudak. (Did you know the writ hasn't even been dropped yet? Weird!) 2. The OLP and the ONDP face more incentives to go after each other than they do to go after the PCs, for two reasons: -There are more Lib/NDP swing voters than either Lib/PC or PC/NDP swing voters. If there are any large shifts in public opinion, odds are they're coming on the left. -The unions are going to be carpet bombing the province with anti-Hudak ads. Last election, the OLP spent 5 million in ads, the PCPO spent 5 million in ads, and the ONDP spent 1.8 million in ads (4.2 million total!). Unions spent over 6 million in attacks ads with Hudak as sole target, and they're poised to do it again this year. If the PCs are already going to get flooded with negative ads, it makes sense that the ONDP and OLP would throw some mud each others' way to try to be the beneficiaries.
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# ¿ May 6, 2014 00:53 |
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Well.quote:BARRIE — Progressive Conservative Leader Tim Hudak says a Tory government would cut 100,000 jobs from the Ontario public sector. All ministries except health would see cuts. 10% fewer teachers, which he says can be done by increasing class sizes. 2014 PC campaign, May 7 2014-May 9 2014.
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# ¿ May 9, 2014 15:16 |
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There are roughly 500k people working in education in Ontario. Only 92k work in the government bureaucracy. If fully half the job cuts are teachers, man. Open the bloodgates.
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# ¿ May 9, 2014 15:30 |
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Of course, local governments and local school boards are under provincial control, so it's really more like 1.1 million under provincial control. But the 236k who work in health are off limits, as are the 25k police officers. And the 274k who work in local government boards are probably off limits too. So you're looking at cuts of 100k out of the remaining ~600k employees. Pinterest Mom fucked around with this message at 16:51 on May 9, 2014 |
# ¿ May 9, 2014 16:45 |
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Kathleen Wynne has been elected three times. Pinterest Mom fucked around with this message at 18:22 on May 10, 2014 |
# ¿ May 10, 2014 17:40 |
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vyelkin posted:loving what a shambles this campaign is.
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# ¿ May 11, 2014 18:48 |
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Ugh. Andrea Horwath just announced that she can think of nothing better to do with 600 million dollars than to remove provincial HST on electricity bills. This is a double whammy - it's both ineffective and remarkably regressive. I really, really dislike the ONDP. e: Oh and Hudak is promising 40,000 jobs by cutting hydro rates. Yeah okay. Pinterest Mom fucked around with this message at 14:28 on May 12, 2014 |
# ¿ May 12, 2014 14:14 |
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PK loving SUBBAN posted:This election is one of the silliest I've ever seen in terms of pie in the sky promises. Usually we don't hear this kind of stuff from parties until the last 2-3 days before the vote. Here's the press release. quote:Andrea Horwath, Leader of Ontario's New Democrats, joined Thunder Bay—Superior North candidate Andrew Foulds and Thunder Bay—Atikokan candidate Mary Kozorys to talk about the NDP's plan to put money back into the budgets of middle class families by taking the HST off hydro bills. Nothing squeezes your typical everyday middle class family's kitchen table more than hydro bills!
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# ¿ May 12, 2014 15:52 |
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Leofish posted:What would be the most effective ways of bringing hydro rates down? I got a flier from Bob Chiarelli about removing the debt retirement charge, a savings of $70 a year, and now Horwath says she'll cut the HST to save $120 a year. Hudak's plan to end the feed-in tarrif and cut green energy subsidies will save the provincial government $20 billion but he says he can't lower the rates themselves, but don't worry, 40,000 jobs! Why do rates need to come down? We don't want people using more energy, we want them using less. If the problem is "hard working every day families don't have enough money", the solution is not "cut hydro rates", because hydro rate cuts disproportionately help out wealthy people. We have ways to target tax credits to families who need them. Cutting hydro rates is a dumb, populist solution.
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# ¿ May 12, 2014 18:43 |
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This photo is the most perfect encapsulation of the ONDP. (That man is actually the ONDP candidate in Sudbury.)
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# ¿ May 13, 2014 00:47 |
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Kafka Esq. posted:I'm not an expert in bond markets, but is that how it works? I thought the vast majority of it was bought at a fixed rate and servicing the interest happens at that rate only. A lot of the debt rolls over every year. Right now, debt from around 2006-2009 is coming to term and needs to be rolled over to new borrowing, so while the deficit is only ~12 billion dollars, the province actually has to borrow 36 billion dollars from the markets because 24 billion of debt matured and needs to be reborrowed. A 1% increase in bond rates would be a 360 million dollars/year hit to the budget. The chapter on debt management is always the most fascinating of the budget.
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# ¿ May 13, 2014 23:55 |
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Kafka Esq. posted:It's over 20 years. Over 8, actually. But if the labour force grows by just 1% a year, that's ~600k new people entering the job market over those eight years. e: Ikantski posted:But you wouldn't compare it to the entire budget. How much are we spending more than we're making? 12 billion dollars. How much would we be spending more than we make if interest rates went up 1%, 15.5 billion dollars.
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# ¿ May 14, 2014 00:13 |
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Meanwhile, Andrea Horwath will stop the gravy train.quote:New Democrat Leader Andrea Horwath says an NDP government would appoint a cabinet minister specifically responsible for savings. Efficiencies!
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# ¿ May 14, 2014 16:29 |
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Blade_of_tyshalle posted:I've always wondered about those signs, in general. What's the purpose of them? I'm already getting sign-fatigue just walking around and seeing dueling Matt Young and John Fraser signs at every intersection in my neighbourhood. Are they intended to convince people, or help canvassers know which houses to skip over? AFAIK, whatever research exists tends to indicate that signs have basically no effect on election results. Partisans like them, though! (The research is mostly US based. In a multi-party system, I suppose signs could be used by a party not traditionally in contention in a riding to send the message that "we're showing up this time" and give partisans of that party who would be inclined to vote strategically permission to vote for that party.)
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# ¿ May 14, 2014 18:50 |
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bunnyofdoom posted:Ha ha holy poo poo. The only party with a full slate right now is the PCs. The OLP is also missing a few.
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# ¿ May 14, 2014 22:51 |
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tagesschau posted:The Liberals have a full slate of 107 candidates. I was going by the usually excellent Pundit's Guide, who was showing a few vacant ridings for the OLP still. Looks like those vacant ridings have been filled on the OLP site though, so hey. Those candidates were probably selected very recently. e: Absurdly, there are more NDP candidates listed at Pundit's Guide than there are on the NDP's own website. Pinterest Mom fucked around with this message at 00:23 on May 15, 2014 |
# ¿ May 14, 2014 23:39 |
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"Hopefully we'll be able to swindle some yokels into voting for us"? That's an entirely toxic attitude.
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# ¿ May 15, 2014 05:09 |
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Aagar posted:DynamicSloth (or anyone): I'm confused - how can you cut cabinet ministers but keep the ministries? Do they just operate as autonomous departments and are accountable to the Premier? I just can't picture how it works. Especially: Ministers are responsible for areas of policy. Ministries are bureaucratic entities. Sometimes, you have several ministers dealing with the same ministry, or ministers whose responsibilities span several ministries, or even ministers who don't have set responsibilities at all. Currently, in the Ontario cabinet, there's someone who is "Minister responsible for Seniors". That's not a real job. There's a Ministry of Child and Youth Services, which surely duplicates a lot of the work the Ministry of Community and Social Services does. You're going to find overlap between the ministries of Environment, Energy, Natural Resources, Northern Development and Mines, and Rural Affairs - maybe you only name two or three ministers over those five ministries. There's something called a "Ministry of Research and Innovation" which exists for some reason, distinct from both the education ministries and the Ministry of Economic Development. A lot about cabinet composition is up to the whims of the current premier.
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# ¿ May 16, 2014 14:38 |
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Badger of Basra posted:Why does ONDP do best among people with only a high school education? Are these the much spoken of "yokels"? Who doesn't have a university degree? -People currently in university -First nations -Lower income people -Blue collar unionised workers
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# ¿ May 16, 2014 22:50 |
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Sometimes, when travelling, Andrea Horwath expenses her meal, and, with the help of a leak from the OLP, The Sun is on it.quote:According to Freedom of Information documents obtained by the Ontario Liberals, the socialist leader and her assistant have charged taxpayers for muffins, bagels, Tim Hortons lunch combos and even a 25-cent Oshawa parking tab. Which is the real Andrea Horwath? The Andrea Horwath who eats a Tim Hortons lunch combo, or the Andrea Horwath who eats lobster bisque?
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# ¿ May 17, 2014 23:46 |
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"In a statement, Liberal MPP and Education Minister Liz Sandals said Horwath’s school plan was an attempt to change the topic from revelations that she expensed coffee and muffins while criticizing others for the same behaviour." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6Q4oxx_JJY
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# ¿ May 18, 2014 15:29 |
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Hand Knit posted:I told him that my family, which has traditionally voted straight NDP because they are the leftest of the three major parties, are considering voting OLP because of the direction Horwath is campaigning. He implied that we're not the only people in Toronto who feel this way. The "in Toronto" qualifier struck me, making me wonder how well what Horwath is doing is playing with "yokels in Sarnia." Polling data suggests that ONDP is doing very well in SW Ontario - up 5-10 points since the last election. It really seems that everywhere south and west of Toronto, ONDP is seriously competitive in places it hasn't been before and where not even the 2011 federal NDP was able to compete. Today's Toronto Sun has a wraparound from the ONDP. It's even more deceptive than the ones the ONDP has managed to place previously. e: I think the "PAID ADVERTISEMENT" disclaimer is that tiny white text up on the top right of the black box. Pinterest Mom fucked around with this message at 15:04 on May 21, 2014 |
# ¿ May 21, 2014 15:00 |
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# ¿ May 22, 2014 13:29 |
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ONDP platform here. Apparently the ONDP no longer cares about strengthening pensions.
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# ¿ May 22, 2014 16:15 |
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e: Best Premier Andrea Horwath: 38 per cent Kathleen Wynne: 32 per cent Tim Hudak: 30 per cent everything is terrible Pinterest Mom fucked around with this message at 23:14 on May 22, 2014 |
# ¿ May 22, 2014 23:07 |
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I remember Fightback twerps pointing to that and (essentially) saying "Mission accomplished".
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# ¿ May 23, 2014 18:05 |
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vyelkin posted:iirc all the indications we've gotten are that labour wanted them to support the Wynne budget, so in a sense this entire election is the NDP turning their back on labour even if none of their specific policies are anywhere near as anti-union as the PCs. Labour isn't a monolith. The labour group which supported the budget most strongly was Unifor, a descendant of CAW, which has left the NDP behind in favour of "strategic voting" a decade ago.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 20:20 |
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Solis posted:I think the NDP have pretty much given up trying to win. I got a call in the middle of the day asking for support and when I responded that thanks to Horwath's pandering to the right I was decidedly less interested in going NDP provincially they didn't even try and engage at all, just said 'thanks for your time.' If the people trying to drum up support for your party aren't even that excited by it that's not a good sign. That's always been SOP for phone canvassers. They're told very explicitly that their job is to find votes, not to try to convince anyone or argue with them. If someone tells you they're not voting for your team, you end the call politely. Depending on the resources of the campaign, you might get a callback later on from a more trusted/experienced canvasser whose job it will be to convince you to vote ONDP. Nothing about your interaction is out of the ordinary!
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# ¿ May 25, 2014 22:19 |
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tagesschau posted:The video says that it's possible to get a majority of the votes under an AV system and not win. This is completely false. It's possible to get a plurality and not win (this would have happened to a lot of Tories in GTA ridings in the 2011 federal election if AV had been in place). It's possible to get a majority of votes under an AV system and not win.
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# ¿ May 26, 2014 00:01 |
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tagesschau posted:In which race did that occur? I don't have time to check 150 races to figure out which one you're talking about. The Labor Party received 45% of the seats despite 51% of the country preferring it to the Coalition. If the point you're trying to make is "the national popular vote doesn't matter and the formation of the government should be up to then particular idiosyncrasies of where the vote happens to be concentrated", whatever.
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# ¿ May 26, 2014 00:18 |
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"The PCs can't count" seems like the kind of charge that sinks a campaign. It's easy to understand, it's easy to mock, and it's really damning about the basic competence of the PCs. Given that the second choice of PC voters seems to be the NDP, I think there's a serious chance that the next two weeks becomes the story of who can form official opposition.
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# ¿ May 29, 2014 13:33 |
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Can you decline your Special Ballot?
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# ¿ May 31, 2014 21:53 |
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bunnyofdoom posted:Did I hear correctly that the OPP released their first ever political ad saying don't vote PC? What? In what universe would that possibly be true? e: The OPP union released an attack ad on the PCs. Coincidentally, they negotiated an 8% wage hike with the OLP, which Hudak wants to freeze.
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# ¿ Jun 2, 2014 14:20 |
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Who are all these businesses who are gravely concerned about the government's balance sheet?
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# ¿ Jun 3, 2014 23:59 |
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"I wish driving were more affordable" - Andrea Horwath, environmentalist
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 00:25 |
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bunnyofdoom posted:40% actually. Ottawa-Gatineau has over a million people. Gatinois can't vote.
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 00:48 |
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# ¿ Apr 29, 2024 02:16 |
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quote:In Vaughan this morning, Kathleen Wynne said that if Tim Hudak’s Progressive Conservatives win a plurality of seats in a minority legislature, she’ll let them govern rather than try to team up with Andrea Horwath’s New Democrats to hold on to government.
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 16:20 |