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icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Justin Godscock posted:

Germany isn't being harder on Russia because they get the vast majority of their gas from Russia, and for cheap, and they aren't going to go hardline on them because they KNOW (and everyone knows, not just Germany) Russia has no problem cutting people off.

If you think Russia taking over Crimea and quietly giving arms to Russian speakers in Eastern Ukraine is akin to Hitler marching across Europe or the EU's current stance being like the Munich Agreement you really need to read up. Especially since we live in a world of Mass Assured Destruction which was not around until after WW2 which changes things a lot.

Russia's current problem is mass corruption and not hyperinflation. If we were talking about 1998 when their currency collapsed, you might have something but now it's not the same as Weimer Germany at all.

Estonia cannot evoke Article 5 by themselves, it has to be collective like it was after 9/11 when NATO got together and said "yup, Article 5 it is".

Well, Estonia can invoke the article, but that doesn't guarantee the rest of NATO actually comes through with support. Whether or not countries like Germany will hold up their end of the bargain is not certain. Most likely they will, but there's still the possibility.

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