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Ukraine is the most important buffer country that Russia has, and it is now watching the slow encroachment of the EU and NATO to its borders. It does not want Ukraine joining either. The future of the proxy war is either it stops where it is, or Russia manages to annex further parts of East/Southern Ukraine and then stops. I feel by annexing Crimea, Russia has already achieved its main goals in this conflict. Longer term, I'm unsure if Ukraine (whatever it looks like) will be able to join up with NATO in the near future as that would be a pretty bold and aggressive step by the West. Almost certainly, Russia would stop the gas in protest. Joining the EU may well be on the cards though, given that it doesn't pose a military threat to Russia - only an economically damaging one.
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# ¿ Sep 5, 2014 13:02 |
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# ¿ Apr 29, 2024 14:28 |