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Furnaceface
Oct 21, 2004




Yes, with the preseason kicking off its that time of year. The time for blind optimism and pure untainted homerism. The one point in the year where Flyers fans can say "Sure, the Flyers will win the Cup" in a non-joking manner. I will kick things off:

Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Tampa Bay
2) Boston
3) Montreal
4) Florida
5) Detroit
6) Toronto
7) Ottawa
8) Buffalo

Metro
1) Pittsburgh
2) NJ
3) Philly
4) NYR
5) Columbus
6) Washington
7) NYI
8) Carolina

Western Conference
Central
1) St.Louis
2) Minnesota
3) Chicago
4) Dallas
5) Winnipeg
6) Colorado
7) Nashville

Pacific
1) SJ
2) Anaheim
3) LA
4) Edmonton
5) Arizona
6) Vancouver
7) Calgary

Playoffs
East
1) Tampa Bay
2) Boston
3) Montreal

1) Pittsburgh
2) NJ
3) Philly

WC1) NYR
WC2) Columbus

West
1) St.Louis
2) Minnesota
3) Chicago

1) SJ
2) Anaheim
3) LA

WC1) Dallas
WC2) Winnipeg

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: Chicago def Montreal
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Ovechkin
Norris: Suter
Vezina: Bishop
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Chicago
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the fewest goals: Tampa Bay
First coach fired: Capuano
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): Yes, NYI
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): Yes, Colorado :getin:

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Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..
Completely scientific, and without bias.

Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Boston
2) Tampa
3) Montreal
4) Detroit
5) Ottawa
6) Florida
7) Toronto
8) Buffalo

Metro
1) Pittsburgh
2) NJ
3) NYR
4) NYI
5) Columbus
6) Washington
7) Philadelphia
8) Carolina

Western Conference
Central
1) St.Louis
2) Chicago
3) Dallas
4) Minnesota
5) Winnipeg
6) Colorado
7) Nashville

Pacific
1) SJ
2) LA
3) Anaheim
4) Vancouver
5) Edmonton
6) Calgary
7) Arizona

Playoffs
East

WC1) NYI
WC2) Detroit

West

WC1) Minnesota
WC2) Vancouver

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: Pittsburgh def Chicago
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Stamkos
Norris: Ehrhoff
Vezina: Rask
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Chicago
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo (gimme)
Team allowing the most goals: Ottawa
Team allowing the fewest goals: New Jersey
First coach fired: Supercoach Randy
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): No
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): Yes. He'll be the fifth goalie to start this season for Minnesota.

Top Hats Monthly
Jun 22, 2011


People are people so why should it be, that you and I should get along so awfully blink blink recall STOP IT YOU POSH LITTLE SHIT
Just wanna do this :siren:
Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: :siren::siren::siren:fuckyougowild:siren::siren::siren: def Pittsburgh
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Stamkos
Norris: Suter
Vezina: Tuuuuuuuuuuuu
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Chicago
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo maybe Ottawa
Team allowing the fewest goals: Tampa Bay
First coach fired: Probably Randy
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): No
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): Yes, when Harding, Kuemper, Backstrom, and Bryzgalov all die in hilariously awkward ways

Twin Cinema
Jun 1, 2006



Playoffs are no big deal,
don't have a crap attack.
Eastern
Atlantic
1. Boston Not as good as previous iterations, but still the team to beat in the East
2. Montreal I really like the make-up of this team, and if a guy like Galchenyuk becomes the player everyone expects, Montreal could be a scary team
3. Tampa I think Tampa belongs in the top tier of Atlantic teams, although I am counting on Bishop to still be a great goalie, and Drouin to step in immediately
---
4. Ottawa I am not sure what to make of Ottawa this year. There's a lot of "ifs" and "please let this D be anything but a tire fire"
5. Detroit This team is in shambles, and will need Datsyuk and Zetterberg to Datsyuk and Zetterberg the team up the standings
---
6. Florida They have a lot of talent hidden under the Island of Misfit Toys
7. Toronto This is going to be another rollercoaster of a season. It will be fun
8. Buffalo Buffalo has scrubbed themselves clean of anything close to talent, with some notable exceptions, but they will probably be worse than last year's team

Metropolitan
1. NYR They still have a great team, especially if Nash rebounds
2. Pittsburgh I feel like the talents of Crosby and Malkin are getting wasted. With those two, your team should be in the Finals more often than they are not, especially in a weak East
---
3. NYI I think Halak bolsters this team. They have a shot at a playoff spot with solid goaltending
4. Columbus This ranking is dependent on signing Johansen. Without him, I am not sure where this team goes. Well, to the bottom, but how far into Dante's Inferno?
5. NJ You know how you can gain an irrational hatred for a player, and that's the lovely thing about sports? I have an irrational hatred of Travis Zajac
6. Washington I have no idea about this team. They are a wild card. I can imagine them finishing anywhere in the division
---
7. Philadelphia My prediction was wrong last year, but there is no way that Philly plays themselves out of the basement this year. Outside a great top-6, what do they have? Nothing. They are pretty much the Leafs with worse goaltending
8. Carolina Other than Faulk, I am hard pressed to name another Carolina defender

Western
Central
1. Chicago The Blackhawks wild ride has not stopped. To the moon, baby
2. St. Louis St. Louis pooped themselves out of the playoffs, but I have it on good authority that they will be back stronger than ever. I believe in Jake Allen
---
3. Dallas I completely forgot Dallas traded for Spezza. Wowee Zowee! That's a good trade!
4. Minnesota They are an iffy team, and can drop a tier if they don't figure out their goaltending
---
5. Colorado We all had fun last year, but Colorado can go back to being Colorado. They can probably jump a tier and fight for a WC
6. Winnipeg As long as they are content with starting Pavelec, they are content with finishing out of the playoffs
---
7. Nashville After years of being everyone's favourite underdog, they are back in the basement, only now with James Neal. Why did Pittsburgh trade Neal again? For Hornqvist? Oh jeez.

Pacific
1. Los Angeles Good good good team
---
2. San Jose One of these years, San Jose is gonna win a Cup. Don't hold me to that prediction
3. Anaheim Oh yeah, Hiller is gone. Hmm, Anaheim will continue to be good
---
4. Edmonton The Pacific is terrible. After Anaheim, it will be a huge dogfight for the best of the poo poo. Edmonton is due for some good luck, though, right?
5. Calgary Don't consider this ranking my support of Calgary's abilities, as much as it is my thoughts on how poorly Vancouver will do this year
6. Vancouver Good grief, this team is going to suck
7. Arizona Can't fool me, Arizona. Same ol' team

Stanley Cup Champion: St. Louis def. Tampa Bay
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Lil' Stevie Stamkos
Norris: Pietrangelo
Vezina: Lundqvist
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Chicago
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the fewest goals: New Jersey
First coach fired: Mr. Carlyle
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): No
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): No

Spring Break My Heart
Feb 15, 2012
Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Boston
2) Montreal
3) Tampa Bay
4) Ottawa
5) Detroit
6) Toronto
7) Florida
8) Buffalo

Metro
1) Pittsburgh
2) New Jersey
3) Rangers
4) Philadelphia
5) Islanders
6) Columbus
7) Washington
8) Carolina

WC1) Philadelphia
WC2) Ottawa

Western Conference
Central
1) Chicago
2) St. Louis
3) Dallas
4) Minnesota
5) Colorado
6) Winnipeg
7) Nashville

Pacific
1) Los Angeles
2) San Jose
3) Vancouver
4) Anaheim
5) Arizona
6) Calgary
7) Edmonton

WC1) Anaheim
WC2) Minnesota

Stanley Cup Champion: Pittsburgh over St.Louis
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Stamkos
Norris: Doughty
Vezina: Rask
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Pittsburgh
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Edmonton
Team allowing the fewest goals: Los Angeles
First coach fired: Therrien
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): No
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): No

Ergo Propter Hog
Jul 21, 2014



Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Boston
2) Montreal
3) Tampa Bay
4) Detroit
5) Toronto
6) Florida
7) Ottawa
8) Buffalo

Metro
1) Pittsburgh
2) NYR
3) Columbus
4) NJ
5) Philadelphia
6) Washington
7) Carolina
8) NYI

Western Conference
Central
1) St.Louis
2) Chicago
3) Dallas
4) Minnesota
5) Colorado
6) Winnipeg
7) Nashville

Pacific
1) SJ
2) Anaheim
3) LA
4) Arizona
5) Vancouver
6) Calgary
7) Edmonton

Playoffs
East
WC1) Detroit
WC2) NJ

West
WC1) Dallas
WC2) Arizona

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: Pittsburgh over San Jose
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Ovechkin
Norris: Letang
Vezina: Price
Calder: Sam Reinhart
Team with the most goals: Pittsburgh
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the fewest goals: Boston
First coach fired: Therrien
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): Nope
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): Yep, Minnesota

Ergo Propter Hog fucked around with this message at 13:48 on Sep 22, 2014

soggybagel
Aug 6, 2006
The official account of NFL Tackle Phil Loadholt.

Let's talk Football.
Minnesota will not give Brodeur a contract.

yellowcar
Feb 14, 2010

East

Atlantic
1. Boston
2. Montreal
3. Tampa Bay
4. Detroit -WC2

5. Florida
6. Toronto
7. Ottawa
8. Buffalo

Metro
1. Pittsburgh -Z
2. NYR
3. Columbus
4. NYI -WC1

5. NJ
6. Philadelphia
7. Washington
8. Carolina

West

Central
1. Chicago
2. Minnesota
3. St. Louis
4. Dallas -WC1
5. Colorado -WC2

6. Winnipeg
7. Nashville

Pacific
1. San Jose -P
2. Anaheim
3. LA

4. Edmonton (they are back baby but not quite there)
5. Arizona
6. Vancouver
7. Calgary

Other poo poo:

Stanley Cup Champion: Chicago over Pittsburgh
President's Trophy: San Jose
Art Ross: Malkin
Rocket Richard: Ovechkin
Norris: Subban
Vezina: Price
Calder: Reinhart
Team with the most goals: Pittsburgh
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the fewest goals: Boston
First coach fired: Randy Carlyle
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): Toronto (lol)
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): One game for NJ after they're statistically eliminated from the playoffs

Zamboni Jesus
Jul 3, 2007

We don't really care about what that bug-eyed fat walrus has to say
East

Atlantic
Boston
Tampa Bay
Montreal
Florida
Detroit
Ottawa
Toronto
Buffalo

Metro
Pittsburgh
NY Rangers
New Jersey
Washington
NY Islanders
Philadelphia
Columbus
Carolina

1. Boston
2. Pittsburgh
3. Tampa Bay
4. Montreal
5. NY Rangers
6. New Jersey
7. Florida
8. Detroit

9. Washington
10. NY Islanders
11. Ottawa
12. Philadelphia
13. Columbus
14. Toronto
15. Carolina
16. Buffalo

West

Central
Chicago
St. Louis
Minnesota
Dallas
Colorado
Nashville
Winnipeg

Pacific
Anaheim
Los Angeles
San Jose
Vancouver
Phoenix
Edmonton
Calgary

1. Chicago
2. Anaheim
3. St. Louis
4. Los Angeles
5. San Jose
6. Minnesota
7. Dallas
8. Vancouver

9. Colorado
10. Nashville
11. Phoenix
12. Winnipeg
13. Edmonton
14. Calgary

Stanley Cup Champion: Boston over Anaheim
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Stamkos
Norris: Subban
Vezina: Rask
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Tampa
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Toronto
Team allowing the fewest goals: LA
First coach fired: Walrus
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): no
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): no

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Boston - One of the best goaltenders in the game and still a very deep team.
2) Montreal - No real holes in the lineup outside of a weakish defence
3) Tampa Bay - Stamkos will go on a tear this year, don't like their depth.
4) Toronto - Overall a rebound year but not enough to get back in the playoffs
5) Detroit - A major injury or two away from the basement
6) Ottawa - Karlsson and a bounce back year from Anderson are enough to keep them respectable. Ryan is traded at the deadline.
7) Florida - Loooouuuu-se a lot.
8) Buffalo - Three firsts means three shots at McDavid!

Metro
1) Pittsburgh - Don't like the Neal trade, but Ehrhoff was a great signing and they've got something to prove
2) Philadelphia - Their offensive depth is solid enough to carry shoddy defence and goaltending to a first round exit.
3) NY Rangers - Less depth and older means no return to the finals
4) Washington - Ovie has another good season, but doesn't crack 40. Everyone sings Trotz's praises after a hot start then ends with them slowly sliding into mediocrity.
5) Columbus - I dunno, never been their biggest fan. RyJo misses a handful of games, but eventually signs a bridge deal.
6) New Jersey - Schneider is great, everyone else not so much.
7) NY Islanders - All their moves feel reactionary at best, their defence is still a tilt a whirl of crudiness.
8) Carolina - Haha oh man. Semin is traded or something.

Western Conference
Central
1) St. Louis - Another great regular season and a disappointing playoffs
2) Chicago - They're better than STL right now, but they still have to ship out a big contract.
3) Colorado - Analytics say they are pretty mediocre, I tend to agree.
4) Dallas - Like Colorado, the pressure of an unexpectedly great season is a bit too much to handle for a young team.
5) Minnesota - Goaltending will be an issue, that defence and bottom six is horrid.
6) Winnipeg - Continuing the proud Atlanta tradition of sucking and no one caring.
7) Nashville - Countdown to Weber UFA status: 4301 days.

Pacific
1) San Jose - A good team that plays well to spite their weirdly petty management
2) Anaheim - Analytics say they are pretty mediocre, I'm not sure I agree. Kesler is so-so.
3) Los Angeles - They never finish high in the regular season, but they'll be in the WCF
4) Arizona - Lots of question marks around a team people constantly underrate. Vrbata was a big loss.
5) Vancouver - Better, but not by much.
6) Calgary - Johnny Hockey is fun to watch, the rest of the team is not.
7) Edmonton - They always nose dive once their fans get their hopes up, so that's why I put them here.

Playoffs
East
1) Boston
2) Montreal
3) Tampa Bay

1) Pittsburgh
2) Philadelphia
3) New York Rangers

WC1) Washington
WC2) Columbus

West
1) St. Louis
2) Chicago
3) Colorado

1) San Jose
2) Anaheim
3) Los Angeles

WC1) Dallas
WC2) Minnesota

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: Pittsburgh def. Chicago
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Stamkos
Norris: McDonaugh
Vezina: Rask
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Pittsburgh
Team with the fewest goals: Calgary
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the fewest goals: NY Rangers
First coach fired: Todd Richards
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): Yes by CBJ as they panic after a slow start
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): CBC Panel where he tells dumb stories.

Levitate
Sep 30, 2005

randy newman voice

YOU'VE GOT A LAFRENIÈRE IN ME

quote:

3) NY Rangers - Less depth and older means no return to the finals

Older? Well, I guess adding St Louis and Boyle does that but in a general sense their "core" group is a fine age. St Louis should be more productive and healthier than Callahan, Boyle is more productive offensively than Stralman, etc. Their depth is really about the same aside from center depth, but we'll see. Most people didn't think much of the Rangers depth at the start of last season and by the end it was a big thing. ALso someone like Miller might end up being a better 3rd line center than Richards was in the long run, IF he takes a step forward in his development and becomes a reliable player

Still, very hard to repeat to the finals, so predicting it isn't going out on too much of a limb

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

Levitate posted:

Older? Well, I guess adding St Louis and Boyle does that but in a general sense their "core" group is a fine age.

Their average age is second in the league trailing only NJD. There's a transition plan in place, but expecting anything more than ~75% of last year's production from St. Louis or Boyle is foolhardy.

Levitate posted:

Still, very hard to repeat to the finals, so predicting it isn't going out on too much of a limb

I didn't say it was a particularly outrageous prediction. The Rangers have a future in Stepan, Krieder, etc. all getting better but their old guard is still (rightly) hanging around and I don't think they have what it takes to be a real contender. Last year feels like a 'Devils 2012' type situation, a one and done fluke run to the finals.

ThinkTank fucked around with this message at 15:29 on Sep 22, 2014

Levitate
Sep 30, 2005

randy newman voice

YOU'VE GOT A LAFRENIÈRE IN ME

ThinkTank posted:

Their average age is second in the league trailing only NJD. There's a transition plan in place, but expecting anything more than ~75% of last year's production from St. Louis or Boyle is foolhardy.

75% of their production is still better than the guys they're replacing from last year.

quote:

I didn't say it was a particularly outrageous prediction. The Rangers have a transition plan in place with Stepan, Krieder, etc. all getting there but their old guard is still (rightly) hanging around and I don't think they have what it takes to be a real contender. Last year feels like a 'Devils 2012' type situation, a one and done fluke run to the finals.

The "old" guard is guys like Girardi and Lundqvist...and Nash I guess but he's still probably good for 30 goals if he stays healthy (and Girardi and Nash are only 30). Zucc is 27, Brassard is 27, Stepan is 24, Kreider is 23, Hagelin is 26, Miller is 21, McDonagh is 25, J. Moore is 23, Staal is 27, Klein is 29. Some of the older guys bringing the age up are players like Lombardi, Dom Moore (who at 34 is still a fantastic 4th line center and that's what his role will be), Malone, etc. Guys who either aren't being relied upon to be major parts of the offense or who aren't even a given to make the team. Then you're looking at possible guys like Hayes who is 22, Ryan Haggerty who has looked real good and is 21, Chris Mueller might be a decent 4th liner and is 28, Fast is 22, etc etc

Basically, you have two guys who are quite old but still productive, a bunch of players ranging from quite young to prime ages, and a few "veterans" of age 30 and a few other guys fighting to make the team in a non critical role

They might be a one and done but I don't think it's because they're too old, it would be the same old problem of "not having enough talent"

Depth is a much better argument because we don't know how effectively Richards and Pouliot will be replaced, or what the effect of Stralman leaving will be

e: and a huge reason the Devils were one and done is because then they immediately lost Parise and then Kovalchuk

Koopa Kid posted:

I think it's hard to reconcile "Brad Richards is old and sucks now so replacing him with a sophomore will work out better" in the same general thought as "this 38-year-old defenseman who played sheltered minutes and put up his worst PPG in over a decade will be good."

Boyle was also concussed for 3 months last year, but yes I am worried about how he will hold up. On the other hand, his PP numbers would replace Richards' and his even strength numbers still outscored Stralman's. Literally every other defenseman on the team outscored Stralman last year and at some point there's a benefit to points versus benefits to having a good corsi. But if Boyle is terrible defensively then yeah it's gonna be a struggle and Klein is going to have to play a lot more hard minutes, which I'm not terribly comfortable with.

Levitate fucked around with this message at 15:42 on Sep 22, 2014

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



I think it's hard to reconcile "Brad Richards is old and sucks now so replacing him with a sophomore will work out better" in the same general thought as "this 38-year-old defenseman who played sheltered minutes and put up his worst PPG in over a decade will be good."

Mind_Taker
May 7, 2007



Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Boston
2) Tampa Bay
3) Montreal
4) Florida
5) Detroit
6) Ottawa
7) Toronto
8) Buffalo

Metro
1) Pittsburgh
2) New York Rangers
3) Washington
4) New York Islanders
5) New Jersey
6) Columbus
7) Philadelphia
8) Carolina

Western Conference
Central
1) Chicago
2) Dallas
3) St. Louis
4) Minnesota
5) Colorado
6) Winnipeg
7) Nashville

Pacific
1) Los Angeles
2) Anaheim
3) San Jose
4) Arizona
5) Calgary
6) Vancouver
7) Edmonton

Playoffs
East
1) Boston
2) Tampa Bay
3) Montreal

1) Pittsburgh
2) New York Rangers
3) Washington

WC1) New York Islanders
WC2) New Jersey

West
1) Chicago
2) Dallas
3) St. Louis

1) Los Angeles
2) Anaheim
3) San Jose

WC1) Minnesota
WC2) Arizona

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: Tampa Bay def Chicago
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Stamkos
Norris: Doughty
Vezina: Holtby (gotta have one homer award)
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: Chicago
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Edmonton
Team allowing the fewest goals: Los Angeles
First coach fired: Carlyle, after Toronto doesn't inexplicably win a bunch of games at the start of this season
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): no
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): no

T-Bone
Sep 14, 2004

jakes did this?
Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Boston
2) Tampa Bay
3) Montreal
4) Detroit
5) Toronto
6) Florida
7) Ottawa
8) Buffalo

Metro
1) Pittsburgh
2) NYR
3) New Jersey
4) NYI
5) Columbus
6) Philadelphia
7) Washington
8) Carolina

Western Conference
Central
1) Chicago
2) St. Louis
3) Dallas
4) Minnesota
5) Colorado
6) Winnipeg
7) Nashville

Pacific
1) San Jose
2) Anaheim
3) Los Angeles
4) Vancouver
5) Calgary
6) Arizona
7) Edmonton

Playoffs
East
1) Boston
2) Tampa Bay
3) Montreal

1) Pittsburgh
2) NYR
3) NJ

WC1) NYI
WC2) Columbus

West
1) Chicago
2) St. Louis
3) Dallas

1) San Jose
2) Anaheim
3) Los Angeles

WC1) Minnesota
WC2) Colorado

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: Pittsburgh def St. Louis
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Stamkos
Norris: McDonagh
Vezina: Schneider
Calder: Drouin
Team with the most goals: San Jose
Team with the fewest goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the fewest goals: Boston
First coach fired: who knows
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): No
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): Yes, Washington


don't hate too much caps fans I could just as easily see Washington finishing second or third. The East is really hard to call after about 5 teams (PIT/BOS/TB/MON/NYR) whereas the West looks like a pretty easy call for the top 7

T-Bone fucked around with this message at 00:46 on Sep 23, 2014

Pat Clements
Feb 10, 2008
Speaking objectively as someone who no longer gives a poo poo about how Dan Boyle does, it is worth noting that his play was substantially worse after he came back from that concussion too early.

It's a small sample size of games played before he got hurt, but while he had slowed down a tad it seemed he was well on his way to another very productive season before the injury. Afterward he just looked scared for a long stretch of time.

I'm not saying that he won't run into ordinary age-related decline this year, merely that it wasn't what happened last year though it might have appeared that way to outside observers.

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

Plus Girardi turned into a pumpkin in the cup finals, then again I don't think that's indicative of his true value.

Yes there are some good players in the prime of their careers on the Rangers (McDonaugh, Zucarello, Kreider, Stepan, etc.) but there is a large contingent of players 29 and over that still carry the bulk of the heavy minutes. While overpaid, Richards was hardly chopped liver. I've never heard of a team attempting to replace their second line centre's offensive production with an aging offensive defenceman. St. Louis seems to be immortal, but at some point age will hit him and he'll decline. Banking on him to be a top contributor is risky. Lundqvist is 32 now. Goaltenders seem to age better than position players, but it's probably safe to assume his best years are behind him.

Depth wise, they lost a lot of key contributors and yes it's probably a bigger issue than age (relying on Tannger Glass and Matthew Lombardi to be effective 3rd/4th line contributors is risky in the extreme). Still, there's no way to deny the Rangers average age is 29.5.

I'm not sure why I got so sidetracked here, I don't think the Rangers are particularly bad and they'll still comfortably make the playoffs. They're just an older team that underwent a lot of roster change for a cup finalist, and there's no way around that.

T-Bone
Sep 14, 2004

jakes did this?
The Metro is probably the deepest division right now in that 7/8 teams have a legit shot at the playoffs. Even Carolina isn't awful if they don't start Cam loving Ward.

Pat Clements
Feb 10, 2008
Obviously the idea that age is going to ravage even the best players is correct in 99% of all cases, but there are also plenty of instances like Selanne and Jagr (or even lesser guys like Ray Whitney) where they can still play at an elite level past 40.

I feel like this is especially true when a guy relies on his pure skating ability (which is distinct from speed), and we've all seen Marty's legs.

Levitate
Sep 30, 2005

randy newman voice

YOU'VE GOT A LAFRENIÈRE IN ME
I just don't agree that the Rangers are a particularly old team, their age numbers are propped up by two very old but productive players and a few other guys in their early 30's which is still a productive age for players. I'm not worried about age this year, I"m worried about replacing what was a great fourth line and how losing Stralman is going to affect things.

That site is also counting ages of guys like Malone and Lombardi who are no locks to make the teams but not the age of someone like Miller who basically has to play himself off the team at this point

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



Pat Clements posted:

Speaking objectively as someone who no longer gives a poo poo about how Dan Boyle does, it is worth noting that his play was substantially worse after he came back from that concussion too early.

It's a small sample size of games played before he got hurt, but while he had slowed down a tad it seemed he was well on his way to another very productive season before the injury. Afterward he just looked scared for a long stretch of time.

I'm not saying that he won't run into ordinary age-related decline this year, merely that it wasn't what happened last year though it might have appeared that way to outside observers.

Even if you take last year out, his boxcars have been steadily declining since 2010.

And while there are lots of examples of players playing past the age of typical decline, we can't seriously pretend that Jagr or Selanne haven't been shells of their former selves for years, or that players like them or Iginla are anything more than 2nd tier sheltered depth.

The point is that if Richards is to be perceived as a soft-minute boat anchor despite his production, then given the evidence we have to look at Boyle the same way until he proves otherwise.

St. Dogbert
Mar 17, 2011
Okay, let's try this:

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Atlantic Division

1) Boston - Obvious choice; should be tops in the East
2) Montreal - Fine forwards, horrible defense; better hope Price holds up
3) Tampa Bay - Should be around the 100-point mark again unless Bishop gets hurt
4) Detroit - Too good to bottom out, not good enough to contend
5) Toronto - Will start slow, but pick it up after Carlyle's fired - not enough to get in
6) Florida - Need a big jump from Huberdeau and Barkov to contend for a spot
7) Buffalo - First step out of the abyss; Nolan's hard-working style will catch teams off guard
8) Ottawa - Loss of Spezza's offense + crapola blueline outside of Karlsson = not good

Metropolitan Division

1) Pittsburgh - Crosby and Malkin are enough in the regular season; the playoffs are the real question
2) New York Rangers - Lundqvist bounces back to his Vezina form and makes the NYR a favourite
3) New Jersey - 60+ starts for Schneider should get them in, as long as the old guys can score enough
4) New York Islanders (WC) - Same story as NJ, except Halak won't start more than 50; need a good year from Johnson too
5) Washington (WC) - Will have growing pains under Trotz; as usual, everything depends on Ovechkin
6) Columbus - How long does it take to sign Johansen, and how long will he take to get up to speed?
7) Philadelphia - Plugged none of their holes and added new ones; expect a very different roster for 2015-16
8) Carolina - Fat & happy star players and no depth whatsoever is a good formula for the draft lottery

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Central Division

1) Chicago - Loads of skill means loads of goals; 3.5 per game wouldn't be surprising
2) St. Louis - In a dogfight with Chicago for first in the West; goaltending may be a question mark
3) Minnesota - Stacked up front; decent blueline; battle of attrition in goal
4) Dallas (WC) - Adding Spezza and Hemsky will help, but Lehtonen's health is always a "maybe"
5) Colorado (WC) - Will need to outgun opponents, as the defense is subpar and Varlamov may not be for real
6) Nashville - Having Rinne healthy will help, but their division is just too tough
7) Winnipeg - The obvious weak sister of the division; acquiring a capable goalie may change that

Pacific Division

1) Los Angeles - Will have slow nights from time to time; still, too good not to win the division
2) Anaheim - Great farm system should offset a few key losses; can Andersen or Gibson handle regular duties?
3) San Jose - Too much talent not to make the playoffs in this division, even though management is a mess
4) Vancouver - Additions and health will help stop the bleeding; should make the playoffs if Daniel bounces back
5) Edmonton - Step-up year; additions on defense and better goaltending should make a difference
6) Arizona - Lose Vrbata and Ribeiro, gain Gagner and a full season of Erat? Won't help a team that struggles to score already
7) Calgary - Bottoming-out year; nowhere near enough scoring, although goaltending should be better

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: St. Louis def Pittsburgh
Hart: Sidney Crosby
Art Ross: Sidney Crosby
Rocket Richard: Steven Stamkos
Norris: Ryan Suter
Vezina: Henrik Lundqvist
Calder: John Gibson
Conn Smythe: Alex Pietrangelo
Top five (in order): Chicago, Boston, St. Louis, Pittsburgh, Los Angeles
Bottom five (in order): Calgary, Carolina, Winnipeg, Ottawa, Buffalo
Team with the most goals: Chicago
Team with the fewest goals: Calgary
Team allowing the most goals: Carolina
Team allowing the fewest goals: Los Angeles
First coach fired: Randy Carlyle
Biggest trade: EDM trades Jordan Eberle to ARI for Keith Yandle (with smaller pieces either way to even it up)
Dumbest trade: Someone massively overpays for Bobby Ryan, then loses him as a UFA
Biggest contract signed: TOR signs Jonathan Bernier - 7 years, $49 million
Longest suspension: James Neal loses his mind again and actually pays for it this time (10+ games)

Zamboni Jesus
Jul 3, 2007

We don't really care about what that bug-eyed fat walrus has to say

T-Bone posted:

The Metro is probably the deepest division right now in that 7/8 teams have a legit shot at the playoffs. Even Carolina isn't awful if they don't start Cam loving Ward.

lol no they are pretty awful

Mind_Taker
May 7, 2007



The Metro will probably be the most tightly contested division, but no they aren't very deep or good. Aside from Pittsburgh and probably NYR, every team seems relatively equal. There seems to be a pretty clear separation in the other divisions between playoff teams and non-playoff teams.

MaoistBanker
Sep 11, 2001

For Sound Financial Pranning!

St. Dogbert posted:


Calder: John Gibson


I was waiting for this - I think there is a lot of smart money to be made on placing a bet for Gibson winning the Calder. The voters LOVE young goalies who get 30+ starts, and Gibson will almost certainly get more than 30 if his play matches his considerable talent.

a false
Mar 5, 2009

I DECIDE
WHO LIVES
AND WHO DIES
Eastern Conference
Atlantic
1) Boston
2) Tampa Bay
3) Montreal
4) Detroit
5) Toronto
6) Ottawa
7) Florida
8) Buffalo

Metro
1) Pittsburgh
2) NYI
3) New Jersey
4) NYR
5) Columbus
6) Washington
7) Philadelphia
8) Carolina

Western Conference
Central
1) St.Louis
2) Chicago
3) Dallas
4) Minnesota
5) Colorado
6) Nashville
7) Winnipeg

Pacific
1) LA
2) Anaheim
3) San Jose
4) Arizona
5) Vancouver
6) Edmonton
7) Calgary

Playoffs
East
1) Boston
2) Tampa Bay
3) Montreal

1) Pittsburgh
2) NYI
3) New Jersey

WC1) NYR
WC2) Detroit

West
1) St.Louis
2) Chicago
3) Dallas

1) LA
2) Anaheim
3) San Jose

WC1) Minnesota
WC2) Colorado

Other Optional poo poo Predictions:

Stanley Cup Champion: St. Louis def. Boston
Art Ross: Crosby
Rocket Richard: Ovechkin
Norris: McDonagh
Vezina: Rask
Calder: Teravainen
Team with the most goals: Chicago
Team with the fewest goals: Carolina
Team allowing the most goals: Buffalo
Team allowing the fewest goals: LA
First coach fired: Carlyle
Does Torts coach this year (if so where): No
Does Brodeur get a contract (if so where): No

T-Bone
Sep 14, 2004

jakes did this?

Zamboni Jesus posted:

lol no they are pretty awful

lol the entire East is awful -- as mediocre as the Metro is it has two locks (PIT/NYR) 5 maybes (PHI/CLB/NJ/WSH/NYI) and one longshot (CAR). The Atlantic has three locks (BOS/TB/MTL) one maybe (DET), three longshots (TOR/OTT/FLA), and one no chance (BUF).

It's easily the most competitive/deepest division. Even the Central which is obviously a much better division has a pretty clear divide. Then you've got the Pacific and Atlantic which each have 3-4 really bad teams.

Furnaceface
Oct 21, 2004




I think if Winnipeg ditches Pavelec for Hutchinson they plug their biggest hole and easily become competitive for a WC spot.

But that relies on management admitting they were wrong about Pavelec so...

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

Furnaceface posted:

I think if Winnipeg ditches Pavelec for Hutchinson they plug their biggest hole and easily become competitive for a WC spot.

But that relies on management admitting they were wrong about Pavelec so...

If throwing a goalie with three career NHL games under his belt into the starting role is plugging any sort of hole for the Jets, they're in heaps more trouble than I thought.

a false
Mar 5, 2009

I DECIDE
WHO LIVES
AND WHO DIES

ThinkTank posted:

7) NY Islanders - All their moves feel reactionary at best, their defence is still a tilt a whirl of crudiness.

The word reactionary doesn't mean anything close to what you think it means

Also the islanders defense isn't as bad as you think it is

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

a false posted:

The word reactionary doesn't mean anything close to what you think it means

Also the islanders defense isn't as bad as you think it is

Garth Snow is extremely conservative (I am an idiot)


And yeah that defence is incredibly bad. Hamonic is just about the only guy who'd be a top 4 defenceman on most other teams. Unless you think Visnovsky still has it or Calvin De Haan isn't a huge bundle of wasted potential.

a false
Mar 5, 2009

I DECIDE
WHO LIVES
AND WHO DIES

ThinkTank posted:

Garth Snow is extremely conservative (I am an idiot)


And yeah that defence is incredibly bad. Hamonic is just about the only guy who'd be a top 4 defenceman on most other teams. Unless you think Visnovsky still has it or Calvin De Haan isn't a huge bundle of wasted potential.

If that is what you think Calvin de Haan is then I am fairly confident that you did not watch Calvin de Haan play last season

pretty much every D the islanders have right now had very strong possession numbers last year with the exception of Brian strait and Matt carkner, who have enough competition to keep them out of the lineup now. All of them were very good on the eye test last year as well except for Matt Donovan, who did have a propensity for conspicuous turnovers which he curbed successfully as the season went on. Their worst possession anchor, Andrew macdonald, is gone. There are good blog posts out there with the actual numbers that bear this out but I can't be arsed to find one on my phone right now.

e: ok actually that was easy to find: http://www.lighthousehockey.com/2014/7/3/5869871/evaluating-the-islanders-defense-and-potential-trade-targets-to

They'll also probably make a trade during the season as they have plenty of movable assets.

a false fucked around with this message at 20:51 on Sep 22, 2014

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

a false posted:

If that is what you think Calvin de Haan is then I am fairly confident that you did not watch Calvin de Haan play last season

pretty much every D the islanders have right now had very strong possession numbers last year with the exception of Brian strait and Matt carkner, who have enough competition to keep them out of the lineup now. All of them were very good on the eye test last year as well except for Matt Donovan, who did have a propensity for conspicuous turnovers which he curbed successfully as the season went on. Their worst possession anchor, Andrew macdonald, is gone. There are good blog posts out there with the actual numbers that bear this out but I can't be arsed to find one on my phone right now.

e: ok actually that was easy to find: http://www.lighthousehockey.com/2014/7/3/5869871/evaluating-the-islanders-defense-and-potential-trade-targets-to

They'll also probably make a trade during the season as they have plenty of movable assets.

I'll admit De Haan's possession stats are better than I thought, but he's already 23 and it's probably safe to say that what you see is what you get with him. Serviceable 2nd/very good 3rd pairing guy.

As for the rest, yes the goaltending has gone from 'abysmal' to 'acceptable,' but what other change has there been that shows that they've poised to leap up substantially from 3rd worst in the league last year? I like Griffin Reinhart as a player, but expecting him to be a 20+ minute a night guy before he plays a single professional game is silly. Otherwise it's nearly identical aside from some half decent prospects who are severely lacking in NHL/AHL experience.

Levitate
Sep 30, 2005

randy newman voice

YOU'VE GOT A LAFRENIÈRE IN ME
Having Tavares for more than half a season will probably help

On the other hand, is Okposo's improvement last year sustainable or not? Etc

a false
Mar 5, 2009

I DECIDE
WHO LIVES
AND WHO DIES

ThinkTank posted:

As for the rest, yes the goaltending has gone from 'abysmal' to 'acceptable,' but what other change has there been that shows that they've poised to leap up substantially from 3rd worst in the league last year?

The fact that they were average in shots allowed but bottom of the heap in goals allowed shows how much of their problems were directly related to goaltending last year. I've long since forgotten the exact numbers, but I know that league average goaltending last season would have given them a positive goal differential. Teams with positive goal differentials are almost invariably playoff teams, and they now have the goaltending to reach the league average level. Subtract Andrew MacDonald from that and add both Mikhail Grabovski and Nikolay Kulemin (note that this makes their center depth 1. Tavares 2. Grabovski 3. Nielsen which is Very good) and baby you got a playoff team goin'

Zamboni Jesus
Jul 3, 2007

We don't really care about what that bug-eyed fat walrus has to say
they were also 16th in the league in goals for. if they can bring their goals against down 40 goals while scoring the same amount they end up even. i like halak as a goalie more than just about anyone, but i don't know that he is a 40 goal improvement even over nabokov.

a false
Mar 5, 2009

I DECIDE
WHO LIVES
AND WHO DIES

Zamboni Jesus posted:

they were also 16th in the league in goals for. if they can bring their goals against down 40 goals while scoring the same amount they end up even. i like halak as a goalie more than just about anyone, but i don't know that he is a 40 goal improvement even over nabokov.

I think Halak/Johnson are easily .5g/game better than Nabokov/Poulin/Nilsson, but I guess we'll have to see!

Glambags
Dec 28, 2003

Zamboni Jesus posted:

they were also 16th in the league in goals for. if they can bring their goals against down 40 goals while scoring the same amount they end up even. i like halak as a goalie more than just about anyone, but i don't know that he is a 40 goal improvement even over nabokov.

a false posted:

I think Halak/Johnson are easily .5g/game better than Nabokov/Poulin/Nilsson, but I guess we'll have to see!

My prediction? The islanders will win every game this season, sweep the playoffs and win the Stanley Cup, Tavares will cure cancer, and Jack Capuano will be the first man to set foot on Mars

Seriously tho come on Halak/Johnson (along with their other offseason moves and young guys coming up) puts them in a very good position to be at least a WC team. Also for all of you predicting NJ comfortably making the playoffs, I hope you enjoy disappointment.

Philly will finish worse than Buffalo :getin:

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a false
Mar 5, 2009

I DECIDE
WHO LIVES
AND WHO DIES

Glambags posted:

My prediction? The islanders will win every game this season, sweep the playoffs and win the Stanley Cup, Tavares will cure cancer, and Jack Capuano will be the first man to set foot on Mars

Seriously tho come on Halak/Johnson (along with their other offseason moves and young guys coming up) puts them in a very good position to be at least a WC team. Also for all of you predicting NJ comfortably making the playoffs, I hope you enjoy disappointment.

Philly will finish worse than Buffalo :getin:

Trust me I will be anything but disappointed if jersey misses the playoffs. I just don't think they will.

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