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  • Locked thread
Farmer Crack-Ass
Jan 2, 2001

this is me posting irl

Moridin920 posted:

Well you're right I think it is actually difficult to sink the whole ship but all you need is minor damage to the flight deck and its whole purpose is borked.


Well first of all carriers aren't submarines. They are pretty easy to spot on radar and besides that they aren't ever alone. When you talk about a carrier, you're talking about a whole carrier group. If China can't spot a fleet of 20-30 ships then idk lol at them. That's something we have been able to do for decades.

And yeah the navy has been getting ready to deal with missile swarms but on the other hand there's no missile defense system that is 100% perfect so the point still stands. They can't even deal with swarms of speedboats loaded with bombs as a recent war game showed.

If China or whoever launched 1000 missiles at a carrier at least 1 is getting through at that 1 is all that is needed to make the carrier useless. Hit the flight deck and it won't be able to launch aircraft and there goes the whole point of the thing.

carrier groups don't travel in bunched up groups like you see in promo photos. they're spread out way more. like beyond the horizon far. where in the group of ships is the carrier? radar still has limited range. you still need to know where to aim the missile. those speedboats aren't going to be packing radar that can effectively see beyond the horizon. any ship or plane packing a radar is going to be an immediate target.

they're also not going to be standing still, especially in a hot war. they're not gonna just park off the chinese coast and wait for poo poo to come to them. nuclear aircraft carriers are fast fuckers.

that's assuming you're actually able to mount the missiles to the speedboats (which is a big if), get them into position, and get them aimed and launched properly. the millennium challenge wargame had a lot of poo poo wrong with it (that general also did poo poo like assume instantaneous communication via a network of motorcycle couriers or some insane poo poo like that) and also took place in an environment where the navy couldn't just shoot any boat that came within x miles of the group because it's the fuckin arabian gulf and it's constricted and there's a shitload of traffic around.


the us loses a carrier (or just a flight deck, w/e) and the rules of engagement will get a lot looser either way.


also 1000 missiles is a fuckin lot of missiles. how many times can they do that? if they only get one carrier with their whole antiship missile load, we have more carriers.




Moridin920 posted:

Just a reminder that Israel's Iron Dome (developed with the US) is supposedly the world's most advanced point defense system and it can't even stop 100% of lovely 70s era mortar fire.

sure, but it's a more difficult problem to solve. the jumped-up fireworks rocket could come down anywhere, and reaction times are a lot less. naval point defense can assume that incoming missiles are headed towards certain locations.


look, i'm not saying the navy is invincible to missile swarms. but it's not guaranteed that you're going to knock out a carrier. maybe you wind up just sinking a couple escorts. the point is that missile swarm is something the navy's been thinking about for decades.


Robo Reagan posted:

Isn't that what we have billions of dollars worth of spy satellites for? I imagine the heat signature is pretty hard to mask so just look for the blob of hot that's hauling rear end to your homebase

blob of hot doesn't really do you a lot of good for individual targeting. it just lets you know the general area at the time you launch your missiles. and given the US has satellites as well, odds are good they'll see the hot launch exhaust and do an immediate course change to get the gently caress out.


seriously the only way a ballistic missile attack against ships pens out is if you're throwing nuclear warheads. which yeah probably would sink a carrier group buuuuut...

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Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Robo Reagan posted:

Isn't that what we have billions of dollars worth of spy satellites for? I imagine the heat signature is pretty hard to mask so just look for the blob of hot that's hauling rear end to your homebase

there is a lot of lag on spy satellites and by the time the ship appears on your screen it will have already moved

thats if you can even find it in the first place which isnt as simply as looking for heat signatures

Robo Reagan
Feb 12, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
Ah, alright. I'm used to the idea that ships are slow as gently caress and sit around doing fuckall

Farmer Crack-Ass
Jan 2, 2001

this is me posting irl
can we get a mod to rename the thread to something like "Tom Clancy knows just what China is doing" or something like that, thanks and god bless

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

Necc0 posted:

problem with those is you actually need to know exactly where your target is. and if your target is beyond the horizon and 'somewhere in the ocean' then good luck

not really hard to spot a ship that size in 2015 and determine its heading.


Fojar38 posted:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/realspin/2014/08/04/our-aircraft-carriers-are-not-sitting-ducks/

real life naval warfare isnt like eve online and actually even hitting a ship with a missle is really loving hard let alone sinking the most massive ships on the seas

A lot of fancy tech and I'm noticing not once do they say 100% effective which means one thing hits the flight deck and the whole ship is useless. Doesn't need to sink.

That whole article reads like the Pentagon going 'no we promise the F35 is a cutting edge super plane.'

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
china is really weird in the sheer amount of bullshit that there is out there about it in the western press

its basically a 21st century mix of orientalism and yellow terror

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
I'll just leave this here:

US Naval Institute 2009 posted:

If operational as is believed, the system marks the first time a ballistic missile has been successfully developed to attack vessels at sea. Ships currently have no defense against a ballistic missile attack.

Granted it's been 6 years but still gl hitting a missile going mach 8 and btw there's 100 of them.


The top brass are assholes and they either know but don't care because money and career or they are idiots and don't know but either is perfectly plausible.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Moridin920 posted:

not really hard to spot a ship that size in 2015 and determine its heading.

itt its 1750 apparently and naval combat constitutes lining your men-o-war off the coast of china and bombarding them into submission

IronClaymore
Jun 30, 2010

by Athanatos

Fojar38 posted:

real life naval warfare isnt like eve online and actually even hitting a ship with a missle is really loving hard let alone sinking the most massive ships on the seas

Heh, last I heard a ship was once sunk back in 1967 or something by a missile. I don't think even my mom was born back then. Lends a kinda farcical air to everything really, we have all these missiles and electronic warfare jammers and stuff, but it hasn't really been used, as least with ships. Training is good but doesn't really count.

F-16 Vipers, export, are shot down occasionally by man-portable air-defence sure, but only when they're flying low and slow doing close air support. And a ship shot down an Iranian passenger jet once and the captain got a medal for it blah blah blah. Point is, never really tested against an enemy with the same technology. Landing a missile on a ship is hard, yes, but making a decent ship worthy of a missile is even harder.

Arkanomen
May 6, 2007

All he wants is a hug
Eh if a war really broke out and it didn't go nuclear the U.S. would just churn out cheap drones and poo poo all over China while they tried to decode some half-stolen decade old schematic they had an intern steal in between polluting their country to death and dying in accidents caused by half-assing their stolen tech. China is literally a joke.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Moridin920 posted:

Granted it's been 6 years but still gl hitting a missile going mach 8 and btw there's 100 of them.

you really dont seem to be comprehending how loving huge the pacific ocean is

Flo Cytometer
Apr 20, 2015

by Ralp
bad caps kill japs

Robo Reagan
Feb 12, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
i say we start a war with china/russia it will be cathartic for everyone involved and it doesnt even have to be over anything for real just park some ships around some small island or whatever and murder each other for a few months then the refs will decide who won and then both sides can go back to the drawing board for a few years it'll be fun for everyone

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
I mean our newest most high tech ship dissolves in water and our newest most high tech plane explodes on the runway idk what you people are thinking taking the Pentagon's "everything is fine we have the best weapons and vehicles in the world" at face value.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
like even ten thousand missiles is meaningless when your targets could be anywhere from the sea of japan to the philippines

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
they're over the horizon we gotta sail closer and spot them from the crow's nest

USS Nimitz off the starboard bow!

Flo Cytometer
Apr 20, 2015

by Ralp
i trust in u cap'n jack sparrow

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Moridin920 posted:

I mean our newest most high tech ship dissolves in water and our newest most high tech plane explodes on the runway idk what you people are thinking taking the Pentagon's "everything is fine we have the best weapons and vehicles in the world" at face value.

i make my international military calculations based on goon memes as well

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
bring out the long nines we are closing to weapons range

32 lbers don't fire until you see the whites of their eyes :black101:

Split Pea Superman
Dec 16, 2010

by FactsAreUseless
Fun Shoe
lollin at people that take the US military's self-reported capabilities at face value

IronClaymore
Jun 30, 2010

by Athanatos

Robo Reagan posted:

i say we start a war with china/russia it will be cathartic for everyone involved and it doesnt even have to be over anything for real just park some ships around some small island or whatever and murder each other for a few months then the refs will decide who won and then both sides can go back to the drawing board for a few years it'll be fun for everyone

Agreed. It doesn't even have to be a proper war. Just the idea of war. The propaganda of war. Let it be fought with drones and stuff. Let merchants pass unharmed and unhampered beneath.

War has a way of bringing out the best in people, and if we can utilise that without people actually dying we'd really be in business. But it brings out the best in a nation as a whole, but only if there's a nemesis. We need a villain to rail against.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

IronClaymore posted:

Heh, last I heard a ship was once sunk back in 1967 or something by a missile. I don't think even my mom was born back then. Lends a kinda farcical air to everything really, we have all these missiles and electronic warfare jammers and stuff, but it hasn't really been used, as least with ships. Training is good but doesn't really count.

F-16 Vipers, export, are shot down occasionally by man-portable air-defence sure, but only when they're flying low and slow doing close air support. And a ship shot down an Iranian passenger jet once and the captain got a medal for it blah blah blah. Point is, never really tested against an enemy with the same technology. Landing a missile on a ship is hard, yes, but making a decent ship worthy of a missile is even harder.

the chinese dont have technological parity with the americans and the chinese would be the first to admit that

Robo Reagan
Feb 12, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

IronClaymore posted:

Agreed. It doesn't even have to be a proper war. Just the idea of war. The propaganda of war. Let it be fought with drones and stuff. Let merchants pass unharmed and unhampered beneath.

War has a way of bringing out the best in people, and if we can utilise that without people actually dying we'd really be in business. But it brings out the best in a nation as a whole, but only if there's a nemesis. We need a villain to rail against.

Hell yeah, just wait until China or India gets for realsies serious about their space development. Space Race 2.0 is a few years away if we're lucky.

IronClaymore
Jun 30, 2010

by Athanatos

Fojar38 posted:

the chinese dont have technological parity with the americans and the chinese would be the first to admit that

Duh. Classic con. Lull them into a false sense of security and air power. Then turn on the radars and let loose the missiles of war!

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

IronClaymore posted:

Duh. Classic con. Lull them into a false sense of security and air power. Then turn on the radars and let loose the missiles of war!

those inscrutable orientals, always playing the long game

naem
May 29, 2011

We have always been at war with eastasia double plus ungood

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
I just assume everyone is incompetent or corrupt and everything is borked until proven otherwise and work from there.

My current vision of a naval conflict between China and the US looks something like half the Chinese missiles exploding in the launcher and the other half falling out of the air halfway to their target while the US ships are forced to retreat when the F35s they are trying to launch explode.

All the while some rich Chinese dude and some rich American dude are chortling.

Arkanomen
May 6, 2007

All he wants is a hug
This is all you need to know about China and modern technology. http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wenzhou_train_collision

China is literally that retarded kid who copies the smart kids answers but writes them down wrong, fails the rest and then buries the report card hoping his parents won't find out. Cheating and bullshitting is a way of life in China.

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

Arkanomen posted:

This is all you need to know about China and modern technology. http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wenzhou_train_collision

China is literally that retarded kid who copies the smart kids answers but writes them down wrong, fails the rest and then buries the report card hoping his parents won't find out. Cheating and bullshitting is a way of life in China.

lol pretty sure they need to play some OpenTTD to get signaling right before anything else

quote:

An Lusheng, the chief of the Shanghai Railway Bureau, was quoted as saying that a device had "failed to turn from green to red." But CTCS-2 equipped trains do not rely on drivers observing green or red wayside signals, the driver has a computer-controlled monitor in front of him. Early announcements spoke of Train D3115 being stopped by a lightning strike, but that would not cause the accident. The second train D301 should not have been allowed to run into it. Whether Train D3115 was stopped by lightning or for any other reason is irrelevant.

lol

pop fly to McGillicutty
Feb 2, 2004

A peckish little mouse!

Angry Fish posted:

Is China reclaiming land in the South China Sea? Malaysia apparently wants to behave tough guy to China, but China told Malaysia's girlfriend that Malaysia has Islam and therefore will burka her or something. (China is a bigot, but likes to pretend to not be a bigot) Nobody knows, and China isn't telling.

Someone says that they know what the 13th Five Year Plan that the Ministry of Environmental Protection is working on (and will be sent to the State Council next March), but that 1.7 trillion RMB investment into environmental quality -- will it be enough to stave the tide of cancer? Nobody knows, and China isn't telling.

Is the Peoples Daily trying to signal that China is cracking down on corruption? What is the prognosis of corruption in China? Haha, China might be telling, but we don't know really because schizophrenia abounds in Chinese policy and the CCDI might be not telling us the whole story.

The more you know, the more you think you know, but you really don't know. - Confucius

I'm married to a lovely Chinese gal. She informs me that I should stop asking stupid gwailo questions. Hope this helps.

Zeno-25
Dec 5, 2009

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS
If China sinks a carrier the US should blow up the Three Gorges Dam with the earthquake machine

Robo Reagan
Feb 12, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Arkanomen posted:

This is all you need to know about China and modern technology. http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wenzhou_train_collision

China is literally that retarded kid who copies the smart kids answers but writes them down wrong, fails the rest and then buries the report card hoping his parents won't find out. Cheating and bullshitting is a way of life in China.

India too when it comes to IT, apparently. Both countries pretty much teach their dudes to find something sort of similar on Google then slightly tweak the code so it's only mostly broken then let someone else worry about unfucking it because what you made technically does what your employer wanted it to do and you'll have a new contract with another employer in a few months anyway so gently caress it

IronClaymore
Jun 30, 2010

by Athanatos

Fojar38 posted:

those inscrutable orientals, always playing the long game

What? No, basic airpower tactics. Anti-SEAD stuff or whatever they call it. The Chinese could have an advantage in this thing.

They set up a basic screen of poo poo, enough to be viable, we wreck it down, ok fine. The air strikes go hog wild on military positions. But secretly these are poo poo military positions. Low value divisions, prisoners and so forth. Wait until a bunch of strike aircraft are in the country, then you go live. Every plane is lit up like a Christmas Tree, a dozen radars pinging off them. The scrambled interceptors don't even have to turn on their own radars, the ground stuff guides the missiles right in.


Ok it isn't that simple. But they'll definitely keep long range radars and missiles in reserve. And no matter how many Sukhoi's you shoot down (each of which will be a pain BTW, and omg the Su-27 is gorgeous), they'll keep that threat up.

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

Farmer Crack-rear end posted:

carrier groups don't travel in bunched up groups like you see in promo photos. they're spread out way more. like beyond the horizon far. where in the group of ships is the carrier? radar still has limited range. you still need to know where to aim the missile. those speedboats aren't going to be packing radar that can effectively see beyond the horizon. any ship or plane packing a radar is going to be an immediate target.

they're also not going to be standing still, especially in a hot war. they're not gonna just park off the chinese coast and wait for poo poo to come to them. nuclear aircraft carriers are fast fuckers.

that's assuming you're actually able to mount the missiles to the speedboats (which is a big if), get them into position, and get them aimed and launched properly. the millennium challenge wargame had a lot of poo poo wrong with it (that general also did poo poo like assume instantaneous communication via a network of motorcycle couriers or some insane poo poo like that) and also took place in an environment where the navy couldn't just shoot any boat that came within x miles of the group because it's the fuckin arabian gulf and it's constricted and there's a shitload of traffic around.


the us loses a carrier (or just a flight deck, w/e) and the rules of engagement will get a lot looser either way.


also 1000 missiles is a fuckin lot of missiles. how many times can they do that? if they only get one carrier with their whole antiship missile load, we have more carriers.


sure, but it's a more difficult problem to solve. the jumped-up fireworks rocket could come down anywhere, and reaction times are a lot less. naval point defense can assume that incoming missiles are headed towards certain locations.


look, i'm not saying the navy is invincible to missile swarms. but it's not guaranteed that you're going to knock out a carrier. maybe you wind up just sinking a couple escorts. the point is that missile swarm is something the navy's been thinking about for decades.


blob of hot doesn't really do you a lot of good for individual targeting. it just lets you know the general area at the time you launch your missiles. and given the US has satellites as well, odds are good they'll see the hot launch exhaust and do an immediate course change to get the gently caress out.


seriously the only way a ballistic missile attack against ships pens out is if you're throwing nuclear warheads. which yeah probably would sink a carrier group buuuuut...

Yeah you make good points but all I'm saying is that poo poo isn't invincible like the Pentagon likes to say.

I don't really know how the US carrier groups are disposed during battle or whatever so I can't say much to that. I really don't know poo poo about the Chinese military but one of our subs can carry a little over 150 cruise missiles so yeah 1000 sounds like a lot but it probably isn't really when you're talking about a major nation.

A Bad King
Jul 17, 2009


Suppose the oil man,
He comes to town.
And you don't lay money down.

Yet Mr. King,
He killed the thread
The other day.
Well I wonder.
Who's gonna go to Hell?
Bunch of care too muches in this thread now.

Moridin920
Nov 15, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

Angry Fish posted:

Bunch of care too muches in this thread now.

yea I'll stop

Robo Reagan
Feb 12, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

IronClaymore posted:

What? No, basic airpower tactics. Anti-SEAD stuff or whatever they call it. The Chinese could have an advantage in this thing.

They set up a basic screen of poo poo, enough to be viable, we wreck it down, ok fine. The air strikes go hog wild on military positions. But secretly these are poo poo military positions. Low value divisions, prisoners and so forth. Wait until a bunch of strike aircraft are in the country, then you go live. Every plane is lit up like a Christmas Tree, a dozen radars pinging off them. The scrambled interceptors don't even have to turn on their own radars, the ground stuff guides the missiles right in.


Ok it isn't that simple. But they'll definitely keep long range radars and missiles in reserve. And no matter how many Sukhoi's you shoot down (each of which will be a pain BTW, and omg the Su-27 is gorgeous), they'll keep that threat up.

The most important jet is the one that has a small cabin behind the cockpit with beds and a galley and poo poo in it every jet should have that imo that way pilots never have to leave the aircraft

A Bad King
Jul 17, 2009


Suppose the oil man,
He comes to town.
And you don't lay money down.

Yet Mr. King,
He killed the thread
The other day.
Well I wonder.
Who's gonna go to Hell?

Moridin920 posted:

yea I'll stop

Post your latest purchase made in China and I'll forgive you.

A Bad King
Jul 17, 2009


Suppose the oil man,
He comes to town.
And you don't lay money down.

Yet Mr. King,
He killed the thread
The other day.
Well I wonder.
Who's gonna go to Hell?
The most important jet is the jet of blood coming out of my mouth after traveling the distance from a very bad tumor in my gut

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Cake Smashing Boob
Nov 5, 2008

I support black genocide
in case of WW3, what would be the best place for a limp wristed academic to live out the rest of his life in peace and relative prosperity?

asking for a friend

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