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Chocolate Teapot
May 8, 2009

Series DD Funding posted:

They as a group obviously have formed their own ideas, since it's distinctly different from what's arrived before. But in general, that's a useless response because to the extent it's a stupidity, it's a universal human one. I know you mentioned it extends to "some liberals" as well, but a political group by definition must involve lots of people copying ideas. It's why they're a group instead of random individual thinkers.

What do you mean by "formed their own ideas"? As in, not cribbed from some existing philosophies like libertarianism or whatever?

EDIT: I mean it sounds to me like an extra exclusive version of Jehovah's Witnesses with different words in an attempt to be intimidating

Chocolate Teapot fucked around with this message at 23:07 on Jul 2, 2015

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Series DD Funding
Nov 25, 2014

by exmarx

Chocolate Teapot posted:

What do you mean by "formed their own ideas"? As in, not cribbed from some existing philosophies like libertarianism or whatever?

EDIT: I mean it sounds to me like an extra exclusive version of Jehovah's Witnesses with different words in an attempt to be intimidating

I mean the group is distinct from what came before it. Obviously there's parallels with paleonazis and modern libertarianism, but there's differences as well (for example, being explicitly religious).

Crain
Jun 27, 2007

I had a beer once with Stephen Miller and now I like him.

I also tried to ban someone from a Discord for pointing out what an unrelenting shithead I am! I'm even dumb enough to think it worked!

Series DD Funding posted:

I mean the group is distinct from what came before it. Obviously there's parallels with paleonazis and modern libertarianism, but there's differences as well (for example, being explicitly religious).

They're literally just saying "remember monarchies and church rule? Let's do that again. Also the matrix."

The only thing new is to this is the veneer of "spooky intellectual cabal"

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

Crain posted:

They're literally just saying "remember monarchies and church rule? Let's do that again. Also the matrix."

The only thing new is to this is the veneer of "spooky intellectual cabal"
Politics and the media are controlled by a force called 'the Cathedral', so let's go back to the Avignon Papacy.

Series DD Funding
Nov 25, 2014

by exmarx

Crain posted:

They're literally just saying "remember monarchies and church rule? Let's do that again. Also the matrix."

The only thing new is to this is the veneer of "spooky intellectual cabal"

And modern liberalism is just "let's do the new deal again," right? Monarchies and papal states didn't have to contend with atheism and feminism in their modern forms, or really modern democracy at all.

Crain
Jun 27, 2007

I had a beer once with Stephen Miller and now I like him.

I also tried to ban someone from a Discord for pointing out what an unrelenting shithead I am! I'm even dumb enough to think it worked!

Series DD Funding posted:

And modern liberalism is just "let's do the new deal again," right? Monarchies and papal states didn't have to contend with atheism and feminism in their modern forms, or really modern democracy at all.

You are giving way too much credit to a bunch of cosplaying, roleplaying, retards.

Crain fucked around with this message at 00:39 on Jul 3, 2015

Chocolate Teapot
May 8, 2009

Series DD Funding posted:

And modern liberalism is just "let's do the new deal again," right?

Why do you keep bringing up liberalism, like it's some sort of polar opposite to DE?

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

Chocolate Teapot posted:

Why do you keep bringing up liberalism, like it's some sort of polar opposite to DE?
Dark Enlightenment does often polarize itself against liberalism and liberal democracy above all else. There's a whole thing about how the Enlightenment created Locke and Mill and the road to liberalism, and then WWII pitted liberal democracy against Nazism and Socialism and saw it beat both, and set in motion the decline of everything from the pre-Enlightenment ideal.

Which makes sense if you ignore history. They care about liberalism/liberal democracy more than they do about socialism and fascism because of their positioning it as the dominant current 'degenerate' theory.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Chocolate Teapot posted:

Why do you keep bringing up liberalism, like it's some sort of polar opposite to DE?
I actually think there is a trend on both the left and the right to hiss and spit and condemn the "weak" and "soft" and so forth soggy "liberalism" of the modern day. It's why a lot of campus Marxists were able to seamlessly shift into being conservative intellectuals; they never changed what they hated, just which side they were attacking from.

rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy
I actually don't think the transition from college Marxist to conservative intellectual is all that seamless, the trope of 'I was a marxist, then I grew up :smugdog:' is more a meme meant to undermine the character of (marxist) opposition than a statement of fact. But I will grant you the almost gendered undertones of stuff like 'combat liberalism' - granting space to decadence/degeneracy is a common theme.

Series DD Funding posted:

And modern liberalism is just "let's do the new deal again," right? Monarchies and papal states didn't have to contend with atheism and feminism in their modern forms, or really modern democracy at all.
And? Hitler never had to deal with Genghis Khan, is there a point to these historical counterfactuals, or are you just pulling your usual contrarian gimmick with appeals to a d&d hivemind?

Series DD Funding
Nov 25, 2014

by exmarx

rudatron posted:

And? Hitler never had to deal with Genghis Khan, is there a point to these historical counterfactuals, or are you just pulling your usual contrarian gimmick with appeals to a d&d hivemind?

The point is DE is, in fact, original thinking, or rather as close as you can get. It's applying and changing old ideas from different sources to new issues and situations.

Silver2195
Apr 4, 2012

Series DD Funding posted:

The point is DE is, in fact, original thinking, or rather as close as you can get. It's applying and changing old ideas from different sources to new issues and situations.

To some extent this is a bit of a pose, I think. For all Moldbug's talk about reviving extinct philosophical currents, a lot of DE thought is really derived from more recent writers, like Hans Herman Hoppe.

boner confessor
Apr 25, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Series DD Funding posted:

The point is DE is, in fact, original thinking, or rather as close as you can get. It's applying and changing old ideas from different sources to new issues and situations.

i don't see it as all that original. It's common for 'great thinkers' to paper over holes in their philosophies with vacant appeals to the past, attempting to draw legitimacy in some kind of historic appeal

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Series DD Funding posted:

The point is DE is, in fact, original thinking, or rather as close as you can get. It's applying and changing old ideas from different sources to new issues and situations.
So what's the new part? The original thinking seems to mostly be re-labelling old poo poo, like calling it "Human biodiversity" instead of "race realism" or "eugenics." Same poo poo, different package. What's new about it?

rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy

Series DD Funding posted:

The point is DE is, in fact, original thinking, or rather as close as you can get. It's applying and changing old ideas from different sources to new issues and situations.
So if I take any X that did not exist in some context Y, and apply it to that context, is that automatically a 'new' idea? That's seems like a really low bar to me, so much so that you could do it forever without once having to create something that's actually, you know, new. As in, never been done before.

As enjoyable as you might find this gimmick of yours, you should actually read what you write. Otherwise you end up saying dumb poo poo like 'recycling is as close to original as you can get'.

Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

DON'T POST IN THE ELECTION THREAD UNLESS YOU :love::love::love: JOE BIDEN

ronya posted:

I think it's analagous to a center-left party playing up radical leftist theories when it is sitting in opposition; as soon as it regains power, it would disavow any unpalatable radicalism. Nonetheless those ideas would have had a brief moment in the sun, and radicals would dispense with remaining ties to the center (likely acrimoniously).

The question was why there is such thematic unity amongst these people. Wingnuts would spread out a little. You could argue that sexism and racism are fundamental impulses, but the emphasis on scientific racism/sexism backed up by invocations of pseudoeconomics clearly smells of Charles Murray, and even if one explains this away, there's still the bizarre penumbra of unrelated beliefs e.g. support for Austrian economics (shades of Lew Rockwell). These are pretty common amongst these lot! But atheism, monarchism, libertarianism/anarchism/monarchism is not universal. Vox Day is pretty darned theoconservative. Steve Sailor really loves America and picks different bases for his anti-immigration writing.

The main "moment" they share seems to be the early 1990s, when American politics was highly interested in scientific sexism and racism, dominated by claims to authoritative consensus economic policy in the triumphal post-Cold-War, post-monetarism/Keynesianism context, and prone toward conspiracism as trust in Congress fell dramatically.

So if I understand you correctly then you're suggesting that around the time that neoliberalism and globalism became the dominant ideologies of the mainstream American establishment there was a parallel shift among some demographics toward scientific racism and Austrian economics. This, combined with fears of a One World Government and a lot of resentment toward feminists and blacks, produced the core ideological suppositions of the contemporary far right, including NRx.

If that's your position then I certainly don't disagree with the fundamentals of your analysis. The late 1980s and early 1990s certainly saw major transformations within basically all of America's political tendencies, whether they were on the right, the left or firmly within the establishment.

However, I'm not sure whether this period was formative for the advocates of NRx specifically. They obviously navigate the same far right ideological ecosystem that was heavily reshaped by the events of the 90s, but it seems mistaken to cite that as their formative period. They're seemingly of a more recent vintage. For one thing, they are really a movement that is very hard to imagine without the internet, which wasn't as much of a cultural force back then. Also they bring in some novel ideas like advocating monarchical government and openly breaking with any allegiance, even rhetorical, to democracy or egalitarianism.

Race Realists posted:

Not wanting to run away or be considered unconstructive, I'll answer to the best of my ability

1: http://thinkprogress.org/world/2014/05/30/3443037/europe-far-right-groups/


http://www.vocativ.com/culture/uncategorized/dark-enlightenment-creepy-internet-movement-youd-better-take-seriously/

https://solidarity-us.org/node/2637

I could go on, but you get the point.

2: google hbdchick. Theres plenty more but im not going to sit here and list every single one dude.

As far as 3 goes. Dont you think it's mighty peculiar how Dark Enlightenment became a thing RIGHT around a time where the UK and Europe are going in a insanely far right direction?

but i guess its just me then

I think that the rise of the far right in Europe, the electoral success of Syriza in Greece, the decline of the Liberal party in Canada, the growing numbers of internet reactionaries and internet Marxists, and a million other things besides, all share some root causes: namely a bad economy, increasing competition for a scarcer pool of decent jobs, and a widespread sense of decline among some of the citizens of the first world democracies.

But while the success of these groups might in part be attributable to common causes, that doesn't mean that they can all be treated the same. The European far right may share some racialist ideas or even a reverence for monarchy with the thinkers of the Dark Enlightenment, but that doesn't mean they're directly rated.

The European far right actually has the makings of a genuine mass movement, and under the right set of conditions it might actually achieve some major political success. The Dark Enlightenment, by contrast, has no mass basis and doesn't want one. According to Nick Land they are practicing a form of "anti-politics" that involves an almost total exit from contemporary structures of political life. I I understand his article properly he advocates waiting until genetic engineering or other technological advances elevate the Dark Enlightenment ubermensch into their position of natural superiority rather than wasting time trying to seize control of political institutions.

So while there are no doubt some very broad shared causes I don't really see the Dark Enlightenment was being the same kind of movement as the National Front or BNP, and for that reason I do not find them particularly threatening.

rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy
In a way the era we're in reminds me of the political agitation just after the great depression, but worse because it's reaction/far-right that's jumped out the gates really hard.

Zodium
Jun 19, 2004

rudatron posted:

So if I take any X that did not exist in some context Y, and apply it to that context, is that automatically a 'new' idea? That's seems like a really low bar to me, so much so that you could do it forever without once having to create something that's actually, you know, new. As in, never been done before.

As enjoyable as you might find this gimmick of yours, you should actually read what you write. Otherwise you end up saying dumb poo poo like 'recycling is as close to original as you can get'.

In behavioral science at least, "take any X that did not exist in some context Y, and apply it to that context" counts as a 'publishably' new idea. If I take an extant statistical analysis X from, say, physics (or just mathematical psychology), which hasn't yet been applied to Y (e.g., working memory) and do so, then I have had a new idea. The standard of "new idea" really isn't that high.

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012

rudatron posted:

In a way the era we're in reminds me of the political agitation just after the great depression, but worse because it's reaction/far-right that's jumped out the gates really hard.

I just feel like in general, we as a society (at least in America) are taking a huge leap backwards to a 1960's mindset. Just my depressing opinion

BornAPoorBlkChild fucked around with this message at 15:56 on Jul 6, 2015

Crain
Jun 27, 2007

I had a beer once with Stephen Miller and now I like him.

I also tried to ban someone from a Discord for pointing out what an unrelenting shithead I am! I'm even dumb enough to think it worked!

Race Realists posted:

I just feel like in general, we as a society (at least in America) are taking a huge leap backwards to a 1960's mindset. Just my depressing opinion

When you say "a 1960's mindset" what do you mean?

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012
Speaking completely subjective here, I just feel theres this sort of weird fetization with the past in Contemporary American media.

I wish I could put my finger on it, I really do :smith:

Narciss
Nov 29, 2004

by Cowcaster

Race Realists posted:

Speaking completely subjective here, I just feel theres this sort of weird fetization with the past in Contemporary American media.

That has happened in all cultures since the beginning of time.

rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy
Not true, though it is the rule rather than the exception. But the critical 'step' into modernity is the throwing of traditions up into the air, the defetishization of something as special just because it is old. That sort of thinking has unfortunately waned, and so you get dumb fucks romanticizing the brutish and short periods of history, then celebrating the passionate intensity of the vilest people. See: the people in the OP.

Zodium posted:

In behavioral science at least, "take any X that did not exist in some context Y, and apply it to that context" counts as a 'publishably' new idea. If I take an extant statistical analysis X from, say, physics (or just mathematical psychology), which hasn't yet been applied to Y (e.g., working memory) and do so, then I have had a new idea. The standard of "new idea" really isn't that high.
Whether something is publishable (or patentable, but seriously {gently caress the american patent system}) is different to whether it's new, or 'as close to original as you can get'. I get your broader point about academia and the actual nature of innovation vs. what people think it is, but in this context of 'is this political ideology really a new idea', the answer is pretty clearly 'no'.

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012
I've noticed a great majority of the Racial Realists I've encountered online tend to have an over reliance on crime statistics as the End All Be All proof they need.

Circumstances are moot when you have proof certain minorities are Inherently More Violent

Wanderer
Nov 5, 2006

our every move is the new tradition

Race Realists posted:

Speaking completely subjective here, I just feel theres this sort of weird fetization with the past in Contemporary American media.

It's a combination of things. One is that culture in general has been inclined towards nostalgia recently, due to the recession. Nobody wants to take risks on the new, so they're mining the past and trying to flog sure properties. A lot of movies and TV shows are sequels, spin-offs, and remakes, for example.

The other is, without trying to sound like I'm reflexively blaming all that is bad in the world on the "baby boomers," they're getting old now, they were the first generation who could really use films and television as a medium with which to mythologize their own adolescence. They started early, in the '80s ("thirtysomething," The Big Chill), and since then have moved on to have their midlife crises and various struggles turned into drama at a surprisingly rapid rate. It's not exactly an accident that you keep seeing these movies about guys in their sixties and seventies who can still kick rear end and attract younger ladies; they're using that same engine to cope with their old age.

The later generations will probably do the same thing, but I have at least a little faith in my generation to shield ourselves from the worst of it with self-awareness and irony, because while Kurt Cobain will always be in the news somehow until the day I die (I'll be 80 and they'll be talking about the later-generation virtual Cobain clones programming themselves with Heroin.exe), the most '90s nostalgia I've seen in the last ten years is Gone Home. Even there it's simply because they wanted a time period where cell phones weren't yet common.

roymorrison
Jul 26, 2005
if u dont have facebook or twitter u would have no idea these things youre freaking out about even exist

So basically just turn off facebook and twitter for a few weeks to clear out your system hth

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012

roymorrison posted:

if u dont have facebook or twitter u would have no idea these things youre freaking out about even exist

So basically just turn off facebook and twitter for a few weeks to clear out your system hth


If only that were true


I'm not freaking out about it either. Just curious is all.

Helsing posted:

So if I understand you correctly then you're suggesting that around the time that neoliberalism and globalism became the dominant ideologies of the mainstream American establishment there was a parallel shift among some demographics toward scientific racism and Austrian economics. This, combined with fears of a One World Government and a lot of resentment toward feminists and blacks, produced the core ideological suppositions of the contemporary far right, including NRx.

If that's your position then I certainly don't disagree with the fundamentals of your analysis. The late 1980s and early 1990s certainly saw major transformations within basically all of America's political tendencies, whether they were on the right, the left or firmly within the establishment.

However, I'm not sure whether this period was formative for the advocates of NRx specifically. They obviously navigate the same far right ideological ecosystem that was heavily reshaped by the events of the 90s, but it seems mistaken to cite that as their formative period. They're seemingly of a more recent vintage. For one thing, they are really a movement that is very hard to imagine without the internet, which wasn't as much of a cultural force back then. Also they bring in some novel ideas like advocating monarchical government and openly breaking with any allegiance, even rhetorical, to democracy or egalitarianism.


I think that the rise of the far right in Europe, the electoral success of Syriza in Greece, the decline of the Liberal party in Canada, the growing numbers of internet reactionaries and internet Marxists, and a million other things besides, all share some root causes: namely a bad economy, increasing competition for a scarcer pool of decent jobs, and a widespread sense of decline among some of the citizens of the first world democracies.

But while the success of these groups might in part be attributable to common causes, that doesn't mean that they can all be treated the same. The European far right may share some racialist ideas or even a reverence for monarchy with the thinkers of the Dark Enlightenment, but that doesn't mean they're directly rated.

The European far right actually has the makings of a genuine mass movement, and under the right set of conditions it might actually achieve some major political success. The Dark Enlightenment, by contrast, has no mass basis and doesn't want one. According to Nick Land they are practicing a form of "anti-politics" that involves an almost total exit from contemporary structures of political life. I I understand his article properly he advocates waiting until genetic engineering or other technological advances elevate the Dark Enlightenment ubermensch into their position of natural superiority rather than wasting time trying to seize control of political institutions.

So while there are no doubt some very broad shared causes I don't really see the Dark Enlightenment was being the same kind of movement as the National Front or BNP, and for that reason I do not find them particularly threatening.

Ah, thank you for the explanation.

I've realized now (and am slowly coming to peace with), the fact that no matter what you say to convince these people in debates. The Narrative will always prevail.

The Narrative based on Cold Hard Facts and Research (usually videos of minorities committing crimes)


The Narrative that proves that YOU are objectively right and THEY Irrational and going purely by emotion and Marxist/"Anti-White" Brainwashing

Bob Ojeda
Apr 15, 2008

I AM A WHINY LITTLE EMOTIONAL BITCH BABY WITH NO SENSE OF HUMOR

IF YOU SEE ME POSTING REMIND ME TO SHUT THE FUCK UP

Race Realists posted:

Ah, thank you for the explanation.

I've realized now (and am slowly coming to peace with), the fact that no matter what you say to convince these people in debates. The Narrative will always prevail.

The Narrative based on Cold Hard Facts and Research (usually videos of minorities committing crimes)

The Narrative that proves that YOU are objectively right and THEY Irrational and going purely by emotion and Marxist/"Anti-White" Brainwashing

I think this is kind of the function of ideologies in general? The NRx/HBD people just happen to have a particularly stupid one that's particularly grounded in (some very specific weirdo understanding of) science and rationality.

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012
From my school courtyard

Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Race Realists posted:

As far as 3 goes. Dont you think it's mighty peculiar how Dark Enlightenment became a thing RIGHT around a time where the UK and Europe are going in a insanely far right direction?

but i guess its just me then

Nope. How many global economic meltdowns have there been in the past twenty years again? Not to mention two tech bubbles, the War on Terror, the rise of outsourcing and other aspects of modern globalization, the rise and downfall of the EU, and the popularization of the internet. Pretty much any of those things would be enough to stir up radical right-wing opinions all by themselves; the combination of them has been enough to raise a new generation of crazy fascists of every flavor, ranging from the same old nationalistic racism to all-new flavors of crazy like people who think the world should be ruled by a tech CEO philosopher-king monarchy.

The root factors leading people to right-wing radicalism are shared in a lot of cases, but there's otherwise no real connection between neo-Nazis on the march in Europe and tech bloggers writing about how Google should rule the country and sterilize minorities.

boner confessor
Apr 25, 2013

by R. Guyovich

Race Realists posted:

From my school courtyard



lmao what kind of racist goes to georgia state

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Race Realists posted:

Speaking completely subjective here, I just feel theres this sort of weird fetization with the past in Contemporary American media.

I wish I could put my finger on it, I really do :smith:

It's not just the media, how many times have you heard "The 50s were great because union membership was high and the rich were taxed 90%"?

Hell, how many times have you heard "The 60s & 70s were great when people actually protested before they got sold out by <corporate interest here> with the Great Satan Reagan".

computer parts fucked around with this message at 17:34 on Jul 20, 2015

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012

Popular Thug Drink posted:

lmao what kind of racist goes to georgia state

You'd be surprised...

Weldon Pemberton
May 19, 2012

Race Realists posted:

They usually reside nowhere near the areas they deem unsafe

I think this is a key point. People living near immigrants or in racially diverse areas are typically less racist. Even in cities that genuinely have a lot of crime (like Baltimore), the white people tend to keep perspective, as they actually have experience being there and don't view it as some sort of perpetually burning hellscape.

White middle class men with families who don't live near poor blacks and immigrants have actually been the bedrock of respectable/scientific racism for a long time. They have a "tribe" to protect, they are more likely to be loyal to their family unit to the exclusion of everyone else*, they don't want anything they see as dangerous encroaching on that. Mencius Moldbug's terror of things happening to his kids even though he lives somewhere fairly safe is a good example of this.

Another factor that I believe is relevant is how many of these individuals have STEM backgrounds. They are interested in quantitative data, not qualitative data. For them, statistics about black people's average IQ or crime rates compared to white people are more or less absolute, and appeals to reasons other than "it's biological" fall on deaf ears. The fact that black IQ has been rising since the inception of records (and is rising more quickly lately) and that violent crime has fallen dramatically across all racial groups is also irrelevant. They are used to a field of inquiry where unambiguous material facts can be discovered, so they apply this to other fields and expect social facts to be objective rather than historically and culturally located.



*The idea of being loyal to a small group of people to an almost Geek Social Fallacy extent and not giving a gently caress about anyone else seems very common in this type of person. You can easily have a falling out with a friend like this if a baseline sense of compassion for all other humans is important to you, because they will get offended at your "disloyalty" to them if you call them out for not having decency to people "outside the tribe". To them, compassion for outsiders is not important; to you, not having compassion for outsiders excludes someone from being a candidate for insider.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Weldon Pemberton posted:

Another factor that I believe is relevant is how many of these individuals have STEM backgrounds. They are interested in quantitative data, not qualitative data. For them, statistics about black people's average IQ or crime rates compared to white people are more or less absolute, and appeals to reasons other than "it's biological" fall on deaf ears. The fact that black IQ has been rising since the inception of records (and is rising more quickly lately) and that violent crime has fallen dramatically across all racial groups is also irrelevant. They are used to a field of inquiry where unambiguous material facts can be discovered, so they apply this to other fields and expect social facts to be objective rather than historically and culturally located.

People using data that fits their beliefs and ignoring the rest of it isn't a STEM thing.

Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

DON'T POST IN THE ELECTION THREAD UNLESS YOU :love::love::love: JOE BIDEN
It is a STEM thing though, if some researchers are to be believed.

quote:

They say they believe in freedom and share our values. They say a few bad apples shouldn’t bring down judgment on their entire kind. Don’t be fooled. Though they walk among us with impunity, they are, in the words of Henry Farrell, a political scientist at George Washington University, “a group that is notoriously associated with terrorist violence and fundamentalist political beliefs.”

They are engineers.

Farrell, of course, was kidding. He posted that comment on a blog shortly after Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab (confessed Al Qaeda operative and engineering student) tried to blow up an airliner over Detroit last winter. But the satire was rooted in a statistical fact: in the ranks of captured and confessed terrorists, engineers and engineering students are significantly overrepresented. Maybe that’s a numerological accident. The sociologist Diego Gambetta and the political scientist Steffen Hertog don’t think so.

Each month, Gambetta and Hertog’s database grows. Last December, Abdulmutallab’s attempt over Detroit. In February, Joseph Andrew Stack, a software engineer, crashed his plane into I.R.S. offices in Austin, Tex. In March, John Patrick Bedell, an engineering grad student, opened fire at an entrance to the Pentagon. In early May, Faisal Shahzad (bachelor of science in computer science and engineering) was arrested at Kennedy Airport for a failed attempt to set off a bomb in Times Square. Also in May, Faiz Mohammad, a civil engineer, was caught at Karachi’s airport with batteries and an electrical circuit hidden in his shoes. And going back, of the 9/11 conspirators who had been educated beyond high school, eight studied engineering. As this list suggests, the phenomenon isn’t confined to Muslims or Middle Easterners.

In fact, thinking in terms of religion, nation and class has failed to explain why, for example, out of thousands of normal-acting sons of middle-class, moderate Muslim families from Nigeria, apparently only Abdulmutallab took the dive into terrorist plots. On the familiar social-science instruments, he looks the same as countless nonterrorists. What are we missing?

In a paper published last year in The European Journal of Sociology, Gambetta and Hertog argue that the engineer-terrorist connection is part of the answer: it is a new window onto what Gambetta calls the “hidden logic” of society. Though the difference in susceptibility is very small — “it’s like saying the probability that you will be struck by lightning is one in a million,” Gambetta says, “and the probability for an engineer to be struck by lightning is four in a million” — it is, they say, real.

For their recent study, the two men collected records on 404 men who belonged to violent Islamist groups active over the past few decades (some in jail, some not). Had those groups reflected the working-age populations of their countries, engineers would have made up about 3.5 percent of the membership. Instead, nearly 20 percent of the militants had engineering degrees. When Gambetta and Hertog looked at only the militants whose education was known for certain to have gone beyond high school, close to half (44 percent) had trained in engineering. Among those with advanced degrees in the militants’ homelands, only 18 percent are engineers.

The two authors found the same high ratio of engineers in most of the 21 organizations they examined, including Jemaah Islamiya in Southeast Asia and Hamas and Islamic Jihad in the Middle East. Sorting the militants according to their 30 homelands showed the same pattern: engineers represented a fifth of all militants from every nation except one, and nearly half of those with advanced degrees.

One seemingly obvious explanation for the presence of engineers in violent groups lies in the terrorist’s job description. Who, after all, is least likely to confuse the radio with the landing gear, as Gambetta puts it, or the red wire with the green? But if groups need geeks for political violence, then engineering degrees ought to turn up in the rosters of all terrorist groups that plant bombs, hijack planes and stage kidnappings. And that’s not the case.

Gambetta and Hertog found engineers only in right-wing groups — the ones that claim to fight for the pious past of Islamic fundamentalists or the white-supremacy America of the Aryan Nations (founder: Richard Butler, engineer) or the minimal pre-modern U.S. government that Stack and Bedell extolled.

Among Communists, anarchists and other groups whose shining ideal lies in the future, the researchers found almost no engineers. Yet these organizations mastered the same technical skills as the right-wingers. Between 1970 and 1978, for instance, the Baader-Meinhof gang in Germany staged kidnappings, assassinations, bank robberies and bombings. Seventeen of its members had college or graduate degrees, mostly in law or the humanities. Not one studied engineering.

The engineer mind-set, Gambetta and Hertog suggest, might be a mix of emotional conservatism and intellectual habits that prefers clear answers to ambiguous questions — “the combination of a sharp mind with a loyal acceptance of authority.” Do people become engineers because they are this way? Or does engineering work shape them? It’s probably a feedback loop of both, Gambetta says.

Economic frustration also matters, Gambetta says. In their sample of militants, there was only one homeland out of 30 in which engineers were less common: Saudi Arabia — where engineers have always had plenty of work. But “engineers’ peculiar cognitive traits and dispositions” made them slightly more likely than accountants, waiters or philosophers to react to career frustration by adopting violent, right-wing beliefs.

William A. Wulf, a former president of the National Academy of Engineering, is, no surprise, no fan of the Gambetta-Hertog theory. “If you have a million coin flips,” he says, “it’s almost certain that somewhere in those coin flips there will be 20 heads in a row.” The sample of militants Gambetta and Hertog used was simply too small for them to be sure they haven’t stumbled into a meaningless numerical accident, he says. The theory, according to Wulf, misrepresents what engineers are about. “A person who is rigid,” he says, “is a bad engineer.”

Weldon Pemberton
May 19, 2012

Captain_Maclaine posted:

I'm reminded of an essay from the early 1940s in which Dorothy Thompson, a regular writer for Harper's Monthly, speculated on just what was the appeal that drew people to Nazism (I'd link it but it's paywalled these days). It's not a perfect essay by any means, and gets way too sentimental at times, but I find much of her analysis interesting and insightful. In particular, there's one figure that sort of fits the neo-reactionaries we're talking about :

This is a spot-on description of someone I know, and beautifully written, but I guess that's just anecdotal.

computer parts posted:

People using data that fits their beliefs and ignoring the rest of it isn't a STEM thing.

I agree, and people staying in little online echo chambers that only circulate stories that confirm their worldview is obviously something we see all over the political spectrum. I was specifically talking about the focus on numbers and facts rather than the reason behind the facts, though, which I do believe is a STEM or at least a positivist thing. Women and minorities fare poorly when such an approach is taken, so even when you are engaging the data in good faith, if that data is purely descriptive it can lead towards a right-wing interpretation. You could equally argue that trying to explain away the statistics with qualitative data and over-analysis is more common on the left. In any case, there is at least a correlation between positivism in sociology and more traditionalist perspectives (and vice versa), even if I have the causation wrong. The reactionaries themselves know this, and that's why many of them propose that only people with STEM backgrounds should be in government.

BornAPoorBlkChild
Sep 24, 2012

Weldon Pemberton posted:

The fact that black IQ has been rising since the inception of records (and is rising more quickly lately) and that violent crime has fallen dramatically across all racial groups is also irrelevant.

A Very Special Type Of Person would retort that by mentioning the number of African Americans with mixed DNA, and then go from there

so sayeth The Narrative

Helsing
Aug 23, 2003

DON'T POST IN THE ELECTION THREAD UNLESS YOU :love::love::love: JOE BIDEN
Crafting a narrative that fits your beliefs and ignores contradicting evidence is the norm for human thinking. Some ideologies might be a bit more prone to it than others but I've had the opportunity to talk to a lot of people across the political spectrum in my life and as a rule the majority of people are like that to a greater or lesser extent.

My point being: an explanation of why these particular ideas are apparently so appealing to some people requires a deeper analysis than just "they craft a narrative and ignore the contradictions to it". It's not in any way wrong, it's just insufficiently precise.

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boner confessor
Apr 25, 2013

by R. Guyovich

oh for sure there are some freakshows there, it's a giant university, but i'd think the only reason a white supremacist would go to a mediocre majority black school in a majority black city is if they didn't get into UGA or some other first pick lmao

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