|
Week 1 parlay wager paying off 
|
#
?
Sep 14, 2015 20:34
|
|
|
|
| # ? Apr 26, 2024 01:23 |
|
|
-Every year this thread is swarmed with people who act like teams with winning home records are a mortal lock to lose at home, and/or teams with bad road records are a mortal lock to win on the road. Ah, week 1... -re: "saving" the Packers: It makes no sense to 'save' a team if they're the only pick you're comfortable making. Week 1 was awful for choices; it's not as though the Steelers are ever an easy out, and most of the bad teams were at home. None of the top 4 picks had an easy win. -Saints/Bucs seems like the only truly easy pick next week. I could understand saving the Saints for later, since they also host the Titans and Jags later in the season, but there's a serious dearth of options. Browns looked good on paper at the start of the year but certainly don't now, and once again most of the awful teams (Washington, Oakland, Jags) are at home, where they have a 20-40% chance to win.
|
|
#
?
Sep 14, 2015 22:28
|
|
|
You don't have the look is all you had to say
|
|
#
?
Sep 14, 2015 23:01
|
|
|
Ditch posted:-Saints/Bucs seems like the only truly easy pick next week. I could understand saving the Saints for later, since they also host the Titans and Jags later in the season, but there's a serious dearth of options. Browns looked good on paper at the start of the year but certainly don't now, and once again most of the awful teams (Washington, Oakland, Jags) are at home, where they have a 20-40% chance to win. While the Bucs looked bad this week, they're still a pretty big question mark with a rookie QB. Stuff like penalties are also going to be something that coaching is going to go after, so I don't really know that we can assume week 2 is going to be as bad as week 1 for them. Plus, it's not like the Saints looked super great this week. Watching Carson Palmer evade 3 rushers and drop a screen for a TD or the entire defense get outrun by 400 year old Larry Fitzgerald doesn't exactly inspire confidence. I also don't know how you can say that homefield is really some kind of huge advantage for Jacksonville, playing against Miami.
|
|
#
?
Sep 14, 2015 23:11
|
|
|
Holy poo poo I'm 13-1 in pickem. If I win both games tonight that's by far the best I've ever done in a week of that.
|
|
#
?
Sep 14, 2015 23:35
|
|
|
Forgot about funbucks until today: 
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 03:22
|
|
|
Your over bet isn't looking good Welp glad I switched off the Vikings in eliminator
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 05:11
|
|
|
Grittybeard posted:Holy poo poo I'm 13-1 in pickem. If I win both games tonight that's by far the best I've ever done in a week of that. ....and 13-3. I should have gone and made moneyline bets against my picks immediately after making this post because it was guaranteed to happen.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 06:12
|
|
|
Intruder posted:I switched from the Vikings to the Packers, hope that doesn't bite me in the rear end You lucky bastard. 
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 06:25
|
|
|
lol gently caress you eagles
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 06:27
|
|
|
Lol if didn't go full homer
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 06:35
|
|
|
ALL-PRO SEXMAN posted:You lucky bastard. No poo poo lol
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 07:11
|
|
|
Intruder posted:Your over bet isn't looking good I didn't think 40 points was that high. Apparently it is if one team adamantly refuses to score!
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 10:32
|
|
|
I somehow have -2 bets remaining in pick'em for next week, please advise.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 14:08
|
|
|
pyromance posted:I also don't know how you can say that homefield is really some kind of huge advantage for Jacksonville, playing against Miami.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 15:34
|
|
|
I made 5 funbuck bets and won all of them: Cincy -3.5, Jets -3.5, parlay of Pats and Packers moneyline, parlay of Bills and Niners against the spread, and parlay of Ravens-Broncos and Dolphins-Redskins both going under. I also picked Tampa in eliminator.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 15:50
|
|
|
Why did I believe in the loving Eagles?
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 15:57
|
|
|
AKMoose posted:Why did I believe in the loving Eagles? _____/ 
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 16:01
|
|
|
AKMoose posted:Why did I believe in the loving Vikings?
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 16:52
|
|
|
I love doing this stuff each year. It's always a reminder that no matter how sure you can be of a pick, we're still in for a few bloodbaths each year. The games we're picking in eliminator usually aren't going to give you poo poo all for return if you bet money on them, and we're still loving these up. We have people go ~66% on pickem and ~55% on spread pickem each year, but not the same people from year to year. I'm glad that I have a place where I can do this poo poo to see how hosed I'd be if I were actually putting money on these things.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 18:54
|
|
|
Everyone pickin' Saints as their eliminator. Gonna be real silly if Jameis trounces them.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 19:42
|
|
|
seiferguy posted:Everyone pickin' Saints as their eliminator. Gonna be real silly if Jameis trounces them. Mariota had a perfect passer rating vs the Bucs D. Even if Jameis plays better they won't be able to stop Brees. Edit: Looks like Brees tossed 6 INTs in 2 games vs. Tampa last year. Still won both games. wandler20 fucked around with this message at 19:54 on Sep 15, 2015 |
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 19:52
|
|
|
seiferguy posted:Everyone pickin' Saints as their eliminator. Gonna be real silly if Jameis trounces them. Not me, I've got the Rams over Redskins. I'm either going to be a loving genius or I'm going to be laughed out of this thread. My body is ready.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 20:23
|
|
|
No one's going to laugh you out of the thread for betting against Washington.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 20:28
|
|
|
Rams at -3.5 seems like a decent spread eliminator pick, and a better eliminator pick than the spread would suggest. Their offense should get at least 14 points, and I can easily see their defense holding the Skins to 10 or less. They won 24-0 in Washington last year and won their only other easy road game (TB) in a year with a really brutal schedule. Now I'm debating whether to move from Arizona as my spread eliminator pick...
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 23:46
|
|
|
King Hong Kong posted:I somehow have -2 bets remaining in pick'em for next week, please advise. You hit the race condition bug that I've been too lazy to fix for years and had 3 bets for one game. Fixed.
|
|
#
?
Sep 15, 2015 23:49
|
|
|
Horse Pr0n here.... My FunBucks show I'm up $171.44(1,171.44)but by my calculation I should be at $940.01. I'm thinking my parlay (hit 2 of 3 selections) paid out when it shouldn't have. Honesty points +1? will the thrill fucked around with this message at 00:22 on Sep 16, 2015 |
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 00:14
|
|
|
Saints for Elim, Hawks for reverse, a whole lot of away teams in Pickem. Nice knowing y'all.
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 00:47
|
|
|
will the thrill posted:Horse Pr0n here.... My FunBucks show I'm up $171.44(1,171.44)but by my calculation I should be at $940.01. I'm thinking my parlay (hit 2 of 3 selections) paid out when it shouldn't have. I wouldn't worry. You'll lose all the fun bucks in week 2.
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 01:12
|
|
|
Marshmallow Blue posted:I wouldn't worry. You'll lose all the fun bucks in week 2. Protect the Shield
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 01:53
|
|
|
wandler20 posted:Mariota had a perfect passer rating vs the Bucs D. Even if Jameis plays better they won't be able to stop Brees. Using division games for eliminator is a bad idea.
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 02:21
|
|
|
NC-17 posted:Using division games for eliminator is a bad idea. Especially the Saints and Bucs this year.
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 02:51
|
|
|
NC-17 posted:Using division games for eliminator is a bad idea. 
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 02:56
|
|
|
If you must pick the Saints and jinx it for us, wait until Week 16.
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 03:08
|
|
|
You will hopefully excuse me if I take Drew loving Brees over a rookie quarterback who spent most of the Oregon/FSU game having a whiny babby meltdown on the sidelines after getting thoroughly housed Especially with the rest of this lineup because I don't trust any of these motherfuckers, even Ravens/Oakland
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 04:52
|
|
|
will the thrill posted:Horse Pr0n here.... My FunBucks show I'm up $171.44(1,171.44)but by my calculation I should be at $940.01. I'm thinking my parlay (hit 2 of 3 selections) paid out when it shouldn't have. You lost 59.99 https://saseliminator.com/user/bets/funbuck/2015/11168/REG/1 but then the funbuck topper upper gave you 231.43 for your efforts 
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 05:39
|
|
|
After week 1 the house is now up 14,918.45. There is 668,346.79 outstanding funbuck supply (but that goes up every week as we top up people to reward them for wagering).
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 05:40
|
|
|
Never trust the NFC South
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 14:38
|
|
|
NC-17 posted:Using division games for eliminator is a bad idea.
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 15:09
|
|
|
|
| # ? Apr 26, 2024 01:23 |
|
|
Ditch posted:Bloodbaths are evenly distributed between division and non-division games, it's just that division games are 37.5% of games so it feels like they're most of them. Terrible teams almost never win road divisional games. If divisional games are 37.5% of all games but 50% of all bloodbaths then they are indeed more dangerous than non-divisional games
|
|
#
?
Sep 16, 2015 15:11
|
|
