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exmarx
Feb 18, 2012


The experience over the years
of nothing getting better
only worse.
You can post about the election here.

The rules
  • Post about the election
  • You will be probated if you post about other posters
  • Remember, it's been incredibly obvious that Hillary will be the 45th president since November 9, 2012
  • This thread is going away if you can't collectively post well
  • Don't Troll
  • Don't make white noise posts

This list is subject to change without notice

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Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



I want to hear more about John Podesta's pacts with the Devil.

sexy fucking muskrat
Aug 22, 2010

by exmarx

Nessus posted:

I want to hear more about John Podesta's pacts with the Devil.

He sold his soul for the secret to perfect risotto.

pancake rabbit
Feb 21, 2011




So it looks like EV numbers in Nevada are looking pretty incredible for :abuela:

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/794754491836862467

https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/794755970463207424

ComradeCosmobot
Dec 4, 2004

USPOL July

cyphr555 posted:

EV numbers

Yes, let's talk about electoral votes, like how a Washington elector for Hillary is a Berniebro who refuses to cast their EV for the "criminal," Hillary, come December, starting her out at one less vote than any projection has her at.

Petr
Oct 3, 2000
What is the current feeling for downticket? I feel like some people are being really pollyannish about the Senate going dem, given the recent tightening of the polls.

Dick Milhous Rock!
Aug 9, 1974

:nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon:

:nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon::nixon:
If you need to white noise post come to C-SPAM! :getin:

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Jimbozig
Sep 30, 2003

I like sharing and ice cream and animals.
So I decided to see if I could summarize this emails thing. There are really 5 sets of emails, if I understand correctly.

First, there are the work-related emails that Hillary kept on a private server while she was at the State Department. A few of these were classified, but there is no evidence that she ever intentionally transmitted classified information in an unsafe way. I don't know if these classified emails were ones she sent or ones she received. Regardless, there is nothing criminal here. People have been critical of her decision to use a private server at all, but: a) She is not a tech person and just followed the advice of her tech people. When you start a newd fg  job, do you ignore the advice of your IT department? It is the responsibility of the techies to keep her email secure. b) She was following the lead of her predecessors. Every past secretary of state has used private email, and Hillary specifically asked Colin Powell about it. c) Her emails were safer on her private server and would have been accessed by Russian hackers had she used a state dept email.

The second group of emails are the ones she deleted. She deleted her personal emails as is proper. She had no responsibility to share them with anyone. Some have asserted that she deleted work-related emails as well, but these assertions have never had any evidence behind them. It is pure speculation. When coming from Trump, the criticism is pure projection, as he and his businesses have repeatedly destroyed evidence prior to lawsuits.

The third set of emails is also related to this - it is the new emails found on Anthony Weiner's computer. So far we have no idea what they contain and they are only evidence that Hillary emailed Huma at least once.

The fourth set of emails are the DNC emails that got hacked by Russia and released by Wikileaks and RT in cooperation. These are certainly not evidence that Hillary did anything wrong, but rather evidence of her victimization. Looking at the contents of these emails, the most damning thing you can say is that sometimes campaign staff have bad ideas (which they don't carry out, realizing that they are bad), or that some of the employees personally preferred Hillary over Bernie, though they did not act improperly on those preferences.

The fifth set of emails are John Podesta's, which were also hacked by Russia and released by Wikileaks. I realized while writing this post that I have no idea what the scandal was supposed to be here so I googled it and the most common thing was that John Podesta was invited to a Satanist dinner. I don't know how that is supposed to reflect badly on Hillary.

So what does this all add up to? Nothing. Absolutely nothing that you couldn't find if you hacked literally anyone's email. Since the hacking was obviously a crime, all the hours the media has spent reporting on the hacked emails is just a) profiting from crime, and b) repeatedly re-victimizing the victims of said crime. It's like if the news spent weeks spitting hot takes about how Jennifer Lawrence looks naked after her pictures were stolen.

Anything important I missed?

Yoshifan823
Feb 19, 2007

by FactsAreUseless

Jimbozig posted:

The second group of emails are the ones she deleted. She deleted her personal emails as is proper. She had no responsibility to share them with anyone. Some have asserted that she deleted work-related emails as well, but these assertions have never had any evidence behind them. It is pure speculation. When coming from Trump, the criticism is pure projection, as he and his businesses have repeatedly destroyed evidence prior to lawsuits.

Anything important I missed?

Just to clarify: these personal emails were deleted after the request for emails was given to her, but they were deleted by her lawyers, not Clinton personally. They've recovered some of them, and unarguably there is no actual evidence that there is anything classified in them.

Taerkar
Dec 7, 2002

kind of into it, really

The emails, like the Clinton Foundation 'Pay for Play', are based around the whole idea that she Could Have Done Bad Things. There's a lot of trying to prove a negative involved, especially since the side making the claims doesn't want it to be.

Paradoxish
Dec 19, 2003

Will you stop going crazy in there?

Petr posted:

What is the current feeling for downticket? I feel like some people are being really pollyannish about the Senate going dem, given the recent tightening of the polls.

I'm honestly not sure that there's much value in speculating at this point. The problem is that the odds have been slightly favorable for taking the Senate for a while, so how optimistic you feel is probably going to come down entirely to how much faith you put in the race actually tightening versus late game polls just being unreliable and weird. If things are actually tightening in NH then it's probably game over, but who knows? I do think that 50/50 is about as good as we're going to do, but I'd love to be wrong about that.

Doorknob Slobber
Sep 10, 2006

by Fluffdaddy
the emails are stupid as gently caress and even if they did contain classified poo poo its not like she was sending it straight to angela murkal or whatevs

prom candy
Dec 16, 2005

Only I may dance
Melania Trump might actually be an illegal immigrant

Does it matter?

Hieronymous Alloy
Jan 30, 2009


Why! Why!! Why must you refuse to accept that Dr. Hieronymous Alloy's Genetically Enhanced Cream Corn Is Superior to the Leading Brand on the Market!?!




Morbid Hound

You already know exactly how much anything matters

deadwing
Mar 5, 2007


By now you should know that Nothing Matters

paranoid randroid
Mar 4, 2007

Jimbozig posted:

Anything important I missed?

*claws bloody runnels into face and arms* AAAAA! AAAAAAAAAAAAA! AAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

The Insect Court
Nov 22, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Jimbozig posted:

Anything important I missed?

That establishing a personal server allowed Clinton to circumvent the normal FOIA process in a way that would not have been possible if she had used an official system and that she did not have the authority to allow her own staffers, rather than State Department employees, to decide which emails were or weren't merely personal.

Oh, and there was a group of deleted emails recovered by the FBI. Maybe call it set two and a half?


Taerkar posted:

The emails, like the Clinton Foundation 'Pay for Play', are based around the whole idea that she Could Have Done Bad Things.

Correct.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Cain't be an illegal, she don't speak Hispanic

canepazzo
May 29, 2006



https://twitter.com/randygdub/status/794778104111632384

the linked thread comments are art.

E: could we get the Nov USPOL subheading in the threat title please?

E2:

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/794725220099780608

quote:

Places where 2016 exceeds total 2012 early vote:
AZ, AR, DE, DC, FL, GA, ID, IL, IN, KS, LA, ME, MD, MA, MN, NV, OK, SC, TN, UT, VA & WV

canepazzo fucked around with this message at 07:11 on Nov 5, 2016

patonthebach
Aug 22, 2016

by R. Guyovich

Jimbozig posted:

So I decided to see if I could summarize this emails thing. There are really 5 sets of emails, if I understand correctly.

First, there are the work-related emails that Hillary kept on a private server while she was at the State Department. A few of these were classified, but there is no evidence that she ever intentionally transmitted classified information in an unsafe way. I don't know if these classified emails were ones she sent or ones she received. Regardless, there is nothing criminal here. People have been critical of her decision to use a private server at all, but: a) She is not a tech person and just followed the advice of her tech people. When you start a newd fg  job, do you ignore the advice of your IT department? It is the responsibility of the techies to keep her email secure. b) She was following the lead of her predecessors. Every past secretary of state has used private email, and Hillary specifically asked Colin Powell about it. c) Her emails were safer on her private server and would have been accessed by Russian hackers had she used a state dept email.

The second group of emails are the ones she deleted. She deleted her personal emails as is proper. She had no responsibility to share them with anyone. Some have asserted that she deleted work-related emails as well, but these assertions have never had any evidence behind them. It is pure speculation. When coming from Trump, the criticism is pure projection, as he and his businesses have repeatedly destroyed evidence prior to lawsuits.

The third set of emails is also related to this - it is the new emails found on Anthony Weiner's computer. So far we have no idea what they contain and they are only evidence that Hillary emailed Huma at least once.

The fourth set of emails are the DNC emails that got hacked by Russia and released by Wikileaks and RT in cooperation. These are certainly not evidence that Hillary did anything wrong, but rather evidence of her victimization. Looking at the contents of these emails, the most damning thing you can say is that sometimes campaign staff have bad ideas (which they don't carry out, realizing that they are bad), or that some of the employees personally preferred Hillary over Bernie, though they did not act improperly on those preferences.

The fifth set of emails are John Podesta's, which were also hacked by Russia and released by Wikileaks. I realized while writing this post that I have no idea what the scandal was supposed to be here so I googled it and the most common thing was that John Podesta was invited to a Satanist dinner. I don't know how that is supposed to reflect badly on Hillary.

So what does this all add up to? Nothing. Absolutely nothing that you couldn't find if you hacked literally anyone's email. Since the hacking was obviously a crime, all the hours the media has spent reporting on the hacked emails is just a) profiting from crime, and b) repeatedly re-victimizing the victims of said crime. It's like if the news spent weeks spitting hot takes about how Jennifer Lawrence looks naked after her pictures were stolen.

Anything important I missed?

I think the "big deal" at the end of the day is that she used a private email server altogether (which was likely hacked by foreign security teams)

Roland Jones
Aug 18, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo
https://twitter.com/onlxn/status/794783491011448833

I said this elsewhere but I love how it turned out the silent (not-quite) majority turned out to be real, it's just they're not white racists but rather a bunch of minorities, particularly Hispanics, who are being motivated by a seething hatred of Trump and the GOP. And they're going to remember this in the future when they vote again.

Roland Jones fucked around with this message at 07:13 on Nov 5, 2016

Arsonist Daria
Feb 27, 2011

Requiescat in pace.

The Insect Court posted:

That establishing a personal server allowed Clinton to circumvent the normal FOIA process in a way that would not have been possible if she had used an official system and that she did not have the authority to allow her own staffers, rather than State Department employees, to decide which emails were or weren't merely personal.

you can just say "no"

Artificer
Apr 8, 2010

You're going to try ponies and you're. Going. To. LOVE. ME!!
EMAILS! are bullshit.

http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2016/11/4/13500018/clinton-email-scandal-bullshit

:v:

There was that one post from that one USPOL poster from a while back that said none of it was that important. I can't find it.

Schizotek
Nov 8, 2011

I say, hey, listen to me!
Stay sane inside insanity!!!

patonthebach posted:

I think the "big deal" at the end of the day is that she used a private email server altogether (which was likely hacked by foreign security teams)
As opposed to definitely hacked by foreign security teams like the rest of the State Dept. And if she'd been hacked they would have exposed the emails ages ago.
The "big deal" is that Hillary did something against the rules, which automatically makes her a criminal who should be executed.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000

ComradeCosmobot posted:

Yes, let's talk about electoral votes, like how a Washington elector for Hillary is a Berniebro who refuses to cast their EV for the "criminal," Hillary, come December, starting her out at one less vote than any projection has her at.
I'm going to go to DC in his place wearing his face as a mask.

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless
https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/794768954803781632

nice meltdown

paranoid randroid
Mar 4, 2007

WOW


NO ONE GIVES A poo poo

Carlosologist
Oct 13, 2013

Revelry in the Dark

So what's the general feeling on retaking the Senate? PEC has it at 78%, but I feel like the odds are closer to a coin flip for whatever reason

there wolf
Jan 11, 2015

by Fluffdaddy
It seems like the only thing to do about the presidential election is to tune out or run in circles arzying.

So who has the worst ballot measure? We have one that's about replacing the current judicial ethics board with one approved by the senate. It's being pushed by a legislature that stepped down from his judgeship when he was investigated by the board for sexually harassing an attorney.

Kilroy
Oct 1, 2000

The Insect Court posted:

That establishing a personal server allowed Clinton to circumvent the normal FOIA process in a way that would not have been possible if she had used an official system and that she did not have the authority to allow her own staffers, rather than State Department employees, to decide which emails were or weren't merely personal.
No more than just having a personal email account.

If her lawyers had deleted non-personal emails we'd know about at least some of them since you send emails to people. That's the point of email. And lawyers do what her lawyers did all the drat time. At any rate even if she'd had DOS employees do it instead for some reason, you'd just be crying foul over that instead "Kerry's covering for Hillary :qq:

Sarmhan
Nov 1, 2011

Carlosologist posted:

So what's the general feeling on retaking the Senate? PEC has it at 78%, but I feel like the odds are closer to a coin flip for whatever reason
Why would you rely on feelings over numbers?
NV and PA seem like locks at this point, along with WI and IL. So only one of the more toss-uo races has to go the dems way.

Roland Jones
Aug 18, 2011

by Nyc_Tattoo

there wolf posted:

It seems like the only thing to do about the presidential election is to tune out or run in circles arzying.

So who has the worst ballot measure? We have one that's about replacing the current judicial ethics board with one approved by the senate. It's being pushed by a legislature that stepped down from his judgeship when he was investigated by the board for sexually harassing an attorney.

California has some bad ones this year, like the proposition that's basically one man's crusade to kill our porn industry (and is probably going to pass). Also we might wind up fast-tracking our death penalty, which is really bad. Hopefully that one loses or at least is beaten by the one to abolish it.

Thankfully our Senate race is Democrat versus Democrat, with the non-blue dog being the one who's going to win. Hopefully we can take out some of our Republican representatives too, though I am not counting on it.

Maxwell Lord
Dec 12, 2008

I am drowning.
There is no sign of land.
You are coming down with me, hand in unlovable hand.

And I hope you die.

I hope we both die.


:smith:

Grimey Drawer

there wolf posted:

It seems like the only thing to do about the presidential election is to tune out or run in circles arzying.

So who has the worst ballot measure? We have one that's about replacing the current judicial ethics board with one approved by the senate. It's being pushed by a legislature that stepped down from his judgeship when he was investigated by the board for sexually harassing an attorney.

Missouri has Prop 3 which on paper says they'll increase the cigarette tax to spend on schools. In practice it's weird, like prolifers are against it because the language mentions abortion, but there are left voices against it (and I'm leaning against because sin taxes like this are inevitably poor taxes) and it gets really confusing.

Also there's a Voter ID one and a "no more tax increases ever" one and maybe both of them could pass because MO has turned into a super red state over the past couple of decades.

Internet Kraken
Apr 24, 2010

slightly amused
Is Trump still whining on twitter about how the entire election is rigged against him?

Artificer
Apr 8, 2010

You're going to try ponies and you're. Going. To. LOVE. ME!!

Internet Kraken posted:

Is Trump still whining

Yes. Isn't he always?

Liquid Communism
Mar 9, 2004


Out here, everything hurts.




The Insect Court posted:

That establishing a personal server allowed Clinton to circumvent the normal FOIA process in a way that would not have been possible if she had used an official system and that she did not have the authority to allow her own staffers, rather than State Department employees, to decide which emails were or weren't merely personal.

Oh, and there was a group of deleted emails recovered by the FBI. Maybe call it set two and a half?


Correct.

Why yes, I'm sure that link to politico from July is presently relevant!

This whole post is a pretty good illustration of why the emails matter at all. It's just a rallying cry to scream about how sure the person in question is that Clinton has something bad up their sleeve.

The Insect Court
Nov 22, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Kilroy posted:

No more than just having a personal email account.

If her lawyers had deleted non-personal emails we'd know about at least some of them since you send emails to people. That's the point of email. And lawyers do what her lawyers did all the drat time. At any rate even if she'd had DOS employees do it instead for some reason, you'd just be crying foul over that instead "Kerry's covering for Hillary :qq:

A personal email through gmail or the like would have meant that copies of emails might be retained on servers under the control of someone else. And the idea that anyone who Clinton might have emailed something that should have been turned over but was deleted instead would leap for a phone and call up the FBI the moment they heard about it is risible, as is the projection.

Liquid Communism posted:

Why yes, I'm sure that link to politico from July is presently relevant!

Yes, thank you. It makes clear that there was a large number of deleted emails recovered by the FBI, which don't fall into any of the sets mentioned by the original post.

there wolf posted:

So who has the worst ballot measure? We have one that's about replacing the current judicial ethics board with one approved by the senate. It's being pushed by a legislature that stepped down from his judgeship when he was investigated by the board for sexually harassing an attorney.

Florida has a ballot measure that was specifically drafted and advertised as being pro-solar but is actually an attempt to kill off residential solar, underwritten by front groups for the state's utility monopolies.

Maxwell Lord
Dec 12, 2008

I am drowning.
There is no sign of land.
You are coming down with me, hand in unlovable hand.

And I hope you die.

I hope we both die.


:smith:

Grimey Drawer

Just to note- on the one hand early in-person voting (as opposed to absentee ballots) favors Democrats, so the numbers may not reflect the state as a whole, but it also means people are voting that may not have had early voting not been available and that again will be to HRC's benefit. So fingers crossed.

Basically given Trump's failure to reach out towards minorities at all, I have a feeling the one chance he has is voter suppression. NC has just had its attempt at purging the rolls reversed but maybe not everyone is aware they can still vote? Maybe HRC won't even need that state but I hope the GOTV campaign is super responsive.

Neeksy
Mar 29, 2007

Hej min vän, hur står det till?
What I'm gathering is that women and ethnic minorities are what will save us from the fascist Hamburglar and that white males will largely be responsible for it from being the blowout it should be. Am I off or is the House/Senate still gonna be GOP in the face of all rational observation of their behavior since the 90s?

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Saeka
Jul 2, 2007

I'm a man that loves the simple things. Sunhats. Boba. Dresses.


Jesus, people voting (and being helped to vote)! How terrible!

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