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I've got some money on a Guillard/Bader parlay. Considering putting money on Pat Barry and definitely going in on Anthony Njokuani when a line pops up.
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Jun 23, 2011 17:22
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kongo is probably gonna clinch the poo poo outta barry. I just bet a bill on hendo at +190.
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Jun 23, 2011 19:46
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ForbiddenWonder posted:kongo is probably gonna clinch the poo poo outta barry. Everytime Kongo fights someone that is remotely a striker, he tries to wrestle. Pat Barry got wrestled and submitted by CroCop. I'm not saying Kongo will sub Barry but I do believe he will wrestle the poo poo out of him and I feel pretty comfortable in that prediction.
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Jun 23, 2011 22:11
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My prediction is that people will somehow be surprised yet again when Kongo goes for takedowns yet again. He does it like every time! Wulveslayer!
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Jun 23, 2011 22:26
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Hugging and knee shots to the groin against strikers seems to be Kongo's forte.
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Jun 24, 2011 00:47
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Tonight's pick: Pat Curran -350
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Jun 26, 2011 02:20
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Tonight's picks: Guillard/Bader parlay Njokuani Might put some cash on Cruz.
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Jul 2, 2011 21:13
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leben/bader/wiman. do this if youre the cool guy
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Jul 2, 2011 21:38
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can we get some post event life lesson learning posts please
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Jul 3, 2011 09:48
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Got a couple last minute bets in on Cruz and Over 4.5 rounds. Was a good night outside of that WTF moment with Bader getting subbed by Ortiz. Lessons learned: Ortiz is like a gorilla on crack when he's fighting for his professional life. Don't bet against a gorilla. And Bader kind of sucks.
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Jul 3, 2011 15:15
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human being Martyr posted:can we get some post event life lesson learning posts please i bet 50 on wiman with my friend and then went double or nothing on leben so i went even. suffice to say i learned nothing. good day *walks down stairs behind couch*
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Jul 3, 2011 15:23
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gently caress stefen and drexel
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Jul 3, 2011 16:06
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team punishment sounds like a tight knit group
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Jul 3, 2011 16:16
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who?
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Jul 3, 2011 16:17
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human being Martyr posted:can we get some post event life lesson learning posts please I made 7 bucks betting on Leben. Bet on MMA.
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Jul 3, 2011 22:49
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This thread has been dead lately but today I saw what looks like a great line: Cowboy Cerrone at even or +105. To me, Cowboy seems like a favorite in this fight. Good stand up and strong takedown defense against a BJJ wizard with energetic but not very good striking seems like a win for the Cowboy.
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Aug 14, 2011 02:31
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MassRayPer posted:Cowboy Cerrone quote:strong takedown defense what
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Aug 14, 2011 02:44
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fatherdog posted:what His wrestling used to suck, but then he had his rematch with Varner (I know...) and he completely dominated the wrestling aspect, something he had been destroyed in their first match. Varner sucks overall, but he has good wrestling credentials. Kelly's wrestling isn't bad for a Brit and he was briefly taken down once in that fight after stuffing several, and completely neutralized Rocha's takedowns. I'd have to imagine Oliveira's takedowns won't be much better than those recent opponents. In the very least it is a dramatically improved wrestling game.
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Aug 14, 2011 02:52
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dude, didn't you hear? wrestling doesn't work on oliveira.
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Aug 14, 2011 02:58
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Thermos H Christ posted:dude, didn't you hear? wrestling doesn't work on oliveira. I hope so. I love leg kicks.
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Aug 14, 2011 03:00
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MassRayPer posted:I'd have to imagine Oliveira's takedowns won't be much better than those recent opponents. Oliveira took down Nik Lentz and Efrain Escuedero, both of whom were successful college wrestlers, and you think his takedowns "won't be much better" than an undersized Brazilian and an Englishman?
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Aug 14, 2011 03:05
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fatherdog posted:Oliveira took down Nik Lentz and Efrain Escuedero, both of whom were successful college wrestlers, and you think his takedowns "won't be much better" than an undersized Brazilian and an Englishman? Oliveira is technically an undersized Brazilian. Efrain looked completely lost and terrible in that fight after blowing his weight cut, and I didn't see the Lentz fight. This is why I am posting this, I am not sure if I am overvaluing Cerrone here.
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Aug 14, 2011 03:08
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Jim Miller seems undervalued as always. Think he's at -155 on bodog. Bendo's good, but I like that line. e: Woops, he's at -175, but I'd still probably take him at anything under -200. CRISPYBABY fucked around with this message at 03:30 on Aug 14, 2011 |
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Aug 14, 2011 03:14
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MassRayPer posted:Oliveira is technically an undersized Brazilian. Efrain looked completely lost and terrible in that fight after blowing his weight cut, and I didn't see the Lentz fight. This is why I am posting this, I am not sure if I am overvaluing Cerrone here. Lentz got his first takedown, then Oliveira got back to his feet and defended three or four more attempts and then took him down near the end of the round. Then in the second he was defending them again when he hit the illegal knee. It's certainly possible that Cerrone's takedown defense will be too good for him, but I really don't think that his last few matches are any kind of solid evidence for it.
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Aug 14, 2011 03:16
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Time to make a play with my Hendo fortune. Got a little riding on Olieviera to finish, as both guys strike fearlessly but I trust Olieviera to get it to the ground at some point and end it. Also got Lytle to take a decision. Debating putting something down on Bendo but the current line isn't really worth it. The match ups way too close for me to be confident betting on either guy.
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Aug 14, 2011 04:02
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http://onefcmma.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=82&Itemid=74 Behold, a promoter with a poll asking how their postered fighter will win his fight. We do not fix fights here in Quebec, no Shumagorath fucked around with this message at 04:48 on Aug 14, 2011 |
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Aug 14, 2011 04:38
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Shumagorath posted:http://onefcmma.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=82&Itemid=74 What the hell? Surely the two pictured aint fighting eachother???
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Aug 14, 2011 04:42
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No, they've just completely omitted their opponents.
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Aug 14, 2011 04:45
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Thank god for that.
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Aug 14, 2011 04:49
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i'm putting some one oliveira...he should be a bigger favorite imo. cerrone's got good muay thai, but lacks the kind of power that would make oliveria reconsider just overwhelming him like he does with most of his opponents. does anyone know jim hettes? bruce leroy is one of the worst ufc fighters in modern times and he's facing an undefeated grappler. the problem is that being undefeated doesn't mean much. i'm definitely not touching the main and co-main event.
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Aug 14, 2011 09:29
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Paul Pot posted:i'm putting some one oliveira...he should be a bigger favorite imo. cerrone's got good muay thai, but lacks the kind of power that would make oliveria reconsider just overwhelming him like he does with most of his opponents. I'm avoiding the co-main as well, and Cerrone/Aloe Vera, except for a $1 hail mary parley that covers nearly the entire card. I like Jim Miller and Cowboy winning, but not enough to bet any more than that on them. Jim Hettes is apparently a very good prospect. All eight of his wins have come by submission, and all of Caceres's losses are by submission and he sucks. Bet on Hettes. Queering Wheel fucked around with this message at 11:04 on Aug 14, 2011 |
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Aug 14, 2011 10:56
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MrSmokes posted:I'm avoiding the co-main as well, and Cerrone/Aloe Vera, except for a $1 hail mary parley that covers nearly the entire card. I like Jim Miller and Cowboy winning, but not enough to bet any more than that on them. This. Caraceres is very inexperienced and doesn't have any kind of real grounded base, he's going to lose.
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Aug 14, 2011 11:38
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MrSmokes posted:Jim Hettes is apparently a very good prospect. All eight of his wins have come by submission, and all of Caceres's losses are by submission and he sucks. Bet on Hettes. I'm way more excited about other fights but this is my go to for the hilarity fight.
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Aug 14, 2011 12:53
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Hettes submitted Binky Jones which is actually pretty impressive, but other than that I don't really know anything about the dude.
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Aug 14, 2011 15:21
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UFC Gambling Analysis: Breaking Down 2011 Underdog Performance Not intensely interesting but it's worth a look, especially for you statistics nerds.
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Aug 14, 2011 17:47
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No pick really stands out and I've got money pending on the Rio card so this is my silly parlay. $18.67 to win $106.67 Donald Cerrone +115 Amir Sadollah -350 Karlos Vemola -240 Jimy Hettes -350 Edwin Figueroa -300
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Aug 14, 2011 20:33
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  Bet on MMA
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Aug 15, 2011 04:25
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MrSmokes posted:Bet your lunch money on MMA
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Aug 15, 2011 04:25
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I too won lunch money bets, for me on Lytle and Cerrone. I then put even smaller lunch money bets on Okami and Forrest.
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Aug 15, 2011 07:40
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MassRayPer posted:I too won lunch money bets, for me on Lytle and Cerrone. I then put even smaller lunch money bets on Okami and Forrest. I managed to hedge bets on okami Silva through a couple of private wagers. Really like his chances after spending so much time with chael. Then again he's traditionally a slow starter which might not bode well against Silva
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Aug 15, 2011 10:54
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