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Bubba Smith posted:Will Dan Miller do okay at welterweight? Probably not
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Jun 22, 2012 21:28
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I know like 5 fighters on the card tonight - anything worth betting besides Franklin?
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Jun 23, 2012 17:22
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JoeRules posted:I know like 5 fighters on the card tonight - anything worth betting besides Franklin? don't buy this card and pretend you won $50
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Jun 23, 2012 20:47
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Thermos H Christ posted:don't buy this card and pretend you won $50 this is the best mma betting advice I've read since don't bet on mma.
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Jun 23, 2012 20:53
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I think its probably because all the value got sucked out of Franklin winning inside the distance, but Franklin winning by decision is at the +600 range on most sites. Might not be the most likely outcome, but not a terribly unlikely outcome to not toss a couple of coins on to make things a little interesting. Russow by decision is also +600, is there a better than 14.3% chance of this happening?
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Jun 23, 2012 20:58
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Im gonna go ahead and say Rich Franklin winning by decision is probably the most likely thing that will happen but please don't blame me if you follow my advice and it turns out wrong Russow isn't likely to get knocked out but he is pretty likely to lose the stand up or get tapped if he takes it down so probably don't bet on russow
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Jun 23, 2012 21:03
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Oh Bundt, Ive been sweating it out for someone to agree with me so I have some justification for my degenerate ways. A sort of transference of responsibility, so if it doesn't work out, I coming after you. I'm coming after your sweet rear end Bundt...
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Jun 23, 2012 21:25
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Ninja PD posted:Oh Bundt, Ive been sweating it out for someone to agree with me so I have some justification for my degenerate ways. A sort of transference of responsibility, so if it doesn't work out, I coming after you. I'm coming after your sweet rear end Bundt... sounds good
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Jun 23, 2012 21:38
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Have lines for the undercard for 148 been posted anywhere? I'm going to Vegas for the event and want to place a bunch of bets while I'm there but I can only find lines on the main fights so far
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Jul 3, 2012 21:57
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Fentry posted:Have lines for the undercard for 148 been posted anywhere? I'm going to Vegas for the event and want to place a bunch of bets while I'm there but I can only find lines on the main fights so far Check out Sportsbook.
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Jul 4, 2012 01:04
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I don't know why I always have to bet money on Melvin Guillard. but I do. cooooome on !!
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Jul 4, 2012 05:21
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Chael anyone?
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Jul 4, 2012 07:07
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I am taking Chael considering he was a minute away from winning the first fight its real good value at +225. With my luck he will get knocked out in 10 seconds by a pissed of Anderson Silva but it's still good value. Does anyone think Ortiz has a shot of winning? I am a casual MMA fan and I only know him on name recognition so I don't know if +225 is good value.
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Jul 4, 2012 23:11
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jase1 posted:Does anyone think Ortiz has a shot of winning? Nope. Tito Ortiz is really shot and retiring, while Griffin knows he can win this fight.
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Jul 4, 2012 23:20
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jase1 posted:Does anyone think Ortiz has a shot of winning? I am a casual MMA fan and I only know him on name recognition so I don't know if +225 is good value. Its not, really. He could get Forrest down and hammer his face enough to steal rounds, but hes got the worst spine in the world and can't get Forrest down reliably and even if he does, Forrest swept him in the last fight and wound up getting the better of things, and as far as standing, neither guy is likely to put the other one out but Forrest can move better and has way more solid kickboxing skills Don't bet on this: 
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Jul 4, 2012 23:22
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Bundt Cake posted:Its not, really. He could get Forrest down and hammer his face enough to steal rounds, but hes got the worst spine in the world and can't get Forrest down reliably and even if he does, Forrest swept him in the last fight and wound up getting the better of things, and as far as standing, neither guy is likely to put the other one out but Forrest can move better and has way more solid kickboxing skills Agreed, the last time Tito took anyone down IIRC it was Forrest and that was a long while ago. I don't see Tito really worrying Forrest at all.
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Jul 5, 2012 00:02
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Bundt Cake posted:Don't bet on this: It's cool when you hear phrases like "spinal fusion" and "minimally invasive" but a picture speaks a thousand words, and those words are all just onomatopoeic woodworking noises
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Jul 5, 2012 00:06
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Steve Glutenberg posted:It's cool when you hear phrases like "spinal fusion" and "minimally invasive" but a picture speaks a thousand words, and those words are all just onomatopoeic woodworking noises From watching discovery channel I became convinced that most orthopaedic surgery in one way or another is pretty much carpentry / cabinet making with vastly more important outcomes. I watched one doctor literally chisel away some bone from a chicks hip, and then put it in her wrist with a plate and some screws.
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Jul 5, 2012 01:03
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So I decided to use $100.00 of my windfall betting money (i.e. the 10 dollars free betting money) I was given, that I've grown to 246.00 through wise betting over 12 months on the upcoming card. Why? Because I'm a degenerate gambler. So my bets: Multi bet for head to head 1. Kim 2. Mendes 3. Tibau 4. Guillard $5 bet for $15.90 outcome ----- John Alessio to win over Shane Roller $5.00 for $12.35 possible outcome ----- Multi bet (method of victory incl) 1. Sonnen on points 2. Griffin on points 3. Cote by KO $10 bet for $218.50 outcome ----- Chael Sonnen to win on points $10 bet for 45.10 outcome ----- Forrest Griffin to win on points $5 for a $9.75 outcome ----- Cote to get KOTN award $5 bet for $54.50 outcome ----- $5 on Camoes to beat Guillard for $17.25 outcome ----- $5 for Ortiz Griffin to go the distance $14.85 outcome ----- $20.00 Multibet for $59.8 outcome Griffin Mendes Cote Philippou ----- $30.00 on Chael to beat Silva for $94.2 outcome. So yeah, should be a fun card to wave goodbye to free money.
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Jul 6, 2012 00:00
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I just put £20 on Silva, I am that confident his bruised rib was a factor in the first fight, as confident as I was that Diaz would beat BJ Penn and I didn't put money on that one despite wishing I had. First real MMA bet for me.
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Jul 6, 2012 19:48
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Thanks for the Tito advice guys and I put a $100 on Sonnen. I don't see any other underdog that looks like a good value so I only bet on that. Ticket#:8981675 Jul 07 11:50 PM INTERNET / -1 Jul 06 03:16 PM MU STRAIGHT BET [24101] C. SONNEN +235 (C. SONNEN vrs A. SILVA) 100 / 235
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Jul 6, 2012 20:55
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BlindSite posted:$5 for Ortiz Griffin to go the distance $14.85 outcome
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Jul 6, 2012 20:58
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Grifter posted:Where are you making bets like these? I'd like some of that action, but I've never bet on anything before. Its an Aussie site
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Jul 7, 2012 02:02
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jase1 posted:Thanks for the Tito advice guys and I put a $100 on Sonnen. I don't see any other underdog that looks like a good value so I only bet on that. ahahahahahahahaha
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Jul 8, 2012 17:23
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Doctor Nick posted:ahahahahahahahaha Oh no I lost $100 its the end of the world! What did you bet on last night? Oh wait you didn't. 
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Jul 8, 2012 17:48
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jase1 posted:Oh no I lost $100 its the end of the world! What did you bet on last night? Oh wait you didn't. Laughing at people that bet on MMA is the entire point of this thread.
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Jul 8, 2012 20:48
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Don't bet on MMA...but if you do, don't bet against the greatest fighter the UFC has ever seen.
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Jul 8, 2012 21:06
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jase1 posted:Oh no I lost $100 its the end of the world! What did you bet on last night? Oh wait you didn't. 
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Jul 8, 2012 21:24
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Tezcatlipoca posted:Laughing at people that bet on MMA is the entire point of this thread.
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Jul 8, 2012 21:30
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jase1 posted:Ah I see he must need something to make himself feel better. Glad I could help. If it makes you feel any better I bet a lot more than you did on the same result
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Jul 8, 2012 21:40
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This thread isn't called the bet on MMA thread for a reason, dudes.
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Jul 8, 2012 21:53
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Diddie posted:If it makes you feel any better I bet a lot more than you did on the same result
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Jul 8, 2012 22:00
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jase1 posted:I'm not even mad I lost and I didn't even watch the fight. I gamble on everything not just MMA so no big deal. It looked like good value I lost and move on to the next one. I did make $3 dollars off Forrest Griffin though! I'll give you four to one you're going to gamble yourself into the poor house in the next year
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Jul 8, 2012 22:42
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jase1 posted:I'm not even mad I lost and I didn't even watch the fight. I gamble on everything not just MMA so no big deal. It looked like good value I lost and move on to the next one. I did make $3 dollars off Forrest Griffin though! ignore the haters, do your thing!
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Jul 9, 2012 00:48
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maffew buildings posted:I'll give you four to one you're going to gamble yourself into the poor house in the next year I will take that bet for any amount you wish to gamble with is 1k fine with you? By the way you might want to read this thread I started in Ask/Tell, I have been gambling since I was about 13 years old which is why losing the bet last night is not a big deal to me. I lose money on sportsbooking and I am not afraid to admit it but what I lose I make up for in gambling on pool and poker. Should we have someone hold the money for us so you will pay up on 07/08/2013? http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3475307 jase1 fucked around with this message at 00:59 on Jul 9, 2012 |
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Jul 9, 2012 00:56
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Hahahahah
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Jul 9, 2012 01:55
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jase1 posted:I will take that bet for any amount you wish to gamble with is 1k fine with you? 
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Jul 9, 2012 02:01
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Jota posted:Hahahahah Yep, good Lord
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Jul 9, 2012 02:03
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I'll hold the money!
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Jul 9, 2012 02:15
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jase1 posted:I will take that bet for any amount you wish to gamble with is 1k fine with you? guys seriously im hardcore dont make fun of me
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Jul 9, 2012 02:16
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