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Lazy Reservist
Nov 30, 2005

FUBIJAR

Helldump Immunity. posted:

Looks like NATO is going on the offensive. On Facebook.



NATO's making a pretty strong case for Russia here...

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orange juche
Mar 14, 2012



Helldump Immunity. posted:

Looks like NATO is going on the offensive. On Facebook.



Should have used comic sans.

Snowdens Secret
Dec 29, 2008
Someone got you a obnoxiously racist av.
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/apr/11/syria-chemical-weapons-inspection-team-probe-attack

quote:

The international body tasked with destroying Syria's chemical weapons arsenal says it will investigate new opposition allegations that regime forces have used banned chemicals in at least three attacks since January if the claims are referred by an appropriate state authority.

http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/5104784

quote:

JERUSALEM, April 7 (Reuters) - Israel Radio said on Monday that Israel has evidence backing Syrian opposition accusations that forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad had used non-lethal chemical weapons in Damascus last month.The report quoted an unidentified senior Israeli defense official as saying there were two attacks on March 27, using a "neutralizing chemical weapon", east of Damascus and at another location.

http://sn4hr.org/blog/2014/04/10/government-forces-use-poisonous-gases/

quote:

“About 11:00 PM we started receiving some injured people from A-Kou’ after it was shelled, the victims were suffering from psychological disorders, disorientation, eye irritation, and blurry vision. These symptoms were different from the symptoms we came across during the chemical attack against Ghouta back in August. These symptoms suggest the possibility that Al-Assad regime may have used bombs carrying quinuclidinylbenzilate (BZ), however we weren’t able to confirm these speculations. The attack killed seven victims and injured 32 others.

Courthouse
Jul 23, 2013

Helldump Immunity. posted:

Looks like NATO is going on the offensive. On Facebook.


Russia contained. Now if hollywood can bring back Russia as the main blockbuster bad guy we can all sleep well at night.

quote:

syria stuff

So now that Russian help is presumably off the table, is the US going to ramp up military aid to the non-islamist rebels? And increase in the risk of getting dragged into an air campaign or Turkey doing something stupid?

Snowdens Secret
Dec 29, 2008
Someone got you a obnoxiously racist av.
Looks like the Russians have moved into East Ukraine. Coordinated attacks on government buildings in multiple cities, by the same 'little green men' in matched uniforms with expensive new gear as in Crimea. Reports of seizures of armories and key rail depots.

https://twitter.com/noclador/status/454936795541553152/photo/1

https://twitter.com/NiBeroeva/status/455026227527442432/photo/1

They're also apparently going after journalists and taking / wiping memory cards, for what that's worth.

Here's Michael McFaul (US recent ex-ambassador to Russia)'s Twitter, he thinks it's the Rus:

https://twitter.com/McFaul/statuses/455048876559314944

Obviously no one has officially said they're Russians yet, but this ambiguity was maintained in Crimea until the referendum.

Courthouse
Jul 23, 2013
Interior minister Arsen Arkov accuses Russia of arming protesters, promises operative response

https://www.facebook.com/arsen.avakov.1

Bad Google translate;

quote:

Electricity on-line .
Kramatorsk ( Donetsk region). Goes attack .. Unidentified persons fired at the police department . Police responding. Goes shootout .
Red estuary ( Donetsk region). Militant attack with guns kratkostvolnymi Russian-made AK 100 - repelled by the police and urban warriors . AK100 with grenade launchers is only armed forces of the Russian Federation .
Slavic. Mob destroyed towers . Communication blocked police department and SBU.
Ukrainian government considers the facts of today as a manifestation of external aggression by Russia .
Urgently convened NSDC .
Grouping of forces and Interior Ministry of Ukraine promptly comply RESPONSE PLAN ..

***
All - stop wailing and shouting attack those who are already under attack. Do what you can to the Donbas - work with people. WE MAKE YOUR BUSINESS . DO YOU YOUR !

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Snowdens Secret posted:

Looks like the Russians have moved into East Ukraine. Coordinated attacks on government buildings in multiple cities, by the same 'little green men' in matched uniforms with expensive new gear as in Crimea. Reports of seizures of armories and key rail depots.

https://twitter.com/noclador/status/454936795541553152/photo/1

https://twitter.com/NiBeroeva/status/455026227527442432/photo/1

They're also apparently going after journalists and taking / wiping memory cards, for what that's worth.

Here's Michael McFaul (US recent ex-ambassador to Russia)'s Twitter, he thinks it's the Rus:

https://twitter.com/McFaul/statuses/455048876559314944

Obviously no one has officially said they're Russians yet, but this ambiguity was maintained in Crimea until the referendum.

What's the endgame here? The Russians just move in tanks and helicopters and annex eastern Ukraine as well? What possible benefit is there to them doing so? I can at least see Crimea as a consolation prize for losing Kiev since it has strategic value and whatnot but eastern Ukraine is just a big hunk of land and seizing it by force does not seem to benefit Russia in any way aside from making people hate them even more.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



They don't have access to Crimea unless they go through Ukraine. This also gives them more control over the gas passing through Ukraine.

Courthouse
Jul 23, 2013

Fojar38 posted:

What's the endgame here? The Russians just move in tanks and helicopters and annex eastern Ukraine as well? What possible benefit is there to them doing so? I can at least see Crimea as a consolation prize for losing Kiev since it has strategic value and whatnot but eastern Ukraine is just a big hunk of land and seizing it by force does not seem to benefit Russia in any way aside from making people hate them even more.

Nationalist pride? Putin has been working the literalist 'it all belongs to Mother Russia' thing for quite a while.

Best Friends
Nov 4, 2011

Snowdens Secret posted:

Looks like the Russians have moved into East Ukraine. Coordinated attacks on government buildings in multiple cities, by the same 'little green men' in matched uniforms with expensive new gear as in Crimea. Reports of seizures of armories and key rail depots.

https://twitter.com/noclador/status/454936795541553152/photo/1

https://twitter.com/NiBeroeva/status/455026227527442432/photo/1

They're also apparently going after journalists and taking / wiping memory cards, for what that's worth.

Here's Michael McFaul (US recent ex-ambassador to Russia)'s Twitter, he thinks it's the Rus:

https://twitter.com/McFaul/statuses/455048876559314944

Obviously no one has officially said they're Russians yet, but this ambiguity was maintained in Crimea until the referendum.

Based on what pictures are out, I think it's just a handful of Russian operatives amongst a bunch of militia yahoos. Militia yahoos most definitely under Russian control, but not the same Spetsnaz dudes we saw in Crimea. Lots of older gear, mismatched uniforms, poorly laced boots, cool-guy poses, and old fat men.

I think it's a variation of the Crimean strategy, ramping up with the lunatic fringe rather than their own special operations. As for why, I'd assume either they had no choice, or they want their lunatic militia to go off the rails and start something. Or, they expect them to get arrested and they need the deniability.

Snowdens Secret
Dec 29, 2008
Someone got you a obnoxiously racist av.
It is speculative at this point but again like I said it seems like they're deliberately exercising media control, presumably to slow (Western) response.

gohuskies
Oct 23, 2010

I spend a lot of time making posts to justify why I'm not a self centered shithead that just wants to act like COVID isn't a thing.
In North Korea news:

Best Friends
Nov 4, 2011

Snowdens Secret posted:

It is speculative at this point but again like I said it seems like they're deliberately exercising media control, presumably to slow (Western) response.



That picture is literally the only picture of a guy there who matches though.

The rest look like standard militia idiots:

http://www.interpretermag.com/ukraine-liveblog-day-54-gunmen-storm-police-buildings-in-east-ukraine/#1733


edit: also I'm not sure that picture is even verified to be recent. It matches so exactly to Crimea I wonder if it is just a Crimean picture. The source seems to be some random twitter account with an unknown backer / agenda.

Best Friends fucked around with this message at 22:55 on Apr 12, 2014

Courthouse
Jul 23, 2013

Best Friends posted:

That picture is literally the only picture of a guy there who matches though.

The rest look like standard militia idiots:

http://www.interpretermag.com/ukraine-liveblog-day-54-gunmen-storm-police-buildings-in-east-ukraine/#1733


edit: also I'm not sure that picture is even verified to be recent. It matches so exactly to Crimea I wonder if it is just a Crimean picture. The source seems to be some random twitter account with an unknown backer / agenda.

Wasn't that the same thing in Crimea? Bumbling, bearded and fat local militiamen up front, suspiciously competent and well organized "militiamen" backing them up and taking care of the serious stuff? The whole point being deniability.

And while some suspicion of sources and agendas in this kind of propaganda environment is prudent, I think the current situation does put a finger on the scale of likelihoods. If armed gangs were seizing government buildings without support or approval from Moscow as part of their plans, I'd expect the Russians to say so. (what the hell the end game of those plans are is anyone's guess)

Courthouse fucked around with this message at 23:21 on Apr 12, 2014

Best Friends
Nov 4, 2011

Pretty much all the "mysterious gunmen" of Crimea looked bored, professional, uniform, and had the latest and greatest Russian gear.

I think Russia is behind this new group of armed men as well but I do not think this new group of armed men is primarily Spetsnaz, unless Spetsnaz has started accepting old fat bearded men and young men who don't know how to tie boot laces.

Courthouse
Jul 23, 2013

Best Friends posted:

unless Spetsnaz has started accepting old fat bearded men and young men who don't know how to tie boot laces.

All part of the maskirovka! :tinfoil:




It appears the ones accused of being Russian forces are manning the roadblocks leading to the city, blocking Ukrainian police from arriving. These are the guys making sure to relieve people of their cameras and cellphones. While the militias inside the city seem more happy instagramming themselves. Obviously lacking any photos or video to corroborate this makes it hard to substantiate...

The local police chief has been forced by the militias to hand in his resignation. One or two (?) more police stations/posts seem to have been taken over. The rest of the local law enforcement seems to have evaporated.

Iseeyouseemeseeyou
Jan 3, 2011
If only was Caro was here to confirm they were spetznas.

Helldump Immunity.
Aug 2, 2013

Fuck you

Iseeyouseemeseeyou posted:

If only was Caro was here to confirm they were spetznas.

I really hope Caro is somewhere splitting wood (without shirt on) and he gets convinced by a Ukrainian Colonel to come out of retirement :allears:

Booblord Zagats
Oct 30, 2011


Pork Pro

Helldump Immunity. posted:

I really hope Caro is somewhere splitting wood (without shirt on) and he gets convinced by a Ukrainian Colonel to come out of retirement :allears:

He's splitting in to tree food, probably naked in a mass grave in Syria.

Sooooooo, silver medal, I guess

ded
Oct 27, 2005

Kooler than Jesus
It's a good thing the main focus on cnn is that loving plane that some morons drove into the ocean over a month ago.



Caro was pretty brave to go into multiple warzones with only government oversight instead of government support.

gleep gloop
Aug 16, 2005

GROSS SHIT

Snowdens Secret posted:

It is speculative at this point but again like I said it seems like they're deliberately exercising media control, presumably to slow (Western) response.



Are those ACU ammo pouches? wtf? Why? Were they the cheapest?

LimburgLimbo
Feb 10, 2008

ded posted:

Caro was pretty brave to go into multiple warzones with only government oversight instead of government support.

I'm not sure that schizophrenics being suicidal counts as bravery.

LimburgLimbo fucked around with this message at 14:44 on Apr 13, 2014

dogmaan
Sep 13, 2007
What happened to Caro in the end?

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



dogmaan posted:

What happened to Caro in the end?

http://www.fbi.gov/wanted/kidnap/kevin-patrick-dawes/view


We don't know. No one does. Probably dead.

dogmaan
Sep 13, 2007

That's depressing, the guy was obviously ill, why was he not stopped after Libya?

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



dogmaan posted:

That's depressing, the guy was obviously ill, why was he not stopped after Libya?

Who was going to stop him, and how would they do it? Dude had a passport and money to travel. Not much that can really be done to protect someone from themselves in this situation.

PookBear
Nov 1, 2008

I imagine TFR goons having wet dreams over that concerned citizen guy.

pantslesswithwolves
Oct 28, 2008

Ba-dam ba-DUMMMMMM

Mr. Nice! posted:

Who was going to stop him, and how would they do it? Dude had a passport and money to travel. Not much that can really be done to protect someone from themselves in this situation.

IIRC, the first time he tried to enter Syria, he got busted by the Turks and deported.

In all likelihood, Caro is probably dead or in a position where he wishes he was. Looking back on his videos from Libya, that civil war seems like a backyard airsoft game compared to Syria's.

Courthouse
Jul 23, 2013
Kiev has given until early monday for the separatists to disarm, after which it is sending in the army. Russia has called for an emergency meeting of the security council and calls the ultimatum a criminal act. If I understand the timezones right the meeting will be just an hour before the time Kiev set is up. :suspense:

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/04/13/uk-ukraine-crisis-idUKBREA3709O20140413

Randandal
Feb 26, 2009

Courthouse posted:

Kiev has given until early monday for the separatists to disarm, after which it is sending in the army. Russia has called for an emergency meeting of the security council and calls the ultimatum a criminal act. If I understand the timezones right the meeting will be just an hour before the time Kiev set is up. :suspense:

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/04/13/uk-ukraine-crisis-idUKBREA3709O20140413

If the Navy guys would do their goddamn jobs and find that stupid airplane then maybe we would be able to focus some attention on Ukraine.

Pump it up! Do it!
Oct 3, 2012
Would Putin really be stupid enough to go after eastern Ukraine? I doubt that his Oligarch buddies would like the consequences of that.

karoshi
Nov 4, 2008

"Can somebody mspaint eyes on the steaming packages? TIA" yeah well fuck you too buddy, this is the best you're gonna get. Is this even "work-safe"? Let's find out!

Courthouse posted:

Kiev has given until early monday for the separatists to disarm, after which it is sending in the army. Russia has called for an emergency meeting of the security council and calls the ultimatum a criminal act. If I understand the timezones right the meeting will be just an hour before the time Kiev set is up. :suspense:

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/04/13/uk-ukraine-crisis-idUKBREA3709O20140413

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/04/13/uk-ukraine-crisis-idUKBREA3709O20140413 posted:

... acting president Oleksander Turchinov gave rebels occupying state buildings until 0600 GMT to lay down their weapons.
...
A United Nations Security Council diplomat told Reuters on condition of anonymity that the council would meet at 8 p.m. (0100 GMT) in New York at Russia's request.

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/04/13/uk-ukraine-crisis-idUKBREA3709O20140413 posted:

Russia's foreign ministry called the planned military operation a "criminal order" and said the West should bring its allies in Ukraine's government under control. "It is now the West's responsibility to prevent civil war in Ukraine," the ministry said in a statement.
..., dangerous phase as Moscow has warned it will protect the region's Russian-speakers if they come under attack.

"Look what you force me to do!" *invades Ukraine*

Generation Internet
Jan 18, 2009

Where angels and generals fear to tread.
I feel like I'm getting a crash course in Realpolitik from Putin, all the events in Ukraine keep making me more cynical and I'm not sure anything would surprise me at this point, especially given his ties to Andropov.

I also found an article that seems to suggest that at least 5 Russian MPs who are openly calling for a return of the Soviet Union via suggesting that Gorbachev be investigated for treason for breaking up the USSR..

quote:

A group of Russian MPs have formally requested prosecutors to investigate former Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev for treason over the breakup of the Soviet Union, a lawmaker said on Thursday.

Ivan Nikitchuk, a Communist party deputy, said recent events and the Ukraine crisis in particular have led five MPs, including two from the ruling United Russia party, to ask the prosecutor general, Yury Chaika, to examine Gorbachev, 83.

"We asked to prosecute him and those who helped him destroy the Soviet Union for treason of national interests," said Nikitchuk, adding that Soviet citizens in 1991 were against the country's breakup.

...

"The consequences of that destruction can be felt today in the conflicts that we have seen," said Nikitchuk.

He added that this included not only Ukraine but other former Soviet countries over the past two decades.

...

"What is happening in Ukraine can happen in Russia, too," said Nikitchuk. "This pushed us to write to the prosecutor general, so that professional lawyers rather than historians can investigate the events of 1991."

He added that lawmakers were also concerned about internal enemies stirring unrest.

"The fifth column in our country has been formed and works in the open, funded by foreign money," he said.

In a landmark speech marking Russia's takeover of Crimea, President Vladimir Putin called Russians disagreeing with his policies, such as his decision to occupy Crimea, a fifth column.


There have been previous attempts by the Communist party to have Gorbachev prosecuted but these have led nowhere.

Nikitchuk said he hoped that the current political climate makes for a more favourable moment and that prosecutors would launch the investigation this time.

Unlike the previous cases, the current request is backed by lawmakers from the ruling party, United Russia.



I know that five dudes in the Duma aren't a reliable basis for any kind of judgement, but I still find it interesting. I'm so curious what the endpoint of this madness is.

NIGGER DEATH TURBO
Jul 4, 2013

by Lowtax
whole bunch of russians miss the soviet union

genderstomper58
Jan 10, 2005

by XyloJW

friend of the family DEATH TURBO posted:

whole bunch of russians miss the soviet union



DND misses it too :D

MrYenko
Jun 18, 2012

#2 isn't ALWAYS bad...

genderstomper58 posted:

DND misses it too :D

DND could use a good purge or two.

Iseeyouseemeseeyou
Jan 3, 2011

MrYenko posted:

DND could use a good purge or two.

you will be the first against the wall in russia's america

Mortabis
Jul 8, 2010

I am stupid

Lord Tywin posted:

Would Putin really be stupid enough to go after eastern Ukraine? I doubt that his Oligarch buddies would like the consequences of that.

Why would it be stupid? Who's going to stop him?

There's a bit of a pattern with Russian troops sitting around holding their dicks by the border of a former Soviet state and professional troublemakers stirring poo poo up on the other side.

Putin's done all sorts of things that seriously hurt Russia's oligarchs. He's not afraid of them. The ones that said anything have wound up in bad places.

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost

Mortabis posted:

Why would it be stupid? Who's going to stop him?

Because we would steal all of his friends' money and crush Russia's economy. Even Europe would stop being candy-rear end bitches when the Russian Army is bumping up along Poland's border.

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Snowdens Secret
Dec 29, 2008
Someone got you a obnoxiously racist av.

Zeroisanumber posted:

Because we would steal all of his friends' money and crush Russia's economy. Even Europe would stop being candy-rear end bitches when the Russian Army is bumping up along Poland's border.

http://www.the-american-interest.com/articles/2014/04/12/ukraines-debt-and-putins-upper-hand/

quote:

Either way, Russian capital, public and private, is in effect financing at least 6 percent to 11 percent of all European bank lending.

The Ukraine and its non-Russian neighbors, on the other hand, are net borrowers from the EU banks even after taking into account their flight capital. Austrian, Italian, Greek, Portuguese, and, indirectly, German banks are the biggest bag holders.

Given the EU’s shaky post-recession recovery, the fact that Austria’s banks have sunk 35% of their international loan portfolio into this miasma—and Italy 27%; Greece 20%; Portugal 18%—is reason for regret.

The takeaway is this: the Ukraine bloc owes the EU banks anywhere from $540 to $760 billion, depending on how you measure it. And the EU banks and large parts of its economy as a whole financed this loan by essentially borrowing all of it from Russia. If the West tried to clamp down on or seize Russian official assets or private flight capital, or if it otherwise took actions that destabilized the ability of these countries to service their debts, the losers would be in Kiev, Vienna, Milan, and Frankfurt—and not in Moscow.

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