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Fozzy The Bear
Dec 11, 1999

Nothing much, watching the game, drinking a bud

outy posted:

Glover Teixeira @ 5.00
£7.00
Return £0.00

Tim Boetsch @ 7.00
£5.00
Return £0.00

Anthony Johnson @ 2.80
£23.00
Return £64.40

I like rooting for the little guy :)

If you post your bets AFTER the event, it doesn't count.

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outy
Aug 27, 2004

Fozzy The Bear posted:

If you post your bets AFTER the event, it doesn't count.

Don't be so upset, it makes me feel sad too.

Bundt Cake
Aug 17, 2003
;(
I cant believe betting on Rumble Johnson was the right move

-Atom-
Sep 13, 2003

Contrarian Dick

Bad At Everything

Bundt Cake posted:

I cant believe betting on Rumble Johnson was the right move

I stopped myself from calling Wllie Dee a dink prior to the event for picking Rumble over Davis and I'm glad I did.

MMA can be a harsh mistress.

MassRafTer
May 26, 2001

BAEST MODE!!!

Triticum Guzzler posted:

so you bet on anthony johnson, naturally

The man is a welterweight fighting at light heavweight! The ultimate underdog.

Lloyd Boner
Oct 11, 2009

Yes officer, my name is Victoria Sonnen...berg
Josh Koscheck: better wrestler than Phil Davis.

canoshiz
Nov 6, 2005

THANK GOD FOR THE SMOKE MACHINE!
Hey so Matt Brown is +190 on some sites vs Erick Silva...

Marching Powder
Mar 8, 2008



stop the fucking fight, cornerman, your dude is fucking done and is about to be killed.
betting on erick silva in that fight is a great way to come out to your father

my betting site had a 'ufc specials' section and the only bet was 5:1 odds that conor mcgregor will win the loving title by the end of 2015

outy
Aug 27, 2004

I'm liking King Mo coming in as an underdog against Rampage (+185).

Fat Twitter Man
Jan 24, 2007

by R. Guyovich

Marching Powder posted:

betting on erick silva in that fight is a great way to come out to your father

my betting site had a 'ufc specials' section and the only bet was 5:1 odds that conor mcgregor will win the loving title by the end of 2015

Can I bet against that? -600 sounds like great odds

Fat Twitter Man
Jan 24, 2007

by R. Guyovich

outy posted:

I'm liking King Mo coming in as an underdog against Rampage (+185).

Rampage isn't as good as he once was, but he's probably better than Emmanuel Newton.

outy
Aug 27, 2004

While Mo isn't nearly as good as he thinks he is, he won't have to look through too many fight tapes to see how to beat Rampage. The Bader fight was a step-by-step instructional.

Triticum Guzzler
Jun 16, 2002
it may have been unthinkable a couple of years back but recently Mo looks like a guy who would quite comfortably be cast in the role of Man who loses to Rampage

MassRafTer
May 26, 2001

BAEST MODE!!!

outy posted:

While Mo isn't nearly as good as he thinks he is, he won't have to look through too many fight tapes to see how to beat Rampage. The Bader fight was a step-by-step instructional.

Mo's wrestling has been pretty terrible ever since his injuries.

canoshiz
Nov 6, 2005

THANK GOD FOR THE SMOKE MACHINE!
Bet the rest of my balance ($27) on Matt Brown at +180. Why is he such a big underdog?

Intel&Sebastian
Oct 20, 2002

colonel...
i'm trying to sneak around
but i'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps alerting the guards!
That's a very good question considering he's fighting a guy who got completely put out by Stun Gun.

Marching Powder
Mar 8, 2008



stop the fucking fight, cornerman, your dude is fucking done and is about to be killed.

canoshiz posted:

Bet the rest of my balance ($27) on Matt Brown at +180. Why is he such a big underdog?

I got a parlay going on matt, Koch, Wineland and lentz

turntabler
Sep 10, 2011
Matt brown by KO is +360 on my site...

Fat Twitter Man
Jan 24, 2007

by R. Guyovich
I was surprised to see Silva as such a favorite, but oddsmakers generally know what they're on about.

fatherdog
Feb 16, 2005

Fat Twitter Man posted:

I was surprised to see Silva as such a favorite, but oddsmakers generally know what they're on about.

Oddsmakers set odds based on who they expect more people to bet on, not on who they expect to win.

Bundt Cake
Aug 17, 2003
;(
imo Brown is a live dog. Really live. I think Silvas the better fighter, but stylistically I think Joe Silva is testing him against someone who will apply the same amount of pressure he hasn't been able to handle so far. Plus his usual advantages in speed, power and movement are there, but there pretty undermined by the fact he leaves his hands down all the time. It really doesnt matter that he can probably defend browns takedowns because they're basically two aggressive power punchers who are tough and dont protect their chins. if Silva has an advantage, its marginal.

Bundt Cake
Aug 17, 2003
;(
basically, even though he won't have to worry about the takedown as much, he's still going to get pressured and Brown is more dangerous in a brawl than Dong, if anything. Whatever im not saying bet on it, but he just got killed by a guy who had success pressuring him, and nailing him with a hard punch in a brawl, which are like MAtt Browns main characteristics

turntabler
Sep 10, 2011

Bundt Cake posted:

basically, even though he won't have to worry about the takedown as much, he's still going to get pressured and Brown is more dangerous in a brawl than Dong, if anything. Whatever im not saying bet on it, but he just got killed by a guy who had success pressuring him, and nailing him with a hard punch in a brawl, which are like MAtt Browns main characteristics

What about on the ground? I've only seen browns more recent fights but there's a lot of sub losses on his record.

Lloyd Boner
Oct 11, 2009

Yes officer, my name is Victoria Sonnen...berg
I can't remember Erick Silva ever going for a takedown.

Bundt Cake
Aug 17, 2003
;(

turntabler posted:

What about on the ground? I've only seen browns more recent fights but there's a lot of sub losses on his record.

I think Silvas better there but

Lloyd Boner posted:

I can't remember Erick Silva ever going for a takedown.

fatherdog
Feb 16, 2005
Brown's ground game is interesting because he's not really high level there, but he goes for a ton of subs and stuff. Against guys who are only okay it means he eats a good amount of punches but gets a lot of opportunities to get back to his feet; against guys who are good it means he gets subbed because he leaves himself open going for things.

Fat Twitter Man
Jan 24, 2007

by R. Guyovich

Bundt Cake posted:

imo Brown is a live dog. Really live. I think Silvas the better fighter, but stylistically I think Joe Silva is testing him against someone who will apply the same amount of pressure he hasn't been able to handle so far. Plus his usual advantages in speed, power and movement are there, but there pretty undermined by the fact he leaves his hands down all the time. It really doesnt matter that he can probably defend browns takedowns because they're basically two aggressive power punchers who are tough and dont protect their chins. if Silva has an advantage, its marginal.

That's the way I see it too. Silva has all the advantages on paper but I don't think it's a great style matchup for him. I'd figure that Brown should only be a slight dog in this match and a great bet at +200, but since PSP seems so unanimously sure that he's underrated, he'll probably get submitted in under a minute and make us all look stupid.

I don't think assuming Silva won't go for the takedown is a great bet. I have no idea how he'll look doing it, since he choked Brenneman out after knocking him down and I think he submitted High off of one of his own takedowns.

fatherdog posted:

Brown's ground game is interesting because he's not really high level there, but he goes for a ton of subs and stuff. Against guys who are only okay it means he eats a good amount of punches but gets a lot of opportunities to get back to his feet; against guys who are good it means he gets subbed because he leaves himself open going for things.

Would you agree that Brown is likely to get subbed if the fight does go to the ground? The only extended grappling I've seen from Silva was against Fitch, and he looked really solid until he gassed.

fatherdog
Feb 16, 2005

Fat Twitter Man posted:

Would you agree that Brown is likely to get subbed if the fight does go to the ground? The only extended grappling I've seen from Silva was against Fitch, and he looked really solid until he gassed.

Enh. I'm not as impressed with Silva's ground game (or, like, anything other than speed and power) as everyone else seems to be.

Bundt Cake
Aug 17, 2003
;(
If Silva hurts him, id think Silva would have a chance to tap him. Brown lost that way 3 times in a row once

I dont think it makes much of a difference though because its a matter of who blasts the other guy first

Bundt Cake fucked around with this message at 18:36 on May 8, 2014

Lloyd Boner
Oct 11, 2009

Yes officer, my name is Victoria Sonnen...berg

canoshiz posted:

Bet the rest of my balance ($27) on Matt Brown at +180. Why is he such a big underdog?

Matt Brown bets:

canoshiz - $27
Lloyd Boner - $20

anyone else

Marching Powder
Mar 8, 2008



stop the fucking fight, cornerman, your dude is fucking done and is about to be killed.

Lloyd Boner posted:

Matt Brown bets:

canoshiz - $27
Lloyd Boner - $20

anyone else

matt brown is in my 25 dollar parlay

vainman
Nov 2, 2012

I find your lack of faith... disturbing
I put $10 on Brown by TKO

I'm so sorry

JuanGoat
Nov 6, 2009
I've also got 20 bucks on Brown

DumbWhiteGuy
Jul 4, 2007

You need haters. Fellas if you got 20 haters, you need 40 of them motherfuckers. If there's any haters in here that don't have nobody to hate on, feel free to hate on me
I'd like to think that this is the first time that a bunch of goons will all pile on one fighter and we'll all win and be happy together. But I'm realistic.

Grandmaster.flv
Jun 24, 2011
At least nobody expects Brown to wrestle

Triticum Guzzler
Jun 16, 2002

canoshiz posted:

Bet the rest of my balance ($27) on Matt Brown at +180. Why is he such a big underdog?

a song as old as time...

Intel&Sebastian
Oct 20, 2002

colonel...
i'm trying to sneak around
but i'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps alerting the guards!
I feel the need to get in on this idiocy. What's the fastest/easiest site to use to go from credit/debit card to bad decision?

maffew buildings
Apr 29, 2009

too dumb to be probated; not too dumb to be autobanned
their sportsbook is literally retarded but carbon poker (merge network) is easy enough to get money on. plus you can sit at a limit hold 'em table for three hours and bet a dollar and be gay

Grandmaster.flv
Jun 24, 2011
I love Matt Brown but kind of want him to lose now

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Intel&Sebastian
Oct 20, 2002

colonel...
i'm trying to sneak around
but i'm dummy thicc
and the clap of my ass cheeks
keeps alerting the guards!

sold

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