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i don't like hiip as scum, because he's in two games rn and showing identical levels of not giving a gently caress, and the odds that he rolled scum in both are, what, ~5%?
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Dec 3, 2014 19:41
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Pinterest Mom posted:i don't like hiip as scum, because he's in two games rn and showing identical levels of not giving a gently caress, and the odds that he rolled scum in both are, what, ~5%? Do you know for sure that he rolled scum in the other game?
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Dec 3, 2014 19:46
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Pinterest Mom posted:i don't like hiip as scum, because he's in two games rn and showing identical levels of not giving a gently caress, and the odds that he rolled scum in both are, what, ~5%? Isn't that directly the gambler's fallacy? The odds of his alignment in one game have nothing to do with the odds of his alignment in the other. Also your phrasing is super weird there, it makes you sound like you're his scumbuddy in one of the two games.
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Dec 3, 2014 19:47
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Somberbrero posted:Isn't that directly the gambler's fallacy? The odds of his alignment in one game have nothing to do with the odds of his alignment in the other. right 2/9 chance in one game 2/9 chance in the other they're independent, so (2/9)^2 = 4.93% chance that he rolled scum in both games i'm not seeing him behave differently in the two games, so I think it's plausible that he has the same alignment in both? idk this might be dumb, he's also just not behaving much at all.
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Dec 3, 2014 19:49
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Yeah, if we're going to no-lynch otherwise, I'll shift over.
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Dec 3, 2014 19:51
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Gambler's fallacy is that failure increases chances of success; that a random event is "ready to pay out" or that you're due to win. Also ##vote HiipFire to prevent a no-lynch/for a lovely vote
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Dec 3, 2014 20:00
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Pinterest Mom posted:
Well, lurking is never necessarily indicative of alignment, but it's always anti-town. I understand he's busy, but the game goes on. I'm open to other suggestions, I feel like it's only fair to extend Allen the newbie day one pass though.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:06
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I guess ##vote hiipfire
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Dec 3, 2014 20:28
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That's -1, we have the rest of the hour so we should hold off for a moment.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:33
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sorry I've been busy with reading the 200+ unread posts from Just Post Mafia and just go vote me I guess cause I would rather get lynched than see a no lynch
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Dec 3, 2014 20:35
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HiipFire posted:sorry I've been busy with reading the 200+ unread posts from Just Post Mafia and just go vote me I guess cause I would rather get lynched than see a no lynch You've got 20 minutes to say your bit.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:37
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Hey I'm looking at Epsilon Plus and all I can see isEpsilon Plus posted:Ouch. Epsilon Plus posted:Gambler's fallacy is that failure increases chances of success; that a random event is "ready to pay out" or that you're due to win. Another post which helps with potentially preventing a D1 no-lynch and a safe vote against a lurking town. ##vote Epsilon Plus He has contributed at much as I has, but just have a little more posts to his name.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:45
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Do you have a claim Hiip?
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Dec 3, 2014 20:46
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VT
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Dec 3, 2014 20:47
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also Capps hasn't contributed anything since his vig, but I don't think there's gonna be a scum vig in this setup.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:48
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HiipFire posted:also Capps hasn't contributed anything since his vig, but I don't think there's gonna be a scum vig in this setup. Any thoughts on Allen?
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Dec 3, 2014 20:48
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apostateCourier posted:Any thoughts on Allen? oh wow that vote on you was scummy as hell christ and then the unvote immediately afterwards lol ##vote Allen Wren yeah he's scummier than EP
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Dec 3, 2014 20:52
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The problem there is that we have six minutes.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:53
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Hey, I'm awake holy poo poo deadline
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Dec 3, 2014 20:53
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Allen Wren posted:Hey, I'm awake Just vote Hiip, there's no way around this.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:54
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##vote hiipfire If just to get something done today.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:54
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WELL I TRIED OKAY GEEZ
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Dec 3, 2014 20:54
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Votecount for Day 1 HiipFire (5): Jedit, Somberbrero, Epsilon Plus, Pinterest Mom, Allen Wren Allen Wren (2): Epsilon Plus, apostateCourier, Jedit (1): mr.capps apostateCourier (0): Somberbrero, Allen Wren, Epsilon Plus (0): Pinterest Mom, Pinterest Mom (0): HiipFire, Somberbrero, Not Voting (0): With 8 alive, it's 5 votes to lynch. The current deadline is December 03rd, 2014 at 3 p.m. EST -- that's in about 4 minutes. PAY ATTENTION TO THE DEADLINE!
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Dec 3, 2014 20:55
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You dodge and weave like a pro, passing slower shoppers left and right. You see a middle aged man with a cart (hah, a cart will only slow you down) filled with every strange kitchen appliance known to man. You know for a fact that he will never use any of them more than once, before they sit on the counter or in a pantry gathering dust before finally getting dropped off at the local thrift store decades later by his wife. "But you never know, we may want to make snowcones one day!" No, you never will.  Hiipfire, Kitchen appliances you will never use, town-aligned vanilla, was purchased D1. It is now N1. Actions in 24 hours maximum, but please try to get them in sometime tonight.
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Dec 3, 2014 20:56
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You pass next to the computer section of the store. This is usually just overpriced laptops made for checking facebook, but occassionally there is hardware in there was well. You see a 15 year old kid holding a small box jumping up and down "Yes! They still have the EMERALD QUAD-X ST-1345-248-14LS-XL XTREME Radeon GeForce F12 HGTV 3547X 14GB DDR3 256-Bit FGDDR6 PCI Express 4.2 HFPC Ready SSD 240-Pin ATX AMD SATA 12.0Gb/s R2SFJ! Now I can play Counter-Strike: Source so fast!" The boy then passes out from lack of oxygen.  apostateCourier, Computer hardware so you can play 10 year old games 0.00001% faster, Town Doctor, was purchased N1 It is now D2. Deadline will be 10pm Friday.
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Dec 4, 2014 03:28
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Votecount for Day 2 Not Voting (6): Allen Wren, Epsilon Plus, Jedit, mr.capps, Pinterest Mom, Somberbrero With 6 alive, it's 4 votes to lynch. The current deadline is December 05th, 2014 at 10 p.m. EST -- that's in about 2 days. PAY ATTENTION TO THE DEADLINE!
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Dec 4, 2014 03:29
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I will NEVER pay attention to the deadline!
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Dec 4, 2014 03:38
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Okay maybe I'll pay a little attention to the deadline. ##vote Epsilon Hiipfire's case on him is decent.
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Dec 4, 2014 16:33
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Really? I think it kinda reads more of an OMGUS. Two posts is kind of a blah case. So glad D1 is over. I generally hate D1.
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Dec 4, 2014 18:33
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Epsilon Plus posted:Really? I think it kinda reads more of an OMGUS. Two posts is kind of a blah case. It's a bit blah in general so far, the effort of that case is proportional to the amount of activity.
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Dec 4, 2014 18:41
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We've had a doctor and miller so far. What do you think the odds are on a cop, Somber?
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Dec 4, 2014 19:55
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Epsilon Plus posted:We've had a doctor and miller so far. What do you think the odds are on a cop, Somber? Cop is a standard role in most game, I would be surprised if there wasn't one. Why do you ask?
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Dec 4, 2014 20:06
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Epsilon Plus posted:Really? I think it kinda reads more of an OMGUS. Two posts is kind of a blah case. It was also pretty much all you said outside of joke phase. And if he was going to OMGUS someone, why you? I'm the one who called him out, and Somber's vote was a "me too" - his second of the game, I might add. Somber, what was your Night Action?
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Dec 4, 2014 20:11
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Epilison is a cop who got a guilty result on your, he is getting you in a trap. Duhhhhhhh
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Dec 4, 2014 20:12
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Jedit posted:It was also pretty much all you said outside of joke phase. And if he was going to OMGUS someone, why you? I'm the one who called him out, and Somber's vote was a "me too" - his second of the game, I might add. What? No way. Until there's more discussion and content most of my votes are going to be hollow and that's just the game state.
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Dec 4, 2014 20:34
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mr.capps posted:Epilison is a cop who got a guilty result on your, he is getting you in a trap. This didn't happen. Somberbrero posted:What? No way. But Somber had a night action, possibly a cop investigation. OR Somber is scum who is trying to breadcrumb being a cop? Maybe?
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Dec 4, 2014 20:46
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Jedit posted:It was also pretty much all you said outside of joke phase. And if he was going to OMGUS someone, why you? I'm the one who called him out, and Somber's vote was a "me too" - his second of the game, I might add. Well, I did... vote... for him...
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Dec 4, 2014 20:47
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Epsilon Plus posted:Well, I did... vote... for him... Yes, saying it was better than a no lynch after Hiipfire had said he'd rather be lynched than see a no lynch. Why would you OMGUS someone with whom you agree? Honestly, if the situation was reversed, if he was still alive because you'd removed your vote, I'd be liking you both as the scum team right now because his protesting your vote would seem so fake. As is, though, we know Hiipfire was Town and hence that he didn't know what you are. So he must have voted you for his stated reason that you were almost as inactive as he had been. It's not OMGUS.
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Dec 4, 2014 21:01
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Mafia edit: I don't know why we're bothering to discuss if there's a Cop, because it's pointless having a Miller if there isn't a Cop.
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Dec 4, 2014 21:04
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| # ? Apr 24, 2024 12:57 |
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I am a cop plus day vig. I had a guilty result on Jeddit. Just kidding. ##vote Jedit
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Dec 4, 2014 21:06
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