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  • Locked thread
bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy

EXAKT Science posted:

bowmore, is that one scum that was voting bif at hammer, or one scum that voted him throughout the whole day?
one at hammer

get him and we've cleared the rest

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Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


bowmore posted:

kind of weird power for a scum to have dontcha think?

i'm confirmed town now

"Bullshit. Sensor could be from an invention, or could be used as a scum role. What kind of sloppy thinking is 'yep this proves I'm town!', I thought you were meant to be good at this..."

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
lol ok

##vote Gaspy

Anidav
Feb 25, 2010

ahhh fuck its the rats again
I had sensor before as a serial killer. Then Kat zapped me.

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
the mod basically confirmed me

EXAKT Science
Aug 14, 2012

8 on the Kinsey scale

bowmore posted:

one at hammer

get him and we've cleared the rest

cool. i think it's birdstrike. he had his vote on bif all day, and his only content post about bif was a really shoddy case that he didn't push at all:

Birdstrike posted:

"It's inevitable that we lynch Anidav, therefore we should lynch Anidav."

That doesn't add up, Bif.

plus this post doesn't sit well with me. feels like he's making excuses. nb this post was made well after the end of jokephase:

Birdstrike posted:

It's always jokephase in Auspol.

##vote Birdstrike

EXAKT Science
Aug 14, 2012

8 on the Kinsey scale

Asphyxious posted:




"Bullshit. Sensor could be from an invention, or could be used as a scum role. What kind of sloppy thinking is 'yep this proves I'm town!', I thought you were meant to be good at this..."

if it's not birdstrike it's gaspy imo.

Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


bowmore posted:

the mod basically confirmed me

"I just like to cover all angles. Voting for me because I question you is beyond foolish."

EXAKT Science
Aug 14, 2012

8 on the Kinsey scale

Asphyxious posted:




"I just like to cover all angles. Voting for me because I question you is beyond foolish."

questioning the alignment of someone who is all but mod-confirmed town is also foolish

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
questioning my alignment immediately after and for using my day action is pretty suss

Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


bowmore posted:

questioning my alignment immediately after and for using my day action is pretty suss

"Context is important, last time anyone in Auspol used a SENSOR they were a serial killer looking to clear their name. And they did the exact same 'yahoo I'm town!' routine afterwards. Forgive me for being sceptical."

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
someone give me the odds of rolling

sk, scum, scum, sk

in last 4 games

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
it's not impossible but jeez

Those On My Left
Jun 25, 2010

bowmore posted:

the mod basically confirmed me

do you mean just because your hack the planet thing led the mod to post the scum count? that's not really 'mod confirmed' so i want to know if there's something else i've missed

i don't doubt your alignment though, at worst you could be SK but even that seems pretty far fetched to me

two deaths overnight could mean an SK or a town vig, but it seems pretty unlikely to me that the SK is also the scumdar hacker dude

Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


bowmore posted:

someone give me the odds of rolling

sk, scum, scum, sk

in last 4 games

"You're trying to invoke gamblers fallacy as your defense?! You're either a serial killer or set the gold standard for idiocy!!"

Those On My Left
Jun 25, 2010

Asphyxious posted:




"You're trying to invoke gamblers fallacy as your defense?! You're either a serial killer or set the gold standard for idiocy!!"

i agree this is straight up gambler's fallacy but i still think it's pretty fuckin unlikely he's both an SK and the scumdar guy.

Gwynplaine
Jan 24, 2015

"Let me get this straight..."
I was scum 7 times in a row until the Asterix game.

Freudian Slip
Mar 10, 2007

"I'm an archivist. I'm archiving."
Gamblers' fallacy is no defence. I would say that he isn't scum (otherwise he just knowingly cleared a lot of people).

That doesn't rule out SK.

Assuming that there is at least 3 scum in play, statistically we would have better success looking at those people who didn't vote for Bif.

There would be 2 out of 5 if there are 3 scum or 3 out of 5 if there are four scum.

This compares to 1 out of seven that are left on the Bif lynch.

Freudian Slip
Mar 10, 2007

"I'm an archivist. I'm archiving."
No matter if Bowmore is town or SK, his day ability just helped town immensely.

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
can someone list who wasn't voting for Bif, I'm lazy

Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


Freudian Slip posted:

No matter if Bowmore is town or SK, his day ability just helped town immensely.

"Very true."

Freudian Slip
Mar 10, 2007

"I'm an archivist. I'm archiving."

bowmore posted:

can someone list who wasn't voting for Bif, I'm lazy

Way ahead of you

Anidav, Gwyn, Kat, MO and TOML

Those On My Left
Jun 25, 2010

Freudian Slip posted:

No matter if Bowmore is town or SK, his day ability just helped town immensely.

exactly.

so one of these is scum?

beet
birdstrike
asphyxious
exakt science
hiipfire
tremendous taste
freudian slip

Freudian Slip
Mar 10, 2007

"I'm an archivist. I'm archiving."

Those On My Left posted:

exactly.

so one of these is scum?

beet
birdstrike
asphyxious
exakt science
hiipfire
tremendous taste
freudian slip

Lol - nice misdirection TOML

Freudian Slip posted:

Gamblers' fallacy is no defence. I would say that he isn't scum (otherwise he just knowingly cleared a lot of people).

That doesn't rule out SK.

Assuming that there is at least 3 scum in play, statistically we would have better success looking at those people who didn't vote for Bif.

There would be 2 out of 5 if there are 3 scum or 3 out of 5 if there are four scum.

This compares to 1 out of seven that are left on the Bif lynch.

Those On My Left
Jun 25, 2010

even if Bowmore is SK, one of the other Bif-voters is still scum, so i don't know why bowmore in particular comes in for scrutiny, it doesn't seem to make much sense to me

Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


bowmore posted:

can someone list who wasn't voting for Bif, I'm lazy

"Kat, TOML, Gwynplaine.

It's hard to tell without the end of day vote posted, I've probably missed someone.

Out of those, TOML seems like a good bet."

Freudian Slip
Mar 10, 2007

"I'm an archivist. I'm archiving."

Asphyxious posted:




"Kat, TOML, Gwynplaine.

It's hard to tell without the end of day vote posted, I've probably missed someone.

Out of those, TOML seems like a good bet."


Freudian Slip posted:

Way ahead of you

Anidav, Gwyn, Kat, MO and TOML

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
we could just lynch Anidav

Those On My Left
Jun 25, 2010

Freudian Slip posted:

Lol - nice misdirection TOML

thanks

Those On My Left
Jun 25, 2010

bowmore posted:

we could just lynch Anidav

it's like i was saying yesterday

##vote Anidav

Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


bowmore posted:

we could just lynch Anidav

"That strikes me as exceptionally lazy voting."

Asphyxious
Jun 25, 2012

I'm trying to explain that I'm a person who wishes to live a very quiet life.


##vote Those On My Left

Freudian Slip
Mar 10, 2007

"I'm an archivist. I'm archiving."

bowmore posted:

we could just lynch Anidav

Nah, we do him last. It could be that scum were throwing him under the bus - it wouldn't be the first time.

At the moment I think we should focus on clearing people in the group of 5.

I expect scum will be trying to eliminate the 6 townies on the bif lynch.

Freudian Slip
Mar 10, 2007

"I'm an archivist. I'm archiving."

##vote Those On My Left

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
##vote those on my left

Those On My Left
Jun 25, 2010

ahhaahahah

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
just got confirmation that godfathers are not protected by my count

MaliciousOnion
Sep 23, 2009

Ignorance, the root of all evil
I'm having a bit of trouble following who's who, so I'm posting this for mostly my own reference:

On bif-lynch:
  • Birdstrike
  • Matthew Beet
  • bowmore
  • Asphyxious
  • EXAKT Science
  • HiipFire
  • Tremendous Taste (nightkilled, town)
  • Freudian Slip

Not on bif-lynch:
  • Anidav
  • Gwynplaine
  • Kat Delacour
  • MaliciousOnion
  • Those On My Left

Chances are we've got at least two scum, probably three, and a SK or vig. The SK/vig could be on either list. Even if there's only two scum it's still better odds to look at the non-lynch list.

bowmore
Oct 6, 2008



Lipstick Apathy
At least two out of

Anidav
Gwynplaine
Kat Delacour
MaliciousOnion
Those On My Left

are scum

pretty good odds

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MaliciousOnion
Sep 23, 2009

Ignorance, the root of all evil
##ASK THE SPIRITS

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