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Jul 10, 2015 16:31
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| # ? Apr 18, 2024 04:47 |
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Okay, that confirms we have an SK
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Jul 10, 2015 16:33
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Goddammit, town loses.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:34
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There are three of us, two scum, and an SK.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:35
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No, we still have a shot. Setup spec gave us four scum, right? So we're two down, two to go, with six players alive. We can do this.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:36
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Propaganda Machine posted:No, we still have a shot. Setup spec gave us four scum, right? So we're two down, two to go, with six players alive. There's two scum and an SK. We have basically one path to victory that relies on the SK hitting a scumbo tonight.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:37
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Well I guess if there were three scum and an SK then we haven't lost yet, but even if that's the case, we have to hit scum today.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:38
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What the dick. Okay, analysis once I've got breakfast in me.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:43
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No joke. I'm assuming we have another 36 hour deadline. I guess that leaves me to read you and garth since you're the only people I haven't looked at closely yet. I still think Fast Luck looks bad.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:45
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By "you" I meant exakt.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:46
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 I'm a g-g-g-g-ghost! This was fun and I'll have to do it again. 
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Jul 10, 2015 16:46
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Propaganda Machine posted:No joke.
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Jul 10, 2015 16:56
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 The Current Day 5 Votecount  Not Voting (6): Allen Wren, DaisyDanger, EXAKT Science, Fast Luck, garthoneeye, Propaganda Machine With 6 players alive, it takes 4 votes to be executed.  There is currently no deadline set.
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Jul 10, 2015 18:04
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Well that changes everything. 
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Jul 10, 2015 18:06
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I've been spending nearly the past week trying to figure out how or when to role claim because no one is going to believe me, but there's no point in beating around the bush right now. I'm another tracker. I didn't think it was remotely possible to have 4 trackers, which is why I thought either Taste or ANarc lied. After they flipped town tracker, I knew I couldn't role claim until I felt it was my last chance. I tracked Fast Luck on my first night and he visited no one. I tracked EXAKT on night two, who also visited no one. On night three, I tracked ANarc because I started to doubt her tracker claim, who visited Allen, but died before she could tell us what she saw. On night four, I tracked Allen to see if I could finish what ANarc was trying to do, but again, he visited no one. While I didn't actually catch anyone being scum, I think it does say something that the only two people I haven't witnessed doing absolutely nothing are prop and garth. I'm far more skeptical of garth right now, but I wanted to share this information since we will lose the game tonight if we mislynch. I think that's the case anyway? Unless SK kills a scum? I'm sure none of you will believe me, but I'll be around for a few hours to respond in any event.
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Jul 11, 2015 00:00
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The Current Day 5 Votecount Not Voting (6): Allen Wren, DaisyDanger, EXAKT Science, Fast Luck, garthoneeye, Propaganda Machine With 6 players alive, it takes 4 votes to be executed. There is currently no deadline set. I'm thinking we can do just fine without a deadline
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Jul 11, 2015 02:10
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DaisyDanger posted:I've been spending nearly the past week trying to figure out how or when to role claim because no one is going to believe me, but there's no point in beating around the bush right now. I'm another tracker. I didn't think it was remotely possible to have 4 trackers, which is why I thought either Taste or ANarc lied. After they flipped town tracker, I knew I couldn't role claim until I felt it was my last chance. hahahahaha hosed up if true. MMM you fuckin card
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Jul 11, 2015 02:28
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might as well fullclaim tbh
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Jul 11, 2015 02:28
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The only problem with full claiming is we need the SK to kill a scum tonight. If everyone is too open it may make it too easy for scum roleblocker to stop SK.
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Jul 11, 2015 02:33
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What's really hosed up is I'm inclined to believe Daisy that this setup had four trackers 
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Jul 11, 2015 03:43
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Yeah, me too. It would be a hugely ballsy play to name that many players on a false claim.
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Jul 11, 2015 04:06
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well i'm a cop and i have a scum result on prop
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Jul 11, 2015 05:39
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still be careful with your votes, we're technically past lylo
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Jul 11, 2015 05:57
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EXAKT Science posted:still be careful with your votes, we're technically past lylo potentially, anyway
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Jul 11, 2015 05:58
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actually let's think about this. 17 players probably means 4 scum. however, there is also a serial killer. we don't know if that means that there are three scum plus an SK or 4 scum plus SK. If the former, we're down to scum/SK/four town, meaning that we can win if we kill a scum today. because there are two kills, it's lylo even in this, the best case for town. if we started with four scum and an SK, then it's currently sk/2 scum/3 town, meaning that town can only win if we kill a scum today, and at least one of the remaining scum and sk kills the other, which would make tomorrow lylo for town, because technically we're past it at the moment.
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Jul 11, 2015 06:04
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prop please claim.
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Jul 11, 2015 06:04
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I'm vanilla town, and you're full of poo poo. But it would be pretty cool if I got mislynched and you won, eh? ##vote EXAKT
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Jul 11, 2015 06:28
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Propaganda Machine posted:I'm vanilla town, and you're full of poo poo. But it would be pretty cool if I got mislynched and you won, eh? prop I'm town please unvote.
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Jul 11, 2015 06:39
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No, actually, upon reflection, you're probably the SK. And I guess we need you tonight, but that's still a bullshit claim. ##unvote This is completely ridiculous.
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Jul 11, 2015 06:45
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Reading Allen and Daisy yesterday actually gave me a really, really bad feeling about you, but I guess that would explain it.
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Jul 11, 2015 06:45
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Propaganda Machine posted:Reading Allen and Daisy yesterday actually gave me a really, really bad feeling about you, but I guess that would explain it. can you explain why it gave you a bad feeling? maybe point to a couple of posts in particular?
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Jul 11, 2015 06:48
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Propaganda Machine posted:No, actually, upon reflection, you're probably the SK. And I guess we need you tonight, but that's still a bullshit claim. What possible motivation would I have to fakeclaim cop as a serial killer? If were an SK, my main path to victory relies on dunking scum today. Fakeclaiming a result on you would be a ridiculous idea that wouldn't advance my win condition.
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Jul 11, 2015 06:56
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EXAKT Science posted:still be careful with your votes, we're technically past lylo Seriously, no one vote. We could be past lylo and I want everyone to check in and talk before we vote.
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Jul 11, 2015 06:58
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What's lylo mean?
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Jul 11, 2015 07:49
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If we assume 4 starting scum, We are down to 3 town, 2 scum, one SK Town wins only if we lynch a scum, one of SK or scum kills the other, and we then lynch SK. SK wins if we lynch scum, SK kills other scum, and we mislynch. Mafia wins all other cases. If we assume 3 starting scum, We are down to 4 town, 1 scum, one SK We lynch scum, SK kills town: Lynch SK-town wins, mislynch-SK wins We lynch SK, scum kills town: Lynch scum-town wins, mislynch-scum wins We lynch town: Scum, SK kill town: town loses, lynch determines winner? Scum or SK kill other: town wins on correct lynch, loses on incorrect 2 starting scum: We are down to 5 town, 1 SK Town wins on correct lynch today or tomorrow I Believe this is all the scenarios. Have I missed anything?
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Jul 11, 2015 07:58
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DaisyDanger posted:What's lylo mean? Lynch or lose
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Jul 11, 2015 07:58
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EXAKT Science posted:can you explain why it gave you a bad feeling? maybe point to a couple of posts in particular? It's late and I have a busy day tomorrow. I'll be glad to, but expect to see it on maybe Sunday. The SK win conditions confuse me, especially against the setup spec. I ran some numbers, and it seems to me, if we assume that at the moment we have three town, two scum, and one SK...so, let's say we mislynch and dunk town. That's two scum, two town, sk, and that still doesn't give scum full control of the vote so the win seems like it would hinge on the night actions. Scum could kill town or SK. SK could kill town or scum. There are a whole bunch of possibilities in there and I've actually never played with an SK before, so I could be wrong. Anyway, faking a cop roleclaim works great for you if you're SK. I could fumble and scumslip, and you get a scumlynch, or what just happened, ie, I call you on your bullshit and we're in another pickle. Daisy: lylo means lynch or lose. Read: crunchtime.
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Jul 11, 2015 08:01
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garthoneeye posted:If we assume 4 starting scum, Thanks, this helps a lot.
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Jul 11, 2015 08:03
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Going back to the 4 scum start. We lynch town: scum, SK both kill town- 1 SK, 2 scum -mafia wins. scum kills town, sk kills scum - 1 town, 1 scum, 1 SK- town loses, lynch determines winner? SK kills town, scum kills SK - can't happen scum kills before SK Sk kills scum, scum kills SK - can't happen scum kills before SK
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Jul 11, 2015 08:14
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| # ? Apr 18, 2024 04:47 |
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SK might also still be bulletproof
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Jul 11, 2015 08:23
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