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canoshiz posted:Magny isn't going to beat Kelvin. probably. That's a scary fight to bet on. I bet a week probation on Magny
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Nov 21, 2015 06:04
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holy poo poo. scott jorgensen is only a tiny favorite to beat alejandro perez. i am definitely throwing money on that. i told myself i'd never bet on scott jorgensen because he's so prone to being scott jorgensen but perez is insanely bad in all the right ways to see scott just wrestle him without ever putting himself in danger. i also think there's some value in formiga because he's a loving huge underdog. he'll be the best guy that cejudo's fought by far and cejudo hasn't looked nearly as invincible as his competition started getting slightly better.
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Nov 21, 2015 06:05
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I bet another 20 on Magny because I don't like money
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Nov 21, 2015 06:25
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Marching Powder posted:
maybe he's been holm'ing
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Nov 21, 2015 06:28
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origami posted:maybe he's been holm'ing i really hope so. an actual challenge for mighty mouse would be most welcome.
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Nov 21, 2015 06:32
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Marching Powder posted:holy poo poo. scott jorgensen is only a tiny favorite to beat alejandro perez. i am definitely throwing money on that. i told myself i'd never bet on scott jorgensen because he's so prone to being scott jorgensen but perez is insanely bad in all the right ways to see scott just wrestle him without ever putting himself in danger. wanted to say I followed you on this one for the same reasons you said. despite like 1 win in his last 20 losses or whatever, Jorgensen has been fairly competitive in almost all of his UFC fights. It's a decent bet for a guy who is such a veteran of tiny fighting. the other bet I placed was on the main event not going to a decision for -170. I feel like Kelvin has a good shot to finish the fight in the first half of the match, and if he doesn't then Magny has a good shot to finish the fight in the second half.
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Nov 21, 2015 23:45
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LIKEINEEDTHIS posted:
haha I kinda like this even though big underdog parlays like this are sucker bets, its interesting because Formiga and Magny are both live underdogs and formiga has crazy odds. I mean youre gonna lose but you only have to win 1 in like 150 times to break even on this bet so i appreciate it
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Nov 21, 2015 23:58
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drat, Formiga at +450 is pretty juicy.
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Nov 22, 2015 00:13
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Especially since Cejudo looked a little mediocre in his last fight AND looked like he had a rough cut this time around.
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Nov 22, 2015 00:24
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Le Saboteur posted:Especially since Cejudo looked a little mediocre in his last fight AND looked like he had a rough cut this time around. Has Cejudo ever had a cut that wasn't rough
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Nov 22, 2015 00:40
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Lloyd Boner posted:drat, Formiga at +450 is pretty juicy. drat
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Nov 22, 2015 01:21
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I got 5 bucks on Formiga at +325 and 2.50 on Sanchez at +450 (in case he hypnotizes the judges).
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Nov 22, 2015 02:12
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Bubba Smith posted:wanted to say I followed you on this one for the same reasons you said. despite like 1 win in his last 20 losses or whatever, Jorgensen has been fairly competitive in almost all of his UFC fights. It's a decent bet for a guy who is such a veteran of tiny fighting. now what did we learn?
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Nov 22, 2015 02:43
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M A G N Y ! ! ! Those last few rounds I was sweating from everywhere. Great fight.
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Nov 22, 2015 07:47
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Grats, didn't see the fight but clearly I was wrong
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Nov 22, 2015 09:08
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Put the last 8 bucks in my Bodog account on Alberto Mino at +130 in a desperation bet. I have never watched him fight, Akiyama is just old and bad (but possibly roided to poo poo). Hoping he doesn't lay on him.
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Nov 27, 2015 17:58
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for a welterweight, akiyama is old as the hills even though he is half man half steroid. mina strikes like a gracie though and i can see him getting punched out in like 2 minutes. good luck in your battle against evil.
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Nov 27, 2015 18:40
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a few weeks early but that's because I have no interest in anything this weekend. I'm alright if Jose Aldo upsets this, I am Not Alright if Luke Rockhold fucks this up however.
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Nov 27, 2015 19:01
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Wait, Aldo is the underdog?!? I don't really gamble but will the odds get better on him as time goes on?
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Nov 27, 2015 19:30
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origami posted:Wait, Aldo is the underdog?!? I don't really gamble but will the odds get better on him as time goes on? It depends, in this case maybe a little but not a lot i wouldnt think
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Nov 27, 2015 19:33
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attackmole posted:Put the last 8 bucks in my Bodog account on Alberto Mino at +130 in a desperation bet. I have never watched him fight, Akiyama is just old and bad (but possibly roided to poo poo). Hoping he doesn't lay on him. mina is loving terrible but good luck. i think i'm only going to put money on serrano, but i can see value in in marco beltran, whoever he is, as a massive underdog based purely on how bad guangyou is. bang is an underdog against kuntz and i would absolutely not be surprised to see bang knock him out. also i could see sam sicilia, an almost three to one underdog, grinding out a win.
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Nov 27, 2015 21:06
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origami posted:Wait, Aldo is the underdog?!? I don't really gamble but will the odds get better on him as time goes on? The odds will get better, or worse, depending on how much money is coming in on either person. I expect that with underdog odds a fair whack of money is going to come in on Aldo which will even things up.
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Nov 27, 2015 21:22
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I think I have to MMA bet one more time. My track record so far is losing money on Rothwell Reem and Mendes Mcgregor. I think I need to put money on Aldo as the underdog.
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Nov 27, 2015 21:26
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I can't wait for this thread to go wild like it did for Mendes/McGregor.
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Nov 27, 2015 21:33
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Apparently Tae Hyun Bang went from being a favorite to a +420 underdog out of nowhere, what could possibly cause a line to swing like that? Injury leaked to certain individuals? Is the fix in???
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Nov 28, 2015 08:06
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canoshiz posted:Apparently Tae Hyun Bang went from being a favorite to a +420 underdog out of nowhere, what could possibly cause a line to swing like that? Injury leaked to certain individuals? Is the fix in??? holy gently caress. did he die at the weigh ins? surely any health problem that caused his stock to plumet like that would stop the fight from happening
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Nov 28, 2015 08:17
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fatherdog posted:The odds will get better, or worse, depending on how much money is coming in on either person. I expect that with underdog odds a fair whack of money is going to come in on Aldo which will even things up. Other than drinking, the Irish particularly love two things. Gambling and being Irish. Paddypower has Aldo out at 6/4 now (betting 100 returns 250) and they're still drifting. I'll get onboard at 2/1 I think.
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Nov 28, 2015 08:40
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attackmole posted:Put the last 8 bucks in my Bodog account on Alberto Mino at +130 in a desperation bet. I have never watched him fight, Akiyama is just old and bad (but possibly roided to poo poo). Hoping he doesn't lay on him. sincere goongratulations
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Nov 28, 2015 15:21
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attackmole posted:Put the last 8 bucks in my Bodog account on Alberto Mino at +130 in a desperation bet. I have never watched him fight, Akiyama is just old and bad (but possibly roided to poo poo). Hoping he doesn't lay on him. seriously man as the decision was read out i actually thought of you and was happy
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Nov 28, 2015 15:24
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shoutout to the judges, my boys
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Nov 28, 2015 18:09
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drat I missed my chance to make money on the Rousey fight. I was overseas and didn't have internet access so I am just now catching up in this thread. I will however make up for it and I just bet 5k on Aldo at +140. Are there any other fights happening before the Aldo one that are interesting and people are betting on?
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Nov 28, 2015 22:12
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jase1 posted:drat I missed my chance to make money on the Rousey fight. I was overseas and didn't have internet access so I am just now catching up in this thread. I will however make up for it and I just bet 5k on Aldo at +140. Are there any other fights happening before the Aldo one that are interesting and people are betting on? You would have bet against Rousey?
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Nov 28, 2015 22:27
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jase1 posted:drat I missed my chance to make money on the Rousey fight. I was overseas and didn't have internet access so I am just now catching up in this thread. I will however make up for it and I just bet 5k on Aldo at +140. Are there any other fights happening before the Aldo one that are interesting and people are betting on? I put $200 on Aldo back when I was able to get him at +145, so I find comfort that we are in this together my brother.
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Nov 28, 2015 23:24
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mewse posted:You would have bet against Rousey? do you know who the gently caress you're talking to?
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Nov 29, 2015 00:01
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Jase1 would have dropped 5k on her and made a loving killing. Probably 10k on holm if he had a good poker game the night before.
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Nov 29, 2015 00:07
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jase1 posted:drat I missed my chance to make money on the Rousey fight. I was overseas and didn't have internet access so I am just now catching up in this thread. I will however make up for it and I just bet 5k on Aldo at +140. Are there any other fights happening before the Aldo one that are interesting and people are betting on? This is a good bet.
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Nov 29, 2015 07:20
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I literally just shut down a 2/5 game tonight with pure luck and a full bottle of Glen Levit in my system over 8 hours and it 's the last day of the month and I have 9k total in my account with my bookie. So I have decided to up the aldo bet to a total of 9K on him at +140. If I lose it my account goes to 0 and I start again next month. If I win it I am buying my wife a car for her birthday/Christmas present since they are both this month and she is aware of this, in fact she is has already planned a party for the fight and invited all her friends.. I can't quite remember right now for various reasons, Glen Levit being one of them, but I think this might be the most I have ever bet on sports.
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Nov 30, 2015 06:23
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Ok, now everyone else bet on Conor.
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Nov 30, 2015 06:27
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Lloyd Boner posted:Ok, now everyone else bet on Conor. I already did my part. Although nobody else take Chris Weidman because he didn't do anything to deserve the goon bet of confidence.
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Nov 30, 2015 06:40
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mewse posted:I bet a week probation on Magny I love this loving thread.
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Nov 30, 2015 06:46
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