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Lastgirl posted:A'm aye pumpin' blootert lad i thought u mighta died lol
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Nov 2, 2016 19:32
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/793883429922336769
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Nov 2, 2016 19:32
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Weiner has checked into a Cybersex addiction rehabilitation center.
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Nov 2, 2016 19:32
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Uh guys. Guys https://twitter.com/LisaBloom/status/793880513018785792
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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Man Musk posted:The Iowa cop killer turned out to be a lone white male who was mad he couldn't wave the Confederate flag at high school sporting events: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-37845679 Did you know about the black-on-black murder rate though? Also that is related to these two officers deaths because
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Nov 2, 2016 19:32
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That DICK! posted:It also totally flies in the face of why people liked 538 in the first place It's hard to believe but four years ago 538's supreme confidence in Obama's chances despite some very tight polling gave liberals a lot of hope and made Silver look like a genius when he called 50/50 states correctly, detecting some last-minute movement toward Obama in Florida that even PEC missed.
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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Yang Wen-Li On the other hand, democracy is a roundabout thing. And people who are disenchanted with such roundabout-ness will always say: “Let’s give power to a great politician and have him spearhead revolutionary changes.” I wonder if the masses have always wanted an autocrat. And they might just be getting the ideal autocratic ruler right now. Compared to that brilliant golden idol, democracy is nothing but a faded bronze idol. No, no! Julian, we’re soldiers. And republican democratic structure is often born from the muzzle of guns. But the military, despite engendering democracy, should never boast of its accomplishment. And it’s not an unfair thing! Because the gist of democracy lies in control by the people, who have the power. Democracy institutionalizes the control of the power-holders by law and structure. And the military needs this control the most. They fight for the political structure that fundamentally denies them. The military of a democracy must accept that contradictory structure. The only things the military can demand from its government are a retirement pension and paid leave; that’s about it. In other words, the rights of the workers–they cannot demand for more than that. 
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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why is everyone so loving determined to panic at winning in an unprecedented landslide jesus
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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No, we should listen to the concerns of the old white people who want to burn the planet down as they face the grim inevitability of their own mortality.
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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"cybersex addiction rehabilitation center" is a concept that exists.
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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If 538 splinters after ESPN sells them, I think I'm going to follow whatever camp Harry Enten fucks off to for 2020. Nate lost his mojo.
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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B-b-b-ut emails!
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Nov 2, 2016 19:33
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That map is a 308 EV Hillary win Nate is a mass
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Nov 2, 2016 19:34
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TARDISman posted:Char Aznable would vote for the giant flaming meteor. 
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Nov 2, 2016 19:34
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Tayter Swift posted:"cybersex addiction rehabilitation center" is a concept that exists. but u already knew that HEEEYYOOOO
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Nov 2, 2016 19:34
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Venom Snake posted:all full for now it's ok
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Nov 2, 2016 19:34
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mannerup posted:https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/786056103188508672 "gently caress you nate" - blue jays fans everywhere (me)
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Nov 2, 2016 19:34
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The Anthony Weiner Rehabilitatiom Centre for Addiction to Cybersex
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Nov 2, 2016 19:35
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that is Mr. Vagina who has no relation to char
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Nov 2, 2016 19:34
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Intel&Sebastian posted:Edit2: It also does put a drain on your ambition and will to do stuff, but I was already like that anyway. I used to think that, but I just ran 3100 miles a year for the past three years while smoking weed the whole time so... 
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Nov 2, 2016 19:35
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Want to see that in the form of a Hillary email, please
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Nov 2, 2016 19:35
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What kind of idiot has NC red right now? Shook Nate
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Nov 2, 2016 19:35
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thats a hell of a thread title
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Nov 2, 2016 19:36
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Intel&Sebastian posted:
Some of us dont't require artificial means to be lazy and without ambition 
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Nov 2, 2016 19:36
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Schnorkles posted:in all reality this probably has nothing to do with comey i have a feeling that its not so much as trying but it will be successful god i cant believe it anyone who tries to touch clinton or rebuke donald are losing their jobs and career over it am i still dreaming i wonder its such a massive shake up everywhere and so quickly so i suppose this is the pragmatic accelerationism we're getting~
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Nov 2, 2016 19:36
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exquisite tea posted:It's hard to believe but four years ago 538's supreme confidence in Obama's chances despite some very tight polling gave liberals a lot of hope and made Silver look like a genius when he called 50/50 states correctly, detecting some last-minute movement toward Obama in Florida that even PEC missed. his problem was flying too close to the sun!! went for fame and attention while wang is just steady doing his thang, unshook
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Nov 2, 2016 19:36
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Someone email this to the Clinton campaign with the important parts highlighted, maybe it'll actually get coverage.
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Nov 2, 2016 19:36
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Baloogan posted:Yang Wen-Li
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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at leadt shookie will habe killed punditry AND polking before he fadew into the ether 2024, pure demograpgic analysis backed by fewet polls just to edtablish trends (2020, ttansitional)
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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Baloogan posted:Yang Wen-Li nice chin rear end in a top hat
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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Squizzle posted:myfavorite anime characted is baloogan and if he were real he woiuld vote for death metwor Yang Wen-Li “For Kaiser Reinhard, there’s the shortest path to peace and unification, and for us, there’s the long road that leads towards righteous democracy. When both paths cross in the war of bloodshed, if something called God actually exists, I wonder which side He will affirm.” “People follow people, but not necessarily ideals or institutions. Then I wonder if Julian, in the end, is fighting for me. But that’s not the way it should be. His reason for fighting shouldn’t be loyalty to one individual, but rather to the ideal and institution of democracy.” 
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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Char Aznable is Anthony Weiner. A brilliant and ambitious man brought low by his inability to keep it in his pants for teenage girls. Mr. Quattro Vagina is merely his Carlos Danger pseudonym.
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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https://twitter.com/jbarro/status/793884434600693760 Nate is so loving shook
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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had to unshake a bunch of coworkers in NC today
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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showbiz_liz posted:I'm currently on a self-imposed weed break because I'm depressed and was smoking every night after work to self-medicate and then failing to, like, do dishes and laundry or look for new jobs or make plans with friends. I'm looking forward to getting un-depressed and going back to having a good relationship with weed because it really does own and is way better than getting drunk I had that and powered through it and willed myself back into that stuff but now I'm off for other reasons. Try changing strains when you're back on and actually trying to do those things faded if possible, sometimes it's like.....oh wait I do still want to do these things and I thought I couldn't because I was smokin. Like, I had a loooooong time where I thought I didn't want to leave the house but then one day I did and tried doing some stuff while just a little faded and I was like oh wait this is not bad at all, I'm just a scaredy cat when I smoke a ton. Or not idk
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Nov 2, 2016 19:37
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Intel&Sebastian posted:Edit2: It also does put a drain on your ambition and will to do stuff, but I was already like that anyway. that reminds me u wanted a roundup of those paintings i made when high af            (it basically is the concept art for the trump dr point n click game)
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Nov 2, 2016 19:39
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Realize that Nate's model arbitrarily assigns percent chances to how far ahead a candidate is. His model is just sort of dumb. 70% isn't 70%. It means that "We think Clinton is about 3-4 points ahead nationally"
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Nov 2, 2016 19:39
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iospace posted:https://twitter.com/jbarro/status/793884434600693760 it's almost like his model was fine but constantly loving with it has made it a total mess
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Nov 2, 2016 19:39
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iospace posted:https://twitter.com/jbarro/status/793884434600693760 ugh fire 538 into the sun legitimately i hope harry spins off, keeps up the pollster ratings and stuff with a more simplified model
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Nov 2, 2016 19:39
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/793884475675607040
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Nov 2, 2016 19:39
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