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Taerkar
Dec 7, 2002

kind of into it, really

Cythereal posted:

The Battle of Midway is a case study in how you manage to lose such a weapon - namely, through mind-boggling arrogance and failing to properly maintain that weapon in the face of an adapting enemy that's increasingly coming to grips with how to fight that weapon effectively.

It was rather Unhonourable of the USN to not follow their part of the Japanese Plan to a T.

zoux posted:

After Midway did IJN carrier doctrine move away from the Kido Butai model

Yes, but mostly due to resourcing issues.

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Cyrano4747
Sep 25, 2006

Yes, I know I'm old, get off my fucking lawn so I can yell at these clouds.

SlothfulCobra posted:

It's the same as the growth of cities and expansion of other professional trades, isn't it? People go off seeking opportunity and other people are looking for able bodies and have money to pay them.

Or the other way around where the people with money go 'round recruiting.

The development of trades as we understand them is actually super complicated and emerges out of a whole slew of old practices and regulations about who can conduct what businesses, where, etc. You've got overlapping authorities in the form of crown, city, and at times guild, and eventually universities expanding out to become their own crazy thing.

TooMuchAbstraction
Oct 14, 2012

I spent four years making
Waves of Steel
Hell yes I'm going to turn my avatar into an ad for it.
Fun Shoe

Taerkar posted:

Yes, but mostly due to resourcing issues.

As I understand it, they still were thinking in terms of the Decisive Battle though. Like, their subs never went after American shipping, just after warships, so that they'd have fewer ships to fight in the inevitable major ship-to-ship conflict.

bewbies
Sep 23, 2003

Fun Shoe
We were all cheated out of a massive battleship vs battleship shootout in the Pacific by the cowardly actions of the Japanese and Americans both, and their idiotic airplanes.

Fangz
Jul 5, 2007

Oh I see! This must be the Bad Opinion Zone!
Having watched the trailer, I think I'd caution that we are in the era where trailers are cut together by a different creative team and can be extremely deceptive, so those statements that appear as replies to each other like "Washington doesn't think so" could be in entirely different contexts in the film.

I'm being super charitable though.

Edit: ^^^ Surigao Strait

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

bewbies posted:

We were all cheated out of a massive battleship vs battleship shootout in the Pacific by the cowardly actions of the Japanese and Americans both, and their idiotic airplanes.

This man wears black shoes

Siivola
Dec 23, 2012

FAUXTON posted:

Wondering how the early modern people cobbled together relatively coherent/disciplined field elements out of, you know, drunken dudes with pointy sticks and guns.

Like when, how, etc on the shift from "go on march between planting and harvest" to "create a soldiering class that isn't the nobles and their bodyguards" happened.
Barbara Tuchman lays a lot of the blame for French military failures during the early Hundred Years War (so late 14th century) on their insistence on the "nobles and their bodyguard" system. This caused major issues in recruitment since some fucko would show up with nothing but five of his mates when they were supposed to bring a proper force, and three more would drag their feet until all the fighting was done because outfitting soldiers was expensive. Somewhat relatedly, French armies also had issues where all the nobles who did show up for the campaign wanted to get in on the action and refused to share the glory with their non-noble subordinates. The French kings eventually got sick of this and started asking the nobles for cash money instead of wartime service just so they could pay people to actually show up for the war.

Incidentally the mercenaries were also noblemen and their bodyguards, just ones with business sense.

Taerkar
Dec 7, 2002

kind of into it, really

TooMuchAbstraction posted:

As I understand it, they still were thinking in terms of the Decisive Battle though. Like, their subs never went after American shipping, just after warships, so that they'd have fewer ships to fight in the inevitable major ship-to-ship conflict.

Decisive Battle is a different thing than Kido Butai, though the idea of the latter was developed to help win the former, though they still expected it to be mostly big gun ships, not carriers, that carried the day.

They did try again with the battle of the Philippine Sea, which went very badly for them both in terms of pilots and damage control. Technically the Leyte Gulf isn't because the carriers there were a distraction force and intended to whittle down the enemy fleet, which was a key component of the Kido Butai.

FrangibleCover
Jan 23, 2018

Nothing going on in my quiet corner of the Pacific.

This is the life. I'm just lying here in my hammock in Townsville, sipping a G&T.

Tab8715 posted:

The background is the Houthi’s attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure. Reading about it, I think it’s the most effective military operation since much in the allied commando raid on the Nazis Uranium Research Facility.

Tab8715 posted:

From what I remember over the whole situation, none. The Nazis weren’t going to right direction in uranium enrichment so in the end it wouldn’t have mattered but at the time it was definitely a real concern.
So what exactly are you trying to say here? The Houthi attack is the most effective military operation since a military operation that had no effect?

zoux posted:

What are the biggest US intel failures (besides Iraq)
Thinking you have to ascend stairs to get to the first floor of a building?

I'm minded to agree with Pearl Harbor and more broadly the events of Dec 7th/8th across the Pacific as the most major intelligence failure in US history. From a position of great suspicion the Japanese managed to achieve total strategic, operational and tactical surprise across 11000km of ocean and eight time zones with multiple independent operations, hundreds of ships at sea unspotted, thousands of aircraft... And apart from "Those Japanese are up to something" nobody expected anything like it.

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22
I don't consider Iraq to be an intelligence failure because people were actively lying to bring about an outcome they wanted.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

KYOON GRIFFEY JR posted:

I don't consider Iraq to be an intelligence failure because people were actively lying to bring about an outcome they wanted.

I prefer "tactical believing"



DARPA: Wait, have we considered killing the enemy

zoux fucked around with this message at 19:16 on Sep 17, 2019

Ice Fist
Jun 20, 2012

^^ Please send feedback to beefstache911@hotmail.com, this is not a joke that 'stache is the real deal. Serious assessments only. ^^

I see that DARPA has discovered microservice architecture, because boy does that look similar to a lot of power point presentations I've seen at my software company over the last year as my team transitions away from an old monolith application.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Ice Fist posted:

I see that DARPA has discovered microservice architecture, because boy does that look similar to a lot of power point presentations I've seen at my software company over the last year as my team transitions away from an old monolith application.

Please don't pivot to lethality

Ice Fist
Jun 20, 2012

^^ Please send feedback to beefstache911@hotmail.com, this is not a joke that 'stache is the real deal. Serious assessments only. ^^

zoux posted:

Please don't pivot to lethality

With some of my colleagues this is hard, but I will try.

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese

KYOON GRIFFEY JR posted:

I don't consider Iraq to be an intelligence failure because people were actively lying to bring about an outcome they wanted.

Also IIRC the US military gave pretty accurate cost and soldier requirements for the occupation and Rumsfeld just chose to ignore them

Geisladisk
Sep 15, 2007

zoux posted:

I prefer "tactical believing"



DARPA: Wait, have we considered killing the enemy

"resilient collective of diverse and adaptive multi-domain kill chains" is the most US military sentence ever written

Schadenboner
Aug 15, 2011

by Shine

Geisladisk posted:

"resilient collective of diverse and adaptive multi-domain kill chains" is the most US military sentence ever written

Bingo, sir.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Geisladisk posted:

"resilient collective of diverse and adaptive multi-domain kill chains" is the most US military sentence ever written

In laymans terms, "many shooty guns"

Geisladisk
Sep 15, 2007

zoux posted:

In laymans terms, "many shooty guns"

"we need more ways to kill guys"

Fangz
Jul 5, 2007

Oh I see! This must be the Bad Opinion Zone!
Google turned up the actual presentation.

Mostly it's about building a shitload of automated murderdrones.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Many shooty guns fired by robots

Geisladisk
Sep 15, 2007

Fangz posted:

Google turned up the actual presentation.

Mostly it's about building a shitload of automated murderdrones.

ah yes, "we need more ways to kill guys" is a very quaint 20th century way of thinking, the battlefield of the 21st century demands "we need more ways to kill guys extralegally and with no accountability" :hmmyes:

Schadenboner
Aug 15, 2011

by Shine
I think it needs the term "warfighter" in there (or is that no longer in vogue since it admits we're, you know, fighting wars?)

FrangibleCover
Jan 23, 2018

Nothing going on in my quiet corner of the Pacific.

This is the life. I'm just lying here in my hammock in Townsville, sipping a G&T.

Schadenboner posted:

I think it needs the term "warfighter" in there (or is that no longer in vogue since it admits we're, you know, fighting wars?)
The American Conflictist? Peacekeeping Actioneer? Limited Interventionizer?

Geisladisk
Sep 15, 2007

force application specialist

Phanatic
Mar 13, 2007

Please don't forget that I am an extremely racist idiot who also has terrible opinions about the Culture series.

Geisladisk posted:

force application specialist

Sounds like a power bottom.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jy3JU-ORpo

Princeton put out this (creepy) simulation of what a nuclear war between us and the Soviets Russians would look like today. Two questions: I know that nuclear doctrine is the three-legged stool, but what do aircraft do now that ICBMs and subs can't? In the simulation they're used for tactical nukes and only as the very beginning of escalation, is that a role only aircraft can perform?

Second: I notice that no B-2s take off from Missouri or Diego Garcia in the simulation, so what is that bomber for exactly

Jobbo_Fett
Mar 7, 2014

Slava Ukrayini

Clapping Larry

Geisladisk posted:

force application specialist

Those are jedi

Cythereal
Nov 8, 2009

I love the potoo,
and the potoo loves you.

zoux posted:

After Midway did IJN carrier doctrine move away from the Kido Butai model

That depends on what you mean by the Kido Butai model.

Operationally, the Kido Butai was the world's first carrier task force, and that comes down to "have a bunch of carriers operating together and launching massed air strikes." In this sense yes, every world power realized that carriers were best off employed in numbers to combine their airpower into a massive force. Japan never again mustered the numbers of carriers or carrier aircraft to approach the Kido Butai again, but the basic principle was used whenever possible.

Strategically, the Kido Butai was most significant as a highly mobile striking force that could hit and run - the Japanese understood the Kido Butai to be a raiding force that could move quickly with overwhelming firepower and range. This is how the Kido Butai was used until Midway, and after Midway never again. Not only did Japan lose the modern, fast carriers required for this strategy, but Japan was put onto the strategic defensive and fuel shortages became acute. Even if they had the carriers and planes, they probably wouldn't have used them like this until and unless the strategic momentum could swing the other way (i.e. after the Decisive Battle).

Schadenboner
Aug 15, 2011

by Shine
Other than Jutland and Tsushima were there ever actually Decisive Battles of the type envisioned by the doctrine, like during WW2 for example?

Granted those two were p.decisive?

Also is Rising Sun and Tumbling Bear good?

Phanatic
Mar 13, 2007

Please don't forget that I am an extremely racist idiot who also has terrible opinions about the Culture series.

zoux posted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jy3JU-ORpo

Princeton put out this (creepy) simulation of what a nuclear war between us and the Soviets Russians would look like today. Two questions: I know that nuclear doctrine is the three-legged stool, but what do aircraft do now that ICBMs and subs can't? In the simulation they're used for tactical nukes and only as the very beginning of escalation, is that a role only aircraft can perform?

In theory an aircraft can be retargeted after launch. So one, if you can target an enemy division or something that moves on the battlefield. And two, you can recall them after launch, which lets you threaten imminent use without having to carry out the threat. You can’t really do that with a submarine.

As a practical matter, now that SLBMs are accurate enough for counterforce strikes I don’t think that counts for much. Assuming that recallability was ever really a thing anyway.; I don’t think there were actually verification procedures in SAC for “the President changed his mind!”

Phanatic fucked around with this message at 22:44 on Sep 17, 2019

Fangz
Jul 5, 2007

Oh I see! This must be the Bad Opinion Zone!
Midway was pretty decisive.

Schadenboner
Aug 15, 2011

by Shine

zoux posted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jy3JU-ORpo

Princeton put out this (creepy) simulation of what a nuclear war between us and the Soviets Russians would look like today. Two questions: I know that nuclear doctrine is the three-legged stool, but what do aircraft do now that ICBMs and subs can't? In the simulation they're used for tactical nukes and only as the very beginning of escalation, is that a role only aircraft can perform?

Second: I notice that no B-2s take off from Missouri or Diego Garcia in the simulation, so what is that bomber for exactly

Once you're dusting London and Paris and Berlin is the exchange really tactical anymore (unless "tactical" means "not hitting American cities", obvs.?)

FrangibleCover
Jan 23, 2018

Nothing going on in my quiet corner of the Pacific.

This is the life. I'm just lying here in my hammock in Townsville, sipping a G&T.

Schadenboner posted:

Other than Jutland and Tsushima were there ever actually Decisive Battles of the type envisioned by the doctrine, like during WW2 for example?

Granted those two were p.decisive?
See, I'd argue for Taranto. It didn't do a huge amount of damage in the way that you'd expect a Decisive Battle to do, but it created conditions in which the RN could move around the Med much more freely and imposed a level of timidity on the Regia Marina that essentially changed the fight from two roughly equal forces facing off to the British attempting to pin a Fleet in Being. I'm happy for someone to make a counterargument but I at least think there's room for a discussion.

Polyakov
Mar 22, 2012


I wouldnt say that was really a battle as envisaged. It was certainly decisive but it wasnt really a fleet on fleet engagement as i think was envisaged by people that followed that doctrine.

SerthVarnee
Mar 13, 2011

It has been two zero days since last incident.
Big Super Slapstick Hunk

Schadenboner posted:

I think it needs the term "warfighter" in there (or is that no longer in vogue since it admits we're, you know, fighting wars?)

Warfighters totally don't fight in wars. They fight the war itself.
Sort of a war to end all wars.
Come to think of it, they also die alot in wars.

feedmegin
Jul 30, 2008

Schadenboner posted:

Once you're dusting London and Paris and Berlin is the exchange really tactical anymore (unless "tactical" means "not hitting American cities", obvs.?)

Funnily enough it wouldn't be the first time I've seen an American projection of World War 3 that only really seemed to care about nukes on American soil. Europe is better Dead than Red I guess?

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22
I'm not convinced Jutland was decisive. The Germans did not have freedom of movement before Jutland, and they didn't gain it afterwards. The losses were not meaningful to either side.

Midway was decisive. Manila and Santiago were pretty decisive, is that too early for you?

KYOON GRIFFEY JR
Apr 12, 2010



Runner-up, TRP Sack Race 2021/22

feedmegin posted:

Funnily enough it wouldn't be the first time I've seen an American projection of World War 3 that only really seemed to care about nukes on American soil. Europe is better Dead than Red I guess?

shockingly countries put their own immediate interests above those of their allies

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HEY GUNS
Oct 11, 2012

FOPTIMUS PRIME

Cyrano4747 posted:

Somewhere, Hey Guns just sat bolt upright.
not at all, he PMed me and i asked him to take it to the thread so my half-informed ramblings could inform more than one person. Thinking about the post.

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