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 Even less confident in this than I was in my predictions last year which means I'm going to win twice as hard. Have zero confidence in my Zack and Tana picks but the idea of ZSJ throwing hissyfits over losing to YH and Yano and then becoming so smug over costing Tanahashi the block was far too amusing to pass up.
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Sep 17, 2020 18:19
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| # ? Apr 29, 2024 04:55 |
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take the moon posted:i think youll find yujiro is a better wrestler than like half of the goons posting itt im way better than yujiro OP, because like all good wrestlers, I steal moves from joshi
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Sep 17, 2020 18:28
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Rarity posted:Your Personal Muse, you gave me Ibushi winning A block but the math works out for Suzuki. Shall I take him as your A block pick or fix the math? drat rip me, when Suzuki finds out he’ll murder me. I think I still need Suzuki to beat someone (I think either Taichi or Switchblade, I forget which) to make it work out like I want to. Basically, I wanted Switchblade to have a tiebreaker over both Okada and Ibushi only to be murdered by Ishii and knocked out of the runnning, Ibushi to win his last match to tie with Okada with a tiebreaker, leaving Okada to fight Will, Will wins, knocking Okada out and sending Ibushi to the finals. I also wanted SANADA, EVIL, and Naito to be tied coming in to the last match, and for SANADA to have beaten Naito during the tournament and also beat EVIL to win it all but for EVIL to beat Naito so SANADA can both claim he beat Naito and beat the guy who beat Naito for delicious tension. I have no clue if my picks actually result in that.
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Sep 17, 2020 23:27
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Your Personal Muse posted:Basically, I wanted Switchblade to have a tiebreaker over both Okada and Ibushi only to be murdered by Ishii and knocked out of the runnning, Ibushi to win his last match to tie with Okada with a tiebreaker, leaving Okada to fight Will, Will wins, knocking Okada out and sending Ibushi to the finals. Ok I changed it so Suzuki loses to Cobb and Taichi, Ibushi beats Ospreay and Cobb beats Switchblade and now it works like you wanted. Okada/Ibushi on 12 and a bunch of people on 10 
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Sep 17, 2020 23:37
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Rarity posted:Ok I changed it so Suzuki loses to Cobb and Taichi, Ibushi beats Ospreay and Cobb beats Switchblade and now it works like you wanted. Okada/Ibushi on 12 and a bunch of people on 10 That’s fine, for the record Suzuki, I don’t think you are losing to Cobb, so please take this into consideration and make my death painless
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Sep 17, 2020 23:46
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Rarity, sorry my math was dumb. As I said I didn't track it. Please change match results to make the finals Switchblade over Tana. I have PMs though, weird you couldn't message me but I don't mind being called out.
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Sep 18, 2020 01:03
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Is it actually necessary to change the match prediction results so the finals fit with the math? I know it would mean it's not possible to have the theoretical maximum points but if points are assigned as independent events, does it actually matter that my predictions are incoherent with each other? Or does it really screw up your points tracking to leave it as is? If it doesn't screw up the way you tally points, you can leave my dumb incoherent guesses. If it does, please remind me who I put over switchblade and tana and I'll tell you which results to switch. I'm sorry that I've made more work for you! As I was filling it in I didn't really think about making sure it added up.
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Sep 18, 2020 01:12
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drat, Rarity not only doing her own G1 Math but other people's as well? That's dedication 
Jerusalem fucked around with this message at 03:36 on Sep 18, 2020 |
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Sep 18, 2020 02:37
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I too would like to thank Rarity for checking my idiot math. I had two completely wrong people in the finals and she caught it for me.
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Sep 18, 2020 03:31
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Just realized I genuinely don’t have time to do G1 math until the deadline. Better that way honestly, I would have just spoiled the entire tournament for everyone. Please thank me
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Sep 18, 2020 05:31
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Hellblazer187 posted:Is it actually necessary to change the match prediction results so the finals fit with the math? Yeah, especially considering I'm offering an actual cash prize. I'd think it was a bit bullshit if someone won it when their entry wasn't even possible. The easiest way to fix A block is to have Ibushi take a loss (could be to anyone except Ospreay or Switchblade) and for B block I can just flip the result of Tanahashi/KENTA so Tana wins. Does that work for you?
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Sep 18, 2020 05:41
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Sorry Rarity i'll discord you when i wake up. i also have pms on here. i am ridiculously bad at math
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Sep 18, 2020 06:15
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I probably went too clever but I have Taichi winning A block with 14 points, Okada falling short with 13 after Ospreay takes him to a draw. Naito wins B block but ties with Sanada. Sanada, Naito, EVIL, and KENTA all go into the last night tied. Naito has the win over Sanada but Evil has the win over him. Sanada beats evil and Naito beats Kenta. Naito then beats Taichi for the finals.
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Sep 18, 2020 07:32
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 So I have A Block being wide open with a bunch of people being in play on the final night. Everything clears itself in the undercard for Ibushi to take out Taichi and advance to the finals. I have B Block being less open with it parsing itself down to Tanahashi, Naito, KENTA, EVIL, and SANADA before slowly working its way down to SANADA needing to beat EVIL on the final night to advance. He does so. Ibushi goes back to back. I'm thinking they want to keep EVIL strong but have a big SANADA moment at the end to kind of wash away the run. Plus a face/face finals is kinda feel good for this year and Ibushi/SANADA would be a banger. Yujiro isn't winning a match.
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Sep 18, 2020 07:53
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Love seeing people predict draws, because it NEVER works but holy God what if it does? 
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Sep 18, 2020 08:14
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Jerusalem posted:Love seeing people predict draws, because it NEVER works but holy God what if it does? Like all those silly people last year who thought Okada/SANADA would be a draw 
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Sep 18, 2020 08:29
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I rejected the way of the spreadsheet and just voted based on a variety of intangible metrics existing entirely in my own head. I've probably ended up selecting winners who are mathematically ineligible of winning. Chaos reigns, but only time will tell if CHAOS reigns.
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Sep 18, 2020 10:07
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Seams posted:I've probably ended up selecting winners who are mathematically ineligible of winning Yep, you've said KENTA's winning but based on math Naito makes the final over him in B block. I can fix it by either flipping the result of the Naito/KENTA match or giving Naito a loss to somebody else somewhere?
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Sep 18, 2020 10:15
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Rarity posted:Yep, you've said KENTA's winning but based on math Naito makes the final over him in B block. I can fix it by either flipping the result of the Naito/KENTA match or giving Naito a loss to somebody else somewhere? Thanks. I could've sworn I picked KENTA over Naito, so yeah change that result. If there are any other issues feel free to just disregard/delete my votes. I don't want you to have to spend time fixing my crap just because I'm lazy.
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Sep 18, 2020 10:18
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Rarity posted:Like all those silly people last year who thought Okada/SANADA would be a draw 
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Sep 18, 2020 10:19
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Seams posted:Thanks. I could've sworn I picked KENTA over Naito, so yeah change that result. If there are any other issues feel free to just disregard/delete my votes. I don't want you to have to spend time fixing my crap just because I'm lazy. All sorted Just to warn people if I've not had corrections by the start of the first show I'll be taking your mathematical picks and then tossing a coin to decide a new G1 winner if needed.Also for those curious here are the predicted winners so far: EVIL, Hiroshi Tanahashi, Shingo Takagi, Taichi, Tomohiro Ishii - 1 time Will Ospreay - 2 times Tetsuya Naito - 3 times KENTA - 4 times Jay White - 5 times Kazuchika Okada - 6 times SANADA - 8 times Kota Ibushi - 9 times My SANADA pick might have seemed left field to some at first but everyone follows my lead cause they knows that I got them scoops 
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Sep 18, 2020 10:27
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I'm telling you guys, I've got a good feeling that 2019 is gonna be Ibushi's year to win G1.... it's 2019, right? 
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Sep 18, 2020 10:36
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Rarity posted:Yeah, especially considering I'm offering an actual cash prize. I'd think it was a bit bullshit if someone won it when their entry wasn't even possible. The easiest way to fix A block is to have Ibushi take a loss (could be to anyone except Ospreay or Switchblade) and for B block I can just flip the result of Tanahashi/KENTA so Tana wins. Does that work for you? Perfect, yes that works. Also I won't win but if I do I forfeit the prize because my entry wasn't really valid.
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Sep 18, 2020 13:29
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Hellblazer187 posted:Also I won't win but if I do I forfeit the prize A few people have said this so if the winner prefers I'll instead donate $15 to the charity of their choice
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Sep 18, 2020 13:44
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I forgot how much I hate trying to predict this stuff I DON'T FLIPPIN' KNOW Probably have a ton of really dumb choices in there but whatever man. Whateverrrrrrrr. I don't want to think about this no mo' In any case I think WK is going to be the LIJ show. It's 100% not happening but I'm going all the way with Shingo, baby. I love my dragon friend and wish him the best.  edit: wait I just noticed one thing that wouldn't make sense based on the block final cards. Like the points do make sense but EVIL vs SANADA wouldn't have much at stake. I'm a big dumb dumb. Well, like I said, whatever, I'm not changing my picks anymore (unless I screwed up the math despite using Thanlis's excellent automated sheet) Edit edit: actually I’m so dumb that I forgot what my own idea was. I’m so tired friends. So tired a cyborg mug fucked around with this message at 13:58 on Sep 18, 2020 |
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Sep 18, 2020 13:44
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Rarity posted:
Wait, did I not screw up my math despite doing it completely sight unseen.This is both a question and also rhetorical because I'm having trouble believing I actually managed to stumble to finals I think are going to happen.
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Sep 18, 2020 13:48
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Important Math Note
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karmicknight posted:Wait, did I not screw up my math despite doing it completely sight unseen.This is both a question and also rhetorical because I'm having trouble believing I actually managed to stumble to finals I think are going to happen. Your chosen final was Ibushi and Tanahashi and they win their groups with 18 and 16 points so you're good
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Sep 18, 2020 13:55
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 ALL THAT WORK JUST TO GET THE SAME drat THING EVERYONE ELSE IS
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Sep 18, 2020 14:32
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Deathlove posted:ALL THAT WORK JUST TO GET THE SAME drat THING EVERYONE ELSE IS But SANADA didn't win??? 
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Sep 18, 2020 15:29
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 The thing I feel least confident about is predicting Cobb to have a really good tournament, but I don't know why you'd make him one of your four foreigners if you didn't have plans for him so gently caress it
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Sep 18, 2020 15:56
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Making this official to pull my entry from the G1 contest. My daughter (5) had fun messing with my math and I don't remember my original block breakdowns. With that said, here are the -luva1 family predictions: Me
My overarching story is a Bullet Club civil war told without Rhodes and the Young Bucks. There is a lot of BC representation this year and I think it would be crazy if there weren't some tension or drama as time goes on. My heart wants KENTA to win it all, but White is the homegrown talent. I don't see Gedo siding with an NJPW outsider anytime soon. My daughter based her bracket on picking (1) good guys, and (2) the most handsome men.
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Sep 18, 2020 17:18
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animeluva1 posted:My daughter based her bracket on picking (1) good guys, and (2) the most handsome men. Such a prodigy to be 5 and already understand Gedo's booking
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Sep 18, 2020 17:31
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ah drat, i didn't realize you understandably closed entries 24 hours before the first show. been a weird week and i never got around to the backwards spreadsheet work necessary
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Sep 18, 2020 21:21
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John Dudebro posted:
this is the only final that doesn't feature EVIL in it that i could realistically see, because if it doesn't happen in the G1 final the very obvious WK match to me seems to be Ibushi vs Tanahashi which would to me indicate neither winning the tournament.
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Sep 18, 2020 23:42
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Dishonest Resume, you gave me Okada as your A block winner but your math puts Ospreay on top. I can either take Ospreay as your A block winner or flip the result of the Okada/Ospreay match, which would you like? If I don't hear from you by the start of the show I'll do the former.
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Sep 19, 2020 00:40
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Rarity posted:Dishonest Resume, you gave me Okada as your A block winner but your math puts Ospreay on top. I can either take Ospreay as your A block winner or flip the result of the Okada/Ospreay match, which would you like? If I don't hear from you by the start of the show I'll do the former. This is why I don't enter because I'm too dumb to do the maths. I can sorta guess who the top guys will lose to but then I'd accidentally make yujiro win the block
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Sep 19, 2020 02:33
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animeluva1 posted:My daughter based her bracket on picking (1) good guys, and (2) the most handsome men. Your daughter rules and made the right picks 
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Sep 19, 2020 02:34
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just got mine in. my b block is a comparative mess and i know the midcard isn't gonna sort out quite that way in reality but i need to get some sleep before the g1. went with ibushi over tana in the finals
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Sep 19, 2020 06:05
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I was caught up in work and so didn’t even know G1 was happening this weekend and madly tried to get my google form in before time and so didn’t think out all the maths; it’s probably wrong. I’d like to participate, but I get it if I was late. Thanks for putting it all together!
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Sep 19, 2020 08:33
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| # ? Apr 29, 2024 04:55 |
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The G1 is back, baby! Results for Night 1 follow below so beware of spoilers: Will Ospreay (92%) vs. Yujiro Takahashi (8%) Taichi (61%) vs. Jeff Cobb (39%) Minoru Suzuki (45%) vs. Tomohiro Ishii (55%) Jay White (78%) vs. Shingo Takagi (22%) Kazuchika Okada (33%) vs. Kota Ibushi (65%) So after the first night of action your rankings are: 1. 10 points: Aesculus, Artelier, Carlioo, chirico curvie, duckdealer, Karlos4live, karmicknight 2. 8 points: Dishonest Resume, Dr. Dirt, Eat My Fuc, extradite THIS!, Hellblazer187, HouseOfLeaves99, Jerusalem, marioinblack, Neodoomium, Netsky, Rarity, Seams, take the moon, Thauros, The Junkyard God, Your Personal Muse 3. 6 points: Captain Magic, Chinook, Deathlove, Do not even ask, Dr. Dirt's random picks, Erainor, Fadmonkey, Fentry, Gaz-L, GEORGE W BUSHI, HidaO-Win, I Before E, John Dudebro, Lid, SatoshiMiwa, Schneider Heim, SG Bamboo, TriffTshngo, Veryslightlymad, xbilkis 4. 4 points: Accident Underwater, Gumball Gumption, Power Windows, Rick, Thanlis 5. 2 points: JOHN CENA, LupusApter 6. -2 points: ItohRespectArmy We're off and running, folks!
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Sep 19, 2020 11:34
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