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exmarx
Feb 18, 2012


The experience over the years
of nothing getting better
only worse.
nz was meant to have an election yesterday, but it got postponed to october 17 because of covid. there are also referendums on euthanansia and freaking legalising it.

how does it work
nz uses a ‘mixed-member proportional’ (mmp) electoral system. basically you vote for your preferred party and your local candidate. parties that win more than 5% or get an electorate seat enter parliament. we don’t have a senate or house of lords or whatever. this video shows how mmp works:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pljoleVHFug

who is going to win
the labour party probably. jacinda ardern is insanely popular and the opposition is a mess. the biggest unknown is whether labour can get enough votes to govern alone – this hasn’t happened under mmp before. there’s always a chance that labour can gently caress things up though.

here’s what polling looks like:


the big upswing for labour in may is p much entirely thanks to the government’s covid response:


jacinda leveraged the coercive power of the state (ftw) to lock the whole country down as soon as we had community transmission. as a result, we’ve only had 1,815 cases and 25 deaths. in the meantime the major opposition party imploded – their leader got rolled for being too mean, then his replacement quit after 53 days because he didn’t realise how hard the job was lol. their current leader is a stone cold freak.

who’s running
here are the only parties that matter (probably)

the government parties


labour is the big centre-left party, they haven’t really achieved anything over the past 3 years because they’re afraid of making anybody mad. jacinda is ruthless, a very good communicator, and personally very likeable. they’re desperately trying to avoid releasing any policy at the moment, and being rewarded for it :)


new zealand first is the populist conservative party – anti-immigrant, but anti-neoliberal etc. vaguely similar to ukip, but with more complicated racial politics. they deserve at least part of the blame for blocking a bunch of reforms this term. the party pretty much is winston peters, who quit the national party in the 90s after they went economically liberal. it’s looking unlikely that they will return to parliament, though they do traditionally outperform polls.


the greens are a left-environmentalist party, who have shed most of the hippy anti-vaxx stuff. they have a co-leadership model – james shaw is more mainstream/centrist, while marama davis has a stronger activist background. traditionally the beneficiaries of support from leftish voters who are pissed off with labour, they’re currently polling in the danger zone around 5%. im voting for these guys!!!

the opposition parties


national is the big centre-right party, though they’ve got an increasing number of religious freaks. they still haven’t come to terms with being in opposition, following 9 years under john key’s premiership. judith collins is pretty hard-right economically, tough on crime, and has a socially liberal record on most conscience issues. she’s probably most well known for featuring in a book on her party’s dirty tricks. cool!


the association of consumers and taxpayers (:rolleyes:) is a libertarian party that has polled below 1% for most of the past decade. little david seymour has successfully built their profile through his work on euthanasia legislation, and by appealing to free speech and gun crybabies following the 2019 christchurch mosque attacks.

some parties that are also running

in vague order of popularity:
  • the māori party – indigenous sovereignty party, broke away from labour. were in parliament until 2017, when they got punished for going into coalition with national.
  • new conservative party – american-style reactionaries. bathroom sickos etc.
  • the opportunities party – tech freaks, yimbys, ubi enthusiasts
  • advance new zealand – q-anon, anti-5g, covid is a hoax
  • aotearoa legalise cannabis party – they want to legalise cannabis in aotearoa
  • vision – christian conservatives
  • outdoors – q-anon with a conservationist bent
  • one – christian conservatives

what is going to happen in the referendums
the euthanasia one is probably going to pass, and the weed one is a coinflip. you can read about them here:
referendums.govt.nz

happy to answer any questions, just remember that ‘lord of the rings’ is fail

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Victory Position
Mar 16, 2004

how did the coalition with the Maori Party work out? I remember hearing it disastrous :ohdear:

exmarx
Feb 18, 2012


The experience over the years
of nothing getting better
only worse.
also, here is an incredible video of the big wet guy who quit being national party leader in 2 months
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/poli...itting-day.html

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free
Please note Collins is out if they don't win (they likely won't) meaning National will have had three leadership changes in the span of less than 12 months.

These are the ones that campaign on stability.

The Rabbi T. White
Jul 17, 2008





Victory Position posted:

how did the coalition with the Maori Party work out? I remember hearing it disastrous :ohdear:

yeah it wasn’t a good call for them to do go in to the coalition. One of the leaders had a hate boner for Labour (although to be fair it was somewhat deserved for some Treaty fuckery), but it turns out their voting base really (unsurprisingly) didn’t want to team up with National and abandoned them entirely to go back to voting for Labour.

voiceless anal fricative
May 6, 2007

I think ACT is benefitting more (or at least equally) from dissatisfied national voters than it is from gun nuts and freedom of speech racists

Charles 2 of Spain
Nov 7, 2017

Reminder that you know Judith Collins is just kidding when she says something if her eyebrows are raised.

some plague rats
Jun 5, 2012

by Fluffdaddy
Are One the guys putting up those insane KINGDOM billboards everywhere? Amazingly bad vibe from that lot

exmarx
Feb 18, 2012


The experience over the years
of nothing getting better
only worse.

Crane Fist posted:

Are One the guys putting up those insane KINGDOM billboards everywhere? Amazingly bad vibe from that lot

yeah the spin off did a profile of them
https://thespinoff.co.nz/politics/18-08-2020/a-revelation-in-marton-the-spinoff-meets-new-zealands-newest-christian-party/

they seem to be the least worst of the christian parties!

commie kong
Mar 7, 2019

https://twitter.com/IslaStewart/status/1290173893202780162?s=20

looks good to me

avoid doorways
Jun 6, 2010

'twas brillig
Gun Saliva

slinkimalinki
Jan 17, 2010

I still don't like Bridges/Brigdes, but I do enjoy that he no longer gives a gently caress

Moo Cowabunga
Jun 15, 2009

[Office Worker.




Crane Fist posted:

Are One the guys putting up those insane KINGDOM billboards everywhere? Amazingly bad vibe from that lot

the local one has pulled down the labour one and put hers up in place

they are confusing billboards. party vote one party vote kingdom? I might be reading it wrong but I am driving at 100kp/h past it

Somfin
Oct 25, 2010

In my🦚 experience🛠️ the big things🌑 don't teach you anything🤷‍♀️.

Nap Ghost
Please note that New Zealand has some loving fascinating joke and stunt political parties

xiw
Sep 25, 2011

i wake up at night
night action madness nightmares
maybe i am scum

Cpig Haiku contest 2020 winner

bike tory posted:

I think ACT is benefitting more (or at least equally) from dissatisfied national voters than it is from gun nuts and freedom of speech racists

When ACT get 8% or whatever depending on how bad National do there are going to be some spectacular meltdowns from the gun nut packed list

some plague rats
Jun 5, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Displeased Moo Cow posted:

the local one has pulled down the labour one and put hers up in place

they are confusing billboards. party vote one party vote kingdom? I might be reading it wrong but I am driving at 100kp/h past it

In my commute there's a votesafe billboard right next to the new cons binding referenda one, so if you look at them from the right angle they read "LETHAL DOSE? Yes please"


xiw posted:

When ACT get 8% or whatever depending on how bad National do there are going to be some spectacular meltdowns from the gun nut packed list

Can't wait for ACT to put a bunch of gun fuckers into parliament and then realise they forgot to write any other policies

some plague rats has issued a correction as of 12:21 on Sep 20, 2020

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free

Somfin posted:

Please note that New Zealand has some loving fascinating joke and stunt political parties

Required reading before posting in this thread

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McGillicuddy_Serious_Party

quote:

Central policies in every election included a return to a mediaeval lifestyle, known as the "Great Leap Backwards" and (superficially) the restoration of a monarchy supposedly based on the Scottish Jacobite line, in the name of Bonnie Prince Geoffie the reluctant. At a deeper level the party invoked the political system of Tibetan Buddhism, with "stspm" (singularly transferable spirit possession monarchy) used as justification for the selection of Bonnie Prince Geoffie as the undeniable head of the McState. This embodied the principles stated by the ancient Greeks that "no-one who seeks power should be allowed it." Bonnie Prince Geoffie refused consistently and permanently to have anything to do with the authority that this position gave him, and ran for all he was worth and never had anything to do with party again, thus proving his indisputable worthiness for the position.

Chalupa Joe
Mar 4, 2007

exmarx posted:

vision – christian conservatives

Led by the wife of the guy who burnt his dick in a garbage fire of his own creation.

Accretionist
Nov 7, 2012
I BELIEVE IN STUPID CONSPIRACY THEORIES

Well, I imagine that would be fifth period.

Victory Position
Mar 16, 2004


ah, some homegrown Church of the Sub-Genius

this one sounds pretty well-thought out

Lawman 0
Aug 17, 2010

Ardern is probably the most competent head of government in the anglosphere right now.

dex_sda
Oct 11, 2012


Lawman 0 posted:

Ardern is probably the most competent head of government in the anglosphere right now.

not a high bar to clear, but yes

Firstscion
Apr 11, 2008

Born Lucky

Chalupa Joe posted:

Led by the wife of the guy who burnt his dick in a garbage fire of his own creation.

I love that is not a metaphor. I met my local labour mp Tangi Utikere last week he seemed like and pretty decent guy.

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free

Lawman 0 posted:

Ardern is probably the most competent head of government in the anglosphere right now.

The best part is she’s going to use all this built up power and good will to do exactly loving nothing because labour are terrified of doing anything but spinning their wheels

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free

quote:

Look who I met at Parliament today! Her name is Chica and she’s a very good girl. She was a bit worried about the devastating GDP figures released today, but I was on hand to give her some reassuring pats - my National Government will get us through it.

Chalupa Joe
Mar 4, 2007


Same.

Victory Position
Mar 16, 2004

BARONS CYBER SKULL posted:

The best part is she’s going to use all this built up power and good will to do exactly loving nothing because labour are terrified of doing anything but spinning their wheels

well, the only freight that I know you guys are accepting is by ocean and very stringently too

it's the first time I really got chewed out for IMO guidelines

some plague rats
Jun 5, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Victory Position posted:

ah, some homegrown Church of the Sub-Genius

this one sounds pretty well-thought out

The mcgillicuddies are less obnoxious atheist edgelord and more aging hippies taking the piss, not so much sub-genius and more yippies who never sold out

I've had a lot to do with them and I have an immense affection for them but they are deliberately useless

Lawman 0
Aug 17, 2010

BARONS CYBER SKULL posted:

The best part is she’s going to use all this built up power and good will to do exactly loving nothing because labour are terrified of doing anything but spinning their wheels

lol that owns

Charles 2 of Spain
Nov 7, 2017

It's me, patting a dog and linking it to the GDP, Im very normal you see

Hillary 2024
Nov 13, 2016

by vyelkin
https://twitter.com/garethmorgannz/status/1307582413107654656?s=20

Somfin
Oct 25, 2010

In my🦚 experience🛠️ the big things🌑 don't teach you anything🤷‍♀️.

Nap Ghost

Crane Fist posted:

The mcgillicuddies are less obnoxious atheist edgelord and more aging hippies taking the piss, not so much sub-genius and more yippies who never sold out

I've had a lot to do with them and I have an immense affection for them but they are deliberately useless

One of the (possibly apocryphal) policies they had was transitioning New Zealand to driving on the right-hand side of the road; in order to minimise confusion this would be phased in over the course of five years, starting with the heaviest vehicles on the road and working their way up to the lightest.

redleader
Aug 18, 2005

Engage according to operational parameters

Lawman 0 posted:

Ardern is probably the most competent head of government in the anglosphere right now.

she seems to work well in crisis mode. the rest of the time? eh, she's not aggressively driving to the right so i guess that's a win?

some plague rats
Jun 5, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Somfin posted:

One of the (possibly apocryphal) policies they had was transitioning New Zealand to driving on the right-hand side of the road; in order to minimise confusion this would be phased in over the course of five years, starting with the heaviest vehicles on the road and working their way up to the lightest.

It is literally impossible to not like those guys

some plague rats
Jun 5, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

redleader posted:

she seems to work well in crisis mode. the rest of the time? eh, she's not aggressively driving to the right so i guess that's a win?

The right thrives in the status quo so doing nothing is a win for them every time

Moongrave
Jun 19, 2004

Finally Living Rent Free

Somfin posted:

One of the (possibly apocryphal) policies they had was transitioning New Zealand to driving on the right-hand side of the road; in order to minimise confusion this would be phased in over the course of five years, starting with the heaviest vehicles on the road and working their way up to the lightest.

They also wanted legalised abortion up to 18 years, but only if the mother killed the baby with her own bare hands

this was to annoy everyone on every side of the abortion issue (it worked)

i say swears online
Mar 4, 2005


exmarx posted:

also, here is an incredible video of the big wet guy who quit being national party leader in 2 months
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/poli...itting-day.html



at just after two minutes did i see this dude essentially call that goldsmith guy pocahontas by giving him a maori first name? i can't quite tell because of the accent. lol new zealand racists

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

so do the socialists in New Zealand support the Greens. what about the trade unions.

some plague rats
Jun 5, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Atrocious Joe posted:

so do the socialists in New Zealand support the Greens. what about the trade unions.

Short answer would be generally yes and a mixture of not automatically and no, respectively

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Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



Labour was created by socialists and the trade unions, but only the latter have really stuck with them. Socialists probably have to vote Greens as the structure of MMP means they are currently the only viable tool for moving the government left, but that of course doesn't mean they do (this is doing double duty for both socialists voting for them, and the Greens moving the government left). There are a number of socialist parties, many of which fail to register, but none of them have been able to gain an electorate or poll high enough to get exposure in the last 50 years so they mostly concentrate on activism over electioneering.

i say swears online posted:

at just after two minutes did i see this dude essentially call that goldsmith guy pocahontas by giving him a maori first name? i can't quite tell because of the accent. lol new zealand racists
Pretty much. Winston is himself Māori, and is mocking the idea by calling him Pāora Heke Goldsmith, Pāora being a straight transliteration of Paul and Heke being a fairly notable Māori surname.

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