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Hand Row posted:People are bitching about polling but what is particularly off at this point? The only one I am particular mad about is Gideon since that will probably gently caress the Senate dream. The polls seem to have been off in Trump's favor pretty consistently by about 3% or so. We'll have a better picture when the vote counts are finalized if that holds true.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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Hand Row posted:People are bitching about polling but what is particularly off at this point? The only one I am particular mad about is Gideon since that will probably gently caress the Senate dream. I think that people were hoping we could go to bed restfully and that we'd see a massive repudiation of Trumpism and now are feeling very morose and angsty even though this was the likely outcome all along.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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Biden's deputy campaign manager. Doesn't mean much but they are still confident at least. https://twitter.com/rufusgifford/status/1323850366723727361
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Nov 4, 2020 06:16
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can we ban needles already like, by law, not from the forums
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Nov 4, 2020 06:16
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Silver gets to have this. Silver did not bring us a needle.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:16
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mutata posted:Has anyone else other than Fox called AZ?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1323856166137548801 So is OH the harbinger for MI/WI or is MN
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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Hand Row posted:People are bitching about polling but what is particularly off at this point? The only one I am particular mad about is Gideon since that will probably gently caress the Senate dream. Yeah, the polling forecast final votes, and may not be too far off in most cases. The roller-coaster has come from the way the votes were counted. That's why election night is fun.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:17
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Holy poo poo this thread sucked tonight I asked what arzying was earlier today and now I get it. I thought I was gonna have a panic attack reading it when Trump didn't lose Florida and had to just watch CNN instead. God bless you AZ goons  we're exactly where we thought we'd be a week ago, plus Arizona and GA is still on the table.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:18
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zoux posted:I think that people were hoping we could go to bed restfully and that we'd see a massive repudiation of Trumpism and now are feeling very morose and angsty even though this was the likely outcome all along. Its understandable to be real sad that this could have been over before dinner only for it to drag on and on and the very things that could have ended it decisively like wins in the Old South and Texas being ground to a fine powder agonizingly slowly, leaving our hopes to rest on the things that betrayed us last time.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:18
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1323856166137548801 Minnesota has polled much more closely to WI/MI this cycle than Ohio.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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Grouchio posted:OH COME ON MAAAAAN  DO NOT LOOK AT THE NEEDLE
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1323856166137548801 Based on the demographics MN is closer to MI/WI but OH and MN are equally close to PA
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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zoux posted:https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1323856166137548801 This suggests polls are largely holding which is good for Biden
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Nov 4, 2020 06:19
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congratulations Donald J Trump on winning yet another election despite the democrats tryign their hardest not to win wait a minute,
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Nov 4, 2020 06:20
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I mean I have no idea what happens next but I feel better seeing the numbers slowly get bluer in the Midwest, as opposed to 2016
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Nov 4, 2020 06:20
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I'm still making a scarf out of Fivey
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Nov 4, 2020 06:20
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Sanguinia posted:Its understandable to be real sad that this could have been over before dinner only for it to drag on and on and the very things that could have ended it decisively like wins in the Old South and Texas being ground to a fine powder agonizingly slowly, leaving our hopes to rest on the things that betrayed us last time.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:20
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Uglycat posted:I was bernie-or-bust in 2016. I camped out for the DNC. I was at Standing Rock on election day. I remember climbing Facebook Hill to get updates late that night, taking a turn on the exercize bike that would charge someone's cell phone so we could get a trickle of signal. I was woken up the next morning in my tent by a Yakima woman, announcing that Trump was the victor. This reads like like a write up for a coat in the 2020 J. Peterman catalog.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:21
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Is NC out of reach I sort of lost the plot on that one
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Nov 4, 2020 06:21
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vaginite posted:Holy poo poo this thread sucked tonight I asked what arzying was earlier today and now I get it. As is NC. It's not the resounding, definitive victory that was hoped for, but it's also not 2016 grasping at straws. Biden still has an excellent chance of pulling this off.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:21
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illcendiary posted:I mean I have no idea what happens next but I feel better seeing the numbers slowly get bluer in the Midwest, as opposed to 2016 BTW this is exactly what everyone has been saying would be the case for weeks. By this point in '16, it was cooked.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:22
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I think it's funny reading this thread and seeing the absolute state of panic, and then calling my dad for his birthday who is a hardcore republican and has been watching Fox News literally all day and he is doing the exact same panicking
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Nov 4, 2020 06:22
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Run Fivey through with the Needle and throw them both back into Mt Doom.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:22
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pollsters? More like trollsters!
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Nov 4, 2020 06:23
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weekly font posted:Is NC out of reach I sort of lost the plot on that one It's going to come down to outstanding mailed ballots, which will continue to trickle in for a few days. And then likely some recounts. It's a long shot but not impossible.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:23
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RazzleDazzleHour posted:I think it's funny reading this thread and seeing the absolute state of panic, and then calling my dad for his birthday who is a hardcore republican and has been watching Fox News literally all day and he is doing the exact same panicking Panic and anger are all that unite this country anymore
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Nov 4, 2020 06:23
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Hand Row posted:People are bitching about polling but what is particularly off at this point? The only one I am particular mad about is Gideon since that will probably gently caress the Senate dream.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:23
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More good news from AZ, we're ahead in the effort to keep and MAAAAYBE expand our House Delegation majority to 5-4 or 6-3. Both our uncalled races favor the D by 11-20k votes. And on top of legalizing weed, we're at 54% yes on a tax increase to boost school funding.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:23
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Jewel Repetition posted:Based on the demographics MN is closer to MI/WI but OH and MN are equally close to PA Iirc MN/MI/WI/AZ/NH/NE2 is a Biden win. All of those have now been called for Biden except MI and WI, and their polls tracked MN's closely
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Nov 4, 2020 06:24
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RazzleDazzleHour posted:I think it's funny reading this thread and seeing the absolute state of panic, and then calling my dad for his birthday who is a hardcore republican and has been watching Fox News literally all day and he is doing the exact same panicking https://twitter.com/bennyjohnson/status/1323852281763299329 Fojar38 posted:Iirc MN/MI/WI/AZ/NH/NE2 is a Biden win. Who called NE2
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Nov 4, 2020 06:24
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June 2020: Can Biden win 2 of these 3? WI/MI/PA November 2020: Can Biden win 2 of these 3? WI/MI/PA
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Nov 4, 2020 06:24
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vaginite posted:Holy poo poo this thread sucked tonight I asked what arzying was earlier today and now I get it. yeah arizona is yuuuuuuuge and comes helpfully packaged with a senator!
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Nov 4, 2020 06:24
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RazzleDazzleHour posted:I think it's funny reading this thread and seeing the absolute state of panic, and then calling my dad for his birthday who is a hardcore republican and has been watching Fox News literally all day and he is doing the exact same panicking Haha, I expected this to be the case regardless. Seems like Fox has been fairly bullish on calling states tonight.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:25
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Harlock posted:June 2020: Can Biden win 2 of these 3? WI/MI/PA 
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Nov 4, 2020 06:25
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Finally some loving republican tears. I've been waiting all night.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:25
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It’s strange that Florida gets all their amendments resoundingly right, but fails at everything else.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:25
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mutata posted:Haha, I expected this to be the case regardless. Seems like Fox has been fairly bullish on calling states tonight.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:25
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vaginite posted:Holy poo poo this thread sucked tonight I asked what arzying was earlier today and now I get it. I'm an AZ resident! I feel like we did our part, so hopefully the rest of the nation can pull through. Plus, I really hope that Mark Kelly gets the senate seat. He's been running some really positive, inspirational ads, which are the only ads this season that I actually enjoy seeing.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:26
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538 seems bullish on NE2 right now but yes technically not called yet mb
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Nov 4, 2020 06:26
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