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oystertoadfish
Jun 16, 2003



david mammoth posted:

Granted it's not a perfect comparison but if you look at vaguely comparable races (unpopular Democrat vs. deranged Republican) the pattern's been, yeah, for the crazed candidate to underperform the polls, sometimes dramatically - Sharron Angle was leading Harry Reid in a lot of polls in 2010 and got owned on Election Day and Claire McCaskill ended up winning by a landslide against Todd Akin despite polls showing a toss-up.

alongside the campaign infrastructure advantage i wouldnt be surprised if this was part of the postmortem. we'll know in ten weeks, i guess

btw ive seen some posts implying that nov 8 popular vote % - nov 8 rcp or w/e polling average = hillary gotv advantage, that's probably the best number we've got to estimate it tbh but i dont think we can place much confidence in that estimate

partially because of other potential effects like the 'crazy candidate' hypothesis quoted above, but in general because sometimes the polls are just off. for example, sometimes election-day demographics don't match with guesses made beforehand

btw im sorta intrigued that sam wang's predictions haven't responded to The Tightening very much at all on the presidential level, but the house prediction has gone down sharply:
http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-meta-analysis/


the senate one has dropped too

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Raskolnikov38
Mar 3, 2007

We were somewhere around Manila when the drugs began to take hold







iospace posted:

He's someone I would trust poking around in my brain (find me a brain surgeon who hasn't hosed up with a career like his), but outside of the OR, he's a terrible person.

so he's a doctor then

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.



Kellyanne is mouthing the words to him from stage right.

iospace
Jan 19, 2038




Montasque posted:

Yeah the woman who owned the house said she had no idea they were coming.

She also said that while she's voting for Hillary she was very civil with Trump since he was a guest to her home/city.

What was Trump's reaction to that news?

e:
https://twitter.com/IngrahamAngle/status/772119910860238848
https://twitter.com/SopanDeb/status/772121917448921088
https://twitter.com/SopanDeb/status/772122123129200641

GobiasIndustries
Dec 14, 2007



Lipstick Apathy


Mainstream media never gives Trump a fair shake :qq:

logikv9
Mar 4, 2009




Ham Wrangler

they never pan the cameras, because we force them to glue their cameras into a stationary position

Dr.Zeppelin
Dec 5, 2003



William Bear posted:

These are all stories Ben Carson wrote about. He actually claims these happened.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...m=.266819611b12

I don't blame goons who thought the bear story was from one of his books.

if you were gullible enough to actually think the over-the-top "Gifted Hands(TM)" parody thing was real, that's on you

SirPablo
May 1, 2004



Pillbug

I want to follow the Trump campaign in a taco truck like a 1968 VW bus chasing the Dead.

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004





logikv9 posted:

they never pan the cameras, because we force them to glue their cameras into a stationary position

This is actually true - part of the agreement they used to (possibly still) have to agree to was that they couldn't pan the cameras

GobiasIndustries
Dec 14, 2007



Lipstick Apathy

Chrissy Teigen bringing the heat again
https://twitter.com/chrissyteigen/status/771937243476942849
e:
https://twitter.com/chrissyteigen/status/771942796815196162
https://twitter.com/chrissyteigen/status/771945660769824768

MadJackal
Apr 30, 2004



SirPablo posted:

I want to follow the Trump campaign in a taco truck like a 1968 VW bus chasing the Dead.

In an alternative universe, I would have loved to have done this. Just sign up to be some lovely newspaper's correspondent, filing reports from the road from the Straight Taco Express, interviewing every Trump That Bitch-clad redcap along the way. I'd bear witness to this country's sins and write a book about all the horrible poo poo Real Americans believed.

Dapper_Swindler
Feb 14, 2012

Im glad my instant dislike in you has been validated again and again.


so then why does she want to trump, because trump has never had to do any of that poo poo ever.

Karl Sharks
Feb 20, 2008

The Immortal Science of Sharksism-Fininism



Dapper_Swindler posted:

so then why does she want to trump, because trump has never had to do any of that poo poo ever.

:thejoke:

Jose
Jul 24, 2007





bob durst is also a new york billionaire is he friends with trump and have they murdered someone together?

etalian
Mar 20, 2006



lol
http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/09/03/492534979/taco-truck-owner-racks-up-sales-at-trump-event-in-detroit

quote:

Donald Trump's visit to an African American church in Detroit brought both cheers and protests Saturday — but one of the star attractions was a taco truck. One of the humble vehicles, which now straddle the worlds of political symbol and internet meme, was parked outside.

The Tacos El Caballo truck set up near Great Faith Ministries International to provide a counterpoint to critics of U.S. immigration policy, its owners told Michigan Public Radio's Rick Pluta.

Nancy Paz, who immigrated from Mexico, tells Pluta that she parked her family's taco truck near the church Trump visited on Detroit's west side Saturday in the hope that the Republican presidential candidate might glimpse it on his way in.

"Because Donald say the Mexican people, they doesn't work," Paz told Pluta. "We come here to say, yes, we work hard, for the family."

The truck did brisk business this morning — so much so that a form of surge pricing kicked in, raising the price for a steak, pork, or chicken taco from $1.50 to $2.50, Pluta reports.

Karl Sharks
Feb 20, 2008

The Immortal Science of Sharksism-Fininism




i think this might be a ploy by trump to have easy access to tacos after every event he does

i'd totally do the same thing

etalian
Mar 20, 2006



Karl Sharks posted:

i think this might be a ploy by trump to have easy access to tacos after every event he does

i'd totally do the same thing

hillary should provide free mexican food catering to trump events

gret
Dec 12, 2005

goggle-eyed freak





The Mexican businesspeople are so much smarter than our businesspeople.

Shageletic
Jul 25, 2007


[url=https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3897992]



Jose posted:

bob durst is also a new york billionaire is he friends with trump and have they murdered someone together?

There's a pretty amusing quote from Durst's brother about Trump claiming to be one of the biggest NYC land developer.

Like patting on his head amusing.

Trump doesn't have his siblings killing people though. He'd rather just have his sibling's kid die because he withheld his insurance.

Despera
Jun 6, 2011
Probation
Can't post for 5 hours!


DrPlump
Oct 5, 2004

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS


Hillary gone full taco

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008







:taco: estoy con ella :taco:

Agronox
Feb 4, 2005


I'm not asking for much, Election Gods, just ONE photo of Donald J. Trump in a dashiki. Please?

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx


HappyHippo posted:

it looks like he's pushing her away

:thejoke:

etalian
Mar 20, 2006




lmao hill didn't use the authentic taco

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008






no necesitamos hacer que estados unidos sea grande otra vez—estados unidos es grande porque estados unidos es bueno

y estados unidos es bueno porque estados unidos tiene tacos :patriot:

Turdfuzz
Jul 23, 2008



Squizzle posted:

no necesitamos hacer que estados unidos sea grande otra vez—estados unidos es grande porque estados unidos es bueno

y estados unidos es bueno porque estados unidos tiene tacos :patriot:

im gonna need to see your papers

Corny
Feb 18, 2006

i am scared

Squizzle posted:

no necesitamos hacer que estados unidos sea grande otra vez—estados unidos es grande porque estados unidos es bueno

y estados unidos es bueno porque estados unidos tiene tacos :patriot:

*in incredibly ann coulter voice* god i cant believe there are people that speak languages other than english! why do i have to hear spanish all the time??

Phi230
Feb 2, 2016

by Fluffdaddy


Y habla espanol un poquito

La bana es ahar; aqui es no bueno por su mierda

iospace
Jan 19, 2038




Does Trump have a rally tonight?

Please tell me has a rally tonight.

Phi230
Feb 2, 2016

by Fluffdaddy


Agronox posted:

I'm not asking for much, Election Gods, just ONE photo of Donald J. Trump in a dashiki. Please?

Oh god yes, for maximum failed minority outreach

DrPlump
Oct 5, 2004

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS


Wait we have been talking about actual food tacos this entire time!?!

Youth Decay
Aug 17, 2015

a little too tithonic
yeah I really do think


a lesbian adventure comedy/porno called The Taco Truck

iospace
Jan 19, 2038




DrPlump posted:

Wait we have been talking about actual food tacos this entire time!?!

No, we've been talking about your lovely posting :jerkbag:

GobiasIndustries
Dec 14, 2007



Lipstick Apathy

iospace posted:

Does Trump have a rally tonight?

Please tell me has a rally tonight.

No he's off till Tuesday it looks like. On the positive side of things, Labor Day weekend might mean Trump alone with his twitter account for a few days.

Squizzle
Apr 24, 2008






Youth Decay posted:

a lesbian adventure comedy/porno called The Taco Truck

please don't post your clinton email phishing plans itt

Karl Sharks
Feb 20, 2008

The Immortal Science of Sharksism-Fininism



#MakeTwitterWhiteAgain

White Nationalists Love Twitter And Donald Trump, Report Says

quote:

It’s confirmed: White nationalists on Twitter now outnumber members and sympathizers of the Islamic State (ISIS) thanks to Donald Trump’s campaign. At least that’s what one study published by George Washington University’s extremism program found.

“White nationalist users referenced Trump more than almost any other topic, and Trump-related hashtags outperformed every white nationalist hashtag except for #whitegenocide within the sets of users examined,” wrote J. M. Berger, the study’s author and renowned terrorism expert.

Berger identified over 25,000 “seed” accounts of people who have connections to white nationalist organizations or leaders on and offline.



White nationalist sentiments on Twitter increased 600 percent in 2012 due to a spike in activism and people who identified with white nationalism joining the service, along with a rise in “ organized trolling communities seeking to flood social media platforms with negative content,” the report states.

Those individuals then hitched to Donald Trump’s presidential campaign. The number of followers for major white nationalist Twitter “seed” accounts jumped from 3,542 in 2012 to 25,406 in 2016.

The #whitegenocide hashtag was by far the most popular with #tcot (top conservatives on twitter) coming in second. But together, Trump-related tags — #Trump2016, #Trump, and #MakeAmericaGreatAgain — appeared more often and had nearly as many uses as #whitegenocide. White nationalists used Trump hashtags 9,201 times while Nazi sympathizers used them 6,628 times.



But despite being a prime topic of conversation, Trump is merely a conduit for white nationalists’ prime talking points: the mistreatment of whites. “Less than 1% of white nationalist accounts tweeted exclusively about Donald Trump,” Berger wrote. Instead many accounts had varied interests split between discussing anti-Islam or anti-Muslim beliefs, sharing Nazi imagery, and other white nationalist ideas.

White nationalists on Twitter are the opposite: “Red Pill” white nationalists, who took their name from The Matrix movie and set out to “awaken” people to the realities of an anti-white agenda, skew antagonistic and gear their messages toward users they consider to be “anti-white,” the report found. They also tweet more, averaging 33 tweets a day. And where ISIS recruiters try to welcome newcomers, white nationalists bond over “feelings of disenfranchisement or dislike of minorities.”



has to feel weird talking about pepe in a legitimate study

Montasque
Jul 17, 2003

Living in a hateful world sending me straight to Heaven


https://twitter.com/thehill/status/772137850313830401
https://twitter.com/ditzkoff/status/772118873231482880

Happy Noodle Boy
Jul 3, 2002



Pepe the frog being discussed as a central image of racist circles tells me I live in the best timeline.

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eonwe
Aug 11, 2008



Lipstick Apathy


if laura ingraham killed herself, i would think that would be good

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