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kalensc
Sep 10, 2003

Unexpected benefit: I'm having much more fun now.

Really.


I reckon that Labo(u)r Day weekend (or, the following week when cases spike) will be the first breaking point, and as fall approaches each sport will buckle under the pressure from players and general population.

Days:

MLB: 42
NHL: 39
NBA: 23
NFL: 43

Positives:

MLB: 255
NHL: 99
NBA: 42
NFL: 420

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abuse culture.
Sep 8, 2004

food on the table


(1) How many days will each league last, from opening day? If you think the championship will be awarded, just answer "complete." If you think the season will get canceled before opening day, feel free to answer with a negative. For seasons that do start but do not finish, we'll compare them by % of scheduled games played before the shutdown.

MLB: COMPLETE
NHL: COMPLETE
NBA: COMPLETE
NFL: 40

(2) First tiebreaker. How many players from each sport will end up contracting SARS-CoV-2?

MLB: 116
NHL: 40
NBA: 71
NFL: 250 plus a death

Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..

Entry closes with mlb first pitch this afternoon.

Duckman2008
Jan 6, 2010

TFW you see Flyers goaltending.

Grimey Drawer

US isn’t cancelling sports , they’re gonna run this shot into the ground


MLB: complete
NHL: complete
NBA: complete
NFL: complete

(2) First tiebreaker. How many players from each sport will end up contracting SARS-CoV-2?

MLB: 80
NHL: 60
NBA: 60
NFL: 100

Kilza
Oct 3, 2013



(1) How many days will each league last, from opening day? If you think the championship will be awarded, just answer "complete." If you think the season will get canceled before opening day, feel free to answer with a negative. For seasons that do start but do not finish, we'll compare them by % of scheduled games played before the shutdown.

MLB: 36 days
NHL: Complete
NBA: Complete
NFL: Complete (because lol at them actually cancelling their season)

(2) First tiebreaker. How many players from each sport will end up contracting SARS-CoV-2?

MLB: 272
NHL: 18
NBA: 23
NFL: 824 (+ a bunch of fans who willingly sign waivers to watch games in person because FOOTBALL) (...and also a couple of players dead since why not)

NHL and NBA walk away relatively unscathed due to their bubbles (with the NHL thankfully away from the disaster that is the US), while the MLB becomes a casualty of flying everywhere to play their games, eventually forcing them to abandon the season. The NFL is a disaster due to the amount of players on the teams and also having to fly to each other's stadium, but refuse to let the virus stop them from finishing the season, as many of their fans keep angrily tweeting "don't let this stupid virus cancel my football!!!"

Note that this may not actually be how I see things happening and may just be what I put for some quirky predicting.

Roth
Jul 9, 2016



(1) How many days will each league last, from opening day? If you think the championship will be awarded, just answer "complete." If you think the season will get canceled before opening day, feel free to answer with a negative. For seasons that do start but do not finish, we'll compare them by % of scheduled games played before the shutdown.

MLB: Complete
NFL: Complete
NHL: Complete
NBA: Complete

(2) First tiebreaker. How many players from each sport will end up contracting SARS-CoV-2?

MLB: 300
NFL: 400
NHL: 23
NBA: 46

Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..

And with that, official submissions are closed. Feel free to use this thread for side bets or whatever.

Katana_Warrior
Dec 25, 2009



My guess of 24 days for the MLB was way too generous

Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..

Katana_Warrior posted:

My guess of 24 days for the MLB was way too generous

JawKnee at 7 days in real good position right now.

Gerund
Sep 12, 2007

He push a man




My 1 day wager was predicated on an earlier outbreak and a stubborn push to get 1 day in for various contract / service year provisions; that 7 day wager was wise because its really about teams refusing to do the second series after an outbreak.

Bird in a Blender
Nov 17, 2005

It's amazing what they can do with computers these days.


Cardinals now testing positive and games are getting postponed. So how many teams need to be sitting out for MLB to finally call this off? We're at 3? 4? now. I said 30 days, and who knows, maybe MLB will be so stubborn they make it that far.

LionYeti
Oct 11, 2008





Grimey Drawer

Bird in a Blender posted:

Cardinals now testing positive and games are getting postponed. So how many teams need to be sitting out for MLB to finally call this off? We're at 3? 4? now. I said 30 days, and who knows, maybe MLB will be so stubborn they make it that far.

Basically the owners don't want the season but don't want to be seen to not want it. They're gonna limp along till some outside force stops them.

JawKnee
Mar 24, 2007




A short fuse to scatter steady hands if I forget to remember that better lives have been lived in the margins and locked in the prisons and lost on the gallows than have ever been enshrined in palaces



Hand Knit posted:

JawKnee at 7 days in real good position right now.

too bad about my NHL prediction

Bird in a Blender
Nov 17, 2005

It's amazing what they can do with computers these days.


Now that MLB seems to have weathered the first storm, I'm not sure they will ever shutdown. Well, if they get to like 6 teams sitting at once, they may finally do it.

the yellow dart
Jul 19, 2004

King of rings, armlocks, hugs, and our hearts

Bird in a Blender posted:

Now that MLB seems to have weathered the first storm, I'm not sure they will ever shutdown. Well, if they get to like 6 teams sitting at once, they may finally do it.

They're tasting the revenue right now; sports are going to finish out the year.

bawfuls
Oct 28, 2009

Plague Champion


yeah they're gonna go the distance now unless someone real famous dies

Edward Mass
Sep 14, 2011

The Timeless Child is THE DOCTOR? Oh, for God's sake!


bawfuls posted:

yeah they're gonna go the distance now unless someone real famous dies

Well, they weren't famous, and they didn't die, but....

Cocaine Bear
Nov 4, 2011




Once again, global plague somehow gets beat down the stretch by racism.

Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..

Congratulations to the NHL for reaching the end of the season.

Cases during the bubble: officially 0

Cases in phase 2 (league testing before training camp): Officially 43, I think

habeasdorkus
Nov 3, 2013

Royalty is a continuous shitposting motion.

Hand Knit posted:

Congratulations to the NHL for reaching the end of the season.

Cases during the bubble: officially 0

Cases in phase 2 (league testing before training camp): Officially 43, I think

Honestly amazing. The NBA is gonna be real low too.

Bird in a Blender
Nov 17, 2005

It's amazing what they can do with computers these days.


In hindsight, it seems like it was silly to think any leagues would shutdown. They will do anything to keep things going. Even College football is somehow doing it and they have very little control over their players lives.

Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..

Both the NBA and MLB completed their seasons.

I believe the NBA registered no official positive tests. The MLB, of course, we obviously have to wait on for a few more days.

habeasdorkus
Nov 3, 2013

Royalty is a continuous shitposting motion.

The NBA and NHL bubbles were extraordinarily successful. And also sound like they really, really sucked for the players and staff and folks who were stuck inside.

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Hand Knit
Oct 24, 2005

Beer Loses more than a game Sunday ...
We lost our Captain, our Teammate, our Friend Kelly Calabro...
Rest in Peace my friend you will be greatly missed..

Hand Knit posted:

Both the NBA and MLB completed their seasons.

I believe the NBA registered no official positive tests. The MLB, of course, we obviously have to wait on for a few more days.

This article from when Turner tested positive on the final day gives us 92 for MLB.

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