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With Biden having won Wisconsin (suck it from the back, Donnie, you lost, but I'll give you Alaska), here are the clinching scenarios per 270 to Win: PA+any of GA/MI/NC/AZ GA+one of MI/NC MI+NC AZ+NV+any of GA/MI/NC Trump would need no less than four of the above, but in any combination. e- And holy poo poo, the race in Georgia got tight all of a sudden. 
CBJSprague24 fucked around with this message at 20:42 on Nov 4, 2020 |
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Nov 4, 2020 20:35
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facialimpediment posted:One thing about all this that I need to remember going forward - polls are bad and Cole was right 
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Nov 4, 2020 20:40
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CBJSprague24 posted:With Biden having won Wisconsin (suck it from the back, Donnie, you lost, but I'll give you Alaska), here are the clinching scenarios per 270 to Win: Of these: Pennsylvania is for Trump by about ~460,000 NC is for Trump by ~77,000 Georgia is for Trump by ~70,000 Arizona is for Biden by ~93,000 Michigan is for Biden by ~45,000 So Biden is looking good for Arizona and Michigan, which gets him right to the 270 threshold. We're kind of waiting for Pennsylvania to get through all their mail in ballots before it can be called. As Nero Danced fucked around with this message at 20:49 on Nov 4, 2020 |
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Nov 4, 2020 20:44
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https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/524460-error-in-edison-research-data-from-arizona-only-86-of-vote-in-not-98 Apparently there are a lot more votes to go in Arizona than originally reported, and as the vote goes on Trump closes the gap. How possible is it he flips it back red? GoGoGadget fucked around with this message at 20:54 on Nov 4, 2020 |
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Nov 4, 2020 20:48
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Tyro posted:
Suntory Toki is very smoky and peaty, like a scotch. Suntory Hibiki, which is just above the $50 mark ($60-$80), is my go-to and is more sweet fire, without the smoke of Toki. I'd say Hibiki is more demonstrative of Japanese whiskey. Costco also has bottles of Kaiyo, which I haven't tried, but keep eyeing. Any trip reports?
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Nov 4, 2020 20:54
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GoGoGadget posted:https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/524460-error-in-edison-research-data-from-arizona-only-86-of-vote-in-not-98 It's the problem with the late early vote versus the standard early vote. Here's Nate Cohn: https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324071703400665088?s=19 Fox/AP don't think the numbers work out for a flip and it's apparently likely they don't.
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Nov 4, 2020 20:57
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Not to try and back seat mod, but why are you guys talking about whiskey in the election thread? Seems like this is just the replacement for the general thread since we were told not to discuss election results there. So what was the point?
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Nov 4, 2020 20:58
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cal prop 22 passed by 2 million votes. we really hate our app based workers.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:01
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ded posted:cal prop 22 passed by 2 million votes. we really hate our app based workers. I think it’s that California likes its inexpensive jitney cabs and food delivery more.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:12
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Wombot posted:Like Anders said, Yamazaki is pretty good, but I think it's more like a $100 bottle most places. Suntory Toki is very smoky and peaty, like a scotch. Suntory Hibiki, which is just above the $50 mark ($60-$80), is my go-to and is more sweet fire, without the smoke of Toki. I'd say Hibiki is more demonstrative of Japanese whiskey. Costco also has bottles of Kaiyo, which I haven't tried, but keep eyeing. Any trip reports? [/quote] Toki is the one I have. I'm not really a whisky or scotch guy so I decided to get the lowest priced Japanese one they had vs getting a high end one to try. Honestly I suck at being able to tell and appreciate the taste of scotch and whiskey. When people say smoky and peat, all I think of is its tastes like a throat medicine and/or what rocket fuel must taste like.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:12
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ded posted:cal prop 22 passed by 2 million votes. we really hate our app based workers. California is an incestuous relationship of NIMBYism, bad direct democracy, and toxic tech bro culture. quote:When people say smoky and peat, all I think of is its tastes like a throat medicine and/or what rocket fuel must taste like. Yeah, I'm just finally at the point where I can appreciate bourbon and the quality difference between various ones. Scotch tastes like hair spray.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:13
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gently caress I hate this so much gently caress internet companies
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Nov 4, 2020 21:15
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GoGoGadget posted:Not to try and back seat mod
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Nov 4, 2020 21:17
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GoGoGadget posted:https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/524460-error-in-edison-research-data-from-arizona-only-86-of-vote-in-not-98 CNN has had it at 86 all day, I think.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:21
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Midjack posted:I think it’s that California likes its inexpensive jitney cabs and food delivery more. This'd be a tough fight anywhere in America even without the companies putting their fingers on the scale. Especially now that people are so reliant on food delivery which, despite how little the drivers are getting paid, is still extremely expensive.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:22
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the overseas owns are beginning to arrive https://twitter.com/khamenei_ir/status/1324060283103518721 facialimpediment posted:One thing about all this that I need to remember going forward - polls are bad and Cole was right 
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Nov 4, 2020 21:22
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ded posted:cal prop 22 passed by 2 million votes. we really hate our app based workers. I had no expectation for prop 22 to fail. They dumped hundreds of millions into advertising and used the app to push support.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:22
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Flying_Crab posted:California is an incestuous relationship of NIMBYism, bad direct democracy, and toxic tech bro culture. California is a prime of example of the failures of democracy both in terms of it's people via ballot measures and it's legislature and the weirdo stuff they do. Funny you mention bourbon as I prefer that too. Also it was my dad's originally drink until a friend who he want to Jewish services, and who was an officer, (jokingly) told him that he needed to drink scotch if he was going to become an officer (he didn't, but became a scotch guy ever since then). As someone who used to live in Montgomery County, I was hoping for better margins. But perhaps they are good enough, but this was big rear end blue county. https://twitter.com/katieemeyer4/status/1324083633527861250?s=21
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Nov 4, 2020 21:24
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facialimpediment posted:One thing about all this that I need to remember going forward - polls are bad and Cole was right Don't shut up Cole
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Nov 4, 2020 21:33
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https://twitter.com/scotusblog/status/1324089773783470080?s=21
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Nov 4, 2020 21:43
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i trust cops more than I trust polling firms.
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Nov 4, 2020 21:44
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Fallom posted:This'd be a tough fight anywhere in America even without the companies putting their fingers on the scale. Especially now that people are so reliant on food delivery which, despite how little the drivers are getting paid, is still extremely expensive. What do you mean expensive? I mean if I go to the habit and order a 2 burgers 2 fries and 2 shakes its like $22 but if I get it from doordash it's only about $40-45 plus tip!
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Nov 4, 2020 22:05
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Wombot posted:
Yeah I probably should have mentioned that about the taste, thanks. I haven't had Hibiki in years, I mostly drink bourbon these days, but yeah I remember it being good. I'll have to keep an eye out for a bottle.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:07
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CBJSprague24 posted:With Biden having won Wisconsin (suck it from the back, Donnie, you lost, but I'll give you Alaska), here are the clinching scenarios per 270 to Win: Biden wins Michigan. New scenarios: Any of Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, or Arizona+Nevada will do it.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:18
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Yeah, CNN just called MI for Biden
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Nov 4, 2020 22:18
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Decision Desk called Michigan too. Barring weird poo poo in Nevada/Arizona, we're done here. And about Pennsylvania: https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1324098639749406720?s=19 https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324100043264217090?s=19 facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 22:24 on Nov 4, 2020 |
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Nov 4, 2020 22:22
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Thanks for all your posts, facialimpediment. Keep them coming as long as we need them. It'd be ironic if all of the hemming and hawing about Pennsylvania is for naught. I flipped to FOX for a second out of spite and there's a financial analyst on aho said the Market's 350 Point gain is possibly due to the certainty of Biden winning and some finality as to the makeup of the House and Senate. CBJSprague24 fucked around with this message at 22:26 on Nov 4, 2020 |
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Nov 4, 2020 22:24
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 CRITICAL ELECTION UPDATE https://twitter.com/courierjournal/status/1324057305407737856
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Nov 4, 2020 22:29
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Fister Roboto posted:
this is change I believe in.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:30
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Fister Roboto posted:
When travelling the states back in 2010 my best friend and I put on a guerrilla gig for one of his predecessors. He seemed to really like it; the two other humans we saw there did too.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:31
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https://twitter.com/CJMPadres23/status/1324093798687731712?s=09 Cue up Joe in Aviators.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:32
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CBJSprague24 posted:https://twitter.com/CJMPadres23/status/1324093798687731712?s=09 nice
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Nov 4, 2020 22:33
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CBJSprague24 posted:https://twitter.com/CJMPadres23/status/1324093798687731712?s=09 Nice
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Nov 4, 2020 22:34
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Nice
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Nov 4, 2020 22:37
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ded posted:What do you mean expensive? I mean if I go to the habit and order a 2 burgers 2 fries and 2 shakes its like $22 but if I get it from doordash it's only about $40-45 plus tip! Almost all of that goes straight into DoorDash’s pockets, too. I’ve done some DoorDash driving to make some money between semesters, etc and it’s just a constant barrage of declining $4 for a 10 mile drive until I finally get one that’ll pay more than a dollar a mile. Easily 3-4 declined runs before I get one that’s worth the gas money.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:43
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CBJSprague24 posted:Thanks for all your posts, facialimpediment. Keep them coming as long as we need them. Of course the market is happy, it's their dream scenario: Trump out so no more surprise sanctions or stupid decisions but a Republican Senate so no new laws that could tax businesses. I'm a WI voter and my vote mattered but I really wish it didn't need to.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:44
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CNN says Trump may give up on a Wisconsin recount. Sounds like Arizona's ballots will be in by 9 p.m. Eastern.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:45
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CBJSprague24 posted:Thanks for all your posts, facialimpediment. Keep them coming as long as we need them. I dunno PA still seems really important. Biden is barely ahead in Nevada, and he needs to win it and Arizona to just get to like 270. A win in PA means he is clearly beyond the 270 point.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:45
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CBJSprague24 posted:CNN says Trump may give up on a Wisconsin recount. He probably can’t afford it
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Nov 4, 2020 22:47
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Did Nevada explain why they stopped counting today? For a little while I thought they were going to take a break tomorrow and begin again Friday so I'm glad I was wrong on that, but still.
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Nov 4, 2020 22:48
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