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orange juche posted:Just blaring on the foghorn of "we don't like you if you're not cis, white, and male" seems to be the last thing the GOP has in the tank. The key is that's what's in the brains of the Republican funders (like Elon). Donnie doesn't directly have the money, so he's airing the poo poo that gets him the SuperPAC money. Donnie's people hope that it also executes a bank shot of "Kamala is too liberal!" as a side effect. It's a lot like how Donnie's direct poo poo is almost all about immigration when most don't give a gently caress. Future Forward PAC is the main democratic equivalent and they're HAMMERING the "Donnie will give rich people tax cuts... here is secret video of him promising rich people tax cuts! BTW here's a worker named Buddy watching the clip and saying 'i'm not rich as hell" and that's why Kamala's fought the economy issues to a draw.
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Nov 3, 2024 01:24
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I've been living out of the country for the past 8 years (and will be for the foreseeable future), so it's been pretty great being able to mostly ignore... *gestures vaguely* But I still intentionally subject myself to lifespan shortening levels of stress, especially around election time. 
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Nov 3, 2024 01:25
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facialimpediment posted:The key is that's what's in the brains of the Republican funders (like Elon). Donnie doesn't directly have the money, so he's airing the poo poo that gets him the SuperPAC money. Donnie's people hope that it also executes a bank shot of "Kamala is too liberal!" as a side effect. It's a lot like how Donnie's direct poo poo is almost all about immigration when most don't give a gently caress. Trump also has not given a single good answer (hell not even really a coherent one for that matter) in response to any of the questions he's gotten about how he'll fix the economy throughout this entire campaign season. That's not hyperbole: every time he gets asked about anything economic he veers into the same rambling poo poo about tariffs, a few confusing sentences about manufacturing, and a bunch of his signature superlative sentences that say literally nothing. Not that Americans hugely care about the nitty gritty details of economic policy, but Trump hasn't even been putting forth, like, the concepts of a plan, there's literally nothing for people to even grasp at. Every time the economy is brought up in debates, town halls, interviews it's the same thing. Lowkey it's one of the most remarkable things about his campaign: he somehow has managed to lose the Republican's seemingly unbreakable reputation for being better at the economy. Wrt the transphobia stuff, that was pretty soundly and unambiguously rejected by voters in 2022, but yeah the people writing the biggest checks to republicans love it so it's a cornerstone of gop messaging now. One of the big things I come back to about this election so far is how muddled and just generally off-message republicans have been for months now on any issue that isn't basically 14 words or transphobia. Meanwhile dems have had probably the longest straight run of just rock solid messaging that I've ever seen out of them. Herstory Begins Now fucked around with this message at 01:43 on Nov 3, 2024 |
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Nov 3, 2024 01:40
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Herstory Begins Now posted:Trump also has not given a single good answer (hell not even really a coherent one for that matter) in response to any of the questions he's gotten about how he'll fix the economy throughout this entire campaign season. That's not hyperbole: every time he gets asked about anything economic he veers into the same rambling poo poo about tariffs, a few confusing sentences about manufacturing, and a bunch of his signature superlative sentences that say literally nothing. Not that Americans hugely care about the nitty gritty details of economic policy, but Trump hasn't even been putting forth, like, the concepts of a plan, there's literally nothing for people to even grasp at. Every time the economy is brought up in debates, town halls, interviews it's the same thing. Lowkey it's one of the most remarkable things about his campaign: he somehow has managed to lose the Republican's seemingly unbreakable reputation for being better at the economy. In his mind, a good answer is "You're going to see our bigly plans very soon.": non-committal, vague, open-ended, and utter bullshit his base will buy. It was either The Daily Show or Kimmel that did a supercut of him endlessly teasing the Obamacare replacement he's had being just a couple weeks away for 7 years now.
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Nov 3, 2024 01:53
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I could see the Iowa voters being loving furious about trump’s tariff plans. Those royally hosed farmers over during the last go around because china imposed retaliatory tariffs on corn and other ag products.
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Nov 3, 2024 02:47
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"And I'm just here to remind you, you got this! Because you can do something your opponent cannot do. You can open doors." https://x.com/nbcsnl/status/1852921270159163900?t=7IExdllu0rn9ATIbbhvBbg&s=19
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Nov 3, 2024 03:52
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facialimpediment posted:"And I'm just here to remind you, you got this! Because you can do something your opponent cannot do. You can open doors." drat that's a good cold open
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Nov 3, 2024 04:06
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orange juche posted:drat that's a good cold open Another line from SNL-Donnie: The last time I hated a mic this much, I tried to have him killed!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6Funs6yyEw
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Nov 3, 2024 04:54
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facialimpediment posted:Another line from SNL-Donnie: The last time I hated a mic this much, I tried to have him killed!" Even in Trump makeup James Austin Johnson looks far more like Mike Pence than Trump imo
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Nov 3, 2024 08:50
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I believe today's NYT-Siena polls are going to be the last polls of the entire cycle - and hooray there are no surprises. A bit odd that they came up with Harris by a bit in Nevada, but everything's all toss-ups again as expected. Have your weed, booze, and/or busybody activities ready for Tuesday/Wednesday!
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Nov 3, 2024 14:21
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There's this weird little mechanic's shop? Maybe just some dude's little hobby shop? I drive by every day and today I noticed he had a black flag flying up on a big long stick. It was a garbage bag. They really are weird.
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Nov 3, 2024 14:46
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facialimpediment posted:I believe today's NYT-Siena polls are going to be the last polls of the entire cycle - and hooray there are no surprises. A bit odd that they came up with Harris by a bit in Nevada, but everything's all toss-ups again as expected. You buried the lede from that poll: quote:Among voters who said they made up their minds in the last few days about which candidate to support, Harris leads Trump 58% to 42%. Strikes me as extremely good news.
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Nov 3, 2024 15:13
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psydude posted:You buried the lede from that poll: 42% of these people seeing and hearing trump the last few weeks and saying “yeah that’s my guy” is a bit concerning long term.
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Nov 3, 2024 15:15
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boop the snoot posted:42% of these people seeing and hearing trump the last few weeks and saying “yeah that’s my guy” is a bit concerning long term. 42% is pretty good historically. These are the same people that paid attention for a few weeks and gave us Bush(es) and Reagan.
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Nov 3, 2024 15:22
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at literally every stage of this country's history a significant portion of Americans have had insanely bad opinions vov
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Nov 3, 2024 15:23
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My plan for Tuesday is to go for a long run after work, come home and shower, then take an edible and play Diablo or Black Ops till I fall asleep. I can't say I won't check my phone or the news at any point, but I no longer have news alerts on my phone. So unless it looks like a blowout by 10PM, I ain't tuning into poo poo. Otherwise, I will get in on the shitposting action. Kaiser Schnitzel posted:There's this weird little mechanic's shop? Maybe just some dude's little hobby shop? I drive by every day and today I noticed he had a black flag flying up on a big long stick. They so desperately want to be victims at every loving turn, and it's exhausting for everyone else to put up with.
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Nov 3, 2024 15:25
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Laughing Zealot posted:Even in Trump makeup James Austin Johnson looks far more like Mike Pence than Trump imo He's the only one I've heard though that actually can do the voice.
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Nov 3, 2024 15:33
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psydude posted:Strikes me as extremely good news. Nope, it's mixed. The analysis article has this bit: quote:The survey does offer a clue that voters have been shifting down the stretch. We asked voters when they decided to support their candidate. Among those who said they decided over “the last few days,” Ms. Harris had a 58-42 lead — including leading, 66-34, among late deciders in the Sun Belt, while Mr. Trump led, 60-40, among late deciders in the North. Which is an inversion of what everyone else has seen, late deciders breaking Kamala in the north. Likely an artifact of small sample sizes. And also, more information on why the Selzer poll might be right: abortion. Steve Kornacki posted:June: DMR poll has Trump +18 vs. Biden in Iowa The presidential race has ignored the state, but there are competitive house races blanketing the air and women are pissed about the abortion ban. Plausible to me!
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Nov 3, 2024 16:04
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https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1852812012478398923
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Nov 3, 2024 16:53
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Tuesday feels like a day I know I'm going to go insane, do usual poo poo at work and once I get home it's bashing F5 and drugs. I know it's mentally not good and poo poo but after listening to all the political bullshit for the past 4+ years, to ignore the biggest night, even if no clear winner is announced is to me like turning off a 4 year movie the minute before the killer is revealed or something to the equivalent of that. Plus, the moment I saw, was it Megyn Kelly?, run down the hallways to the Fox News "election team" room on live tv to really confirm that Obama was on track to win in (2012 wtf are years these days) was amazing and worth it to watch and would love to see some recreation like that with Harris on live tv. More importantly though: facialimpediment posted:TO YOUR YEARS OF POSTING I just want to call you out and recognize you. I really appreciate all of your posts, when I see that smiley avatar I know I'm in for some good info and just general funny/interesting/important political poo poo I'd miss in the mess of social media/news. So after all these years, elections and posts, thank you. Really.
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Nov 3, 2024 17:00
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NJersey posted:More importantly though: 
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Nov 3, 2024 17:03
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Herstory Begins Now posted:at literally every stage of every country's history a significant portion of everyone have had insanely bad opinions vov Ftfy
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Nov 3, 2024 17:14
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NJersey posted:More importantly though:  For what it's worth, my background is in political science and applied statistics (emphasis on polling/samples), so I'm full of poo poo, but possibly less full of poo poo than others. And it's annoying that I have a decent event memory, so when I see today's poo poo like this: https://x.com/AccountableGOP/status/1853117997910561172?t=Nn1txICiOKOQ39OqAsF1Rg&s=19 https://x.com/Redistrict/status/1853124567692091762?t=HuE97wgqxC-q2p7dnCqsYw&s=19 I think it's 2016 with a better democratic candidate. Donnie sounded just like this when he was internally getting projections of "you're hosed and going to lose", with similar campaign fingerpointing. Bluesky has a thing of "make two election predictions you coward". So, my prediction result is 270-268 Kamala, with Kamala sweeping the blue wall states by at least 2%, with a huge possibility of a blue sweep. I think the post-election period will be relatively quiet, with a bajillion lawsuits and lots of Donnie mouth noises, but nobody shows up, just like his big call for people at his NY trial.
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Nov 3, 2024 17:31
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AreWeDrunkYet posted:42% is pretty good historically. These are the same people that paid attention for a few weeks and gave us Bush(es) and Reagan. Rehnquist paid attention for a lot more than a few weeks. Herstory Begins Now posted:at literally every stage of this country's history a significant portion of Americans have had insanely bad opinions vov And every so often, the fascists come close to taking over. I hate wondering if this is the time when they finally win.
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Nov 3, 2024 17:32
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btw someone's pet squirrel, unvaccinated, bit someone and the authorities killed it for the mandatory rabies check, so the right wing is now saying to vote to avenge the squirrel i'm not joking and i'm not looking into it either because my insanity prevention mechanism kicked in
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Nov 3, 2024 17:35
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that's nuts
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Nov 3, 2024 17:37
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NJersey posted:More importantly though: I meant to make a similar post, but I'll gladly go efb and pile in on the appreciation.
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Nov 3, 2024 17:43
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Bluesky is fine but wondering when they’ll start running ads or if there’s any reason they won’t get bought out by a tech creep who wants their own FB/twitter. Haven’t seen anything about them planning to be a Wikipedia style donation operation.
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Nov 3, 2024 17:51
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facialimpediment posted:btw someone's pet squirrel, unvaccinated, bit someone and the authorities killed it for the mandatory rabies check, so the right wing is now saying to vote to avenge the squirrel Isn't their candidate still hanging out with the woman that shot a puppy in the face and feels zero regret or remorse over it?
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Nov 3, 2024 18:40
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MonkeyFit posted:Isn't their candidate still hanging out with the woman that shot a puppy in the face and feels zero regret or remorse over it? tbh I haven't seen poo poo from Noem after the dance-a-thon, I think she was chucked aside a lot like Loomer and for content: https://x.com/carlquintanilla/status/1853145815243469131?t=NwHZHx3VBY9UXMx7Ciee-g&s=19 https://x.com/BenjySarlin/status/1853145918268231736?t=aaf0RsYJFoawJED-RnzMqw&s=19 Two days to election day and Donnie's all like "I shouldn't never left in 2020 and the press makes good human shields" as neutral observers are asking "wtf is this dude's problem, Nikki Haley would be winning this thing in a landslide"
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Nov 3, 2024 18:58
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Haley as VP instead of Vance seems like she would have been a better choice, not as much of a weirdo & likely would have lessened his problems with women. Dunno if Vance brings in any voters who weren’t already supporting him.
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Nov 3, 2024 19:12
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facialimpediment posted:tbh I haven't seen poo poo from Noem after the dance-a-thon, I think she was chucked aside a lot like Loomer Personally, I would consider having hung out in the last 3 weeks as still hanging out with them, unless there was a public falling out.
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Nov 3, 2024 19:13
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zay flowers is so good e: wrong thread
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Nov 3, 2024 19:24
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facialimpediment posted:btw someone's pet squirrel, unvaccinated, bit someone and the authorities killed it for the mandatory rabies check, so the right wing is now saying to vote to avenge the squirrel I was wondering why Elon quoted a video of a dude and his cute pet squirrel with like a "this is what regulation takes from us". These loving weirdos, complain about so much poo poo, ya never know which one it is unless you get those whole picture. For all they whine and cry about, he could've been talking about people marrying loving animals if Kamala wins or some poo poo. Thanks again for explaining, lol.
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Nov 3, 2024 19:29
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For a bit I was wondering why they were calling Mark Cuban a squirrel.
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Nov 3, 2024 19:34
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Zamujasa posted:that's nuts Goddamnit 
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Nov 3, 2024 19:47
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One reason I'm excited for the election to be over is that 'EV' can go back to just meaning 'electric vehicle' and not also 'early voter' or 'electoral vote'
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Nov 3, 2024 20:03
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Kaiser Schnitzel posted:One reason I'm excited for the election to be over is that 'EV' can go back to just meaning 'electric vehicle' and not also 'early voter' or 'electoral vote' Ah, but if a politician rides in an electric car, it can also mean "electoral vehicle".
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Nov 3, 2024 20:10
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Hyrax Attack! posted:Bluesky is fine but wondering when they’ll start running ads or if there’s any reason they won’t get bought out by a tech creep who wants their own FB/twitter. Haven’t seen anything about them planning to be a Wikipedia style donation operation. Whether this pans out in practice remains to be seen, but it seems conceptually sound.
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Nov 3, 2024 20:31
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i would disagree with the above because while there are plans for that decentralization, it certainly doesn't exist right now, and people trying it have run into a lot of problems personally i would treat it entirely as "twitter 2", in that it will probably have all the same problems throughout its lifecycle, if it gets that far
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Nov 3, 2024 20:36
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