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Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
Re Biden climate policy,

https://x.com/HillaryClinton/status/1782400479743324603

I want a Target 2024 yard sign.

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Qtotonibudinibudet
Nov 7, 2011



Omich poluyobok, skazhi ty narkoman? ya prosto tozhe gde to tam zhivu, mogli by vmeste uyobyvat' narkotiki


someone find us a giant whale skeleton or something

Qtotonibudinibudet fucked around with this message at 06:52 on Jul 27, 2024

ZombieApostate
Mar 13, 2011
Sorry, I didn't read your post.

I'm too busy replying to what I wish you said

:allears:

Apathetic Medic posted:

Edit: It's fine actually, I'll be checking out of this thread now. No need to be in a place that is designed to mock outside opinions.

Straw manning the left while simultaneously calling the left a circular firing squad is a time honored tradition in these threads at this point. The one thing I don't like about this thread/the current events thread.

Platystemon
Feb 13, 2012

BREADS
Vance’s granny was less of a regressive than he is.

https://www.businessinsider.com/jd-vance-convinced-himself-gay-hillbilly-elegy-trump-vp-2024-7 posted:

Vance, now former President Donald Trump's vice presidential nominee, recounted the tale in his 2016 autobiography as he discussed his grandmother's relatively tolerant approach when it came to Christian teachings.

In Vance's telling, the episode occurred when he was just a kid. As he wrote:



quote:

"I'll never forget the time I convinced myself that I was gay. I was eight or nine, maybe younger, and I stumbled upon a broadcast by some fire-and-brimstone preacher. The man spoke about the evils of homosexuals, how they had infiltrated our society, and how they were all destined for hell absent some serious repenting. At the time, the only thing I knew about gay men was that they preferred men to women. This described me perfectly: I disliked girls, and my best friend in the world was my buddy Bill. Oh no, I'm going to hell."

When he brought up the issue with his grandmother — known to Vance as "Mamaw" — she replied bluntly: "Don't be a loving idiot, how would you know that you're gay?"

When Vance explained his reasoning, she laughed.

"JD, do you want to suck dicks?" she said, according to the book.

The young Vance, apparently "flabbergasted," said: "Of course not!"

"Then you're not gay. And even if you did want to suck dicks, that would be okay," she replied. "God would still love you."

psydude
Apr 1, 2008

ZombieApostate posted:

Straw manning the left while simultaneously calling the left a circular firing squad is a time honored tradition in these threads at this point. The one thing I don't like about this thread/the current events thread.

If someone wants to offer the extremely unoriginal take that Biden has done nothing, then it's fair to ask them to explain their position by responding with an extremely unoriginal take about leftist circular firing squads.

But I'll admit that it took a lot of effort not to post something mean when they invoked the freshman year Poli Sci reading list.

psydude fucked around with this message at 07:54 on Jul 27, 2024

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

Apathetic Medic posted:

I said this before, but he's only delivered on approx. 30% of his promises. But hey, go off and paint everyone you disagree with as a moron.

Holy poo poo he’s delivered on 30% of his promises?

Plastic_Gargoyle
Aug 3, 2007

Apathetic Medic posted:

Not needing to do something is not equivalent to not having done something. I hope that's understandable?

The idea that America is actually a one-party state is not a new idea. Noam Chomsky, Christopher Hitchens, and Julius Nyerere are all quoted for saying as much. If you don't know who those people are I would recommend reading some of their literature! Might help you with your confusion of what you believe an 'internet leftist' is and what I'm referring to, which is actual socialists, communists, and anti-colonialists. You know, leftists. not Hitchens, gently caress him

Are you really citing Julius Nyere to describe politics in the US in 20 loving 24.

Naramyth
Jan 22, 2009

Australia cares about cunts. Including this one.

Platystemon posted:

Vance’s granny was less of a regressive than he is.

That’s the most “and everyone stood up and clapped” thing in that book that didn’t happen.

And what grandma is talking about out sucking dicks to a 9 year old

the groomers are coming from inside the book

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Tired: VP Kamala Harris wants to defund the police

Wired: My VP nominee JD Vance hates the police

https://x.com/ElectProject/status/1817204209701224652?t=qNKI3hu7vzDCbXWjAbqWQg&s=19

Inspired: my photo editor hates JD Vance https://x.com/Patrici82941571/status/1817211211554890146?t=14CzN74kXk-4W0AU2mHd3A&s=19

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 16:03 on Jul 27, 2024

Tiny Timbs
Sep 6, 2008

https://youtu.be/IkYtTp4nOiw?si=o4Y03dFsmIlgnmqp

Crab Dad
Dec 28, 2002

behold i have tempered and refined thee, but not as silver; as CRAB

facialimpediment posted:

Tired: VP Kamala Harris wants to defund the police

Wired: My VP nominee JD Vance hates the police

https://x.com/ElectProject/status/1817204209701224652?t=qNKI3hu7vzDCbXWjAbqWQg&s=19

Turns out he’s a stopped clock.
Besides being intersectional and interspecies sexual he’s really gonna going for the fridge right wing cop hating vote.

Zamujasa
Oct 27, 2010



Bread Liar
jd vance getting the vp nom is probably the most "I feel bad for our country. But this is tremendous content." thing to happen since that quote

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006
Edit: I take it back. I don't actually want to engage.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Hot drat, they really are running the "these fuckers are weird" strategy.

https://x.com/KThomasDC/status/1817277864418353292?t=nHfmgEcKlAx6wa6GEjsGxw&s=19

btw, burnt monkey testicles

https://x.com/meiselasb/status/1817272512625119580?t=z2jcQN6o2pxliNs_N2mzaQ&s=19

Zamujasa
Oct 27, 2010



Bread Liar
they said trump and vance were nuts, but i didn't think this was what they meant :haw:

Grip it and rip it
Apr 28, 2020
lol at the single party suggestion. There was perhaps a single political party from the end of WWII through the 1980s. Today we have the Dems and the relatively new American Fascist party. If you can't tell the difference between the two you likely have some kind of serious head wound.

orange juche
Mar 14, 2012



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vG2rU76HvIE

Bro, what the gently caress, Trump is losing in loving The Villages in Florida, dude if you've lost The Villages you are hosed.

orange juche fucked around with this message at 02:05 on Jul 28, 2024

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

orange juche posted:

Bro, what the gently caress, Trump is losing in loving The Villages in Florida, dude if you've lost The Villages you are hosed.

It's not really that Donnie is losing / will lose The Villages (it's like Trump +40 and there were past blue streaks with The Villages in videos like that). But you can clearly draw the conclusion that the switcheroo worked and Democrats everywhere are fired the gently caress up.

It's a lot like this: https://x.com/PhillipJerez/status/1816985595614265352

Does this mean Kamala could win Florida, even with an abortion amendment on the ballot there? Meh, I'm not really convinced. But it'll sure make the state closer, maybe matter downballot, and exactly why swing state downballoters want rallytime with Kamala when they were SPRINTING from Joe. And Kamala now has the money to take fliers on state organizations.

Edit: Oh and pollsters were having trouble modelling turnout as it was, since Donnie's voters are trending as low propensity. Not many low-propensity voters on the Democratic side right now.

Stultus Maximus
Dec 21, 2009

USPOL May
Florida is not a swing state, Florida will not be a swing state until the state Democratic party is burned to the ground and rebuilt.

Still if you have the resources it's fine to force the Republicans to defend.

If you have the resources.

Nick Soapdish
Apr 27, 2008


Stultus Maximus posted:

Florida is not a swing state, Florida will not be a swing state until the state Democratic party is burned to the ground and rebuilt.

Still if you have the resources it's fine to force the Republicans to defend.

If you have the resources.

Cross out Florida and write in Texas and it is the same

orange juche
Mar 14, 2012



Stultus Maximus posted:

Florida is not a swing state, Florida will not be a swing state until the state Democratic party is burned to the ground and rebuilt.

Still if you have the resources it's fine to force the Republicans to defend.

If you have the resources.

Oh yeah, no, Florida's solidly red, but still, having Democratic rallies in the heart of Trumpland probably gets hair furor in a sweat.

Nystral
Feb 6, 2002

Every man likes a pretty girl with him at a skeleton dance.
I feel the resources would be better spent in winnable states like GA, PA, AZ, WI, and NV vs 2600 people in Florida. Hell throw money at NC instead of FL and it’s retirees.

Acebuckeye13
Nov 2, 2010

Against All Tyrants

Ultra Carp
Florida also has an abortion amendment on the ballot and a not-lovely Senate candidate, so poo poo, why not? So long as they don't go crazy with their investment it's a low-risk, high-reward strategy.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns

Nystral posted:

I feel the resources would be better spent in winnable states like GA, PA, AZ, WI, and NV vs 2600 people in Florida. Hell throw money at NC instead of FL and it’s retirees.

My understanding is that I'm overselling Kamala's investment into the Florida thing. It appears to be pre-existing field offices and a shitload of unpaid volunteers coming in and wanting to do poo poo. Can't really move them to other states, unless they're calling for turnout/donations to people in other states.

Though for the same reasons I'm skeptical about polling nowadays, I'm equally skeptical that phone banking stuff can actually contact real, live voters much anymore.

Zamujasa
Oct 27, 2010



Bread Liar
florida has 22 million people in it, third biggest state. that's not nothing.

kamala pulled in over $100M in fundraising in the last few days alone, so as long as she's not going overboard, i think some money in florida is well-spent. in today's connected age, people in florida are gonna talk to other people, and it *really* helps the blue in florida feel like they're not getting totally ignored in a deep red state.

they might not win it, but if it can push any downticket races to a W...


speaking of, there's been a surge of volunteers in FL

quote:

Originally Published: July 26, 2024 at 4:48 p.m.
UPDATED: July 26, 2024 at 4:49 p.m.

With 100 days to go before the Nov. 5 election, Florida Democrats are seeing a groundswell of support for presumptive presidential nominee Kamala Harris, a “surge” they say puts Florida and its 30 electoral votes back in play.

More than 7,000 volunteers signed up to campaign in Florida in the first week since Harris announced she was running for President, a sharp jump from the 300 to 400 volunteers on board to help Biden, said Karol Molinares, a spokeswoman for the state campaign.

“We have seen a surge in momentum on the ground from Florida voters following President Joe Biden’s decision to endorse Vice President Kamala Harris,” Molinares said. “More people are signing up to engage with the campaign than ever before.”

Florida’s growth in grassroot campaigners tops battleground states, she added. Arizona saw a jump of 2,100 volunteers, Georgia saw 4,300 new volunteers and Minnesota saw an increase of 3,300 since Biden stepped aside and endorsed his vice president.

“The dynamics of the campaign here has changed,” Molinares said.

[...]

But Florida is still a key part of the strategy to win, said Jasmine Burney Clark, campaign director for Harris in Florida.

“Florida is a critical state this election, and it’s one we’re determined to win,” Clark said.

A more energetic turnout for Harris at the polls could help the U.S. Senate and other down-ballot races in Florida, as well as the two controversial amendments on the ballot to legalize recreational marijuana and protect abortion rights, said Aubrey Jewett, a political science professor at University of Central Florida.

“With Harris at the top of the ticket, Florida is more competitive than with Biden,” Jewett said.

Democratic turnout fell off in 2020 and in 2022 because voters weren’t excited by Biden or gubernatorial candidate Charlie Crist, he said.

“Trump is still the favorite in Florida, but Harris gives Democrats hope, and if they have hope they’ll show up and vote,” Jewett said.

The Harris for President ground game in Florida is headquartered in Ocoee, with 33 staffers manning 11 offices around the state and plans to expand into Leon County, Fort Myers, the Panhandle and The Villages.

Veteran staff haven’t seen such excitement since the 2008 campaign for former President Barack Obama, Molinares said.

To keep the momentum going in Florida, events are planned across the state this weekend from Miami to Pensacola and every weekend through the election, Molinares said.

What’s happening in Florida echoes a grassroots momentum across the nation, along with record-breaking fundraising, she said. Within 36 hours of launching her campaign, donations for Harris crossed the $100 million mark, with 60% of the 880,000 donors giving for the first time this election.

“This signals strong enthusiasm to stop the Trump-Vance campaign,” Molinares said.

orange juche
Mar 14, 2012



Zamujasa posted:

florida has 22 million people in it, third biggest state. that's not nothing.

kamala pulled in over $100M in fundraising in the last few days alone, so as long as she's not going overboard, i think some money in florida is well-spent. in today's connected age, people in florida are gonna talk to other people, and it *really* helps the blue in florida feel like they're not getting totally ignored in a deep red state.

they might not win it, but if it can push any downticket races to a W...


speaking of, there's been a surge of volunteers in FL

7000 new ground game volunteers is definitely notable. Depends on whether the Florida Democratic org can get its head out of its rear end though.

facialimpediment
Feb 11, 2005

as the world turns
Again, I do not believe in polling much nowadays. While the mathematics are sound, I just don't think sample weighting and creative interviewing methods can overcome the extreme response rate problems.

But the people they are getting are shifting in ways I've never really heard of before.

https://x.com/billscher/status/1817551523846537518?t=HDQ9r6lvDHX7n9ozlLbC4w&s=19

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/harris-sees-boost-favorability-after-biden-drops-race/story?id=112306763

quote:

The vice president's favorability rating has jumped to 43%, with an unfavorability rating of 42%, according to the ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted using Ipsos' KnowledgePanel. In an ABC News/Ipsos poll released a week ago, Harris’ favorability rating was 35%, while 46% viewed her unfavorability.

Forty-four percent of independents have a favorable view of Harris, up from only 28% a week ago. Her unfavorability rating among independents is now 40%, which is a slight drop from 47% last week

... a slight majority of Americans, 52%, say she should be the Democratic nominee, the poll found. This number jumps to 86% among Democrats, compared to 51% of independents and only 20% of Republicans.

Forty-eight percent of Americans say they would feel enthusiastic if Harris becomes the Democratic nominee. Fewer, 39%, say they are enthusiastic about Trump being the Republican nominee.

Trump's favorability rating dropped slightly from 40%, measured in the week following the attempted assassination and the Republican National Convention, to 36% in the most recent poll. Twenty-seven percent of independents have a favorable of Trump, which is down from 35% last week.

In the ABC News/Ipsos poll last week, 15% of Americans held unfavorable views of both Trump and Biden.

Driven largely by an increase in Harris' favorability, the proportion of Americans who dislike both nominees, Harris and Trump, now has been cut in half to 7%.

Biden's favorability though still low, has improved to 37%, a five percentage point increase from the prior week, with an unfavorability rating of 50%, a five percentage point decline from last week, the poll found.

The Ohio senator's [JD Vance] favorability rating is 24%, similar to his 23% rating in last week’s poll. But the proportion viewing him unfavorably has increased from 31% last week to 39% now, according to the poll.

It's on the table that Democrats made the best political move in modern history and that's just fuckin astounding to me.

facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 15:13 on Jul 28, 2024

Coasterphreak
May 29, 2007
I like cookies.
What should really astound you is that a politician voluntarily gave up a chance to remain in power.

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Coasterphreak posted:

What should really astound you is that a politician voluntarily gave up a chance to remain in power.

I'd say it's unprecedented, but it's actually happened twice before in US history. First with Washington, then with TR, though he later regretted it when Taft showed his true colors.

Still, I can't help myself but be impressed, and I am not one to give any establishment politician even the slightest benefit of the doubt. If Trump loses this one, he's done. That doesn't mean the threat he represents is over. Far from it, but the fascists and neo Confederates who rallied around him are going to have to find a figurehead that isn't as deeply off-putting as most of their rank and file are. Of course, that's only if Trump loses.

Hyrax Attack!
Jan 13, 2009

We demand to be taken seriously

Coasterphreak posted:

What should really astound you is that a politician voluntarily gave up a chance to remain in power.

Yeah, especially how tons of people who were checked out now have a reason to be engaged. It’s interesting how I’ve heard no good arguments that in retrospect Biden should have stayed, other than some bad faith columnists who also insist Harris needs to stop firing up the base & giving down ballot candidates relief & instead wait for an open convention.

citybeatnik
Mar 1, 2013

You Are All
WEIRDOS




Coasterphreak posted:

What should really astound you is that a politician voluntarily gave up a chance to remain in power.

The ghost of Cincinnatus returns every now and then to possess a president.

Stultus Maximus
Dec 21, 2009

USPOL May

facialimpediment posted:


It's on the table that Democrats made the best political move in modern history and that's just fuckin astounding to me.

I had been ridin' with Biden for so long because even though it seemed headed for ruin, I could not in a million years believe that the Democrats wouldn't gently caress up a replacement even worse.

Mappo
Apr 27, 2009

A.o.D. posted:

If Trump loses this one, he's done. That doesn't mean the threat he represents is over. Far from it, but the fascists and neo Confederates who rallied around him are going to have to find a figurehead that isn't as deeply off-putting as most of their rank and file are. Of course, that's only if Trump loses.

If Trump loses, he will attempt to run again. He's not going to give up his position as head of the GOP; he won't appoint an heir and then calmly step aside. I don't expect his base to automatically leave him because he lost again, he will claim a rigged election just like last time. Trump isn't going away until he falls over dead, and then there will be a massive power vacuum in the republican party because no one can match his charisma.

Flikken
Oct 23, 2009

10,363 snaps and not a playoff win to show for it

Mappo posted:

If Trump loses, he will attempt to run again. He's not going to give up his position as head of the GOP; he won't appoint an heir and then calmly step aside. I don't expect his base to automatically leave him because he lost again, he will claim a rigged election just like last time. Trump isn't going away until he falls over dead, and then there will be a massive power vacuum in the republican party because no one can match his charisma.

If he doesn't get elected, SOMETHING is going to stick in the courts. And he will be what? 81-82 next presidential election cycle?

psydude
Apr 1, 2008

The GoP has done a better job of the Democrats at cultivating a stable of Gen X and millenial second-tier leaders, but none of them commands the attention or fealty that Trump does while simultaneously being extremely offputting. His son might attempt to step in to the power vacuum once he's gone, but he's got the same issues.

Mappo
Apr 27, 2009

Flikken posted:

If he doesn't get elected, SOMETHING is going to stick in the courts. And he will be what? 81-82 next presidential election cycle?

Whatever sticks in the court, he will appeal to the Supreme Court, which will rule on presidential immunity. The Republican party and its donor base will fund all of his legal fees. Trump will still be campaigning in his 80s so long as he still can; he won't give up power until he falls over dead.

A.o.D.
Jan 15, 2006

Mappo posted:

If Trump loses, he will attempt to run again. He's not going to give up his position as head of the GOP; he won't appoint an heir and then calmly step aside. I don't expect his base to automatically leave him because he lost again, he will claim a rigged election just like last time. Trump isn't going away until he falls over dead, and then there will be a massive power vacuum in the republican party because no one can match his charisma.

I didn't mean to imply that he'd fade into the sunset. No, the man is too in love with himself. If he loses 2024, he'll immediately start campaigning for 2028. What I mean is that his viability as a candidate will come to an end if he loses this October.

MonkeyFit
May 13, 2009
If Trump loses, I'd be very surprised if hos health issues didn't catch up to him before the next election. Dude eats like poo poo and does no real exercise. And the documents case against him is actually about as solid as they come. Do I think he'd see jail time? No, but only because I would expect him to have a stress induced heart attack before then.

Nick Soapdish
Apr 27, 2008


MonkeyFit posted:

If Trump loses, I'd be very surprised if hos health issues didn't catch up to him before the next election. Dude eats like poo poo and does no real exercise. And the documents case against him is actually about as solid as they come. Do I think he'd see jail time? No, but only because I would expect him to have a stress induced heart attack before then.

https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/351120640180355072?t=FZNsLJB8TAOPnSYGR_fEJg&s=19

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Coasterphreak
May 29, 2007
I like cookies.

Hyrax Attack! posted:

Yeah, especially how tons of people who were checked out now have a reason to be engaged. It’s interesting how I’ve heard no good arguments that in retrospect Biden should have stayed, other than some bad faith columnists who also insist Harris needs to stop firing up the base & giving down ballot candidates relief & instead wait for an open convention.

My tinfoil hat brain half thinks Biden stayed in the race as long as he did to make sure Trump dug himself a nice deep hole. If that was the galaxy brain plan, it fuckin worked

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