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PurpleXVI
Oct 30, 2011

Spewing insults, pissing off all your neighbors, betraying your allies, backing out of treaties and accords, and generally screwing over the global environment?
ALL PART OF MY BRILLIANT STRATEGY!

Hadlock posted:

I'm continually amazed that we can produce tens of millions of oled TVs, hundreds of millions of cell phone devices that also double as earthquake early warning devices, etc etc, but when it comes to critical defense infrastructure they order in lots of 2-8 at astronomical prices, rather than buy 100x at virtually the same price

and apparently this happens everywhere

when the Ukraine blah blah happened it became widely known that we make less than 5 javelin anti tank things a month. i guess you can scale that up to about 100 but seems pretty important

same with himars stuff etc

My understanding is that a lot of this is simply to keep the production lines open, since ramping them up if someone actually attacked the US or forced a major crisis for the US, is a lot easier than starting them from scratch, and the suppliers have no motivation to keep the production lines open if there's not at least a constant dribble of orders coming in.

Of course, this theory has been somewhat challenged by the fact that when Ukraine was attacked, scaling up did not quite happen quickly or efficiently. Whether that's because it couldn't happen or because no one wanted to pay for it since they didn't consider Ukraine critically important, who can say.

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Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017
The military-industrial complex isn't in the business of producing weapons and materiel, it's in the business of receiving money, and has expanded and specialised in maximising the amount of money received for the minimum spent.

Hadlock
Nov 9, 2004

Ghost Leviathan posted:

The military-industrial complex isn't in the business of producing weapons and materiel, it's in the business of receiving money, and has expanded and specialised in maximising the amount of money received for the minimum spent.

i have absolutely zero knowledge of what goes into a javelin but it wouldn't surprise me if the non labor materials cost is well less than $10,000 despite the latest cost being ~$105,000 ea per "missilethreat.csis.org" whatever hokey wrong site that is

in that same article they're quoting $514,000 for a lightweight version

seems like if they were assembled in volume rather than totally by hand the unit cost would approach that of an RPG7 or whatever, but there's no market pressure or order volume it's all stupid

SerthVarnee
Mar 13, 2011

oh what a day, what a lovely day
Big Super Slapstick Hunk
If the massive assembly line was set up, complete with skilled workers, smooth flowing supply lines and a steady stream of purchase orders, then yes. Yes it would be possible to make them a lot cheaper and in much higher numbers.

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Nap Ghost

Hadlock posted:

i have absolutely zero knowledge of what goes into a javelin

They aren’t the same at all really in form or function to RPGs. We previously built a couple hundred per month and now build about 250-300 per month.

habituallyred
Feb 6, 2015

What percentage of the list price is the, "not selling to unauthorized customers," charge.

ThisIsJohnWayne
Feb 23, 2007

Hadlock posted:

[...]"missilethreat.csis.org" whatever hokey wrong site that is

I'm stupid and can't tell if you're being funny haha. CSIS is about as legitimate as it gets. They're georgetowns big world think-tank

ThisIsJohnWayne fucked around with this message at 20:42 on Oct 30, 2024

Hadlock
Nov 9, 2004

yeah I'm sure it's more complex, rpg7 afaik is what it says on the tin, rocket propelled grenade

that said it wouldn't surprise me at all if the javelin had an ARM7 cpu and talks to it's accessory components via standard communication protocols like i2c or pwm and could be replaced with a $35 raspberry pi if it hasn't already. i guess units built after 2020 run with passive cooling. firing rockers is dangerous and complex but you probably don't need a Pentium 9 @ 7ghz to do it in 2024

Dandywalken
Feb 11, 2014

yes you do

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

habituallyred posted:

What percentage of the list price is the, "not selling to unauthorized customers," charge.

I mean a fair chunk of any defence purchase. You are telling a company 'design a totally new product, also I am the only person allowed to buy this product plus customers I specifically approve'. Also I'm only going to give you an order for x now, which actually in a couple of years might be x minus some amount.

If you do that you gotta pay for operating costs and everything that goes with it.

Kith
Sep 17, 2009

You never learn anything
by doing it right.


the javelin's ordinance is not particularly special, but the projectile being told exactly where to go is what makes the difference, so the computer being good is what makes the weapon good and therefore yes it does in fact need that

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Nap Ghost
Fire and forget ATGMs that are usable by dismounted infantry, even in 2024, are still kind of niche and built by only a handful of nations.

Hadlock
Nov 9, 2004

ThisIsJohnWayne posted:

I'm stupid and can't tell if you're being funny haha. CSIS is about as legitimate as it gets. They're georgetowns big world think-tank

I didn't even know what state Georgetown was in until about ten seconds ago "missilethreat" sounds like, I dunno probably not the subdomain i would have picked for a serious xyz thing for a prestigious university, instead of something that might be shared with a 1980s arcade game maybe that program hails from that era

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003

mlmp08 posted:

They aren’t the same at all really in form or function to RPGs. We previously built a couple hundred per month and now build about 250-300 per month.

javelin is to an rpg7 what a modern computer is to an abacus

Hadlock posted:

i have absolutely zero knowledge of what goes into a javelin but it wouldn't surprise me if the non labor materials cost is well less than $10,000 despite the latest cost being ~$105,000 ea per "missilethreat.csis.org" whatever hokey wrong site that is

in that same article they're quoting $514,000 for a lightweight version

seems like if they were assembled in volume rather than totally by hand the unit cost would approach that of an RPG7 or whatever, but there's no market pressure or order volume it's all stupid

lol

Xakura
Jan 10, 2019

A safety-conscious little mouse!

Hadlock posted:

i have absolutely zero knowledge

:hmmyes: have you considered posting less confidently?

RFC2324
Jun 7, 2012

http 418

Hadlock posted:

"missilethreat" sounds like, I dunno probably not the subdomain i would have picked for a serious xyz thing for a prestigious university, instead of something that might be shared with a 1980s arcade game maybe that program hails from that era

I just want to say that, as someone who works for an org like that, that name is 100% in line with expected standards.

Hadlock
Nov 9, 2004

Xakura posted:

:hmmyes: have you considered posting less confidently?

that's how I post. I've been trying to preface my posts with equally bold disclaimers such as that one. the disclaimer equivalent of "i know nothing about this topic" seems adequate

also posting inherently wrong things is usually the best way to find out the comprehensive knowledgebase of the forums on a particular topic, my posting style isn't a complete accident

SerthVarnee
Mar 13, 2011

oh what a day, what a lovely day
Big Super Slapstick Hunk

Hadlock posted:

my posting style isn't a complete accident

Or is it?

Maybe you've just hit information gathering gold while digging for pyrite.

ranbo das
Oct 16, 2013


Jokes on you I was just posting wrong information and pretending to be stupid to get an answer out of the thread instead of just asking questions like a normal person.

I am very smart.

RFC2324
Jun 7, 2012

http 418

ranbo das posted:

Jokes on you I was just posting wrong information and pretending to be stupid to get an answer out of the thread instead of just asking questions like a normal person.

I am very smart.

Its a well known fact of the forums that asking questions gets ignored but saying the wrong thing gets you dogpiled with goons correcting you to prove how smqrt they are.

GIP mostly doesn't do that tho, so its a lovely excuse and violates the lurk more rule

Voyager I
Jun 29, 2012

This is how your posting feels.
🐥🐥🐥🐥🐥
That's not an SA exclusive thing, but it doesn't make the threads better in any case.

Lemniscate Blue
Apr 21, 2006

Here we go again.

RFC2324 posted:

Its a well known fact of the forums that asking questions gets ignored but saying the wrong thing gets you dogpiled with goons correcting you to prove how smqrt they are.

This is known as "Godwin's Law".

Cugel the Clever
Apr 5, 2009
I LOVE AMERICA AND CAPITALISM DESPITE BEING POOR AS FUCK. I WILL NEVER RETIRE BUT HERE'S ANOTHER 200$ FOR UKRAINE, SLAVA

Israel has officially announced the northern Gaza Strip is to be cleansed.

quote:

sraeli ground forces are getting closer to “the complete evacuation” of northern Gaza and residents will not be allowed to return home, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) has said, in what appears to be the first official acknowledgment from Israel it is systematically removing Palestinians from the area.

In a media briefing on Tuesday night, the IDF Brig Gen Itzik Cohen told Israeli reporters that since troops had been forced to enter some areas twice, such as Jabaliya camp, “there is no intention of allowing the residents of the northern Gaza Strip to return to their homes”.

He added that humanitarian aid would be allowed to “regularly” enter the south of the territory but not the north, since there are “no more civilians left”.

International humanitarian law experts have said that such actions would amount to the war crimes of forcible transfer and the use of food as a weapon.
Meanwhile, there are no few Nazis going 'round hooting and hollering over the defeat of the Democrats after having endlessly and disingenuous concern trolled the Democratic base about the plight of Gaza.

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


Man, that timing sure is coincidental.

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





I thought the same.

Dick Ripple
May 19, 2021
With Gallant gone and Trump back, Bibi is free to pursue his ''battle against barbarism''.

Iran has promised to retaliate after the last Israeli strike on their territory, it will be interesting how Israel will respond to it now that they have no one holding them back. Things are going to get spicy.

Ghost Leviathan
Mar 2, 2017

Dick Ripple posted:

With Gallant gone and Trump back, Bibi is free to pursue his ''battle against barbarism''.

Iran has promised to retaliate after the last Israeli strike on their territory, it will be interesting how Israel will respond to it now that they have no one holding them back. Things are going to get spicy.

They were not being held back in any meaningful way.

Hadlock
Nov 9, 2004

Cugel the Clever posted:

Israel has officially announced the northern Gaza Strip is to be cleansed.

Vox had a "worst case scenario" video they published around 6am Pacific time

the article you linked is like item #6 of 9

it was kind of impressive to see that domino fall in like, i dunno, 8-15 hours after it was clear Trump had won

sets a pretty grim precedent, hopefully not one that continues

Potato Salad
Oct 23, 2014

nobody cares


Ghost Leviathan posted:

They were not being held back in any meaningful way.

I've been seeing it suggested elsewhere that somehow this is not coincidental with the victory of President Elect "What Is Taking Netanyahu So Long?"

I suppose the plausible deniability is going to be a fairly common moral backstop we're going to see for the next...we'll poo poo, who knows how long.

Fallom
Sep 6, 2008

I suspect, and obviously I can’t provide any evidence whatsoever, that as much as Israel seemed to have been given permission to strike out in any direction they pleased they were still held back from going as far as fast as they would have wanted.

Discussion Quorum
Dec 5, 2002
Armchair Philistine

Tiny Timbs posted:

I suspect, and obviously I can’t provide any evidence whatsoever, that as much as Israel seemed to have been given permission to strike out in any direction they pleased they were still held back from going as far as fast as they would have wanted.

I suspect you are right. Even if there was no official back-channel restraint, Netanyahu et al would at least have known there was a "too far" that they could go. Not anymore.

Of course, as was said, this is all plausibly deniable as copium and I'm sure this will get SYQ'ed.

Cugel the Clever
Apr 5, 2009
I LOVE AMERICA AND CAPITALISM DESPITE BEING POOR AS FUCK. I WILL NEVER RETIRE BUT HERE'S ANOTHER 200$ FOR UKRAINE, SLAVA

The IDF is currently organizing a rescue mission to Amsterdam after some number of Israeli soccer fans apparently assaulted a pro-Palestinian demonstrator and the local Arab community organized to kick the poo poo in of the entire 3000-some fans visiting. Israel is using the P word.

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





Cugel the Clever posted:

The IDF is currently organizing a rescue mission to Amsterdam after some number of Israeli soccer fans apparently assaulted a pro-Palestinian demonstrator and the local Arab community organized to kick the poo poo in of the entire 3000-some fans visiting. Israel is using the P word.

link also uh what is the p word? i'm assuming it's not pig?

Leave
Feb 7, 2012

Taking the term "Koopaling" to a whole new level since 2016.
Persecution? Like Danforth Keaton?

And what does SYQ stand for? I'm seeing it a lot and I have no ideas.

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





Leave posted:

Persecution? Like Danforth Keaton?


you mean buster :smug:

Midjack
Dec 24, 2007



Comrade Blyatlov posted:

link also uh what is the p word? i'm assuming it's not pig?

Pogrom.

Leave posted:

Persecution? Like Danforth Keaton?

And what does SYQ stand for? I'm seeing it a lot and I have no ideas.

Source your quotes.

Cugel the Clever
Apr 5, 2009
I LOVE AMERICA AND CAPITALISM DESPITE BEING POOR AS FUCK. I WILL NEVER RETIRE BUT HERE'S ANOTHER 200$ FOR UKRAINE, SLAVA

Comrade Blyatlov posted:

link also uh what is the p word? i'm assuming it's not pig?
"Pogrom". Israeli media asserts hotels where fans were staying were attacked and fans barricaded themselves in.

loving around:

quote:

A tense atmosphere and unrest filled Dam Square in Amsterdam as hundreds of fans for the Israeli football club Maccabi Tel Aviv surrounded the National Monument. Around ten individuals were taken into custody for various offenses, like disturbing the peace, before the Dam emptied out around 5:20 p.m., police said. Fireworks were also set off, and rioting broke out when several other groups of people chanted pro-Palestinian slogans at the Israeli fans, an ANP reporter confirmed.

At least two people were initially arrested, but police would not say whether they were fans of the football club, or pro-Palestinian supporters. Police officers and riot police teams formed a close perimeter around the hundreds of Maccabi supporters who showed up, some of whom set off fireworks and flares.

On the Rokin, a Palestinian flag was pulled from a facade by - currently unknown - persons,” police said in a statement Thursday morning. “On the Max Euweplein, the police prevented a confrontation between a group of taxi drivers and a group of visitors who approached from the adjacent casino. No arrests were made.”

https://x.com/ShehabAgency/status/1854737821711347740

Finding out

quote:

Violent attacks against Maccabi Tel Aviv fans continue to take place in Amsterdam following a soccer match between Maccabi and Ajax on Thursday evening.

Footage circulating on social media has shown fans being beaten, chased with knives, and narrowly avoiding being hit by vehicles.

According to Maariv, there has been at least one attempt at kidnapping an Israeli, and many have barricaded themselves in stores and buildings.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has been informed of the incident and has sent two rescue planes to assist Israeli citizens.

Comrade Blyatlov
Aug 4, 2007


should have picked four fingers





couple of things

1) the netherlands is FULL of immigrants particularly from the middle east

2) THEY WENT INTO A FOREIGN COUNTRY AND STARTED poo poo

3) THEY hosed AROUND

4) THEY FOUND OUT

5) ahahahahahahahhaahhahaahhaahhahahaahahahhahahahahahahaahhahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaahhahahahahahahahaha

Kazinsal
Dec 13, 2011

disrespecting dead goons IRL
Israel invading the Netherlands was not on my November 2024 Blatant Escalations bingo card

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Leave
Feb 7, 2012

Taking the term "Koopaling" to a whole new level since 2016.

Midjack posted:

Source your quotes.

How the hell can I do that, I asked a question

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