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Trig Discipline
Jun 3, 2008

Please leave the room if you think this might offend you.
Grimey Drawer

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

the ACE were also found to have incompetently designed and constructed much of the nola floodworks, including even building levees to incorrectly low elevations

that 17th street floodwall that earned the snarkiest plaque ever failed at around half of the capacity it was originally supposed to be designed for

ACE is guilty as poo poo

Oh poo poo, have you seen the Harry Shearer doc? Is it in any sense accurate?



e: Self quoting so you don't have to scroll back:

Trig Discipline posted:

I only realized this when the wife and I went to see Harry Shearer at the Alamo Drafthouse where he was presenting an entire documentary about how much (in his opinion) the ACoE had hosed New Orleans. I was like "whaaaaaaaa" but I was also kinda thinking about how fun it would be to ask him a serious question about it but then ask him to respond in Principal Skinner's voice and watch him get all mad.

Apparently the whole doc is online if anyone wants to see it. I'll link to it here strictly for entertainment purposes:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TVS6pZBQ9c4

Given the source it's likely to contain arbitrarily high levels of hyperbole and bullshit, but I'm neither an engineer nor the voice of any beloved cartoon characters so wtf do I know.

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H.P. Hovercraft
Jan 12, 2004

one thing a computer can do that most humans can't is be sealed up in a cardboard box and sit in a warehouse
Slippery Tilde

Trig Discipline posted:

Oh poo poo, have you seen the Harry Shearer doc? Is it in any sense accurate?



e: Self quoting so you don't have to scroll back:

no i need to get around to watching it - he does a shift for their local NPR affiliate and his narrator/radio voice is surprisingly annoying so i've been putting it off

but i did happen to take the "hurricane engineering" senior design course at LSU right after katrina happened and then all of a sudden we gotta buncha dutch guest speakers when the prof who was the head of the hurricane center kept having to go before congress. definitely no love lost between those guys and the ACE, especially when Mr Go came up in their lectures

whole lotta gnarly pictures too i have saved someplace

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit
NBC meteorologist: https://twitter.com/BillKarins/status/902450000113930240

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.

H.P. Hovercraft posted:

did the ACE just armor the embankments and add some geotextile to hold everything in place or did they actually sink some sheet pile to prevent sand boils

because i'm thinking not - my money's on sand boil failures first

I don't believe they did

trying to find the page I had a few hours ago that had their completed list of poo poo, it wasn't looking good

but I do at least have this on hand



also they had plans to build new dam outlets that were to be completed in like 2018-2020 but uhhh

also the new batman cartoon movie is ok

Lime Tonics
Nov 7, 2015

by FactsAreUseless
more bad news,

Texans to be hit with new insurance law making it harder to win contested claims, just one week after Harvey

Harvey victims have until Friday to file a claim, or deal with new regulations that may make insurance companies less responsive

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...s-a7917346.html

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube


The rate of rise has been a straight line, even though the volume required for each additional foot keeps increasing. It's kind of surprising.

They stopped reporting the volume (acre feet) here:
2017-08-29 01:30 CDT 178000 106.95

108 is supposed to be absolute full capacity at 201,000.

Atricks
Nov 4, 2003
Hurricane Man
Two live feeds near the dam, http://www.ustream.tv/channel/JgyNETD3Xzs Which is at a Chevron gas station along the west side of the Dam, and another one closer to the spillway http://www.ustream.tv/channel/SPvAJLUahk2 (too dark to see right now)

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.
lol

here is the updated version of that pdf from aug 16, 2017

http://www.swg.usace.army.mil/Porta...8-21-155624-943

Dr. Lariat
Jul 1, 2004

by Lowtax

Atricks posted:

Two live feeds near the dam, http://www.ustream.tv/channel/JgyNETD3Xzs Which is at a Chevron gas station along the west side of the Dam, and another one closer to the spillway http://www.ustream.tv/channel/SPvAJLUahk2 (too dark to see right now)

Oh poo poo, ustream is still around.

twoday
May 4, 2005



C-SPAM Times best-selling author
This is the slowest thing ever

orange sky
May 7, 2007

It won't stop loving raining holy poo poo

Powershift
Nov 23, 2009


Addicks is at the top of the spillway. Barker is above the gauge structure and stopped reporting.

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.
It is too dark still for the western camera on addicks to see anything, but soon comes the money shot, then everyone dies

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

Third World Reggin posted:

lol

here is the updated version of that pdf from aug 16, 2017

http://www.swg.usace.army.mil/Porta...8-21-155624-943

If I'm reading this correctly, the work that was to be completed this year was just upgrading the gate and conduits (not yet functional), and doing patching and sealing on the existing gate and conduits. So, the structure they are using to dump the 4,000 cfs is in better shape and less likely to fail, but ultimately the work done so far appears to have done very little to protect against damage or failure from high water levels themselves.

The work for the ends of the dam and the spillways is the "initiate section 216 study" slated for 2019 on their little chart.

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.

XK posted:

If I'm reading this correctly, the work that was to be completed this year was just upgrading the gate and conduits (not yet functional), and doing patching and sealing on the existing gate and conduits. So, the structure they are using to dump the 4,000 cfs is in better shape and less likely to fail, but ultimately the work done so far appears to have done very little to protect against damage or failure from high water levels themselves.

The work for the ends of the dam and the spillways is the "initiate section 216 study" slated for 2019 on their little chart.

yah, they did patch work

in 2009 they decided the dam was a DSAC 1 which is bad but this was a plan to work on it

The new outlets would of been started on soon and kept getting pushed back due to rain

the image that shows the voids beneath the addicks dam was used in the other one and I really can't tell if that is after the work they did in 2012ish or something they just kept in there

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit
Addicks is currently less than six inches from starting to overflow on the north end. Shouldn't be much more than 90 minutes at this point-depending on how precise the sensor is.

Best I can find on the web is that water seems to be flowing into the Addicks at around 2600 acre-feet fer hour. Can some kind goon put that amount of water in perspective, as well as explain whether or not the upcoming uncontrolled release on the north end is likely to be enough to contain it?

Prester Jane fucked around with this message at 09:35 on Aug 29, 2017

Honj Steak
May 31, 2013

Hi there.

Dude you guys have weird measurement units :eyepop:

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

I believe the voids were taken care of, and pumped full of stuff. The 2016 Houston Chronicle article that's been posted about the work they've been doing mentioned it being done, and it sounded like it was considered a high priority. I can only assume they did all voids, because any voids currently in there would be a big worry.

Trig Discipline
Jun 3, 2008

Please leave the room if you think this might offend you.
Grimey Drawer

Prester Jane posted:

Best I can find on the web is that water seems to be flowing into the Addicks at around 2600 acre-feet fer hour. Can some kind goon put that amount of water in perspective

That's equivalent to a 1ft x 1ft column of water 43560 feet high, hth.

Powershift
Nov 23, 2009


Prester Jane posted:

Addicks is currently less than six inches from starting to overflow on the north end. Shouldn't be much more than 90 minutes at this point-depending on how precise the sensor is.

Best I can find on the web is that water seems to be flowing into the Addicks at around 2600 acre-feet fer hour. Can some kind goon put that amount of water in perspective, as well as explain whether or not the upcoming controlled release on the north end is likely to be enough to contain it?

Niagra falls flows 7,200 acre-feet an hour

The spillway isn't a controlled release, it's a first-ditch effort at an uncontrolled release. It's a reinforced, designated area of first overflow

It should be able to contain it, but it's questionable whether or not it will fail itself.

orange sky
May 7, 2007

This is a youtube comment so take it with a grain of salt, don't know where to check it



Jesus

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day

Third World Reggin posted:

lol

here is the updated version of that pdf from aug 16, 2017

http://www.swg.usace.army.mil/Porta...8-21-155624-943

All that urbanization over the watersheds.

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit

Honj Steak posted:

Dude you guys have weird measurement units :eyepop:

No disagreements, but using that measurement makes sense in the American context. The majority of our water is used for agriculture, and agricultural space has always been measured here in acres. (I do not disagree with how stupid it is to keep things this way.) For our farmers measuring water by how much of it is required to cover one acre in 12 inches of water is very useful.

However if you are used to a sane system like the metric system it must look like the daftest thing ever.

Edit: Thanks for the responses. So basically about 1/3rd of Niagara falls is flowing into the Addicks at present. That is certainly something :stonk:

Prester Jane fucked around with this message at 09:42 on Aug 29, 2017

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.
gonna go watch a movie

hopefully I get back when the sun is coming up and the dams fail at the same time

ephex
Nov 4, 2007





PHWOAR CRIMINAL

Honj Steak posted:

Dude you guys have weird measurement units :eyepop:

3207048 m³

Fruity Rudy
Oct 7, 2008

Taste The Rainbow!
Everyone in Houston should take a good hard look at this article before deciding how much faith and trust they want to put in the intelligence and planning abilities of the Harris County Flood Control

quote:


Harris County Flood Control Doesn't Think Climate Change or Growth Cause Flooding
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 8, 2016 AT 6 A.M

Turns out, Talbott disagreed with virtually everything that the scientists and experts had to say about the relationship between climate change and the frequency of massive rainstorms, and between development and flooding. Instead, he apparently believes that all those scientists just have an “anti-development agenda.”

“Their agenda to protect the environment overrides common sense,” Talbott told reporters.

The Tribune and ProPublica reported that a dozen scientists and experts interviewed for the story —including those from Texas A&M University at Galveston, Rice University, and Texas Tech University —believed Talbott was mistaken (Talbott fired back: "You need to find some better experts... starting here, with me."

Many of the scientists said that the disappearance over several decades of hundreds of thousands of acres of wetlands, which historically have served as floodwater absorbents, has weakened the region’s ability to mitigate flooding. In areas overtaken by concrete and pavement and luxury townhomes, the rainwater has nowhere to go but along the roads and in homes and buildings, scientists said. They also said climate change and global warming are causing torrential downpours to become more frequent.

From the story, here is Talbott’s opinion on all of that:


The longtime head of the flood control district flat-out disagrees with scientific evidence that shows development is making flooding worse. Engineering projects can reverse the effects of land development and are doing so, [Talbott said]. The claim that “these magic sponges out in the prairie would have absorbed all that water is absurd,” Talbott said.

He also said the flood control district has no plans to study climate change or its impacts on Harris County, the third-most-populous county in the United States. Of the astonishing frequency of huge floods the city has been getting, he said, “I don't think it's the new normal.” …Of the low probability that two 100-year storms hit within weeks of each other, he said, “You can flip a coin and come up heads 10 times in a row.”

http://www.houstonpress.com/news/harris-county-flood-control-doesnt-think-climate-change-or-growth-cause-flooding-9008747

Fruity Rudy fucked around with this message at 09:58 on Aug 29, 2017

Jose
Jul 24, 2007



Fruity Rudy posted:

Everyone in Houston should take a good hard look at this article before deciding how much faith and trust they want to put in the intelligence and planning abilities of the Harris County Flood Control


http://www.houstonpress.com/news/harris-county-flood-control-doesnt-think-climate-change-or-growth-cause-flooding-9008747

lmao america

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

Prester Jane posted:

Addicks is currently less than six inches from starting to overflow on the north end. Shouldn't be much more than 90 minutes at this point-depending on how precise the sensor is.

Best I can find on the web is that water seems to be flowing into the Addicks at around 2600 acre-feet fer hour. Can some kind goon put that amount of water in perspective, as well as explain whether or not the upcoming uncontrolled release on the north end is likely to be enough to contain it?

That's 32,000 cfs. Niagara Falls is about 85,000 cfs. Considering they're draining 4,000 cfs, there's actually about 36,000 cfs entering the reservoir. They're falling behind by 100,800,000 cubic ft, or 755 million gallons, which would weigh 6.3 trillion pounds, every single hour.

The uncontrolled release is by definition not containing it. It will maintain the level in the reservoir as long as you have as much water as is trying to flow into the reservoir flowing out uncontrolled around the sides. That's a lot of water, and doesn't sound good. Nobody knows what the uncontrolled release is actually going to do.

XK fucked around with this message at 09:51 on Aug 29, 2017

ephex
Nov 4, 2007





PHWOAR CRIMINAL

Jose posted:

lmao america

this forever

Honj Steak
May 31, 2013

Hi there.

ephex posted:

3207048 m³

That's more than two times the local lake where I am, in one hour, that actually helps! :aaa:

Powershift
Nov 23, 2009


The largest current superankers hold 503,409,900 liters

if that earlier figure is right, there is 3,207,000,000 liters flowing into addicks dam, that's 6.3 supertankers driving into the dam every hour. for it to not fail, 6.3 have to drive through downtown every hour.

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

Powershift posted:

Niagra falls flows 7,200 acre-feet an hour

The spillway isn't a controlled release, it's a first-ditch effort at an uncontrolled release. It's a reinforced, designated area of first overflow

It should be able to contain it, but it's questionable whether or not it will fail itself.

The place where it flows out first is not concrete. It's grassy field.

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

This is north end of Addicks dam. The water goes around first. The concrete is only a cap on top.

https://goo.gl/maps/6XvJb8PK5Vy

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit

XK posted:

The place where it flows out first is not concrete. It's grassy field.

Yes, this. the is my understanding of things. The dam will start to overflow on the north side at 108 feet, overflow on the west side at 111 feet, and then at 112.5 feet the first actual reinforced auxiliary channel kicks in, located on the north side. There will already be 4.5 feet of water coming out the north side of the dam (into soft soil) by the time the first reinforced channel kicks in.

I Am A Robot
Jul 1, 2006
I found this to be helpful.

Toebone
Jul 1, 2002

Start remembering what you hear.
Why on earth is the spillway higher than the edges of the dam?

Prester Jane
Nov 4, 2008

by Hand Knit

Toebone posted:

Why on earth is the spillway higher than the edges of the dam?

Because there were supposed to be three more phases built on to this system that Houston never bothered to get around to doing cuz 'merica.

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

Prester Jane posted:

There will already be 4.5 feet of water coming out the north side of the dam (into soft soil) by the time the first reinforced channel kicks in.

This is why I'm worried about it unzipping the earth works as soon as it flows around. Even coming over the concrete, that concrete cap on top is literally just a concrete cap on top. Calling that a spillway is generous. That's a road.

treasured8elief
Jul 25, 2011

Salad Prong

Prester Jane posted:

Because there were supposed to be three more phases built on to this system that Houston never bothered to get around to doing cuz 'merica.

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XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

The date on that imagery of the "spillway" is 2017, so that's the current state of it. There's a reason professionals are worried and saying they don't really know what's going to happen. Going around the dam is cited in all the Army Core of Engineers reports as one of the primary risks.

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