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lemonadesweetheart
May 27, 2010

The civil war was loving stupid.

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kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

lemonadesweetheart posted:

The civil war was loving stupid.

We'll get ready for the big arguments about how to mark it as we kick off the 100 year anniversary.

lemonadesweetheart
May 27, 2010

kustomkarkommando posted:

We'll get ready for the big arguments about how to mark it as we kick off the 100 year anniversary.

I'd imagine they'll make less of a big deal of it than they did the '16 rising. But I guess that'll depend on how the government turns out.

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

Also SF just hit 36 and looks like they can still pick up one more seat

EmmyOk
Aug 11, 2013

Can’t wait for a new bank holiday for reunification day

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

EmmyOk posted:

Can’t wait for a new bank holiday for reunification day

Two new bank holidays you mean, finally you too can experience the 12th

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1226866778271297536?s=19

FF could be the biggest party by a mere two seats - feels like any coalition coming out of this is gonna be a partnership of equals deal.

Rotating Taoiseach may finally happen

lemonadesweetheart
May 27, 2010

I'd laugh my hole off if SF ends up the majority party.

EmmyOk
Aug 11, 2013

gently caress off please

lemonadesweetheart
May 27, 2010

That's loving hilarious though.

In earnest though, people should really think about nationalism and how it's not actually a good thing a bit more.

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

kustomkarkommando posted:

https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1226866778271297536?s=19

FF could be the biggest party by a mere two seats - feels like any coalition coming out of this is gonna be a partnership of equals deal.

Rotating Taoiseach may finally happen

do you reckon they'll go through with a SF-FF coalition? it seems to me to be more in SF's interest to try and force a FF-FG coalition and try to set themselves up as the opposition to that

lemonadesweetheart
May 27, 2010

V. Illych L. posted:

do you reckon they'll go through with a SF-FF coalition? it seems to me to be more in SF's interest to try and force a FF-FG coalition and try to set themselves up as the opposition to that

They'd be loving themselves in the long run if they do go in with FF but who knows. FF/FG would absolutely be the death of both of those parties I think.

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

V. Illych L. posted:

do you reckon they'll go through with a SF-FF coalition? it seems to me to be more in SF's interest to try and force a FF-FG coalition and try to set themselves up as the opposition to that

I mean if Mary Lou gets to be Taoiseach at some point (especially immediately preceeding the next election) and they get their headline policy of a rent freeze it is a big net gain for them - another period of opposition might work out well but the danger of losing momentum is probably hovering at the back of their minds (I'm sure they are little bit nervous at HQ at the sheer size of this swing).

I'm not really sure if FG are eager to prop up FF at the minute, there is still a sizeable Never Shinner electorate they will be looking to start leaning in to whispering to build back their vote share - an FF/SF deal would actually suit them in that regards.

FF probably don't want to be associated to closely with FG and will probably triangulate to start picking up SF policies on certain issues regardless after they've demonstrated their popularity. I could see them maybe making a deal with FG but I think that's gonna be extremely low on parties priority list.

EmmyOk
Aug 11, 2013

Is there anything to be said for a broad left coalition

Azza Bamboo
Apr 7, 2018


THUNDERDOME LOSER 2021
Is there a procedure for what happens if they just spend this time shaking their fists at one another never agreeing to coalesce?

lemonadesweetheart
May 27, 2010

EmmyOk posted:

Is there anything to be said for a broad left coalition
Not with the current numbers.

Azza Bamboo posted:

Is there a procedure for what happens if they just spend this time shaking their fists at one another never agreeing to coalesce?

I don't know of anything official but if it becomes intractable, Leo would have to ask Michael to dissolve the parliament again and there'd be another election.

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

Azza Bamboo posted:

Is there a procedure for what happens if they just spend this time shaking their fists at one another never agreeing to coalesce?

It's never actually happened - the government formation procedure is actually pretty loosely defined.

Rather than any one party being given first dibs or appointed to attempt to form a coalition the Irish system is a simultaneous free for all - any party can nominate a Taoiseach when the Dail meets and they all vote on this. This will probably get repeated a couple of times tbh regardless but negotiations will be happening all over the place between everyone at the same time.

It took a full 70 days last time.

Ultimately if Leo fails in his re-election as Taoiseach, which he will, the power then lies with the President to decide when to dissolve the Dail for a new election - he can refuse Leo's advice to do so (whenever that may come in the subsequent process) if he wishes.

Now we've never really had the President get invovled in Government formation so it would be a big constitutional novelty, there was some talk last time Higgins may use his powers to call a joint session of both chambers and basically lecture them to do their jobs (which has never happened before) but he may start flexing his limited constitutional powers if things drag on too long

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

EmmyOk posted:

Is there anything to be said for a broad left coalition

to add to the previous answer, it's tantalisingly close and an obvious goal for the next election if SF decides to go the opposition/gently caress you centrist scum route

Arquinsiel
Jun 1, 2006

"There is no such thing as society. There are individual men and women, and there are families. And no government can do anything except through people, and people must look to themselves first."

God Bless Margaret Thatcher
God Bless England
RIP My Iron Lady

kustomkarkommando posted:

Two new bank holidays you mean, finally you too can experience the 12th
I'm not a Catholic but I'll celebrate the time the Pope's favourite dude for the UK throne won a fight in Meath if it gets me a day off.

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018
I would happily change religion to get an extra bank holiday. Luckily my current religion (socialism) already believes in maximising holiday days

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

Saw this floating about from the exit poll

https://twitter.com/RMcGreevy1301/status/1226849060155465728?s=19

cool cool

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER


seems to conform to the idea that these are anti-establishment or single-issue votes imo

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

Ged Nash does it for Labour in Louth against expectations - FF may be struggling to get their seat lead here

Skull Servant
Oct 25, 2009

kustomkarkommando posted:

Ged Nash does it for Labour in Louth against expectations - FF may be struggling to get their seat lead here

FF have been completely locked out. We have 2 SF, 1 FG, 1 LAB, and Fitzpatrick. Disappointed with Fitzpatrick, but happy overall that we managed to expel FF and send a majority of center-left candidates. Wish we sent Deary over Fitzpatrick, and somehow the PBP candidate got in over the FG one.

Standish
May 21, 2001

oh no how terrible

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

https://twitter.com/harrymcgee/status/1226930502843715585?s=19

Shocking news as Shinners Shin at expected velocities

Troy Queef
Jan 12, 2013




EmmyOk posted:

gently caress off please


the standard neolib US legacy media line lately has been "nationalism is Evil* and every country should be run more like Canada or France"

(*except for one certain country. now who could guess what country the US media thinks that should be allowed to be nationalistic...)

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

FF reduced to a single seat in Donegal with left wing Independent Tom Pringle beating them out - think this means the best they can do now is tie SF in seats???

EmmyOk
Aug 11, 2013

The brexit reference is maddening because like 1% of voters said they cared about it

V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

Troy Queef posted:

the standard neolib US legacy media line lately has been "nationalism is Evil* and every country should be run more like Canada or France"

(*except for one certain country. now who could guess what country the US media thinks that should be allowed to be nationalistic...)

nationalism is bad, but my impression is that SF nationalism is more pertaining to a programme of unification with northern ireland than any particularly nationalist ideology

Pookah
Aug 21, 2008

🪶Caw🪶





EmmyOk posted:

The brexit reference is maddening because like 1% of voters said they cared about it

It's the only Irish-linked political issue they are even vaguely aware off, along with 'The Troubles'. Irish internal politics are entirely unknown to them, and therefore unimportant.

(also Sinn Fein did not make irish unification a major part of their election manifesto - it just isn't a pressing issue for the majority of the electorate, and they know it.)

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Sinn Fein can have little a nationalism, as a treat.

Failed Imagineer
Sep 22, 2018
the IRA can blow up a few minor royals, as a treat

cargo cult
Aug 28, 2008

by Reene
:yeshaha:

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Failed Imagineer posted:

the IRA can blow up a few minor royals, as a treat

You might have to beat the queen to prince andrew at this rate.

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

V. Illych L. posted:

nationalism is bad, but my impression is that SF nationalism is more pertaining to a programme of unification with northern ireland than any particularly nationalist ideology

I mean they do have other expressions of nationalism that float up when the EU is mentioned, they've long played a double game of the EU is bad because it's a NEO-LIBERAL superstate and also the EU is bad because it violates our sovereignty! This is there official position from the manifesto and you can see how it liberally combines the two in relative equal measures:


quote:

For too long, a cosy consensus has existed in Irish politics. The consensus extends from economic and
social policy to Ireland’s relationship with the European Union. It is a consensus that looks after the few,
to the detriment of the many.

Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael, and Labour are the yes men of Europe. Whatever Brussels and Frankfurt propose, they support. Their MEPs are the EU’s representatives in Ireland, promoting the agenda of the EU institutions rather than the interests of people in Ireland in the EU.

They have endorsed wholesale the European Commission’s right wing social and economic agenda, stripping back the gains of earlier battles to build a social Europe. Sinn Féin stands against this Brussels consensus; we have highlighted the negative impact of the policies of austerity and the erosion of democracy on the lives of people across Ireland. We have opposed cuts to the EU Budget for important strategic sectors such as agriculture, regional development and investment in jobs and growth.

It is time for a new direction, in Ireland and in the EU institutions. It is time to stand up for Ireland and the interests of all of the people who share this island. It is time to end the Brussels power grab, to reign in the Commission, and return powers to the member states. It is time to halt the attack on the wages and conditions of working people and to promote a basic threshold of decency for all. It is time to rebuild our public services and defend our public utilities.

Ireland’s place is in the European Union, but the European Union does need to change. The EU is far from perfect but the only way to address that and change it is from within. Our policy towards the European Union remains one of critical engagement.

Many aspects of our society, from community groups to business and education to agriculture, have been able to grow and expand as a result of the support they have received from the European Union. We acknowledge the role that the European Union played in the peace process and the Good Friday Agreement and we want to see the EU to continue in that role post-Brexit. We will support what is right and good for Ireland while challenging shortcomings wherever we find them. In doing so, we want to build
a better Europe.

We will seek to return powers to EU member states and increase the influence of member state parliaments in the EU legislative process. We support reforms of the EU which are aimed at reducing the power of the European Commission, making it more transparent and accountable to the European and member state parliaments, and increasing the influence of smaller member states.

Sinn Féin will build a fairer and more democratic European Union that works for the people of Europe, not for the EU insiders, middle-men and corporate interests. Greater transparency must be introduced, the
militarisation agenda halted, social protections legally bolstered and powers returned to member states.

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

Also personally I have beef with how they formulate their immigration policy which seems to talk out of both sides of their mouth and treads a very cautious line (considering we've had lads burning down centres for asylum seekers I'd prefer something a good bit more 'gently caress off racist scum')


quote:

Sinn Féin is determined to avoid the failed policies that have fostered resentments and tensions in other countries. Successive Governments have failed to deliver what is needed in terms of housing and health delivery. They and they alone are responsible for their failures.

Sinn Féin does not want open borders. We believe that all states must manage migration. Every state has to have an immigration system with well-functioning rules and regulation that everyone understands and that serves the interest of the people of the country. This system must have regard
to how many people are needed to meet shortfalls in the labour market and how many people can be integrated effectively with adequate support and resourcing. Where we do need migrants, such as to fill vacancies in our health system, our migration system should facilitate this.

The system must also protect people fleeing persecution and war, our international obligations must be fulfilled. We should end the Direct Provision system, treat people with dignity, process applications for asylum in a timely manner and implement the recommendations of the All-Party
Oireachtas Committee Report.

Venomous
Nov 7, 2011





comedy option: FF/FG know they're hosed in the next election whatever happens and they straight up merge into an orthodox national conservative party

centrism is dead, woo!!!

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

Only two seats to call and they are assuredly FF so final tally is

FF 38
SF 37
FG 35
Greens 12
Labour 6
SocDems 6
Sol-PBP 5
Aontu 1
Independents (+Independents4Change) 20

NB FF holds the speakers chair so he got automatically elected, if the Dail keeps him on (unlikely?) effective TDs is only 37

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V. Illych L.
Apr 11, 2008

ASK ME ABOUT LUMBER

how the gently caress is anyone getting a majority out of that

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