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GOP getting real upset that Fox News called Arizona for Biden
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Nov 4, 2020 06:03
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What other numbers can we expect to see tonight? Are important results still tickling in, or are have most states wrapped things up for the night?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:04
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Pick posted:Like, if Hispanic people keep saying "we're not automatically in favor of more people from [completely different country]" it was maybe wise to listen to them sooner. Remind me what primary candidate had the highest Latino support?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:04
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DorianGravy posted:What other numbers can we expect to see tonight? Are important results still tickling in, or are have most states wrapped things up for the night? Presuming the polls weren't off by more than 10 in WI/MI and either ME2 or NE2 gets called tonight we could "know" https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323853759718608896
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Nov 4, 2020 06:05
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This seems incredibly important: https://twitter.com/Elaijuh/status/1323850159894257671
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Nov 4, 2020 06:05
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Someone explain this poo poo to me: Why is GA called but not OH? Is there something I should know? 
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Nov 4, 2020 06:06
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Harlock posted:GOP getting real upset that Fox News called Arizona for Biden 2012 Ohio part Duex
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Nov 4, 2020 06:06
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Cpt_Obvious posted:Someone explain this poo poo to me: GA ain't called that's just the stupid as gently caress prediction needle. They only did needles for 4 states. It's a gimmick to all but the wonkiest of wonks.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:06
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Cpt_Obvious posted:Someone explain this poo poo to me: NYT hasn't called GA in fact they're stepping back on it https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323851572904927232
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Nov 4, 2020 06:07
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youcallthatatwist posted:what are you trying to say, then. what's your point here Don’t take it as a given that they’re pro immigration and try to convince them why they should be for it or give them other policy red meat.? I think Picks argument is that Dems going “of course they’ll vote for us, we’re pro immigration and they’re Hispanic” is really dumb.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:07
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Cpt_Obvious posted:Someone explain this poo poo to me:
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Nov 4, 2020 06:07
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There are a ton of early votes they could not process in GA because, no fooling, a water main broke. (The ballots are fine.)
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Nov 4, 2020 06:07
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Cpt_Obvious posted:Someone explain this poo poo to me: Only three swings got the needle this time.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:07
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Cpt_Obvious posted:Someone explain this poo poo to me: None of them are called that’s a forecast. They only projected states that would have early votes tallied early.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:07
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Nessus posted:There are a ton of early votes they could not process in GA because, no fooling, a water main broke. (The ballots are fine.) Also these southern states have had all Early votes counted?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:08
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OH called for Trump?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:09
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Ahh ok. 89% reporting with an 8 point margin looks like it should be called, tho. Do they have a lot of mail-ins and early votes to tab?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:09
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323854833057779712
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Nov 4, 2020 06:09
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NYT needle is now +.4 for Biden in GA.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:10
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Harlock posted:NYT needle is now +.4 for Biden in GA. I want to get off this ride now. e: This is certainly good but the ups and downs are killing me.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:10
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What a loving weird rear end map this will be.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:11
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Harlock posted:NYT needle is now +.4 for Biden in GA. Yeah that FL latino number really hosed up their cross state correlation calculation, it's also why they're pulling back on NC
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Nov 4, 2020 06:11
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funkymonks posted:I want to get off this ride now. There is no getting off Mr Trumps Wild Ride until we get through the part of the ride that goes through hell.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:11
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Atlanta's vote counters went home for the night, so I assume this means margins are shrinking more than anticipated in the places finishing their counts.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:11
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GA might flip. Who knows. That's a big one. It really is gonna come down to PA tho.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:11
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323855158174978049?s=20
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Nov 4, 2020 06:11
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Election night can eat my rear end tbh
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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We all know the needle is bad, but we cannot quit the needle.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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OH COME ON MAAAAAN
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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Crows Turn Off posted:OH called for Trump? Yeah, that was expected. Lots of hype early on that it might turn, but it returned to form as all the votes came in. MI/WI/PA will follow the same pattern in reverse.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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If GA Flips and NC doesn't I'm going to buy so many loving peaches.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:12
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https://twitter.com/conorsen/status/1323823119761592320 That's what's still out in GA
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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Georgia's not going to be done until tomorrow.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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People are bitching about polling but what is particularly off at this point? The only one I am particular mad about is Gideon since that will probably gently caress the Senate dream.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:13
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He's been Biden his time.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:14
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The NY Times needle is just a probability indicator based on polling data, right? Why are you guys so into it if the pollsters seem to be working from inaccurate data? Hope is poison. Tasty, tasty poison.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:14
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Has anyone else other than Fox called AZ?
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Nov 4, 2020 06:14
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Eric Cantonese posted:The NY Times needle is just a probability indicator based on polling data, right? Why are you guys so into it if the pollsters seem to be working from inaccurate data? The needle also accounts for votes from areas not yet counted/reported vs expected outcomes.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:14
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Grouchio posted:OH COME ON MAAAAAN Lol
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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| # ? Jun 7, 2024 10:03 |
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I was bernie-or-bust in 2016. I camped out for the DNC. I was at Standing Rock on election day. I remember climbing Facebook Hill to get updates late that night, taking a turn on the exercize bike that would charge someone's cell phone so we could get a trickle of signal. I was woken up the next morning in my tent by a Yakima woman, announcing that Trump was the victor. It was a hell of an experience, but I was shielded from the hell ya'll experienced. The sudden crash of confidence and setting in of dread and fear. None of the called states have broken in a way that is surprising, I still think this will break Biden - but I'm disappointed that the overwhelming domination I anticipated failed to materialize. But I feel it. The PTSD from '16, I'm feeling it.
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Nov 4, 2020 06:15
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