Deteriorata posted:

With older cars, you get survivor bias. All companies make some lemons, but they don't last long and are off to junk yards in a few years. At 10 years, most of the ones that were just made badly are gone. Manufacturers that inherently build better cars will have a larger fraction of their cars still on the road.

So to a large extent, 10 year old cars are almost interchangeable with respect to future reliability. What makes the difference are owner maintenance and exposure to road salt.

If the car is in good shape and has been well maintained, it's probably going to be good for a while yet. However, at that age everything is a crap shoot. There's always the possibility of something major blowing up and it will never be as reliable as a new car under warranty.