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Triticum Guzzler
Jun 16, 2002


Max Awfuls posted:

So, how much money has Yamasaki taken from you?

in real terms, about 7. in theoretical terms, i dunno, like 50? duff man is a cautious cat.

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Triticum Guzzler
Jun 16, 2002


Also is it just me or does almost every fight on the next FOX card set off your "absolutely do not bet on this" alarm? I can't even postulate a single totally sick parlay to narrowly lose right now.

henkman
Oct 8, 2008


I'd be pretty confident on Evans over Davis and Roller over Johnson

henkman
Oct 8, 2008


But don't bet on MMA

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.


I'm betting on Maia for sure. no "cred mining" either or whatever, I just think Maia is a cool dude with cool hair. Mayhem had the ugliest striking I've ever seen and he still wasn't that threatened by Bisping. Also Bisping hasn't had a real break from training/MMA since TUF started last fall but I have no idea if that will matter or not.

If I had to parlay I would do Rashad/Sonnen/Maia but I will probably straight bet Rashad, Munoz and Maia.

as far as the prelims go I will likely take George Roop over Cub Swanson and Evan Dunham over Nik Lentz.

EdRush
Dec 13, 2005

by R. Guyovich


sonnen opens as a -450 favorite over bisping

Triticum Guzzler
Jun 16, 2002


after last night i am now only 60p from where i started, if kamal shalorus were not so profoundly terrible i would have the princely sum of 2.90 as my career profit. having made -60p in a one month span, i can conclusively say that "don't bet on mma" is a terrible maxim as this is clearly a wise investment.

DumbWhiteGuy
Jul 4, 2007

You need haters. Fellas if you got 20 haters, you need 40 of them motherfuckers. If there's any haters in here that don't have nobody to hate on, feel free to hate on me


Chimney Sweeps Week posted:

after last night i am now only 60p from where i started, if kamal shalorus were not so profoundly terrible i would have the princely sum of 2.90 as my career profit. having made -60p in a one month span, i can conclusively say that "don't bet on mma" is a terrible maxim as this is clearly a wise investment.

it wont be long until you are making sure-thing bets to cover losses from other bets and then your tower of cards will fall when matt serra beats george st pierre

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"


Fun Shoe

DumbWhiteGuy posted:

it wont be long until you are making sure-thing bets to cover losses from other bets and then your tower of cards will fall when matt serra beats george st pierre

Serra knocking out GSP at about +1100 back when MMA bookies didn't know what the gently caress got me loving paid in a big way.

Boregasm
Nov 17, 2009


In non-plastic belt betting news, Michael Johnson is +190 despite the very real fact that Shane Roller's striking is putrid and his MMA wrestling isn't developed yet. Do the smart thing and bet all your money on Johnson.

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.


Boregasm posted:

In non-plastic belt betting news, Michael Johnson is +190 despite the very real fact that Shane Roller's striking is putrid and his MMA wrestling isn't developed yet. Do the smart thing and bet all your money on Johnson.

Yeah. I was thinking the same.

The guys I'm running with tomorrow:

Demian Maia +120
George Roop +100 (homer bet)
Michael "the Count" Johnson +190

and then a few parlays with Chael Sonnen and Rashad Evans + other dudes because if either Chael or Rashad lose I will enjoy the fallout, especially if Bisping somehow earns a title shot. That is worth losing a few dollars.

Boregasm
Nov 17, 2009


Boregasm posted:

In non-plastic belt betting news, Michael Johnson is +190 despite the very real fact that Shane Roller's striking is putrid and his MMA wrestling isn't developed yet. Do the smart thing and bet all your money on Johnson.

If you aren't rolling around in cash like Scrooge McDuck you've got nobody to blame but yourself.

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.


Boregasm posted:

If you aren't rolling around in cash like Scrooge McDuck you've got nobody to blame but yourself.



we're cool dudes with cool picks.

now I wait for Demian Maia to make me very mad in a few hours.

ForbiddenWonder
Feb 15, 2003



Boregasm posted:

If you aren't rolling around in cash like Scrooge McDuck you've got nobody to blame but yourself.

I won on this

I'm on Maia and Rashad tonight. I got in on Rashad at -180 and he's up to -220 at my book currently.

fatherdog
Feb 16, 2005

by Lowtax


I'm really amazed that Roop is somehow an underdog against Swanson

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.


fatherdog posted:

I'm really amazed that Roop is somehow an underdog against Swanson

Me too, but the line has been moving to where Roop is finally the favorite (-115 to -110). Roop is by no means a lock, but like Duncan said he's quietly become a pretty decent fighter.

ForbiddenWonder
Feb 15, 2003



mine has roop at -130 *shrug*

Boregasm
Nov 17, 2009


Roop moved from +120 to -130 overnight.

Bubba Smith
Sep 27, 2004

Is tonight the greatest moment in Dominick Cruz's life?

No.

The greatest moment in my life was realizing that I didn't need a belt to be happy.


ForbiddenWonder posted:

mine has roop at -130 *shrug*

I got in on him at even money, but he's been as high as like 180+ on some sites.

Trillest Parrot
Jul 9, 2006

trill parrots don't die


$10 wins $25 on my Weidman/Dunham/Sonnen/Evans parlay!

Boregasm
Nov 17, 2009


Maia hosed up my parlay. I picked him because I expected Weidman to look like poo poo in the late rounds after cutting 32lbs in 11 days. Serves me right to root for a Brazilian.

DannoMack
Aug 1, 2003

i love it when you call me big poppa


Betting MMA is easy money and everyone should do it.

Remora
Aug 15, 2010


urbancontra posted:

$10 wins $25 on my Weidman/Dunham/Sonnen/Evans parlay!

So what are you doing with your $25?

Trillest Parrot
Jul 9, 2006

trill parrots don't die


Remora posted:

So what are you doing with your $25?

keystone lights for everybody

colonel_korn
May 16, 2003



Degenerate gamblers take note: http://www.bestfightodds.com/

quote:

Rashad Evans +400
Jon Jones -600

Probably won't be a better time to put some money on YMMSRE if you are so inclined.

colonel_korn fucked around with this message at Jan 31, 2012 around 01:33

ForbiddenWonder
Feb 15, 2003



probably around fight night would be a better time.

Ninja PD
Jul 21, 2006


The most valuable line I see right now is in Meisha Tate @ +240 vs Rhonda Rousey @ -300. Rousey has had about 5 minutes total in the cage and Tate is a pretty good overall fighter with more MMA experience. What are your guys' thoughts?

ForbiddenWonder
Feb 15, 2003



seek help

MassRafTer
May 26, 2001

Fundamentals as sound as the WNBA


Ninja PD posted:

The most valuable line I see right now is in Meisha Tate @ +240 vs Rhonda Rousey @ -300. Rousey has had about 5 minutes total in the cage and Tate is a pretty good overall fighter with more MMA experience. What are your guys' thoughts?

But Rousey knows JUDO!

That actually seems like a pretty good underdog bet.

henkman
Oct 8, 2008


Yeah Ronda does Judo, Meisha is a wrestler. When has that ever worked out for the Judoka? Yeah, never (probably a couple times yeah okay but no)

DannoMack
Aug 1, 2003

i love it when you call me big poppa


I don't know much, but if this Axe Murderer guy gets to use his axe in the octagon then I don't see how he's an underdog.

Meat Recital
Mar 26, 2009

by zen death robot


Both fighters are full of holes, and neither has faced really tough competition. Those aren't terrible odds on what should be a pick 'em fight.

world b lee
Feb 1, 2006
Is it a frog? Is it a toad?

Anyone else like Big Country at +120 against Werdum? Seems like a wash on the ground and Werdum's reckless striking could get him in trouble against the more powerful puncher.

manyak
Jan 26, 2006


world b lee posted:

Anyone else like Big Country at +120 against Werdum? Seems like a wash on the ground and Werdum's reckless striking could get him in trouble against the more powerful puncher.

Werdums gonna win yall

2 fat 4 my lambo
Oct 9, 2003

WEED POOP

Chemtrail Clem posted:

Werdums gonna win yall

*nods sagely*

Queering Wheel
Jun 18, 2011



world b lee posted:

Anyone else like Big Country at +120 against Werdum? Seems like a wash on the ground and Werdum's reckless striking could get him in trouble against the more powerful puncher.

Nelson only really has the edge in KO power. Werdum is better at everything else imo. Even if Nelson does land something, Werdum is hard as poo poo to finish. I think he will take the decision.

fatherdog
Feb 16, 2005

by Lowtax


I don't think Werdum having better wrestling is at all obvious.

Max Awfuls
Sep 10, 2011


The only safe bet for Nelson-Werdum is that it will be awful.

2 fat 4 my lambo
Oct 9, 2003

WEED POOP

Max Awfuls posted:

The only safe bet for Nelson-Werdum is that it will be awful.

theyre both pretty fearless and Nelson's standup isn't good enough to make Werdum shoot endlessly. it might be a sloppy fight but it probably won't be boring

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MassRafTer
May 26, 2001

Fundamentals as sound as the WNBA


Wedding will offer side control and Roy will knock him out with a belly flop.

I am trying to avoid any bets until Edgar but Roy as a slight dog is tempting.

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