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Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Why does anything give a gently caress about this past, "Hah hah, your bets are entertaining to us!"

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Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Here are my stupid bets -

*(9303) Benson "Smooth" Henderson -130 Aug 31/13@09:30p

Competitor: (9302) Anthony "Showtime" Pettis
Web US$ 5.00 US$ 3.85

Going to be a good fight but I see Benson doing some layin' in the near future.

*(9501) Ben Rothwell +110 Aug 31/13@08:00p

Competitor: (9500) Brandon Vera
Web US$ 5.00 US$ 5.50

Never, never, never stop underestimating how bad Vera is capable of being.

*(9301) Frank Mir +155 Aug 31/13@09:00p

Competitor: (9300) Josh "The Warmaster" Barnett
Web US$ 5.00 US$ 7.75

Frank Mir is a lot better than he gets credit for AND faced actual competition with some success in the past five years.

*(9305) Clay "The Carpenter" Guida +325 Aug 31/13@08:30p

Competitor: (9304) Chad "Money" Mendes

My stupidity bet of the evening. Guida should lose but has a great ability to herk jerk Jardine himself into some close decisions, so that's a thing.

I parlayed them all for a buck as well because gently caress it.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

turntabler posted:

I ended up going $100 on Kelvin-Cerrone-Condit at $3.06 and $100 on Hioki-Tavares-Mcgee at $3.94.

Good luck everyone.

While I'm not being critical if you dropped two hundo on some parlays, what the hell do you mean here? +306/+394?

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

turntabler posted:

Yeah, Aussie betting sites would do a +200 as $2.00. I just leave it as if because it becomes harder to translate favourites into the +/- style of presenting odds if the site doesn't have the feature.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Okami as a two to one underdog, worth a gamble?

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

I've known about Souza forever but have about a combined thirty seconds of actual memory in my head for judging him. My gut said Okami shouldn't be that big of an underdog.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Boetsch threw the loving kitchen sink at Okami in the form of uppercuts. It would have startled anyone.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Marching Powder posted:

that's why a gambling man takes okami at 2to1

I'm a gambling man.

I'm also considering this a very confident post with a high post bravery index.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

I'm glad my $5 on Okami provided entertainment. Sigh.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:


:drat:

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

caiman posted:

A stupid newbie question:

In the OP it says "The "slightly," unfortunately, is enough to make nearly every sports bet unwinnable over the long-term." Can someone elaborate on this? Let's say I started betting on UFC and I always put money on the favorite. Why wouldn't I be likely to come out on top in the long run?

Your returns on heavily favored fighters would be tiny and one upset would really gently caress over your meager winnings.

MMA betting is only fun on underdog bets (MATT SERRA KNOCKED OUT GSP WOO I WON MONEY ON THAT NEVER FORGET!!!) or stupid parlays.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

caiman posted:

Makes sense. So on average how common are upsets (I'm new to MMA too)? I would think if they didn't happen more than about every 1 in 5 fights, then a favorite-betting strategy would still be mildly profitable. But maybe they're more common than that?

Let my misadventures be an example.

I've recently bet on Anderson Silva, Machida, and Benson Henderson. :stare:

But I also bet on Anthony Perosh and Rothwell. Apparently the stupider a pick the better I do.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

My NFL betting supports my MMA idiocy betting.

I view MMA betting as more entertainment and rarely put more than $5 on a fighter.

(Except for $20 on A. Silva, Machida, and Benson ARGH!)

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Fat Twitter Man posted:

I thought that Jacare being a favorite over Okami showed how stupid sports bettors were. The lesson is never listen to goons in general and me in particular.

Even knowing Okami got starched I think that line was silly.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Fat Twitter Man posted:

Then again the only two fights I've seen Jacare in were versus Ed Herman and Chris Camozzi and I may have been underhyping him.

This was likely my undoing on this one.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

I was talking to a friend on the phone and burst out laughing because it looked like Gonzaga was just fighting a full blown fat dude.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Can we bet on robot dance length? I want to bet on robot dance length.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

attackmole posted:

I have 10 bucks on each of Guillard, Jimmo, and whoever the due is who's fighting Sakara (because he's fight loving Sakara).

But the boxing! He apparently was once a box!

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

turntabler posted:

I have been laid off from my high paying job that allowed me to make retarded MMA bets on the reg.

Good God I feel you pain here.

But take my advice and become a money hoarder until something bigger than an unemployment check is on the horizon.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Jase1 is back, baby!

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

ChampRamp posted:

Jase1, I missed you. Not joking.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

If you bet on Hendo you might as well bet on the KO, it's the only loving way it's happening if he wins.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Bovada isn't offering gently caress all in recharge bonuses right now. Any recommendations on other sites or bonuses I'm not seeing for a US bet man?

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

l3ruce posted:

Rothwell was +400 by KO, best bet since Tim Sylvia was +400 against Brandon Vera.

I got Rothwell at +320 just to win. It was a good night.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

I bet on Rin, Amir, Gomi, and pretty much every other bad fighter knowing that my Hunt to win bet and Hunt prop bet to finish the fight would cover.

It did. Nothing was gained or lost but the entertainment of yelling at bad underdogs.

Except Amir. He isn't bad.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Bet on Melvin Guillard, Melvin Coke Head, Gastelum, Hunt, and Bonnar.

Argh, dangit.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

outy posted:

Well I got great odds on the Edgar vs Swanson fight to finish in under 4.5 rounds. £42 to win £80.
So that was really loving annoying.

I bet on that fight not going the distance and almost poo poo when it didn't.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Jase, Mark Hunt died for your sins and smiles on you.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

MrSmokes posted:

jase1 you're the greatest, as always.

I decided to get back in the game with this card, here's what I have so far.

$11.15 on Lombard getting a (T)KO to win $9.70
$12 on Cormier to win $16.80
$18 on Cerrone to win $9.42
$18 on Dufresne to win $10

I'm thinking of putting more on Cerrone. He is getting as low as -140/-150 and I think that's the best bet on the card. Jury's good but I don't see him winning this one, it's too big of a step up imo. He's had some trouble with lesser fighters and Cerrone's been brutalizing top guys for a while now.

I love Cerrone but I would actually think Jury could very well beat him and should be at even odds. From a strictly gambling standpoint, I'd think Jury is the better underdog bet. Still coin-flippy, but good value.

I still hope Cerrone smokes his smug rear end.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

My bored bets that I placed for entertainment tonight.

I bet against the Japanese guy on the principle that he is Japanese. Now I found out he's fighting a loving Schulman guy. Whatever. Seems legit.

Burkman because he paid me against Fitch and I hate Lombard with a passion.

Cerrone because I think it's a toss up and want him to win.

Cormier for good luck.

These are four lock losses. Mark my words.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Viper_3000 posted:

$30 on Jury even though I like Cowboy better and would rather he win.

I think that's the good bet.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

I truly thought Cerrone won that fight by a thin but clear margin. Good fight. I'm also glad I put money on him.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

LIKEINEEDTHIS posted:

I've been lured into betting on MMA for the first time ever after watching Vitor Belfort highlights and and seeing the crazy odds for his winning in early rounds. Typically I'm very reluctant to bet at all (I'm a tonne of fun at casinos) but since I'm watching the show live at a bar with some mates I figured I'd spread half the aussie cost of PPV access (which is what I usually wind up paying for watching shows live) over Belfort taking the first three rounds.

Sportsbet has Vitor winning rd 1 at 13.00, rd 2 at 18.00 & rd 3 at 23.00. I doubt he'll have gas past the first two rounds at all but I still couldn't help myself from betting $15, $10 & $5 respectively. I'm still rooting for Weidman but it'll be easier to stomach his possible loss to a Vitor flurry with money on the table.

Gambling isn't for you.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

fatherdog posted:

If I ever die in a horrible accident I'm leaving a will that says bundt becomes PSP mod

Only if Duncan is some kind of co-mod. It's like instead of Good Cop - Bad Cop we would have Angriest Ever Mod - Funniest Poster Ever Mod. It would be a good Yin and Yang.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Remora posted:

on the one hand seek help but on the other hand don't

A man who makes these kinds of wagers for this many years can usually afford it OR is in a different income bracket than the rest of us.

If I'm correct Jase does well in the rest of his gambling habit. Well enough to be a Godsend to us at least.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

I'm pretty shocked that Aldo is a underdog. That seems like a way for the bookies to win a good deal of money.

Look, I want Conor to win but gently caress...I think an Aldo bet might be smart here.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Mr. Nice! posted:

The dude that won 2.5 million on the royals just won 125k because of holm. He put 10k on here at +1250

It's going to be another seven or eight years before the odds have someone as such an underdog. I remember Serra broke sports books and there weren't any good handicaps for a while.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Dude you better be ready to buy a car regardless of outcome.

Godspeed, you beautiful bastard.

Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:


Seriously. I don't use a bookie but working most of my life in restaurants I know a shitload of guys.

I also could probably find heroin and an illegal passport on a days notice. It's part of the trade.

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Captain Log
Oct 2, 2006

Captain Log posted:

"I AINT DYING! Choo choo motherfucker!"
:toot::birddrugs::toot:

Bovada is super easy to deal with but they are wise on the lines so you aren't going to get great action compared to other places. I like them for the ease of use and their customer service is great.

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