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Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.

Captain Log posted:

What were some of your biggest bets you won?

Nothing for me will ever top taking Serra at +1100 or something against GSP.

I actually can't remember what the odds were, I think around +650, but I had Jardine over Liddell. The most recent big win was Paulo Thiago over Swick, I think I got in at +275.

Most recent big loss was Bader at +325.

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Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.

henkman posted:

My bet on Siver covered all my losses and then some.

Was the only bet I made luckily. I almost didn't make it and Fatherdog of all people talked me into it by confirming Siver's standup.

Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.
After Ellenberger paid me off, I figure Rampage might do the same, +453 is too attractive, put 75 on it.

Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.

Bubba Smith posted:

Charlie Brenneman +160 over Anthony "Rumble" Johnson this weekend

getting that urge

to bet on MMA

I got in at +174. Some places still have him at +170.

Edit:
More importantly, I put a whole bunch of Money on Penn, who was at +115. I think the odds have even'd out now though. But still, at even money, it's not a bad bet.

Fastbreak fucked around with this message at 16:36 on Sep 30, 2011

Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.
I really want nothing more on this card than Assuncao to win tonight, but I am surprised at how many people are picking him. Why is he favored so much?

Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.

Biafraid posted:

Plus Bisping just pulled out a dominant win over noted jiu-jitsu ace Jason "Mayhem" Miller, a grappler so accomplished he has his own show on MTV.

Despite this being a joke, it's a majority of the reason he is so heavily favored. People have very short memories. Maybe he could be favored, but not -220.

Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.
Just to say I went 4/5 this month making ~$450, best month I have ever had.

Condit over Diaz by Decision (+210)
Werdum over Roy by Decision (+145)
Ellenberger by Decision (-125)
Pettis over Lauzon (-190)

Losing only with picking Okami by decision.

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Fastbreak
Jul 4, 2002
Don't worry, I had ten bucks.
My Thiago bet to finish within 3 just put me over the 2K mark for the year, going 11 for 16 so far betting only on +bets, with 2 exceptions.

So now I don't know if I am getting greedy in thinking Shields over Woodly at +155 is a pretty obvious bet, or I am making it out to be something it isn't.

I think Sheilds can outwrestle him, I think Woodly doesn't hit as hard as Ellenberger (or Hendo for that matter), and Shields will snoozefest his way to a win.

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