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I've got small bets on Iliarde Santos @ +300 and Jose Maria @ +350. They're both experienced fighters, and betting on Brazilians fighting in Brazil isn't a terrible idea. Lineker couldn't make weight, so he's going to be a bit drained, and as much as I love Uncle Creepy (bought the shirt) he's under a lot of pressure now. I expect to lose those bets, but I think the odds are a bit long so worthy of a punt. Bigger bet on Thales Leites. Tom Kong is a journeyman at best, his wrestling is not bad by UK standards but that means it's internationally poo poo. I think this might be a bit one-sided, -130 on Thales was too tempting.
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Aug 3, 2013 20:40
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Anthony Pettis @ 2.00 £17.50 Single Darren Elkins @ 2.10 £17.50 Single Jason High @ 1.80 £17.50 Single Zak Cummings @ 1.80 £17.50 Single Parlays are way too irritating.
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Aug 28, 2013 19:37
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3 for 3 tonight, so I've stuck £20 to win £32.50 on Condit/Kampit not going the distance.
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Aug 29, 2013 00:13
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Lost on Healey and Meathead, but ended up turning a profit due to Wilson Reis being a slight dog, and shamefully made money on Jones to win by decision (+333).
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Sep 22, 2013 10:56
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Oct 9, 2013 02:43
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Underdogs are more fun!
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Oct 9, 2013 02:45
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Kim can grind out a win if he doesn't get flurried in the first minute, Maldonado should be able to outbox Beltran. Hamill won't win, but those odds plus Silva missing weight, being unable to make a subsequent cut and tending to gas on the walk-in makes it a fair wager. Toquinho is good value here. Welter is good for him, he's going to be strong as gently caress. I also think his obvious insanity and ability to end a career with one twist will play heavily on any opponent's mind. I don't bet on underdogs because I think they'll win, rather that they've got a chance of winning slightly greater than the odds on offer.
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Oct 9, 2013 09:20
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Marching Powder posted:Grats outy, good night for you Dodged a few bullets, good result all in all. Having said that, if Hamill wasn't dumber than Silva (a feat that I thought was impossible), I would have banked an extra £220. outy fucked around with this message at 13:54 on Oct 10, 2013 |
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Oct 10, 2013 12:42
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I've taken Gonzaga and TJ Waldburger as underdogs, and a double on Noons/Lombard winning.
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Oct 19, 2013 08:18
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I got nervous about Waldo, so put a sneaky treble on before the prelims which covered it and gave me a little profit. Kyoji Horiguchi @ 1.61 Adlan Amagov @ 1.53 Andre Fili @ 1.45 Trebles, 1 bet * £7.34 return: £26.4
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Oct 20, 2013 01:04
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Got my Noons/Lombard double. Just Napao to go,
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Oct 20, 2013 02:15
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That Jimmo bet might be shaky, Manuwa is no joke. 13 wins, 12 by KO, and he's never seen a 3rd round. He's obviously hosed as soon as he gets matched with a half-decent wrassler, but I don't think Jimmo is that guy.
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Oct 25, 2013 13:09
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Having said all that, I might be betting on Munoz, so what do I know  I'm going to watch the weigh-ins and make a decision.
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Oct 25, 2013 13:10
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Machida looks good at 185, didn't fancy betting against him. I finally decided on: Melvin Guillard @ 1.66 Jimi Manuwa @ 1.58 Double £20.00 to win £32.94 Lyoto Machida by KO, TKO or Disqualification @ 2.10 Single £15.00 to win £16.50 Piotr Hallmann @ 2.20 Single £15.00 to win £18
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Oct 26, 2013 08:35
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The bookies gave me the Manuwa win out of my double due to the Pearson/Guillard NC. With Machida doing the business I made £13 from a £50 stake. Obviously better than losing, but not a good percentage return.
outy fucked around with this message at 03:10 on Oct 27, 2013 |
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Oct 26, 2013 22:45
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Yeah, I'd be tempted to back Phillipou at those odds. He went 5 straight before succumbing to the unstoppable Carmont. I still expect Rockhold to anonymously score a win, but it's worth a little punt.
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Jan 14, 2014 20:08
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MrSmokes posted:Brenneman at -170 is the best bet on the card, bet the house on him. I've watched tape on his opponent Beneil Dairush and he really doesn't look all that great. Undefeated at 6-0, but has only fought one guy with a winning record, and that guy was 3-2. I think Brenneman's just way too much for him, especially now that he's dropped to his proper weight class, and I don't get why the line's as close as it is. I don't blame you because I lost money on this fight. I'm a big boy, I can make my own decisions. I'm just going to call you a oval office and leave it at that.
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Jan 16, 2014 13:50
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Due to the way he won both fights, I reckon there's still money to be made on Weidman.
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Jan 16, 2014 15:55
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turntabler posted:So apparently the deal was I that I have to turn over my $200 free bet 3 times before cashing it out, and I just cashed out some of my existing money I had in the account. So now I have about $390 I need to turn over twice more before I can get my filthy hands on it. Add to this I have been laid off from my high paying job that allowed me to make retarded MMA bets on the reg. Are you sure? He's -200 everywhere I can find. His opponent is about +150. If you've not hosed up, then your bookie has, so bet your savings on Cowboy and lay it off somewhere else for a win-win.
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Jan 25, 2014 18:28
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http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/adriano-martins-v-donald-cerrone/winner
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Jan 25, 2014 18:29
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turntabler posted:$785.84.... It was from a $200 free bet that I had to turn over 3 times before I can withdraw it. $780 win or $780 return for a $400 win? What's your last bet going to be?
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Feb 4, 2014 02:28
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By the way, if you still have $200 to bet before you can withdraw, put 40 x $5 bets on a bunch of soccer games. Just bet on the home win, you'll win a few and lose a few but maximise your return for a reduced risk. Alternatively, put everything on a Rousey/DC double.
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Feb 4, 2014 02:33
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turntabler posted:I have $780 total. My first bet was 200 and the next was 390. So I'm gonna read the fine print as to whether I just have to turn over the initial stake 3 times or the total winnings 3 times.... It'll be the initial stake x3 (or at the most, the stake + the bonus x3). Sometimes there is a stipulation that all the bets should be above a certain odds to stop you just betting on a 50/1 on shot (-5000).
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Feb 4, 2014 08:45
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tesilential posted:Do it bro. Yeah, go for it. DC is -1200ish to win, so those odds seem generous.
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Feb 21, 2014 01:29
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turntabler posted:My betting site has shields at +257 vs Lombard. Considering a strong play on that. Anyone else betting this weekend? Shields is a good bet at those odds. He's a bit longer on my site, so I'll have a bit of that. Considering parlaying with Woodley and Lawler for the night of upsets. 25 gets you 800, seems fair.
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Mar 11, 2014 16:12
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Rumble is coming in as a decent dog against Phil Davis. Worth a couple of coins at +175
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Apr 23, 2014 11:40
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I think Johnson is pretty formidable at 205, very aggressive and hits like a truck. He's in zero danger of getting KO'd here, and while I think Davis is right to be favourite, the odds are generous.
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Apr 23, 2014 15:38
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Foul Fowl posted:What's the line on Davis? Rumble shouldn't be anywhere near that high. -225 for Davis (4/9 on in old money).
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Apr 23, 2014 17:24
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Fozzy The Bear posted:So post how much you bet on him so that we can laugh at you after. Why would anyone want to laugh at the misfortune of others? Unless their own lives were so full of failure that a glimpse of someone else's sadness is the only thing that brings them any happiness. I might make a bet, but if I do then I hope I lose it and bring a glimmer of light into your dark life.
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Apr 23, 2014 21:15
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Glover Teixeira @ 5.00 £7.00 Return £0.00 Tim Boetsch @ 7.00 £5.00 Return £0.00 Anthony Johnson @ 2.80 £23.00 Return £64.40 I like rooting for the little guy
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Apr 27, 2014 11:26
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Triticum Guzzler posted:so you bet on anthony johnson, naturally He's a mental midget.
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Apr 27, 2014 14:26
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Fozzy The Bear posted:If you post your bets AFTER the event, it doesn't count. Don't be so upset, it makes me feel sad too.
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Apr 27, 2014 19:17
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I'm liking King Mo coming in as an underdog against Rampage (+185).
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Apr 29, 2014 14:25
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While Mo isn't nearly as good as he thinks he is, he won't have to look through too many fight tapes to see how to beat Rampage. The Bader fight was a step-by-step instructional.
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Apr 30, 2014 16:03
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I have also placed thirty English pounds on Matt "I'm mortal" Brown. With a consensus like this, it's quite literally IMPOSSIBLE for him to lose.
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May 10, 2014 17:01
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Got a nice matching bonus at a new bookie, so I put £25 on King Mo to wrestlefuck Rampage, returns £162.50.
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May 14, 2014 16:55
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fatherdog posted:King Mo moved his training camp to ATT to train with Texeira, Rampage moved his training camp next door to train with Mayhem. This was genuinely the trigger for me. Rampage is going to gas on the walk-in. And the "wrestlefucking" was an optimistic prediction, not a stipulation of the bet.
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May 14, 2014 23:03
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Lloyd Boner posted:I kinda wanna bet on tito, it feels like the right thing to do Stats: Tito has fought 9 times since 2007, winning only once (and that was against Bader so doesn't count). He's also had his entire skeleton replaced twice. Shlemenko has gone 28-2 in the same time frame, and while he's a bit undersized for LHW, Tito's not likely to be able to bully him. The bookies have Shlemenko as a 5-1 on favourite. If I was going to back a big underdog at the moment I'd be more inclined to lump money on Hendo, who is always quite literally one punch away from a win. Tito's likely to wilt the first time the Russian hits his body, which will be 40 seconds into round one.
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May 15, 2014 17:00
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turntabler posted:Rampage vs Mo is +225 not to go the distance, is that a 5 rounder? nope
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May 18, 2014 01:13
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| # ¿ May 4, 2024 08:17 |
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I feel robbed of my £25 I stuck on Mo, but blessed that I stuck the last £6.50 in my account on Tito when the odds dropped to 4-1. A grand total profit of one English pound, excellent investment.
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May 18, 2014 18:19
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