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A Nebraska tumbleweed is likely to have more sentience than any human interested in running for the senate in that state. The 2014 race in Michigan will be hinged on what happens on February 23rd. That is when the Michigan Democratic Party will vote for the chairperson of the party. Mark Brewer, who the UAW hates now is running for his 19th year. Lon Johnson who tried to run for state house in Kalkaska despite never living in this part of the state before 2011 is running against Brewer. Johnson is also married to Julianna Smoot, who has worked on both Obama campaigns. The UAW is endorsing him. The Teachers unions are endorsing Brewer. Both are lovely choices and we would all like a third option.
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Feb 19, 2013 00:28
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AsInHowe posted:Is it just me, or shouldn't 2014 be another big win for the Democrats? Not when states like Michigan have been gerrymandered to death. There is a very well entrenched Republican machine here and we have extremely weak Democratic party leadership. Northern Michigan has a Republican sitting in every state house district seat, and some of them have run unopposed for decades. Northern Michigan is not like the southern part of the state. Everyone knows every one up here and it's a close knit area. That and we're loaded to the teeth and we have lots of state and national forest to frolic in. We also have this problem where the current Republican majority pay no attention to the state Constitution, state law, and have no intention of changing how they're doing things. Enough people still hate former Governor Granholm and blame everything wrong with the state on her. If we can keep the negative numbers up for The Nerd maybe we can get rid of him.
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Feb 19, 2013 04:08
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The tea party in Michigan really wants Carl Levin gone. Last summer they launched an unsuccessful campaign to recall the senator. He hasn't done any fundraising, has very little funds on hold to launch a campaign and everyone here is waiting to see what he will do. Hopefully not retire yet.
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Feb 19, 2013 13:44
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Welp, The Michigan Democratic Party convention in Detroit is over and the votes were never cast for the new party chairman. Mark Brewer is out, Lon Johnson is in. Double the usual number of delegates arrived to take part in the vote and there was the threat of a floor fight about to start over it. Appears the UAW arrived with 1400 delegates and they were all going to vote for Johnson. Mark Brewer, the 18 year incumbent decided to step down because he knew he would never win the election. Who is Lon Johnson? He's originally from the Detroit downriver area but currently calls Kalkaska home, a town in Northwestern Michigan near Traverse City. His wife, Julianna Smoot, was a Deputy Manager of Barack Obama's 2012 presidential reelection campaign and also served as the White House social secretary. Lon Johnson is a team member of TVV Capital in Nashville Tennessee, a venture capital firm. I have mixed feelings about this guy because before 2012 you never heard of him until he ran for the state house seat in Kalkaska in 2012.
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Feb 23, 2013 23:12
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Juliana Smoot currently works for the DNC in Chicago. I'm already seeing Republicans screaming about the ominous Obama political machine is infiltrating Michigan.
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Feb 24, 2013 15:49
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CroatianAlzheimers posted:It's about time, we need something to actually work around here. I'm having a hard time getting over Johnson's credentials as a venture capital hack. That, and the fact that he just sort of appeared out of thin air doesn't fill me with a lot of enthusiasm. On the other hand, anything is better than Brewer. I agree with that, but Johnson has a very tough road ahead and he can't wait to start looking for candidates and firing up the base 6 months from now, not with the energy going currently with repealing RTW and undoing some of the debilitating plans Snyder wants. Emergency Manager for Detroit, raising taxes again and I could go on and on. Now that it appears he is going back on another promise and looking to run for a second term, we have a huge fight to find someone who can run against him and win. Johnson needs to get to work on that starting now.
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Feb 24, 2013 20:13
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mcmagic posted:Snyder is deeply unpopular around the state, that won't help any republican trying to run for the seat. The michigan GOP is one of the most extreme state parties in the country. I just posted the results of a PPP poll in the Michigan RTW thread. Two of the three Democrats they used in the poll against Snyder did better than he did, and they're not interested in running for Governor. I think Peters will go for Senate though.
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Mar 8, 2013 04:04
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A Winner is Jew posted:How could you forget the most charismatic and patriotic member of the Romney clan? I would actually vote for the loving horse. If any Romney is smart they will steer clear of Michigan. I've even seen Dick DeVos thinking about running for Levin's seat. That means he would have to stop writing checks to politicians so they vote the way he wants. Not like he'll win anyway. He's loathed as much as Snyder now.
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Mar 13, 2013 03:22
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Rafalca
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This is from MIRS this morning. MIRS posted:From MIRS: Stupak is the Blue Dog Democrat from the UP who made a big stink over making sure abortion was not covered in Obamacare. His voting record sides with Republicans more than Democrats.
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Mar 15, 2013 14:28
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Ofaloaf posted:Jeff Daniels for governor! That's because Synder ran as a moderate. He fooled lots of people into voting for him. Of course, once he became governor the first thing he did kill the film tax incentive. It was one program Granholm did that Snyder couldn't figure out how to take the credit away from so he said it was hurting the state and killed it instead. Here's Jeff Daniels talking about Snyder killing the film industry in Michigan. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UOhyFc-xR84
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Mar 18, 2013 13:59
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De Nomolos posted:
More people are coming around to hating Snyder as they do their state taxes right now. In 2011 he signed sweeping revisions to the state tax code, all of the new tax burden was dumped on the backs of the poor and the elderly, then he gave 1.8 billion in tax cuts to corporations. Exemptions The $600 exemption for children 18 and under eliminated. Pension tax exemption for persons born between 1946 - 1952 reduced - $40,000 for joint filers, $20,000 for single filers. Persons born after 1952 pay tax on all pension income. Exemption for unemployment income greater than 50% of adjusted gross income eliminated. Credits The Michigan Earned Income Tax Credit for low-income wage earners reduced from 20 percent to 6 percent. Homestead Property Tax Credit · No longer available to homes with a taxable value greater than $135,000. · Taxpayers with household resources totaling more than $50,000 can no longer receive the credit. · Credits are reduced for households with resources ranging from $41,001-$50,000. Other eliminated credits: City income tax, public contributions, automobile donations, college tuition, and many others. At the rate he's going the only people who will like him by 2014 will live in either Ada County, Oakland County or Washtenaw County.
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Mar 21, 2013 00:31
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AsInHowe posted:You forgot Ottawa County.  How could I forget Ottawa County? As for Washtenaw county, yes I know it went to Berneo. The folks who live there though say Snyder still has a strong following. Livingston County is the whitest county in Michigan. The KKK used to be very public there. Now they call themselves the tea party. Gretchen Whitmer, the Democratic leader of the state senate is one person we would love to see run against Snyder. She would be a great governor. Unfortunately at this time she says no. http://whitmer.senatedems.com/
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Mar 21, 2013 14:39
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Zero One posted:Rep Gary Peters will announce on Wednesday he will run for Levin's Senate seat. There's some good news. Now we just have to find someone to run for Governor so we can kick the nerd to the curb.
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Apr 29, 2013 23:05
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EPIC-MRA poll claims if the election for Governor in Michigan were held today, Snyder would be in a dead heat with Mark Schauer. He was a US rep until 2011, but lost to Tom Walberg. The amazing thing about Schauer is he polls as well as he does when hardly anyone outside of his district knows who he is. http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/05/poll_michigan_gov_rick_snyder_2.html Also, the spokesperson for the polling firm has a very tragic name.
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May 21, 2013 18:55
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AsInHowe posted:I haven't clicked on the link, but I'm assuming Bernie Porn. Of course it's Bernie Porn. Every time I see his name in the paper I think it's tragic. Not as tragic as the name of a man I saw at a funeral parlor in Charlotte, MI though - John Thomas Boner. So far two people I chat with in the super secret Facebook group have come forward and given solid endorsements for Schauer. Chris Savage who writes Eclectablog says he's a friend and will make an excellent governor. The other man says he's a fantastic candidate and will run as a moderate, although he's not even close to being a moderate. Another woman says she was just recently at a fundraiser and he's supposed to make a formal announcement in the near future. The issue is we're going to have the Koch bros. rolling as much money as they can into Michigan next year. The mountain of toxic tar sands coke is growing bigger in Detroit. Now that Detroit is under emergency management Maddy Moron and the Kochs are making money and the last thing they want is their disposable puppet governor Snyder losing. HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 13:55 on May 22, 2013 |
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May 22, 2013 13:21
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Sorry! TIM I don't know who he is either! I live in the Manistee National Forest! Livingston County is a magical place. They're (in)famous for some grand imperial high poobah wizard of the KKK that used to live there and the tea party is really popular. Ann Savage took the pictures in that article, she's the wife of Chris Savage, author of Eclectablog.
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May 26, 2013 13:50
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Heads up Michigoons, Mark Schauer will announce he's running for Governor today. http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/05/tim_skubick_mark_schauers_anno.html Tim Skubick posted:Get out the Mark Schauer for Governor bumper stickers. We've been wondering why so many possible candidates kept saying no. We really wanted Gretchen Whitmer, and she even put up a website announcing she was exploring the possibility. That quickly changed, however and we could only scratch our heads because she would have had lots of support.
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May 28, 2013 13:16
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Paul MaudDib posted:Is Schauer some party bigwig? He's the rep for my parents' district and I don't know much more about him than that, but I never heard of him being particularly charismatic or politically well-placed. You seem pretty well tuned in to the MDP and polling, smart move or not? I guess I should add what I know about Schauer: He was the 7th district US Congress rep until 2011 when the tea party candidate TIM walberg defeated him narrowly. I'm told he will run as a moderate, although he leans progressive. I'm sure he will become a big fan of unions very shortly, if he isn't already. The downstate folks who know him give him glowing praise that he will be great as governor. The very interesting thing is Johnson's strategy. With no Democratic primary that means for the next 19 months there will be one name people hear. For a guy who's only known in one part of the state this could be a good thing. Of course, there are people in Detroit like the article mentions that aren't happy about him being picked. The next move will be on the Republican side. Snyder caved on freedom to freeload because he and other Republicans were told vote for it or plan on being primaried in 2014, and here's a check from Dick DeVos to soften the blow. Snyder wants the medicaid expansion although the state legislature voted against it. We'll see how long he pushes for the expansion to pass and how that affects him getting primaried or not. Either way, we can expect a very expensive fight because the Koch Brothers will flood the state with money so they can continue doing stuff like this.  This is a photo taken from the Windsor side of the Detroit River of toxic coke from the Alberta tar sands being unloaded on a windy day, May 14, 2013 in Detroit. HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 17:22 on May 28, 2013 |
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May 28, 2013 16:49
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Joementum posted:
Are these new independents Ron Paulites/tea party people disgruntled with the Republican party not being conservative enough?
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May 28, 2013 21:20
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LOLGOP has an article on Eclecteblog this morning about how vulnerable Rick Snyder is and sources a study done by Nate Silver back in April of this year. I didn't see it discussed in this thread and now is as good a time as any to share it, with governor races starting.
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May 29, 2013 14:26
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Governor Snyder is on Mackinac Island today attending a conservative conference shmoozing with Dick DeVos and Jeb Bush. When he was introduced they called him the CEO of Michigan, not the Governor of Michigan.
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May 29, 2013 20:40
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Zeroisanumber posted:Any chance that the island will sink? I hope not, it's a beautiful island rich in history that dates back to the first explorations of North America. Also with a hotel on the national register of historic places and has the biggest front porch I've ever seen. Think about the fudge, man.  The boat they took to get to the island however ... wouldn't shed a tear if that did sink.
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May 29, 2013 20:52
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I can't wait to hear what Christie has to say in 12 minutes.  Should be interesting if he provides any rationale for his madness with this appointment.
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Jun 4, 2013 18:18
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It was just as head scratching as I hoped it would be. Lets spend lots of money on frivolous elections, let the appointee run (maybe?) and possibly appoint a Democrat? This will either be a brilliant move, or a horrible one that kills his prospects for 2016.
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Jun 4, 2013 19:03
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mcmagic posted:This will have zero effect on 2016. I agree, Hillary will win by a landslide, but on the Republican side things will be different. And the Republicans are already letting Christie know exactly what they think of his plans for Lautenberg's vacant senate seat. http://www.politicususa.com/republi...liticus+USA+%29
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Jun 4, 2013 21:46
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Even with kissing Dick DeVos's rear end over Freedom to Freeload, Rick Snyder isn't towing the line quite enough. We all saw this coming. No one calling themselves a conservative must ever consort with the enemy for any reason. http://www.michiganradio.org/post/tea-party-activists-opposing-gov-rick-snyders-re-election Michigan Radio posted:LANSING, Mich. (AP) - More than 30 conservative and tea party activists say they won't support Gov. Rick Snyder's re-election because of his support for expanding Medicaid eligibility to more Michigan adults under the federal health care law.
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Jun 12, 2013 13:27
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Ingham County Circuit Court judge William Collette had a good laugh today when Snyder's privately funded aide Rich Baird tried to defend his refusal to cooperate with the court. http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20130612/METRO01/306120057/Judge-orders-Snyder-aide-produce-Detroit-EM-candidate-names Pay attention to the names Baird's attorney tries to use to prove executive privilege. Detroit News posted:“There’s not one (state) case anywhere that says the governor has an executive privilege,” the judge said.
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Jun 12, 2013 21:57
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Good news today from The Fix blog at the Washington Post. They've bumped up Rick Snyder from sixth position to fifth for losing the governorship next year. The Fix posted:
What also hurts Benito Snyderlini is the fact that he has a secretly funded pile of money called the NERD fund that he uses to fund private projects around the state, including a personal assistant who has an office two doors down from the governor's office and has access to a state email address and cell phone. It recently came to light that he was instrumental in hiring Kevyn Orr for Detroit's emergency manager job before the Governor declared Detroit in a state of emergency. Oops. Also, the state house passed the medicaid expansion late last night. Expect tea bagger primaries in the near future. 
HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 19:38 on Jun 14, 2013 |
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Jun 14, 2013 19:35
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Somehow I don't think this is the Koch brothers backed primary challenger to Snyder. I'm still waiting for that candidate to appear. People who know Sanders say he's also pro fracking and calls himself a social conservative. Sounds really progressive.  http://www.annarbor.com/news/ann-arbor-man-looks-to-wage-independent-campaign-for-governor-of-michigan/ HUGE PUBES A PLUS fucked around with this message at 14:36 on Jun 21, 2013 |
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Jun 21, 2013 13:57
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The Michigan Campaign Finance Network published a report this week on 2012 campaign spending in Michigan. The dramatic title of the report is "Descending Into Dark Money." As the title should inform you, the levels of campaign spending in Michigan were outrageous. MCFN posted:The area that was not status quo in 2012 was independent spending by nonparty committees. In the first presidential cycle since the full liberation of corporate independent spending in the 2010 Citizens United decision, nonparty independent spending more than triple compared to 2008 or 2010. The 2012 total, $1.04 billion, represents the total independent spending of SuperPACs, which disclose their donors, but only a fraction of the political spending by 501(c) nonprofit corporations, which do not disclose donors. Independent spending for political advertising by nonprofits does not have to be reported to the Federal Election Commission unless it falls within 30 days of a primary election, or 60 days of the general election. In Michigan, for example, just 34 percent of political television advertising by nonprofit corporations occurred within the time window when it had to be reported to the F.E.C. Holy poo poo, these guys couldn't hire an editor? The report has plenty of tables, more than half of the report are tables of individual US and state politicians and their complete campaign contribution breakdown. Another significant area of spending in Michigan was the amount spent on advertising for the presidential primary:  Understandably 2014 shouldn't be as expensive as the 2012 campaign because there's no presidential race, but we will be electing federal and state level legislatures, governors and judges. The amount of money spent in Michigan alone is mind-boggling to me, especially with the superPAC advertising blitz that happened here. $22,000,000 on general election advertising, and that number doesn't include the primary spending in the table above.
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Jun 28, 2013 21:57
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Nice Davis posted:I would love to know what kind of TV play Ron Paul purchased in the UP with $453 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgNJBdTaKE8 It's as bad as I remembered.
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Jun 29, 2013 02:23
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Rothenberg has changed the rating of the Michigan governor's race from tossup/tilt Republican to pure tossup. http://blogs.rollcall.com/rothenblog/ratings-change-michigan-governor/ People are fed up with the governor making no effort to get the state legislature back to Lansing to finish with the Medicaid expansion. he's said some lukewarm words about how disappointed he is, but hasn't done anything else about it.
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Jul 9, 2013 21:31
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It's official! Former State House Speaker Pro Tempore Pam Byrnes is running against Tim Walberg in the 7th District. http://www.eclectablog.com/2013/07/...l-district.html Another tea bagger's days are numbered. Tim Walberg beat Mark Schauer in 2010 for the 7th district.
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Jul 18, 2013 14:57
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In Michigan I think it's possible we will pull some older voters away from the Republicans. They're hopping mad about pensions being taxed now. Snyder also eliminated the property tax credit for most people along with some other significant tax credits like the EIC and the child exemption. Essentially, if you're poor, old or still a member of the middle class your state taxes took a huge hit this year.
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Jul 24, 2013 02:50
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If the guy who disappeared for a weekend and lied about it to his family so he could be with his mistress in Buenos Aires can be elected Senator, I don't see why a sexting addict can't be elected mayor of New York.
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Jul 24, 2013 11:57
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Not to derail Weinergate, but Open Secrets published a piece yesterday about campaign debt and listed the top ten most indebted campaign committees. http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2013/07/deep-in-hock-10-most-indebted-campaign-committees.html 2012 was the most expensive election season ever. I posted a link to a report on how much money was spent in Michigan alone in this thread a couple of weeks ago.
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Jul 25, 2013 14:00
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If it didn't take too much money to do, I would love to see enough popular hype generated about a candidate, cause or something to the point the Kochs would throw enough money at it, it would actually deplete their wealth significantly. Unfortunately they have all the money and it would be next to impossible to do.
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Aug 2, 2013 15:26
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TheBalor posted:Well, each brother is worth about 25 billion, so if they sold off all of their assets now, they could fund both sides in a presidential election full for the next quarter-century. Exactly, they can fund multiple campaigns at any given time just drawing from the interest they earn from their billions in an hour. There is no way to significantly drain their wealth because they have so much of it. Contributing to political campaigns doesn't really create any dips in their financials.
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Aug 2, 2013 16:36
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Michigan tea party member Lt. Governor Brian Calley is no longer conservative enough for ... the tea party. http://www.lansingstatejournal.com/article/20130805/NEWS04/308050030/Tea-party-seeks-replace-Lt-Gov-Calley-2014-GOP-ticket?nclick_check=1 lsj posted:Some tea party members in Livingston County and across the state are seeking to oust Lt. Gov. Brian Calley on the Republican ticket in 2014, arguing he’s not conservative enough to be the party’s No. 2 candidate. What's the tea party in Michigan mad about? Common Core being implemented, Medicaid expansion that the state senate is doing everything possible to kill, and improving Michigan's roads. Brian Calley isn't conservative enough, so it's time to kick that libtard out of Lansing a quickly as possible. No word yet on finding someone to primary that bleeding heart liberal, Rick Snyder.
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Aug 5, 2013 18:20
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Alter Ego posted:It takes a special kind of detached arrogance to keep running for office after loving up this much. I hope he stays in the race right up until he loses just for the comedy he/his campaign continues to create.
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Aug 7, 2013 16:52
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