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I know I'm opening a can of worms here, but I think Murakami is really too lightweight if you look at the profiles of previous winners. And it's unlikely to be another North American after Alice Munro won the prize last year, especially seeing as there's been only one previous occasion in all the history when the prize stayed outside of Europe for three years straight (and it was due to Walcott who lives in UK anyway). While I wouldn't write off the chances of Ngũgĩ wa Thiong'o (and he is really good from what I've read) or the perennial poet duo Adunis & Ko Un, I really think it will be a European this year. The most often mentioned names are Ismail Kadare and Javier Marias, but people like Svetlana Alexievitch (although the conflict in Ukraine might damage her chances as this Nobel committee doesn't seem to want to get political), Jon Fosse (but he's probably too young still), Laszlo Krazsnahorkai, Juan Goytisolo, Milan Kundera (his time might've passed by now) and others are also ranking highly.
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Sep 18, 2014 08:09
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Burning Rain posted:I know I'm opening a can of worms here, but I think Murakami is really too lightweight if you look at the profiles of previous winners. No, I agree completely. He's also been nominated several times already without result, so I don't think it's going to happen any time soon.
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Sep 18, 2014 11:42
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I can remember telling myself a while back that Murakami shouldn't win for that very reason. His stuff's too contemporary, and not innovative at all. But over the years I've looped back only because the dude is such a health nut compared to most writers that I think if he holds out long enough, it's not entirely improbable. But yeah, Kadare would fall in line with the Man Booker International calling it ahead of the Nobel. I've been meaning to check out his stuff. Other Europeans include Umberto Eco and Peter Handke. In the UK, they're also naming Salman Rushdie.
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Sep 18, 2014 12:08
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Peter Handke's probably even less likely than Murakami - the Academy's been giving him the cold shoulder for years, even before he gave the eulogy at Milošević's funeral.
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Sep 18, 2014 13:28
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I'd be amazed if Pynchon won, though it'd be worth it for a very angry Phillip Roth.
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Sep 18, 2014 13:42
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The announcement's been confirmed for this Thursday. Murakami and Ngugi still among the favorites.
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Oct 6, 2014 16:13
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Okay, well, most of us were way off. Patrick Modiano just won the 2014 Nobel Prize. Good call on saying it would be a European this time around.
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Oct 9, 2014 12:02
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Ah. Who he?
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Oct 9, 2014 13:24
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That's kind of funny - his books have been going slowly, agonisingly out of print. Missing Person was on Book Depository for years at 70-80% off (down to about 2 euros), and they still couldn't move it. Now they're finally rid of them all and he wins the Nobel Prize.
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Oct 9, 2014 13:45
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Mr. Squishy posted:Ah. Who he? He doesn't even have a picture of him on Wikipedia.
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Oct 9, 2014 14:05
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Alice Munro's Wikipedia page was pretty drat bare just before her Nobel win (still doesn't have a picture of her either). Now there's a whole section about her writing process. I'm looking forward to the same treatment on Modiano's page so I can find out who the hell he is. Missing Person sounds interesting.
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Oct 9, 2014 14:22
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